Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221030Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Week 2: 06Nov2022 - 12Nov2022 Week 3: 13Nov2022 - 19Nov2022 Week 4: 20Nov2022 - 26Nov2022
NO Stations 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 37.2 34.3 36.6 34.6 36.2 34.4
2 Niamey 38.2 35.8 37.8 36.0 37.5 35.7
3 Ouagadougou 38.0 35.6 38.2 36.0 37.9 35.6
4 Mopti 36.5 34.9 36.4 34.8 36.0 34.2
5 Bamako 36.6 34.8 36.6 34.9 36.5 34.6
6 Kayes 38.9 37.1 38.7 36.7 38.5 36.3
7 Tamba 40.3 37.7 40.0 37.4 39.6 37.3
8 Kedougou 38.4 35.6 39.3 35.6 39.4 35.9
9 Saraya 40.4 37.0 40.7 37.2 41.0 37.4
10 Dalafi 40.9 37.6 40.7 37.5 40.6 37.4
11 Goudiri 39.4 37.0 39.0 36.8 39.2 36.7
12 Naye 39.3 37.2 38.8 36.9 39.0 36.7
13 Bakel 38.9 36.9 38.4 36.4 38.2 36.1
14 Koupentoum 39.3 36.8 38.7 36.4 39.0 36.3
15 Mamari 39.0 36.9 38.5 36.2 38.2 36.0
16 Velingara 40.5 37.1 40.5 37.1 40.4 37.0
17 Matam 38.7 37.0 38.1 36.3 37.7 35.9
18 Haire_Lao 38.2 36.7 37.4 35.4 36.8 34.9
19 Podor 38.0 36.5 37.1 35.1 36.7 34.5
20 Richard_Toll 38.0 36.5 37.0 35.0 36.7 34.3
21 Linguere 38.4 36.6 37.6 35.6 37.5 35.2
22 Daraa 38.3 36.6 37.6 35.4 37.5 35.0
23 Louga 38.2 36.2 37.4 34.9 37.3 34.5
24 Touba 38.2 36.2 37.7 35.1 37.6 34.8
25 Diourbel 38.4 36.0 38.0 35.0 38.0 35.0
26 Bambey 38.1 35.9 37.8 34.9 37.7 34.7
27 Koungheul 39.0 36.6 38.5 36.1 38.8 36.0
28 Kaffrine 38.4 36.0 38.0 35.5 38.2 35.4
29 Kaolack 38.1 35.7 37.8 35.1 38.0 35.1
30 Fatick 38.1 35.9 37.8 34.9 37.7 34.7
31 Gossas 38.4 36.0 38.0 35.0 38.0 35.0
32 Freetown 33.1 31.6 33.1 31.9 33.4 32.0
33 Cairo 29.2 24.6 26.4 23.8 26.5 23.4
34 Alexandria 28.1 23.5 25.7 22.8 25.4 22.6
35 Giza 29.2 24.6 26.4 23.8 26.5 23.4
36 Luxor 32.4 27.0 30.1 26.3 29.5 26.7
37 Sirte 26.3 23.0 25.9 23.1 25.7 22.1
38 Tripoli 24.6 22.1 23.3 21.2 22.8 20.1
39 Benghazi 23.7 21.2 22.9 21.1 22.5 20.6
40 Mistratah 24.6 22.6 23.8 22.2 23.7 21.2
41 Tunis 23.6 23.3 22.9 20.6 21.2 19.2
42 Sfax 23.0 22.3 22.1 21.2 21.4 20.2
43 Sousse 23.2 23.2 23.2 21.2 22.1 19.6
44 Algiers 20.2 20.5 20.4 18.5 19.6 17.5
45 Oran 23.0 23.7 22.6 20.0 21.2 19.0
46 Constantine 20.1 21.4 20.3 17.3 18.9 15.9
47 Annaba 22.4 22.1 21.8 19.9 20.8 18.9
48 Casablanca 23.5 23.3 22.7 21.0 21.7 20.2
49 Rabat 21.9 21.0 20.9 19.6 19.8 19.0
50 Fes 22.5 23.6 21.9 20.2 20.6 18.9
51 Sale 19.1 19.7 18.0 16.3 17.7 15.1
52 Riyadh 30.7 29.2 29.8 27.2 26.4 25.9
53 Jeddah 30.4 28.5 29.8 27.7 29.4 27.1
54 Mecca 34.0 31.3 32.4 30.1 31.6 29.5
