Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221101Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 08Nov2022 - 14Nov2022				Week 3: 15Nov2022 - 21Nov2022				Week 4: 22Nov2022 - 28Nov2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	35.8	34.5			36.0	34.1			35.8	34.3
2	Niamey	37.3	36.0			37.3	35.6			37.0	35.8
3	Ouagadougou	37.8	35.9			37.8	35.6			37.5	35.8
4	Mopti	36.2	35.0			36.1	34.5			35.5	34.3
5	Bamako	36.3	35.4			36.3	35.2			36.2	35.1
6	Kayes	38.2	37.2			38.5	36.9			38.0	35.9
7	Tamba	39.8	37.8			39.6	37.5			39.2	36.7
8	Kedougou	38.2	35.8			39.0	36.0			39.0	35.7
9	Saraya	40.1	37.4			40.6	37.3			40.5	37.1
10	Dalafi	40.4	37.9			40.2	37.5			39.9	37.0
11	Goudiri	38.8	37.1			38.9	37.0			38.6	36.3
12	Naye	38.6	37.3			38.9	37.1			38.5	36.3
13	Bakel	38.2	36.9			38.2	36.5			37.7	35.5
14	Koupentoum	38.8	36.8			38.7	36.4			38.5	35.9
15	Mamari	38.4	36.9			38.3	36.2			37.9	35.4
16	Velingara	40.2	37.5			40.2	37.3			39.8	36.7
17	Matam	37.8	37.0			37.9	36.2			37.4	35.3
18	Haire_Lao	37.2	36.7			36.8	35.2			36.4	34.5
19	Podor	37.1	36.6			36.7	34.9			36.2	34.3
20	Richard_Toll	37.1	36.6			36.7	34.8			36.2	34.3
21	Linguere	37.7	36.8			37.4	35.5			37.1	34.9
22	Daraa	37.6	36.7			37.3	35.3			37.0	34.8
23	Louga	37.5	36.2			37.1	34.8			36.8	34.4
24	Touba	37.6	36.1			37.4	35.0			37.1	34.6
25	Diourbel	37.8	35.9			37.8	35.0			37.6	34.7
26	Bambey	37.5	35.8			37.4	34.8			37.4	34.6
27	Koungheul	38.5	36.6			38.5	36.1			38.3	35.7
28	Kaffrine	37.8	36.0			37.9	35.5			37.8	35.2
29	Kaolack	37.6	35.8			37.7	35.1			37.5	34.9
30	Fatick	37.5	35.8			37.4	34.8			37.4	34.6
31	Gossas	37.8	35.9			37.8	35.0			37.6	34.7
32	Freetown	32.7	31.5			32.9	31.9			33.2	31.7
33	Cairo	27.9	23.0			25.7	22.4			25.5	22.9
34	Alexandria	26.3	22.2			24.8	21.7			24.3	22.0
35	Giza	27.9	23.0			25.7	22.4			25.5	22.9
36	Luxor	30.9	25.7			28.4	25.3			28.9	26.1
37	Sirte	25.2	22.1			24.9	22.2			24.5	22.1
38	Tripoli	23.8	21.6			22.5	20.6			21.7	19.8
39	Benghazi	22.7	20.6			22.3	20.2			21.7	20.3
40	Mistratah	24.1	21.9			22.8	21.5			22.6	21.1
41	Tunis	22.7	22.3			21.7	21.0			19.8	19.0
42	Sfax	23.1	21.8			21.4	20.9			20.4	19.6
43	Sousse	23.2	22.5			22.4	21.2			20.8	19.2
44	Algiers	20.1	20.2			19.8	18.6			18.4	16.9
45	Oran	22.6	23.7			21.0	20.9			20.3	18.0
46	Constantine	19.4	20.7			19.0	18.2			17.5	15.3
47	Annaba	21.6	21.4			20.8	20.2			19.2	18.3
48	Casablanca	22.1	23.8			21.9	21.2			20.2	19.4
49	Rabat	20.3	21.3			20.0	19.5			19.3	18.0
50	Fes	21.4	24.3			20.1	20.4			18.8	18.1
51	Sale	17.7	19.9			16.8	16.6			15.6	14.3
52	Riyadh	29.5	30.9			27.8	28.0			25.6	25.5
53	Jeddah	30.0	28.1			29.4	27.6			29.0	26.9
54	Mecca	33.4	30.8			31.1	30.3			31.1	29.2
55	Medina	32.2	30.4			29.2	29.6			28.6	28.0
56	Sanaa	22.2	21.8			21.8	21.0			21.3	20.4
57	Al_Hudaydah	31.9	30.4			31.2	29.5			30.7	28.8
58	Aden	32.2	31.0			31.6	30.5			31.2	29.6
59	London	12.8	14.0			11.1	11.0			11.0	9.8
60	Paris	13.1	14.5			12.1	11.4			11.1	9.4
