Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221106Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Nov-08-2022Nov-09-2022Nov-10-2022Nov-11-2022Nov-12-2022
NO Stations 90th Pctl Clim Higher Tmax Prob. Dry or Little Rain Prob. Heat Alert Higher Tmax Prob. Dry or Little Rain Prob. Heat Alert Higher Tmax Prob. Dry or Little Rain Prob. Heat Alert Higher Tmax Prob. Dry or Little Rain Prob. Heat Alert Higher Tmax Prob. Dry or Little Rain Prob. Heat Alert
1 Tahoua 37.2 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
2 Niamey 38.2 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
3 Ouagadougou 38.0 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
4 Mopti 36.5 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 17% 100% Inac 17% 100% Inac
5 Bamako 36.6 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
6 Kayes 38.9 degC 10% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 13% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
7 Tamba 40.3 degC 3% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
8 Kedougou 38.4 degC 13% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac
9 Saraya 40.4 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
10 Dalafi 40.9 degC 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
11 Goudiri 39.4 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
12 Naye 39.3 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
13 Bakel 38.9 degC 7% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
14 Koupentoum 39.3 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
15 Mamari 39.0 degC 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
16 Velingara 40.5 degC 7% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 13% 100% Inac
17 Matam 38.7 degC 10% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
18 Haire_Lao 38.2 degC 30% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac
19 Podor 38.0 degC 37% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 13% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac
20 Richard_Toll 38.0 degC 57% 100% Actv 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
21 Linguere 38.4 degC 13% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
22 Daraa 38.3 degC 23% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 13% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
23 Louga 38.2 degC 17% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
24 Touba 38.2 degC 7% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
25 Diourbel 38.4 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
26 Bambey 38.1 degC 10% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
27 Koungheul 39.0 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
28 Kaffrine 38.4 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
29 Kaolack 38.1 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
30 Fatick 38.1 degC 10% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
31 Gossas 38.4 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
32 Freetown 33.1 degC 10% 93% Inac 7% 100% Inac 27% 97% Inac 20% 97% Inac 17% 80% Inac
33 Cairo 29.2 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac
34 Alexandria 28.1 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 0% 83% Inac
35 Giza 29.2 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac
36 Luxor 32.4 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
37 Sirte 26.3 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 7% 97% Inac 7% 100% Inac
38 Tripoli 24.6 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 0% 93% Inac 0% 87% Inac 0% 90% Inac
