NOAA NCEP/GEFS Climate and Health Tools Verification

GEFS Week-1 Tmax, Area Under the Curve (AUC)

Tmax > 80th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 85th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 90th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 95th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 80th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 85th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 90th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 95th Pctl., BC
>2 Days:
>3 Days:

GEFS Week-1 Tmax, Heidke Skill Score (HSS)

Tmax > 80th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 85th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 90th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 95th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 80th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 85th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 90th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 95th Pctl., BC
>2 Days:
>3 Days:

GEFS Week-2 Tmax, Area Under the Curve (AUC)

Tmax > 80th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 85th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 90th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 95th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 80th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 85th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 90th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 95th Pctl., BC
>2 Days:
>3 Days:

GEFS Week-2 Tmax, Heidke Skill Score (HSS)

Tmax > 80th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 85th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 90th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 95th Pctl., Raw
Tmax > 80th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 85th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 90th Pctl., BC
Tmax > 95th Pctl., BC
>2 Days:
>3 Days:

GEFS Week-1 HI, Area Under the Curve (AUC)

HI > 41 Cels., Raw
HI > 43 Cels., Raw
HI > 45 Cels., Raw
HI > 47 Cels., Raw
HI > 49 Cels., Raw
HI > 41 Cels., BC
HI > 43 Cels., BC
HI > 45 Cels., BC
HI > 47 Cels., BC
HI > 49 Cels., BC
>2 Days:
>3 Days:

GEFS Week-1 HI, Heidke Skill Score (HSS)

HI > 41 Cels., Raw
HI > 43 Cels., Raw
HI > 45 Cels., Raw
HI > 47 Cels., Raw
HI > 49 Cels., Raw
HI > 41 Cels., BC
HI > 43 Cels., BC
HI > 45 Cels., BC
HI > 47 Cels., BC
HI > 49 Cels., BC
>2 Days:
>3 Days:

GEFS Week-2 HI, Area Under the Curve (AUC)

HI > 41 Cels., Raw
HI > 43 Cels., Raw
HI > 45 Cels., Raw
HI > 47 Cels., Raw
HI > 49 Cels., Raw
HI > 41 Cels., BC
HI > 43 Cels., BC
HI > 45 Cels., BC
HI > 47 Cels., BC
HI > 49 Cels., BC
>2 Days:
>3 Days:

GEFS Week-2 HI, Heidke Skill Score (HSS)

HI > 41 Cels., Raw
HI > 43 Cels., Raw
HI > 45 Cels., Raw
HI > 47 Cels., Raw
HI > 49 Cels., Raw
HI > 41 Cels., BC
HI > 43 Cels., BC
HI > 45 Cels., BC
HI > 47 Cels., BC
HI > 49 Cels., BC
>2 Days:
>3 Days: