Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221106Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Nov-08-2022Nov-09-2022Nov-10-2022Nov-11-2022Nov-12-2022
NO Stations 80th Pctl Clim Higher Tmax Prob. Dry or Little Rain Prob. Heat Alert Higher Tmax Prob. Dry or Little Rain Prob. Heat Alert Higher Tmax Prob. Dry or Little Rain Prob. Heat Alert Higher Tmax Prob. Dry or Little Rain Prob. Heat Alert Higher Tmax Prob. Dry or Little Rain Prob. Heat Alert
1 Tahoua 36.3 degC 0% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac 17% 100% Inac 17% 100% Inac
2 Niamey 37.6 degC 7% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 13% 100% Inac 27% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac
3 Ouagadougou 37.8 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
4 Mopti 36.1 degC 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac 27% 100% Inac
5 Bamako 36.2 degC 10% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 17% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac
6 Kayes 38.6 degC 20% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 17% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac
7 Tamba 40.1 degC 3% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac
8 Kedougou 38.3 degC 13% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 23% 100% Inac
9 Saraya 40.1 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
10 Dalafi 40.6 degC 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
11 Goudiri 39.1 degC 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
12 Naye 39.0 degC 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 13% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
13 Bakel 38.6 degC 13% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
14 Koupentoum 39.1 degC 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
15 Mamari 38.9 degC 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
16 Velingara 40.2 degC 7% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 13% 100% Inac
17 Matam 38.4 degC 17% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
18 Haire_Lao 37.7 degC 50% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac 23% 100% Inac 17% 100% Inac
19 Podor 37.6 degC 67% 100% Actv 7% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac 13% 100% Inac
20 Richard_Toll 37.7 degC 67% 100% Actv 7% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 13% 100% Inac 13% 100% Inac
21 Linguere 38.2 degC 27% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac
22 Daraa 38.2 degC 30% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac
23 Louga 37.9 degC 33% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 20% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
24 Touba 38.0 degC 10% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 13% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
25 Diourbel 38.1 degC 10% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
26 Bambey 37.7 degC 13% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
27 Koungheul 38.9 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
28 Kaffrine 38.1 degC 7% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
29 Kaolack 37.8 degC 7% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
30 Fatick 37.7 degC 13% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
31 Gossas 38.1 degC 10% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
32 Freetown 32.8 degC 10% 93% Inac 10% 100% Inac 33% 97% Inac 33% 97% Inac 27% 80% Inac
33 Cairo 28.6 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac
34 Alexandria 26.8 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 0% 83% Inac
35 Giza 28.6 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac
36 Luxor 32.0 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
37 Sirte 25.7 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 7% 97% Inac 10% 100% Inac
38 Tripoli 23.2 degC 20% 100% Inac 13% 97% Inac 7% 93% Inac 7% 87% Inac 3% 90% Inac
39 Benghazi 23.5 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 3% 90% Inac
40 Mistratah 24.1 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 90% Inac 0% 90% Inac 10% 90% Inac 10% 97% Inac
41 Tunis 21.8 degC 100% 100% Inac 93% 100% Inac 77% 97% Inac 53% 100% Inac 53% 97% Inac
42 Sfax 22.4 degC 83% 100% Inac 40% 70% Inac 17% 53% Inac 23% 70% Inac 13% 87% Inac
43 Sousse 23.0 degC 97% 100% Inac 27% 93% Inac 10% 77% Inac 30% 83% Inac 23% 93% Inac
44 Algiers 20.1 degC 100% 100% Inac 100% 100% Inac 97% 100% Inac 80% 93% Inac 60% 97% Inac
45 Oran 22.6 degC 77% 100% Inac 97% 100% Inac 97% 100% Inac 80% 100% Inac 70% 100% Inac
46 Constantine 19.7 degC 100% 100% Inac 97% 100% Inac 93% 100% Inac 60% 97% Inac 73% 100% Inac
47 Annaba 21.1 degC 100% 100% Inac 97% 100% Inac 80% 100% Inac 50% 83% Inac 47% 87% Inac
48 Casablanca 22.7 degC 33% 100% Inac 83% 100% Inac 93% 100% Inac 83% 100% Inac 57% 93% Inac
49 Rabat 20.5 degC 70% 100% Inac 93% 100% Inac 93% 100% Inac 87% 100% Inac 73% 93% Inac
50 Fes 21.8 degC 83% 97% Inac 97% 100% Inac 97% 97% Inac 90% 100% Inac 73% 100% Inac
51 Sale 18.5 degC 80% 100% Inac 83% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac 93% 100% Inac 70% 100% Inac
52 Riyadh 30.0 degC 83% 100% Actv 70% 100% Actv 43% 100% Inac 53% 100% Actv 57% 100% Actv
53 Jeddah 30.2 degC 0% 97% Inac 0% 90% Inac 0% 97% Inac 0% 97% Inac 0% 100% Inac
54 Mecca 33.7 degC 7% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
55 Medina 32.4 degC 17% 100% Inac 17% 87% Inac 3% 73% Inac 13% 87% Inac 3% 100% Inac
56 Sanaa 22.4 degC 80% 100% Inac 27% 100% Inac 17% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
57 Al_Hudaydah 32.2 degC 7% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac
58 Aden 32.5 degC 3% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
59 London 12.8 degC 97% 100% Inac 100% 100% Inac 93% 100% Inac 80% 97% Inac 63% 80% Inac
60 Paris 13.2 degC 97% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac 73% 100% Inac 47% 93% Inac
61 Istanbul 18.5 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 87% Inac 0% 87% Inac 0% 87% Inac
62 Moscow 4.3 degC 90% 100% Inac 87% 87% Inac 87% 80% Inac 87% 93% Inac 53% 97% Inac
63 Madrid 14.5 degC 93% 97% Inac 97% 97% Inac 97% 100% Inac 93% 100% Inac 67% 83% Inac
64 Rome 18.8 degC 87% 93% Inac 90% 87% Inac 63% 90% Inac 43% 90% Inac 43% 97% Inac
65 Frankfurt 11.6 degC 97% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac 70% 100% Inac 63% 100% Inac 40% 93% Inac
66 Kyiv 9.9 degC 100% 100% Inac 87% 87% Inac 50% 97% Inac 43% 100% Inac 10% 100% Inac
67 Berlin 11.3 degC 100% 93% Inac 90% 100% Inac 87% 100% Inac 47% 100% Inac 50% 100% Inac
68 Bucharest 15.7 degC 90% 100% Inac 50% 97% Inac 27% 83% Inac 23% 93% Inac 3% 97% Inac
69 Tokyo 19.7 degC 67% 100% Inac 33% 100% Inac 57% 90% Inac 70% 73% Inac 27% 67% Inac
70 Jakarta 28.0 degC 13% 13% Inac 13% 30% Inac 17% 33% Inac 7% 47% Inac 13% 53% Inac
71 Delhi 30.9 degC 80% 100% Actv 67% 100% Actv 20% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac 7% 100% Inac
72 Manila 29.9 degC 93% 100% Actv 83% 100% Actv 90% 97% Actv 87% 97% Actv 83% 93% Actv
73 Seoul 13.8 degC 93% 97% Inac 100% 97% Inac 100% 23% Inac 87% 77% Inac 23% 97% Inac
74 Mumbai 13.0 degC 80% 100% Inac 67% 33% Inac 80% 90% Inac 10% 100% Inac 27% 100% Inac
75 Shanghai 20.2 degC 100% 100% Inac 100% 83% Inac 100% 77% Inac 40% 93% Inac 3% 87% Inac
76 Guangzhou 29.0 degC 97% 100% Actv 93% 100% Actv 90% 100% Actv 83% 100% Actv 50% 97% Inac
77 Beijing 13.0 degC 80% 100% Inac 67% 33% Inac 80% 90% Inac 10% 100% Inac 27% 100% Inac
78 Kolkata 31.4 degC 13% 100% Inac 17% 93% Inac 33% 97% Inac 33% 100% Inac 20% 93% Inac
79 Bangkok 32.1 degC 63% 87% Actv 63% 90% Actv 63% 97% Actv 67% 93% Actv 73% 73% Actv
80 Dhaka 31.2 degC 40% 100% Inac 23% 93% Inac 13% 93% Inac 7% 100% Inac 7% 97% Inac
81 Karachi 32.5 degC 77% 100% Actv 90% 100% Actv 70% 100% Actv 37% 100% Inac 47% 100% Inac
82 Mexico_City 20.1 degC 70% 100% Inac 100% 100% Inac 97% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac 90% 100% Inac
83 New_York 15.2 degC 87% 100% Inac 100% 93% Inac 100% 17% Inac 50% 83% Inac 3% 100% Inac
84 Los_Angeles 23.8 degC 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 0% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac
85 Chicago 12.0 degC 100% 97% Inac 100% 87% Inac 43% 87% Inac 0% 90% Inac 0% 93% Inac
86 Dallas 20.8 degC 100% 100% Inac 100% 97% Inac 20% 97% Inac 3% 97% Inac 0% 83% Inac
87 Houston 23.1 degC 100% 100% Inac 100% 100% Inac 63% 97% Inac 10% 97% Inac 13% 90% Inac
88 Toronto 11.3 degC 97% 97% Inac 97% 87% Inac 97% 67% Inac 10% 97% Inac 0% 100% Inac
89 Washington_DC 15.7 degC 90% 100% Inac 100% 80% Inac 100% 43% Inac 40% 97% Inac 3% 97% Inac
90 Philadelphia 15.8 degC 97% 100% Inac 100% 87% Inac 100% 20% Inac 43% 93% Inac 3% 100% Inac
91 Miami 26.8 degC 90% 23% Inac 97% 50% Actv 97% 77% Actv 80% 80% Actv 27% 83% Inac
92 Leon 27.0 degC 80% 33% Inac 43% 17% Inac 30% 33% Inac 37% 60% Inac 57% 67% Actv
93 Santa_Ana 29.5 degC 0% 27% Inac 3% 63% Inac 10% 57% Inac 7% 73% Inac 13% 97% Inac
94 San_José 23.7 degC 13% 0% Inac 10% 10% Inac 10% 0% Inac 17% 10% Inac 27% 23% Inac
95 Panama_City 29.1 degC 3% 3% Inac 0% 23% Inac 13% 7% Inac 17% 10% Inac 27% 20% Inac
96 San_Salvador 30.5 degC 0% 67% Inac 0% 83% Inac 0% 80% Inac 0% 87% Inac 0% 100% Inac
97 Guatemala_City 27.1 degC 0% 87% Inac 3% 80% Inac 13% 93% Inac 3% 97% Inac 3% 100% Inac
98 Managua 28.9 degC 3% 20% Inac 0% 13% Inac 0% 27% Inac 7% 40% Inac 33% 63% Inac
99 Tegucigalpa 25.9 degC 73% 47% Inac 73% 60% Actv 47% 40% Inac 13% 60% Inac 3% 87% Inac
100 San-Juan 28.2 degC 23% 90% Inac 3% 100% Inac 0% 97% Inac 3% 87% Inac 3% 73% Inac
101 Havana 27.9 degC 73% 53% Actv 93% 80% Actv 90% 97% Actv 90% 97% Actv 40% 80% Inac
102 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.2 degC 3% 70% Inac 0% 47% Inac 13% 80% Inac 23% 80% Inac 7% 90% Inac
103 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.0 degC 70% 80% Actv 30% 97% Inac 7% 97% Inac 3% 77% Inac 0% 70% Inac
104 Port_of_Spain 28.5 degC 7% 13% Inac 3% 20% Inac 0% 27% Inac 7% 40% Inac 10% 33% Inac
105 Sao_Paulo 27.4 degC 50% 97% Inac 87% 80% Actv 90% 50% Actv 90% 27% Inac 73% 40% Inac
106 Rio_de_Janeiro 26.9 degC 3% 63% Inac 13% 100% Inac 87% 80% Actv 93% 63% Actv 80% 57% Actv
107 Brazilia 35.9 degC 93% 93% Actv 87% 93% Actv 93% 87% Actv 93% 70% Actv 80% 70% Actv
108 Juazeiro 35.7 degC 0% 90% Inac 0% 97% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 100% Inac 3% 97% Inac
109 Sidney 26.7 degC 0% 100% Inac 20% 97% Inac 47% 77% Inac 40% 50% Inac 33% 70% Inac
110 Melbourne 21.7 degC 90% 50% Inac 67% 67% Inac 33% 53% Inac 23% 37% Inac 13% 60% Inac
111 Alice_Springs 35.0 degC 23% 97% Inac 67% 93% Actv 47% 83% Inac 10% 80% Inac 3% 90% Inac
112 Darwin 37.3 degC 33% 77% Inac 60% 87% Actv 50% 70% Inac 30% 37% Inac 20% 37% Inac
113 Johannesburg 29.5 degC 0% 70% Inac 3% 27% Inac 0% 27% Inac 0% 53% Inac 10% 60% Inac
114 Pretoria 32.3 degC 7% 77% Inac 3% 30% Inac 0% 30% Inac 0% 63% Inac 7% 67% Inac
115 Durban 23.8 degC 0% 50% Inac 70% 47% Inac 100% 80% Inac 90% 63% Inac 47% 57% Inac
116 Belize_City 28.2 degC 7% 80% Inac 17% 100% Inac 30% 90% Inac 33% 53% Inac 7% 57% Inac
117 San_Ignacio 28.2 degC 0% 93% Inac 30% 97% Inac 43% 90% Inac 13% 87% Inac 10% 90% Inac
118 San_Pedro_Town 28.2 degC 10% 80% Inac 10% 100% Inac 17% 83% Inac 27% 57% Inac 3% 67% Inac
119 Kingston 28.9 degC 7% 87% Inac 23% 73% Inac 73% 73% Actv 80% 60% Actv 87% 80% Actv
120 Nassau 26.6 degC 100% 33% Inac 100% 47% Inac 100% 70% Actv 87% 80% Actv 43% 73% Inac
121 Lucaya 25.9 degC 100% 13% Inac 100% 27% Inac 100% 73% Actv 73% 73% Actv 23% 80% Inac
122 Cockburn_Town   27.8 degC 50% 90% Inac 50% 87% Inac 30% 97% Inac 23% 87% Inac 20% 83% Inac
123 Port-au-Prince 27.9 degC 17% 80% Inac 37% 80% Inac 37% 87% Inac 20% 87% Inac 43% 87% Inac
124 Port-de-Paix 27.9 degC 93% 97% Actv 80% 93% Actv 57% 100% Actv 53% 93% Actv 43% 93% Inac
125 Santo_Domingo 28.6 degC 87% 73% Actv 80% 90% Actv 90% 97% Actv 93% 97% Actv 93% 83% Actv
126 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 29.5 degC 97% 93% Actv 93% 83% Actv 100% 93% Actv 100% 97% Actv 97% 93% Actv
127 The_Valley 28.0 degC 13% 90% Inac 10% 87% Inac 3% 80% Inac 0% 70% Inac 7% 80% Inac
128 Cul_de_Sac 28.0 degC 13% 90% Inac 10% 87% Inac 3% 80% Inac 0% 70% Inac 7% 80% Inac
129 Basseterre 28.0 degC 10% 87% Inac 3% 93% Inac 0% 73% Inac 0% 80% Inac 7% 53% Inac
130 Fig_Tree 28.1 degC 3% 87% Inac 0% 90% Inac 0% 73% Inac 3% 77% Inac 3% 67% Inac
131 Les_Abymes 28.1 degC 3% 83% Inac 0% 67% Inac 0% 50% Inac 3% 73% Inac 7% 60% Inac
132 Le_Gosier 28.2 degC 3% 73% Inac 3% 67% Inac 0% 47% Inac 0% 70% Inac 0% 57% Inac
133 Roseau 28.2 degC 3% 87% Inac 0% 70% Inac 0% 47% Inac 0% 73% Inac 0% 60% Inac
134 Fort-de-France 28.6 degC 0% 60% Inac 0% 47% Inac 0% 37% Inac 0% 50% Inac 0% 57% Inac
135 Castries 29.0 degC 3% 53% Inac 0% 40% Inac 7% 40% Inac 7% 57% Inac 7% 53% Inac
136 Vieux_Fort 28.3 degC 0% 47% Inac 0% 43% Inac 0% 23% Inac 0% 47% Inac 0% 63% Inac
137 Kingstown 28.3 degC 0% 50% Inac 0% 40% Inac 0% 30% Inac 0% 50% Inac 0% 63% Inac
138 Georgetown 28.3 degC 0% 47% Inac 0% 43% Inac 0% 23% Inac 0% 47% Inac 0% 63% Inac
139 Bridgetown 28.3 degC 0% 30% Inac 0% 13% Inac 0% 30% Inac 0% 33% Inac 0% 37% Inac
140 Speightstown 28.2 degC 13% 33% Inac 0% 27% Inac 7% 33% Inac 7% 43% Inac 7% 40% Inac
141 Saint_George 28.5 degC 0% 47% Inac 0% 43% Inac 0% 53% Inac 0% 53% Inac 0% 80% Inac
142 Chaguanas 30.3 degC 0% 33% Inac 0% 37% Inac 0% 37% Inac 0% 53% Inac 0% 63% Inac
143 Georgetown 28.6 degC 3% 37% Inac 0% 33% Inac 0% 40% Inac 3% 23% Inac 3% 23% Inac
144 Linden 33.2 degC 27% 63% Inac 30% 37% Inac 23% 33% Inac 17% 30% Inac 23% 23% Inac
145 New_Amsterdam 33.4 degC 23% 73% Inac 33% 63% Inac 13% 53% Inac 20% 53% Inac 17% 47% Inac
146 Paramaribo 30.2 degC 10% 70% Inac 10% 77% Inac 13% 67% Inac 10% 50% Inac 10% 50% Inac
147 Lelydorp 36.5 degC 0% 67% Inac 0% 67% Inac 0% 57% Inac 0% 43% Inac 0% 40% Inac
148 Brokopondo 34.6 degC 3% 70% Inac 0% 63% Inac 0% 70% Inac 0% 53% Inac 0% 53% Inac
149 Oranjestad 28.6 degC 23% 53% Inac 40% 60% Inac 17% 50% Inac 7% 60% Inac 10% 53% Inac
150 Willemstad 28.5 degC 17% 50% Inac 23% 53% Inac 13% 57% Inac 10% 43% Inac 7% 63% Inac
151 Barber 28.6 degC 27% 47% Inac 40% 50% Inac 13% 50% Inac 13% 50% Inac 17% 70% Inac
152 Kralendijk 28.6 degC 23% 47% Inac 13% 47% Inac 10% 63% Inac 3% 50% Inac 7% 67% Inac



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Last Update: Mon Nov 7 19:12:57 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.