Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221101Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 08Nov2022 - 14Nov2022				Week 3: 15Nov2022 - 21Nov2022				Week 4: 22Nov2022 - 28Nov2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.2	34.5			36.4	34.1			36.3	34.3
2	Niamey	38.1	36.0			37.8	35.6			37.5	35.8
3	Ouagadougou	38.0	35.9			38.1	35.6			38.0	35.8
4	Mopti	36.4	35.0			36.4	34.5			35.8	34.3
5	Bamako	36.5	35.4			36.6	35.2			36.5	35.1
6	Kayes	38.4	37.2			38.6	36.9			38.4	35.9
7	Tamba	40.2	37.8			39.9	37.5			39.6	36.7
8	Kedougou	38.6	35.8			39.6	36.0			39.3	35.7
9	Saraya	40.4	37.4			40.9	37.3			41.0	37.1
10	Dalafi	40.9	37.9			40.8	37.5			40.3	37.0
11	Goudiri	39.1	37.1			39.1	37.0			39.1	36.3
12	Naye	38.8	37.3			39.0	37.1			38.9	36.3
13	Bakel	38.3	36.9			38.4	36.5			38.2	35.5
14	Koupentoum	39.0	36.8			38.9	36.4			38.7	35.9
15	Mamari	38.7	36.9			38.6	36.2			38.2	35.4
16	Velingara	40.4	37.5			40.8	37.3			40.2	36.7
17	Matam	38.2	37.0			38.1	36.2			37.7	35.3
18	Haire_Lao	37.6	36.7			37.2	35.2			36.6	34.5
19	Podor	37.5	36.6			37.1	34.9			36.4	34.3
20	Richard_Toll	37.6	36.6			37.2	34.8			36.3	34.3
21	Linguere	38.0	36.8			37.8	35.5			37.2	34.9
22	Daraa	38.0	36.7			37.7	35.3			37.3	34.8
23	Louga	37.9	36.2			37.5	34.8			37.1	34.4
24	Touba	38.0	36.1			37.8	35.0			37.4	34.6
25	Diourbel	38.3	35.9			38.1	35.0			37.7	34.7
26	Bambey	37.9	35.8			37.9	34.8			37.5	34.6
27	Koungheul	38.8	36.6			38.7	36.1			38.5	35.7
28	Kaffrine	38.1	36.0			38.2	35.5			38.1	35.2
29	Kaolack	37.9	35.8			38.0	35.1			37.9	34.9
30	Fatick	37.9	35.8			37.9	34.8			37.5	34.6
31	Gossas	38.3	35.9			38.1	35.0			37.7	34.7
32	Freetown	33.2	31.5			33.2	31.9			33.7	31.7
33	Cairo	29.2	23.0			26.2	22.4			27.9	22.9
34	Alexandria	27.5	22.2			25.1	21.7			25.8	22.0
35	Giza	29.2	23.0			26.2	22.4			27.9	22.9
36	Luxor	32.5	25.7			29.8	25.3			31.4	26.1
37	Sirte	26.5	22.1			25.3	22.2			25.4	22.1
38	Tripoli	24.5	21.6			22.7	20.6			22.6	19.8
39	Benghazi	23.4	20.6			22.8	20.2			22.3	20.3
40	Mistratah	24.2	21.9			23.4	21.5			23.3	21.1
41	Tunis	24.2	22.3			22.8	21.0			21.1	19.0
42	Sfax	23.2	21.8			21.8	20.9			20.6	19.6
43	Sousse	24.7	22.5			23.0	21.2			21.4	19.2
44	Algiers	20.3	20.2			20.4	18.6			18.8	16.9
45	Oran	23.4	23.7			21.8	20.9			20.9	18.0
46	Constantine	20.0	20.7			20.2	18.2			18.0	15.3
47	Annaba	22.1	21.4			22.0	20.2			20.1	18.3
48	Casablanca	23.8	23.8			22.4	21.2			21.8	19.4
49	Rabat	21.8	21.3			20.5	19.5			19.9	18.0
50	Fes	22.9	24.3			22.1	20.4			20.0	18.1
51	Sale	19.0	19.9			17.8	16.6			17.4	14.3
52	Riyadh	29.9	30.9			28.9	28.0			25.8	25.5
53	Jeddah	30.4	28.1			29.7	27.6			29.4	26.9
54	Mecca	33.6	30.8			31.6	30.3			31.4	29.2
55	Medina	32.7	30.4			29.7	29.6			29.4	28.0
56	Sanaa	22.7	21.8			22.3	21.0			21.4	20.4
57	Al_Hudaydah	32.1	30.4			31.4	29.5			30.9	28.8
58	Aden	32.7	31.0			31.9	30.5			31.4	29.6
59	London	13.3	14.0			11.9	11.0			11.8	9.8
60	Paris	13.5	14.5			13.1	11.4			11.5	9.4