39 Benghazi 23.7 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 3% 90% Inac
40 Mistratah 24.6 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 90% Inac 0% 90% Inac 7% 90% Inac 10% 97% Inac
41 Tunis 23.6 degC 97% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac 3% 97% Inac 13% 100% Inac 20% 97% Inac
42 Sfax 23.0 degC 20% 100% Inac 3% 70% Inac 0% 53% Inac 7% 70% Inac 10% 87% Inac
43 Sousse 23.2 degC 97% 100% Inac 20% 93% Inac 7% 77% Inac 30% 83% Inac 20% 93% Inac
44 Algiers 20.2 degC 100% 100% Inac 100% 100% Inac 97% 100% Inac 73% 93% Inac 53% 97% Inac
45 Oran 23.0 degC 70% 100% Inac 97% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac 80% 100% Inac 67% 100% Inac
46 Constantine 20.1 degC 100% 100% Inac 93% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac 57% 97% Inac 67% 100% Inac
47 Annaba 22.4 degC 83% 100% Inac 67% 100% Inac 33% 100% Inac 13% 83% Inac 20% 87% Inac
48 Casablanca 23.5 degC 20% 100% Inac 73% 100% Inac 80% 100% Inac 70% 100% Inac 43% 93% Inac
49 Rabat 21.9 degC 17% 100% Inac 57% 100% Inac 67% 100% Inac 57% 100% Inac 33% 93% Inac
50 Fes 22.5 degC 77% 97% Inac 93% 100% Inac 97% 97% Inac 90% 100% Inac 67% 100% Inac
51 Sale 19.1 degC 67% 100% Inac 70% 100% Inac 80% 100% Inac 73% 100% Inac 60% 100% Inac
52 Riyadh 30.7 degC 73% 100% Actv 40% 100% Inac 27% 100% Inac 43% 100% Inac 27% 100% Inac
53 Jeddah 30.4 degC 0% 97% Inac 0% 90% Inac 0% 97% Inac 0% 97% Inac 0% 100% Inac
54 Mecca 34.0 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
55 Medina 32.9 degC 7% 100% Inac 7% 87% Inac 0% 73% Inac 3% 87% Inac 0% 100% Inac
56 Sanaa 22.6 degC 67% 100% Inac 23% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
57 Al_Hudaydah 32.3 degC 7% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
58 Aden 33.1 degC 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
59 London 13.3 degC 97% 100% Inac 100% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac 77% 97% Inac 53% 80% Inac
60 Paris 13.5 degC 90% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac 70% 100% Inac 43% 93% Inac
61 Istanbul 20.8 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 87% Inac 0% 87% Inac 0% 87% Inac
62 Moscow 6.0 degC 87% 100% Inac 80% 87% Inac 80% 80% Inac 80% 93% Inac 13% 97% Inac
63 Madrid 16.7 degC 50% 97% Inac 77% 97% Inac 77% 100% Inac 70% 100% Inac 27% 83% Inac
64 Rome 19.2 degC 83% 93% Inac 83% 87% Inac 57% 90% Inac 40% 90% Inac 33% 97% Inac
65 Frankfurt 12.4 degC 60% 100% Inac 70% 100% Inac 37% 100% Inac 27% 100% Inac 17% 93% Inac
66 Kyiv 10.7 degC 100% 100% Inac 47% 87% Inac 33% 97% Inac 27% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
67 Berlin 12.3 degC 80% 93% Inac 50% 100% Inac 33% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac 27% 100% Inac
68 Bucharest 17.8 degC 17% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 3% 83% Inac 3% 93% Inac 0% 97% Inac
69 Tokyo 20.0 degC 57% 100% Inac 23% 100% Inac 40% 90% Inac 70% 73% Inac 27% 67% Inac
70 Jakarta 28.3 degC 0% 13% Inac 0% 30% Inac 7% 33% Inac 0% 47% Inac 7% 53% Inac
71 Delhi 31.2 degC 73% 100% Actv 50% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
72 Manila 30.3 degC 80% 100% Actv 63% 100% Actv 67% 97% Actv 67% 97% Actv 57% 93% Actv
73 Seoul 14.3 degC 90% 97% Inac 97% 97% Inac 100% 23% Inac 80% 77% Inac 20% 97% Inac
74 Mumbai 13.3 degC 77% 100% Inac 53% 33% Inac 67% 90% Inac 3% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac
75 Shanghai 20.4 degC 100% 100% Inac 100% 83% Inac 100% 77% Inac 33% 93% Inac 3% 87% Inac
76 Guangzhou 30.2 degC 60% 100% Actv 60% 100% Actv 50% 100% Inac 70% 100% Actv 20% 97% Inac
