Model Changes ----- ------- In theory, the model used by reanalysis should not change. However, some changes are unavoidable. For example, the model periodically needs to be recompiled whenever the operating system, compiler or even computer is changed (the project started with a Cray Y-MP and will later use a Cray J-16). The latest recompiled system (may 95) produced results that were different from the previous version. These changes were attributed to small random differences caused by the compiler optimizing the order of operations differently (different roundoff errors). These small differences would tend to grow because of the unstable nature of the atmosphere. This affects the data-poor regions because observed data keeps the analyses on the 'straight and narrow'. Another change (April 95) involved eliminating a coding error that caused the model to "blow up". The effect of this change was found to be minor because the bug was rarely invoked (first time the boundary layer code crashed after years of use in operational forecasts and research applications.) Another change (April 95) fixed a problem with the convection scheme. The modification fixes a problem with the atmospheric moisture budget. The change was considered to be minor and have little effect except to better conserve moisture. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Jan 1986-Dec 1992: See PROBLEM.TMP. 1/86 to 12/92 Avoid using Tmax. Tsfc and T2m should be screen (as done on the Annual CD-ROMS). Other months: Tmax and Tmin are included on the Annual CD-ROMS. Data is not screened. --- PAOBS are Australian analysts estimates of sea-level pressure based on satellite data, time continuity, ship observations and some "rules of thumb". I've seen analysts work at the South American desk (NCEP) and they can create analyses in very data poor regions. By the proper use of satellite imagery, one can get front locations, cyclone position and estimated intensities. They are using techniques that are not available to the data assimilation system. On the other hand, the analysis can sometimes appear to be "magical". Fronts appearing out of thin air. I would expect that the error bars on the PAOBS data to be very dependent on the analyst and location. PAOBS are used in the operational analyses and got "grandfathered" into Reanalysis (in my opinion). prior to Jan 1979: PAOBS not used Jan 1979-Dec 1992: The PAOBS data were used with a 180 degree longitude shift in these pseudo-observations. Jan 1993-present: Correct positioning of the PAOBS.