Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221101Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Nov-03-2022Nov-04-2022Nov-05-2022Nov-06-2022Nov-07-2022
NO Stations 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 36.9 34.5 33.8 33.6 34.0 34.1
2 Niamey 38.1 36.7 36.2 35.7 35.6 35.7
3 Ouagadougou 37.9 36.4 36.1 35.8 35.8 35.6
4 Mopti 36.8 35.9 36.0 35.6 35.1 34.8
5 Bamako 36.3 35.5 35.6 35.6 35.8 35.6
6 Kayes 39.3 37.4 37.8 38.6 39.1 38.5
7 Tamba 40.5 37.5 38.1 39.0 39.1 38.7
8 Kedougou 38.3 35.3 35.3 35.7 36.5 36.3
9 Saraya 40.4 36.6 37.4 37.4 37.9 37.6
10 Dalafi 40.8 37.2 37.9 38.4 38.7 38.2
11 Goudiri 39.4 37.3 36.9 37.8 38.5 37.9
12 Naye 39.5 37.5 37.2 38.2 38.9 38.3
13 Bakel 39.2 37.1 37.0 38.2 38.8 38.3
14 Koupentoum 39.4 36.7 36.4 37.4 38.1 38.0
15 Mamari 39.4 36.8 36.9 38.1 38.7 38.3
16 Velingara 40.6 36.6 38.1 38.3 38.8 38.3
17 Matam 39.1 37.0 37.3 38.5 39.0 38.6
18 Haire_Lao 38.8 36.5 36.7 37.9 38.7 38.6
19 Podor 38.6 36.5 36.6 37.7 38.5 38.4
20 Richard_Toll 38.5 36.6 36.7 37.7 38.5 38.6
21 Linguere 39.0 36.6 36.8 37.8 38.5 38.6
22 Daraa 39.0 36.6 36.7 37.6 38.4 38.5
23 Louga 38.7 36.4 36.3 37.1 37.9 38.2
24 Touba 38.7 36.2 36.1 36.9 37.8 38.0
25 Diourbel 38.7 36.1 35.8 36.7 37.5 37.7
26 Bambey 38.5 36.1 35.9 36.6 37.4 37.6
27 Koungheul 39.2 36.5 36.0 37.1 37.9 37.8
28 Kaffrine 38.5 36.1 35.5 36.5 37.5 37.4
29 Kaolack 38.2 35.9 35.4 36.2 37.2 37.2
30 Fatick 38.5 36.1 35.9 36.6 37.4 37.6
31 Gossas 38.7 36.1 35.8 36.7 37.5 37.7
32 Freetown 32.7 31.9 31.8 32.4 32.1 31.3
33 Cairo 29.4 25.5 25.1 25.5 24.6 24.0
34 Alexandria 27.2 24.7 24.8 25.0 23.9 23.1
35 Giza 29.4 25.5 25.1 25.5 24.6 24.0
36 Luxor 32.1 28.4 27.9 27.6 26.6 26.4
37 Sirte 27.7 27.2 23.2 22.7 22.6 22.4
38 Tripoli 24.0 23.9 22.2 22.0 22.0 21.8
39 Benghazi 24.1 23.2 22.8 21.9 21.5 21.3
40 Mistratah 25.6 24.6 22.4 22.5 22.4 22.2
41 Tunis 23.3 20.5 21.2 22.5 23.0 23.2
42 Sfax 22.9 24.8 22.8 22.5 22.4 22.2
43 Sousse 23.9 22.0 22.5 23.1 23.4 23.3
44 Algiers 21.1 20.8 20.1 20.5 21.0 20.9
45 Oran 23.3 23.7 24.7 26.3 26.7 26.0
46 Constantine 20.3 16.6 18.4 21.5 22.6 22.5
47 Annaba 22.3 20.3 20.4 21.5 22.0 22.1
48 Casablanca 23.9 23.2 23.7 26.9 27.7 26.4
49 Rabat 21.9 21.0 21.0 22.7 23.5 22.9
50 Fes 22.7 24.2 25.5 28.0 28.4 27.3
51 Sale 19.3 22.2 23.3 24.4 24.2 23.3
52 Riyadh 31.0 28.4 31.3 31.7 31.7 32.2
53 Jeddah 30.5 29.3 29.4 29.2 28.8 28.4
54 Mecca 34.5 32.6 32.1 31.9 31.1 31.1
55 Medina 33.1 32.3 32.1 32.2 31.0 30.5
56 Sanaa 22.6 23.1 23.1 22.9 22.9 22.7
57 Al_Hudaydah 32.7 30.7 30.9 30.9 31.5 31.2
58 Aden 33.2 30.0 30.4 30.2 31.1 31.4
59 London 12.7 13.3 14.6 15.1 16.0 15.6
60 Paris 13.8 12.5 14.1 15.6 16.4 16.4