77 Beijing 13.3 degC 77% 100% Inac 53% 33% Inac 67% 90% Inac 3% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac
78 Kolkata 32.3 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 93% Inac 10% 97% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 93% Inac
79 Bangkok 32.4 degC 50% 87% Inac 40% 90% Inac 47% 97% Inac 53% 93% Actv 57% 73% Actv
80 Dhaka 31.8 degC 13% 100% Inac 7% 93% Inac 3% 93% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac
81 Karachi 32.8 degC 70% 100% Actv 80% 100% Actv 67% 100% Actv 37% 100% Inac 33% 100% Inac
82 Mexico_City 20.5 degC 57% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac 97% 100% Inac 83% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac
83 New_York 15.5 degC 73% 100% Inac 100% 93% Inac 100% 17% Inac 47% 83% Inac 3% 100% Inac
84 Los_Angeles 25.7 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
85 Chicago 12.9 degC 100% 97% Inac 100% 87% Inac 33% 87% Inac 0% 90% Inac 0% 93% Inac
86 Dallas 21.9 degC 100% 100% Inac 93% 97% Inac 13% 97% Inac 0% 97% Inac 0% 83% Inac
87 Houston 25.4 degC 97% 100% Actv 70% 100% Actv 50% 97% Inac 7% 97% Inac 3% 90% Inac
88 Toronto 11.8 degC 93% 97% Inac 93% 87% Inac 97% 67% Inac 10% 97% Inac 0% 100% Inac
89 Washington_DC 17.1 degC 60% 100% Inac 97% 80% Inac 97% 43% Inac 33% 97% Inac 0% 97% Inac
90 Philadelphia 16.1 degC 90% 100% Inac 100% 87% Inac 100% 20% Inac 43% 93% Inac 3% 100% Inac
91 Miami 27.1 degC 90% 23% Inac 90% 50% Actv 97% 77% Actv 77% 80% Actv 20% 83% Inac
92 Leon 27.2 degC 80% 33% Inac 43% 17% Inac 27% 33% Inac 27% 60% Inac 50% 67% Inac
93 Santa_Ana 29.9 degC 0% 27% Inac 0% 63% Inac 0% 57% Inac 0% 73% Inac 0% 97% Inac
94 San_José 24.0 degC 13% 0% Inac 3% 10% Inac 10% 0% Inac 7% 10% Inac 17% 23% Inac
95 Panama_City 29.3 degC 3% 3% Inac 0% 23% Inac 7% 7% Inac 7% 10% Inac 7% 20% Inac
96 San_Salvador 30.6 degC 0% 67% Inac 0% 83% Inac 0% 80% Inac 0% 87% Inac 0% 100% Inac
97 Guatemala_City 27.3 degC 0% 87% Inac 0% 80% Inac 10% 93% Inac 3% 97% Inac 3% 100% Inac
98 Managua 29.0 degC 3% 20% Inac 0% 13% Inac 0% 27% Inac 3% 40% Inac 30% 63% Inac
99 Tegucigalpa 26.6 degC 53% 47% Inac 47% 60% Inac 27% 40% Inac 7% 60% Inac 3% 87% Inac
100 San-Juan 28.4 degC 23% 90% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 3% 87% Inac 3% 73% Inac
101 Havana 28.6 degC 47% 53% Inac 80% 80% Actv 80% 97% Actv 63% 97% Actv 27% 80% Inac
102 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.4 degC 0% 70% Inac 0% 47% Inac 3% 80% Inac 3% 80% Inac 3% 90% Inac
103 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.1 degC 63% 80% Actv 23% 97% Inac 7% 97% Inac 3% 77% Inac 0% 70% Inac
104 Port_of_Spain 28.8 degC 0% 13% Inac 0% 20% Inac 0% 27% Inac 0% 40% Inac 3% 33% Inac
105 Sao_Paulo 28.1 degC 37% 97% Inac 83% 80% Actv 83% 50% Actv 83% 27% Inac 63% 40% Inac
106 Rio_de_Janeiro 28.6 degC 0% 63% Inac 0% 100% Inac 43% 80% Inac 67% 63% Actv 53% 57% Actv
107 Brazilia 37.8 degC 37% 93% Inac 47% 93% Inac 57% 87% Actv 57% 70% Actv 60% 70% Actv
108 Juazeiro 36.0 degC 0% 90% Inac 0% 97% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 97% Inac
109 Sidney 28.5 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 27% 77% Inac 30% 50% Inac 17% 70% Inac
110 Melbourne 22.5 degC 83% 50% Inac 47% 67% Inac 23% 53% Inac 20% 37% Inac 7% 60% Inac
111 Alice_Springs 35.9 degC 3% 97% Inac 33% 93% Inac 23% 83% Inac 7% 80% Inac 3% 90% Inac
112 Darwin 37.7 degC 23% 77% Inac 43% 87% Inac 33% 70% Inac 13% 37% Inac 13% 37% Inac
113 Johannesburg 30.7 degC 0% 70% Inac 0% 27% Inac 0% 27% Inac 0% 53% Inac 0% 60% Inac