61	Istanbul	19.6	13.1			17.6	11.7			16.0	10.7
62	Moscow	5.6	4.6			2.9	1.7			3.0	0.0
63	Madrid	15.3	17.1			15.4	13.1			12.0	10.7
64	Rome	18.7	18.4			19.0	16.8			18.0	15.0
65	Frankfurt	12.4	12.2			11.3	9.2			9.9	7.3
66	Kyiv	10.5	8.1			9.1	5.4			6.8	4.1
67	Berlin	11.8	11.5			11.2	8.4			10.2	6.5
68	Bucharest	17.8	13.0			15.8	10.4			12.4	9.2
69	Tokyo	19.4	17.9			17.7	15.7			16.2	14.5
70	Jakarta	28.2	27.6			28.2	27.7			28.3	28.0
71	Delhi	30.7	29.2			29.6	28.0			28.0	27.0
72	Manila	30.3	29.8			30.4	29.1			30.4	28.6
73	Seoul	13.6	14.1			12.3	10.8			10.3	8.7
74	Mumbai	12.4	11.9			11.5	10.5			9.3	7.3
75	Shanghai	19.0	19.5			18.4	17.3			17.8	15.8
76	Guangzhou	28.9	28.5			27.4	26.2			26.7	24.3
77	Beijing	12.4	11.9			11.5	10.5			9.3	7.3
78	Kolkata	31.8	29.3			30.7	29.7			30.2	29.8
79	Bangkok	32.3	32.1			32.5	31.2			32.3	30.4
80	Dhaka	31.0	28.9			30.0	29.2			29.7	29.1
81	Karachi	32.5	32.1			32.3	30.7			30.9	29.3
82	Mexico_City	20.1	19.9			20.7	18.7			21.2	19.0
83	New_York	15.8	13.6			13.2	11.4			14.2	10.3
84	Los_Angeles	25.0	21.3			25.5	21.8			22.5	20.5
85	Chicago	12.0	9.6			11.7	8.4			9.9	7.3
86	Dallas	21.4	19.6			19.7	18.5			18.5	18.3
87	Houston	24.8	23.6			22.9	22.2			22.1	22.5
88	Toronto	11.2	8.4			9.6	8.2			10.2	6.0
89	Washington_DC	16.4	15.2			14.6	12.4			15.6	11.6
90	Philadelphia	16.3	14.6			14.0	12.0			15.4	11.0
91	Miami	26.9	26.5			26.2	24.8			25.5	24.6
92	Leon	27.2	26.9			26.7	26.5			26.8	26.2
93	Santa_Ana	29.9	27.8			30.5	27.8			31.1	28.5
94	San_José	23.7	22.4			23.4	22.4			23.8	22.6
95	Panama_City	29.2	26.3			29.9	27.1			29.4	27.5
96	San_Pedro_Sula	29.1	27.4			28.6	25.7			29.4	26.2
97	San_Salvador	30.5	28.4			30.7	28.6			31.2	28.7
98	Guatemala_City	27.8	24.7			26.7	24.1			28.5	24.6
99	Managua	28.9	27.3			28.8	27.6			29.2	27.7
100	Tegucigalpa	26.2	24.8			25.8	24.2			26.0	24.5
101	Port-au-Prince	28.9	27.9			28.7	27.2			28.5	27.2
102	San-Juan	28.3	27.5			27.9	27.3			27.8	26.8
103	Havana	28.3	28.0			27.7	26.5			27.5	26.4
104	Kingston	28.5	28.1			28.2	27.8			28.1	27.5
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.4	27.6			28.1	27.4			28.0	27.0
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.1	27.3			27.9	26.8			27.6	26.4
107	Port_of_Spain	28.6	27.9			28.4	28.0			28.4	27.7
108	Sao_Paulo	35.7	36.0			35.2	34.6			35.0	33.7
109	Rio_de_Janeiro	28.2	26.1			28.1	25.8			29.2	26.3
110	Brazilia	36.8	37.0			37.8	34.4			35.0	32.9
111	Juazeiro	36.1	33.1			36.4	34.1			35.6	33.5
112	Sidney	27.4	23.9			30.4	22.9			29.1	23.8
113	Melbourne	22.2	18.8			23.8	19.5			24.0	20.2
114	Alice_Springs	34.6	31.4			36.2	33.4			36.3	33.6
115	Darwin	38.2	36.3			38.1	35.4			37.2	34.0
116	Johannesburg	30.9	26.8			29.8	27.2			30.3	27.5
117	Pretoria	33.6	29.3			32.8	29.6			32.7	29.8
118	Durban	24.5	24.5			25.1	24.2			25.4	24.3

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Last Update: Wed Nov 2 10:28:43 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.