61	Istanbul	17.5	13.1			16.9	11.7			15.4	10.7
62	Moscow	4.2	4.6			2.4	1.7			1.9	0.0
63	Madrid	14.8	17.1			14.2	13.1			11.4	10.7
64	Rome	18.6	18.4			17.3	16.8			16.5	15.0
65	Frankfurt	11.8	12.2			10.2	9.2			9.1	7.3
66	Kyiv	9.0	8.1			7.5	5.4			5.3	4.1
67	Berlin	11.3	11.5			9.9	8.4			8.6	6.5
68	Bucharest	13.9	13.0			14.8	10.4			11.7	9.2
69	Tokyo	18.7	17.9			17.3	15.7			16.1	14.5
70	Jakarta	27.9	27.6			27.9	27.7			28.2	28.0
71	Delhi	30.4	29.2			29.1	28.0			27.7	27.0
72	Manila	29.8	29.8			30.2	29.1			30.0	28.6
73	Seoul	13.2	14.1			11.2	10.8			9.5	8.7
74	Mumbai	12.1	11.9			10.1	10.5			8.1	7.3
75	Shanghai	18.5	19.5			18.1	17.3			17.0	15.8
76	Guangzhou	28.7	28.5			26.6	26.2			25.9	24.3
77	Beijing	12.1	11.9			10.1	10.5			8.1	7.3
78	Kolkata	31.3	29.3			30.4	29.7			29.8	29.8
79	Bangkok	32.0	32.1			31.9	31.2			32.0	30.4
80	Dhaka	30.6	28.9			29.8	29.2			29.3	29.1
81	Karachi	32.4	32.1			31.8	30.7			30.6	29.3
82	Mexico_City	19.8	19.9			20.4	18.7			20.2	19.0
83	New_York	14.9	13.6			12.9	11.4			12.1	10.3
84	Los_Angeles	24.4	21.3			24.8	21.8			21.4	20.5
85	Chicago	11.6	9.6			10.9	8.4			8.8	7.3
86	Dallas	20.9	19.6			19.2	18.5			17.2	18.3
87	Houston	23.4	23.6			22.5	22.2			21.4	22.5
88	Toronto	10.4	8.4			9.4	8.2			8.5	6.0
89	Washington_DC	15.5	15.2			14.0	12.4			13.2	11.6
90	Philadelphia	15.4	14.6			13.6	12.0			12.2	11.0
91	Miami	26.2	26.5			25.9	24.8			25.1	24.6
92	Leon	27.1	26.9			26.6	26.5			26.6	26.2
93	Santa_Ana	29.4	27.8			30.1	27.8			30.4	28.5
94	San_José	23.5	22.4			23.0	22.4			23.1	22.6
95	Panama_City	29.0	26.3			29.1	27.1			29.2	27.5
96	San_Pedro_Sula	28.4	27.4			27.8	25.7			29.0	26.2
97	San_Salvador	30.4	28.4			30.4	28.6			30.9	28.7
98	Guatemala_City	27.1	24.7			26.4	24.1			27.5	24.6
99	Managua	28.8	27.3			28.5	27.6			28.8	27.7
100	Tegucigalpa	25.8	24.8			25.5	24.2			25.8	24.5
101	Port-au-Prince	28.0	27.9			27.7	27.2			27.9	27.2
102	San-Juan	28.1	27.5			27.8	27.3			27.8	26.8
103	Havana	27.7	28.0			27.5	26.5			27.0	26.4
104	Kingston	28.4	28.1			28.1	27.8			28.0	27.5
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.3	27.6			28.0	27.4			27.9	27.0
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	27.9	27.3			27.6	26.8			27.5	26.4
107	Port_of_Spain	28.4	27.9			28.3	28.0			28.1	27.7
108	Sao_Paulo	35.1	36.0			34.7	34.6			34.7	33.7
109	Rio_de_Janeiro	27.8	26.1			27.5	25.8			28.9	26.3
110	Brazilia	35.4	37.0			35.9	34.4			33.9	32.9
111	Juazeiro	35.6	33.1			35.7	34.1			35.1	33.5
112	Sidney	26.4	23.9			29.6	22.9			28.3	23.8
113	Melbourne	21.1	18.8			22.5	19.5			22.5	20.2
114	Alice_Springs	34.2	31.4			35.1	33.4			35.2	33.6
115	Darwin	37.4	36.3			37.5	35.4			36.6	34.0
116	Johannesburg	29.9	26.8			29.0	27.2			29.7	27.5
117	Pretoria	32.5	29.3			31.7	29.6			32.1	29.8
118	Durban	24.2	24.5			24.7	24.2			24.7	24.3

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Last Update: Wed Nov 2 10:28:42 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.