61 Istanbul 18.5 20.8 18.7 15.9 14.4 13.8
62 Moscow 5.7 1.5 2.1 3.2 4.2 5.3
63 Madrid 14.8 17.2 18.2 19.5 19.9 19.4
64 Rome 19.6 17.3 19.3 19.4 19.5 19.5
65 Frankfurt 13.1 11.2 11.2 13.3 14.0 14.1
66 Kyiv 11.7 10.0 9.5 8.9 8.9 9.3
67 Berlin 12.6 11.7 11.6 13.0 13.8 13.7
68 Bucharest 16.8 20.0 17.1 15.1 14.7 14.5
69 Tokyo 21.1 15.7 17.5 16.6 16.8 18.6
70 Jakarta 28.1 27.5 27.5 27.4 27.4 27.3
71 Delhi 32.0 32.1 32.2 31.4 30.3 29.7
72 Manila 30.2 30.1 29.9 29.8 29.8 30.0
73 Seoul 16.3 12.6 13.5 14.5 15.9 16.3
74 Mumbai 15.1 15.5 14.5 16.2 15.6 14.7
75 Shanghai 22.6 18.0 18.7 19.5 20.2 21.1
76 Guangzhou 29.3 25.3 26.5 27.5 28.3 28.6
77 Beijing 15.1 15.5 14.5 16.2 15.6 14.7
78 Kolkata 31.8 31.1 31.1 30.9 30.7 30.1
79 Bangkok 31.4 30.6 30.5 30.6 31.5 32.0
80 Dhaka 31.8 30.4 30.1 30.0 30.0 29.5
81 Karachi 33.5 31.6 30.6 30.4 31.1 32.0
82 Mexico_City 20.5 22.8 23.3 23.1 22.0 21.3
83 New_York 16.0 20.5 21.2 21.5 21.0 18.2
84 Los_Angeles 25.1 18.7 19.5 20.0 20.0 20.2
85 Chicago 12.9 19.3 18.8 16.0 15.6 16.0
86 Dallas 21.5 24.7 20.6 22.8 24.2 24.6
87 Houston 24.7 27.1 24.1 26.0 27.0 27.3
88 Toronto 11.9 16.4 18.1 16.6 13.3 12.9
89 Washington_DC 17.4 23.0 24.1 24.6 23.4 21.0
90 Philadelphia 16.5 23.1 24.0 24.3 23.4 20.4
91 Miami 27.0 26.7 27.2 27.4 27.5 27.5
92 Leon 27.1 27.9 27.6 26.9 26.4 26.4
93 Santa_Ana 29.3 26.8 26.8 27.2 26.8 27.4
94 San_José 24.1 22.3 21.5 21.3 21.7 22.0
95 Panama_City 29.3 26.4 25.9 26.0 25.8 25.9
96 San_Pedro_Sula 28.7 31.8 31.4 28.5 27.6 27.9
97 San_Salvador 30.0 27.8 27.7 27.7 27.4 27.8
98 Guatemala_City 26.8 26.5 26.2 25.6 24.7 24.9
99 Managua 28.8 27.9 27.5 27.0 26.9 26.5
100 Tegucigalpa 25.9 26.0 25.6 25.0 24.3 24.6
101 Port-au-Prince 28.3 28.4 28.0 27.5 28.3 28.4
102 San-Juan 28.4 27.8 27.1 27.2 27.5 27.7
103 Havana 28.5 28.3 28.5 28.5 28.6 28.7
104 Kingston 28.5 28.0 27.9 27.8 28.0 28.0
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.3 27.4 27.4 27.4 27.6 27.7
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.0 27.4 27.2 27.2 27.3 27.5
107 Port_of_Spain 28.6 27.6 28.0 28.2 28.1 27.9
108 Sao_Paulo 35.1 35.9 37.5 38.1 38.0 37.1
109 Rio_de_Janeiro 27.4 21.9 22.5 23.0 23.6 24.9
110 Brazilia 37.8 35.7 35.7 36.2 37.0 36.7
111 Juazeiro 35.9 28.6 28.6 30.3 30.5 30.6
112 Sidney 26.6 20.4 23.0 23.3 24.4 25.0
113 Melbourne 21.2 19.1 21.5 22.4 23.1 21.8
114 Alice_Springs 34.3 29.4 31.6 33.9 35.6 35.1
115 Darwin 37.1 38.9 38.6 37.5 36.0 36.1
116 Johannesburg 28.9 25.8 27.8 26.7 26.7 28.0
117 Pretoria 31.8 28.5 29.9 29.0 29.0 30.4
118 Durban 24.4 25.2 23.8 24.1 25.7 24.1



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Last Update: Wed Nov 2 10:28:41 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.