Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221101Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Nov-03-2022Nov-04-2022Nov-05-2022Nov-06-2022Nov-07-2022
NO Stations 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 37.0 34.5 33.8 33.6 34.0 34.1
2 Niamey 38.2 36.7 36.2 35.7 35.6 35.7
3 Ouagadougou 38.1 36.4 36.1 35.8 35.8 35.6
4 Mopti 37.3 35.9 36.0 35.6 35.1 34.8
5 Bamako 36.5 35.5 35.6 35.6 35.8 35.6
6 Kayes 39.7 37.4 37.8 38.6 39.1 38.5
7 Tamba 40.9 37.5 38.1 39.0 39.1 38.7
8 Kedougou 38.7 35.3 35.3 35.7 36.5 36.3
9 Saraya 40.6 36.6 37.4 37.4 37.9 37.6
10 Dalafi 41.2 37.2 37.9 38.4 38.7 38.2
11 Goudiri 39.6 37.3 36.9 37.8 38.5 37.9
12 Naye 39.7 37.5 37.2 38.2 38.9 38.3
13 Bakel 39.4 37.1 37.0 38.2 38.8 38.3
14 Koupentoum 39.6 36.7 36.4 37.4 38.1 38.0
15 Mamari 39.6 36.8 36.9 38.1 38.7 38.3
16 Velingara 41.2 36.6 38.1 38.3 38.8 38.3
17 Matam 39.3 37.0 37.3 38.5 39.0 38.6
18 Haire_Lao 39.5 36.5 36.7 37.9 38.7 38.6
19 Podor 39.3 36.5 36.6 37.7 38.5 38.4
20 Richard_Toll 39.5 36.6 36.7 37.7 38.5 38.6
21 Linguere 39.2 36.6 36.8 37.8 38.5 38.6
22 Daraa 39.2 36.6 36.7 37.6 38.4 38.5
23 Louga 39.0 36.4 36.3 37.1 37.9 38.2
24 Touba 39.0 36.2 36.1 36.9 37.8 38.0
25 Diourbel 39.1 36.1 35.8 36.7 37.5 37.7
26 Bambey 38.8 36.1 35.9 36.6 37.4 37.6
27 Koungheul 39.5 36.5 36.0 37.1 37.9 37.8
28 Kaffrine 38.7 36.1 35.5 36.5 37.5 37.4
29 Kaolack 38.5 35.9 35.4 36.2 37.2 37.2
30 Fatick 38.8 36.1 35.9 36.6 37.4 37.6
31 Gossas 39.1 36.1 35.8 36.7 37.5 37.7
32 Freetown 32.9 31.9 31.8 32.4 32.1 31.3
33 Cairo 29.9 25.5 25.1 25.5 24.6 24.0
34 Alexandria 28.7 24.7 24.8 25.0 23.9 23.1
35 Giza 29.9 25.5 25.1 25.5 24.6 24.0
36 Luxor 33.0 28.4 27.9 27.6 26.6 26.4
37 Sirte 28.4 27.2 23.2 22.7 22.6 22.4
38 Tripoli 25.2 23.9 22.2 22.0 22.0 21.8
39 Benghazi 25.1 23.2 22.8 21.9 21.5 21.3
40 Mistratah 26.3 24.6 22.4 22.5 22.4 22.2
41 Tunis 24.6 20.5 21.2 22.5 23.0 23.2
42 Sfax 24.2 24.8 22.8 22.5 22.4 22.2
43 Sousse 25.3 22.0 22.5 23.1 23.4 23.3
44 Algiers 22.0 20.8 20.1 20.5 21.0 20.9
45 Oran 23.5 23.7 24.7 26.3 26.7 26.0
46 Constantine 21.6 16.6 18.4 21.5 22.6 22.5
47 Annaba 23.0 20.3 20.4 21.5 22.0 22.1
48 Casablanca 24.3 23.2 23.7 26.9 27.7 26.4
49 Rabat 22.2 21.0 21.0 22.7 23.5 22.9
50 Fes 23.4 24.2 25.5 28.0 28.4 27.3
51 Sale 19.6 22.2 23.3 24.4 24.2 23.3
52 Riyadh 31.9 28.4 31.3 31.7 31.7 32.2
53 Jeddah 30.7 29.3 29.4 29.2 28.8 28.4
54 Mecca 34.6 32.6 32.1 31.9 31.1 31.1
55 Medina 33.5 32.3 32.1 32.2 31.0 30.5
56 Sanaa 23.0 23.1 23.1 22.9 22.9 22.7
57 Al_Hudaydah 32.8 30.7 30.9 30.9 31.5 31.2
58 Aden 33.6 30.0 30.4 30.2 31.1 31.4
59 London 13.9 13.3 14.6 15.1 16.0 15.6
60 Paris 14.6 12.5 14.1 15.6 16.4 16.4