55 Medina 32.9 30.7 31.3 29.2 29.1 28.3
56 Sanaa 22.6 21.6 22.2 20.7 21.6 20.0
57 Al_Hudaydah 32.3 30.7 31.6 30.0 31.0 28.7
58 Aden 33.1 31.4 32.0 30.8 31.6 29.6
59 London 13.3 13.6 12.3 10.4 12.0 9.2
60 Paris 13.5 14.7 13.1 10.3 12.6 8.6
61 Istanbul 20.8 14.7 17.8 13.4 16.2 11.1
62 Moscow 6.0 4.7 4.3 1.7 3.5 0.1
63 Madrid 16.7 16.6 16.3 12.6 13.3 11.5
64 Rome 19.2 19.5 18.5 16.3 17.5 14.5
65 Frankfurt 12.4 12.9 12.1 8.0 10.8 6.1
66 Kyiv 10.7 9.2 9.5 5.6 8.0 3.2
67 Berlin 12.3 12.1 11.6 7.2 10.9 5.2
68 Bucharest 17.8 14.7 16.8 10.8 13.2 8.2
69 Tokyo 20.0 18.2 18.4 15.3 16.3 14.3
70 Jakarta 28.3 27.7 27.9 27.5 28.3 27.8
71 Delhi 31.2 29.3 29.7 28.4 28.2 27.4
72 Manila 30.3 29.8 30.3 29.0 30.5 28.8
73 Seoul 14.3 14.6 11.8 9.8 11.2 8.4
74 Mumbai 13.3 12.5 12.1 9.5 9.3 7.7
75 Shanghai 20.4 20.3 18.8 16.5 18.2 15.5
76 Guangzhou 30.2 29.1 28.2 25.7 26.2 23.9
77 Beijing 13.3 12.5 12.1 9.5 9.3 7.7
78 Kolkata 32.3 30.7 31.1 29.9 30.4 29.8
79 Bangkok 32.4 31.8 32.7 30.7 32.6 29.6
80 Dhaka 31.8 30.1 30.4 29.6 29.7 29.4
81 Karachi 32.8 31.6 32.3 30.8 31.1 30.3
82 Mexico_City 20.5 20.3 20.4 18.9 21.1 19.2
83 New_York 15.5 15.7 14.3 11.4 12.9 10.5
84 Los_Angeles 25.7 19.9 26.3 21.5 22.6 19.9
85 Chicago 12.9 11.9 11.3 8.5 10.1 7.6
86 Dallas 21.9 21.5 20.1 18.9 18.7 18.9
87 Houston 25.4 24.9 23.6 22.7 22.6 22.7
88 Toronto 11.8 9.9 9.8 7.1 8.8 5.5
89 Washington_DC 17.1 17.8 15.5 13.2 14.6 12.4
90 Philadelphia 16.1 17.1 15.1 12.3 13.5 11.5
91 Miami 27.1 26.5 26.3 25.2 25.4 24.7
92 Leon 27.2 26.7 26.9 26.2 26.8 26.3
93 Santa_Ana 29.9 27.9 29.8 27.9 30.9 28.7
94 San_José 24.0 22.0 23.2 22.0 24.1 22.5
95 Panama_City 29.3 26.2 30.0 27.4 29.7 27.8
96 San_Pedro_Sula 29.6 27.7 28.7 25.8 29.3 26.7
97 San_Salvador 30.6 28.4 30.5 28.7 31.0 29.0
98 Guatemala_City 27.3 25.0 26.8 24.0 28.2 24.9
99 Managua 29.0 27.3 28.8 27.4 29.1 27.6
100 Tegucigalpa 26.6 25.1 25.5 24.1 26.1 24.7
101 Port-au-Prince 29.4 27.9 28.5 27.6 28.5 27.5
102 San-Juan 28.4 27.7 28.1 27.1 27.9 27.1
103 Havana 28.6 27.7 27.8 27.1 27.5 26.8
104 Kingston 28.6 28.0 28.4 27.7 28.2 27.5
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.4 27.5 28.3 27.3 28.0 27.0
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.1 27.3 27.8 26.8 27.8 26.6
107 Port_of_Spain 28.8 28.1 28.4 28.0 28.4 27.8



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Last Update: Mon Oct 31 06:30:36 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.