114 Pretoria 33.9 degC 0% 77% Inac 0% 30% Inac 0% 30% Inac 0% 63% Inac 0% 67% Inac
115 Durban 24.7 degC 0% 50% Inac 43% 47% Inac 100% 80% Inac 70% 63% Inac 7% 57% Inac
116 Belize_City 28.4 degC 7% 80% Inac 10% 100% Inac 17% 90% Inac 23% 53% Inac 3% 57% Inac
117 San_Ignacio 28.7 degC 0% 93% Inac 13% 97% Inac 10% 90% Inac 3% 87% Inac 3% 90% Inac
118 San_Pedro_Town 28.4 degC 3% 80% Inac 7% 100% Inac 7% 83% Inac 10% 57% Inac 3% 67% Inac
119 Kingston 29.1 degC 3% 87% Inac 23% 73% Inac 63% 73% Actv 77% 60% Actv 70% 80% Actv
120 Nassau 26.8 degC 100% 33% Inac 100% 47% Inac 97% 70% Actv 80% 80% Actv 27% 73% Inac
121 Lucaya 26.2 degC 100% 13% Inac 100% 27% Inac 97% 73% Actv 63% 73% Actv 20% 80% Inac
122 Cockburn_Town   28.1 degC 13% 90% Inac 27% 87% Inac 3% 97% Inac 10% 87% Inac 7% 83% Inac
123 Port-au-Prince 28.4 degC 3% 80% Inac 3% 80% Inac 13% 87% Inac 7% 87% Inac 10% 87% Inac
124 Port-de-Paix 28.1 degC 93% 97% Actv 70% 93% Actv 43% 100% Inac 30% 93% Inac 13% 93% Inac
125 Santo_Domingo 28.8 degC 87% 73% Actv 80% 90% Actv 90% 97% Actv 93% 97% Actv 93% 83% Actv
126 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 30.1 degC 93% 93% Actv 87% 83% Actv 90% 93% Actv 93% 97% Actv 70% 93% Actv
127 The_Valley 28.1 degC 7% 90% Inac 3% 87% Inac 0% 80% Inac 0% 70% Inac 0% 80% Inac
128 Cul_de_Sac 28.1 degC 7% 90% Inac 3% 87% Inac 0% 80% Inac 0% 70% Inac 0% 80% Inac
129 Basseterre 28.2 degC 3% 87% Inac 0% 93% Inac 0% 73% Inac 0% 80% Inac 0% 53% Inac
130 Fig_Tree 28.2 degC 0% 87% Inac 0% 90% Inac 0% 73% Inac 0% 77% Inac 0% 67% Inac
131 Les_Abymes 28.2 degC 0% 83% Inac 0% 67% Inac 0% 50% Inac 3% 73% Inac 3% 60% Inac
132 Le_Gosier 28.3 degC 0% 73% Inac 0% 67% Inac 0% 47% Inac 0% 70% Inac 0% 57% Inac
133 Roseau 28.3 degC 0% 87% Inac 0% 70% Inac 0% 47% Inac 0% 73% Inac 0% 60% Inac
134 Fort-de-France 28.8 degC 0% 60% Inac 0% 47% Inac 0% 37% Inac 0% 50% Inac 0% 57% Inac
135 Castries 29.1 degC 0% 53% Inac 0% 40% Inac 7% 40% Inac 0% 57% Inac 0% 53% Inac
136 Vieux_Fort 28.4 degC 0% 47% Inac 0% 43% Inac 0% 23% Inac 0% 47% Inac 0% 63% Inac
137 Kingstown 28.4 degC 0% 50% Inac 0% 40% Inac 0% 30% Inac 0% 50% Inac 0% 63% Inac
138 Georgetown 28.4 degC 0% 47% Inac 0% 43% Inac 0% 23% Inac 0% 47% Inac 0% 63% Inac
139 Bridgetown 28.5 degC 0% 30% Inac 0% 13% Inac 0% 30% Inac 0% 33% Inac 0% 37% Inac
140 Speightstown 28.4 degC 0% 33% Inac 0% 27% Inac 0% 33% Inac 0% 43% Inac 0% 40% Inac
141 Saint_George 28.6 degC 0% 47% Inac 0% 43% Inac 0% 53% Inac 0% 53% Inac 0% 80% Inac
142 Chaguanas 30.6 degC 0% 33% Inac 0% 37% Inac 0% 37% Inac 0% 53% Inac 0% 63% Inac
143 Georgetown 28.7 degC 3% 37% Inac 0% 33% Inac 0% 40% Inac 0% 23% Inac 0% 23% Inac
144 Linden 34.3 degC 13% 63% Inac 10% 37% Inac 10% 33% Inac 3% 30% Inac 0% 23% Inac
145 New_Amsterdam 34.4 degC 0% 73% Inac 7% 63% Inac 7% 53% Inac 0% 53% Inac 7% 47% Inac
146 Paramaribo 30.4 degC 7% 70% Inac 3% 77% Inac 10% 67% Inac 10% 50% Inac 10% 50% Inac
147 Lelydorp 37.0 degC 0% 67% Inac 0% 67% Inac 0% 57% Inac 0% 43% Inac 0% 40% Inac
148 Brokopondo 35.0 degC 0% 70% Inac 0% 63% Inac 0% 70% Inac 0% 53% Inac 0% 53% Inac
149 Oranjestad 28.7 degC 13% 53% Inac 23% 60% Inac 7% 50% Inac 0% 60% Inac 0% 53% Inac
150 Willemstad 28.7 degC 3% 50% Inac 7% 53% Inac 3% 57% Inac 3% 43% Inac 0% 63% Inac
151 Barber 28.7 degC 10% 47% Inac 10% 50% Inac 10% 50% Inac 7% 50% Inac 0% 70% Inac
152 Kralendijk 28.8 degC 3% 47% Inac 0% 47% Inac 0% 63% Inac 0% 50% Inac 0% 67% Inac



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Last Update: Mon Nov 7 19:12:58 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.