61 Istanbul 19.7 20.8 18.7 15.9 14.4 13.8
62 Moscow 6.5 1.5 2.1 3.2 4.2 5.3
63 Madrid 15.6 17.2 18.2 19.5 19.9 19.4
64 Rome 20.0 17.3 19.3 19.4 19.5 19.5
65 Frankfurt 13.7 11.2 11.2 13.3 14.0 14.1
66 Kyiv 13.7 10.0 9.5 8.9 8.9 9.3
67 Berlin 12.9 11.7 11.6 13.0 13.8 13.7
68 Bucharest 19.5 20.0 17.1 15.1 14.7 14.5
69 Tokyo 21.5 15.7 17.5 16.6 16.8 18.6
70 Jakarta 28.2 27.5 27.5 27.4 27.4 27.3
71 Delhi 32.5 32.1 32.2 31.4 30.3 29.7
72 Manila 30.5 30.1 29.9 29.8 29.8 30.0
73 Seoul 17.0 12.6 13.5 14.5 15.9 16.3
74 Mumbai 15.7 15.5 14.5 16.2 15.6 14.7
75 Shanghai 23.2 18.0 18.7 19.5 20.2 21.1
76 Guangzhou 30.0 25.3 26.5 27.5 28.3 28.6
77 Beijing 15.7 15.5 14.5 16.2 15.6 14.7
78 Kolkata 32.2 31.1 31.1 30.9 30.7 30.1
79 Bangkok 31.9 30.6 30.5 30.6 31.5 32.0
80 Dhaka 32.3 30.4 30.1 30.0 30.0 29.5
81 Karachi 33.6 31.6 30.6 30.4 31.1 32.0
82 Mexico_City 21.0 22.8 23.3 23.1 22.0 21.3
83 New_York 16.9 20.5 21.2 21.5 21.0 18.2
84 Los_Angeles 26.8 18.7 19.5 20.0 20.0 20.2
85 Chicago 14.5 19.3 18.8 16.0 15.6 16.0
86 Dallas 22.8 24.7 20.6 22.8 24.2 24.6
87 Houston 25.4 27.1 24.1 26.0 27.0 27.3
88 Toronto 13.1 16.4 18.1 16.6 13.3 12.9
89 Washington_DC 19.1 23.0 24.1 24.6 23.4 21.0
90 Philadelphia 18.5 23.1 24.0 24.3 23.4 20.4
91 Miami 27.8 26.7 27.2 27.4 27.5 27.5
92 Leon 27.3 27.9 27.6 26.9 26.4 26.4
93 Santa_Ana 29.5 26.8 26.8 27.2 26.8 27.4
94 San_José 24.5 22.3 21.5 21.3 21.7 22.0
95 Panama_City 29.5 26.4 25.9 26.0 25.8 25.9
96 San_Pedro_Sula 30.5 31.8 31.4 28.5 27.6 27.9
97 San_Salvador 30.2 27.8 27.7 27.7 27.4 27.8
98 Guatemala_City 27.2 26.5 26.2 25.6 24.7 24.9
99 Managua 29.0 27.9 27.5 27.0 26.9 26.5
100 Tegucigalpa 26.4 26.0 25.6 25.0 24.3 24.6
101 Port-au-Prince 29.7 28.4 28.0 27.5 28.3 28.4
102 San-Juan 28.5 27.8 27.1 27.2 27.5 27.7
103 Havana 28.8 28.3 28.5 28.5 28.6 28.7
104 Kingston 28.6 28.0 27.9 27.8 28.0 28.0
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.4 27.4 27.4 27.4 27.6 27.7
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.3 27.4 27.2 27.2 27.3 27.5
107 Port_of_Spain 28.7 27.6 28.0 28.2 28.1 27.9
108 Sao_Paulo 35.6 35.9 37.5 38.1 38.0 37.1
109 Rio_de_Janeiro 28.1 21.9 22.5 23.0 23.6 24.9
110 Brazilia 38.9 35.7 35.7 36.2 37.0 36.7
111 Juazeiro 36.7 28.6 28.6 30.3 30.5 30.6
112 Sidney 27.7 20.4 23.0 23.3 24.4 25.0
113 Melbourne 22.1 19.1 21.5 22.4 23.1 21.8
114 Alice_Springs 35.1 29.4 31.6 33.9 35.6 35.1
115 Darwin 37.4 38.9 38.6 37.5 36.0 36.1
116 Johannesburg 29.9 25.8 27.8 26.7 26.7 28.0
117 Pretoria 32.4 28.5 29.9 29.0 29.0 30.4
118 Durban 24.6 25.2 23.8 24.1 25.7 24.1



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Last Update: Wed Nov 2 10:28:42 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.