Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221030Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Nov-01-2022Nov-02-2022Nov-03-2022Nov-04-2022Nov-05-2022
NO Stations 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 37.0 35.4 35.4 34.9 34.5 34.0
2 Niamey 38.2 36.7 36.9 36.8 36.3 36.0
3 Ouagadougou 38.0 36.4 36.5 36.5 36.3 35.9
4 Mopti 37.1 34.7 35.2 35.9 35.9 35.4
5 Bamako 36.3 34.8 34.9 35.4 35.4 35.3
6 Kayes 39.4 37.3 37.0 37.2 37.9 38.1
7 Tamba 40.4 37.6 37.3 37.6 38.5 38.6
8 Kedougou 37.9 34.2 34.4 34.9 35.6 35.6
9 Saraya 40.2 35.9 35.9 36.7 37.3 37.1
10 Dalafi 40.9 36.8 36.7 37.4 38.2 38.1
11 Goudiri 39.4 37.4 36.9 37.1 37.4 37.5
12 Naye 39.5 37.7 37.3 37.3 37.8 37.9
13 Bakel 39.3 37.6 37.1 37.1 37.6 38.0
14 Koupentoum 39.4 37.3 36.9 36.9 37.1 37.6
15 Mamari 39.5 37.6 37.0 37.0 37.6 38.1
16 Velingara 40.6 36.3 36.1 36.7 38.0 38.1
17 Matam 39.3 37.7 37.1 37.0 37.7 38.3
18 Haire_Lao 39.3 37.7 37.2 36.6 37.2 38.2
19 Podor 39.2 37.5 37.0 36.4 37.0 37.9
20 Richard_Toll 39.2 37.6 37.1 36.4 37.1 37.9
21 Linguere 39.2 37.5 36.9 36.6 37.1 37.8
22 Daraa 39.2 37.5 36.9 36.6 37.1 37.8
23 Louga 39.0 37.5 36.8 36.4 36.9 37.6
24 Touba 38.9 37.3 36.7 36.4 36.7 37.4
25 Diourbel 38.7 37.0 36.6 36.3 36.4 37.0
26 Bambey 38.5 37.1 36.6 36.3 36.3 36.9
27 Koungheul 39.2 37.1 36.8 36.8 36.8 37.4
28 Kaffrine 38.5 36.6 36.4 36.3 36.1 36.8
29 Kaolack 38.2 36.4 36.1 36.0 35.9 36.6
30 Fatick 38.5 37.1 36.6 36.3 36.3 36.9
31 Gossas 38.7 37.0 36.6 36.3 36.4 37.0
32 Freetown 32.2 31.7 32.1 31.8 32.3 32.0
33 Cairo 29.8 25.3 25.0 24.8 24.9 24.3
34 Alexandria 28.1 24.5 24.0 24.0 24.0 23.4
35 Giza 29.8 25.3 25.0 24.8 24.9 24.3
36 Luxor 32.5 27.5 27.4 27.5 27.4 26.8
37 Sirte 28.1 23.7 24.6 24.7 23.9 23.4
38 Tripoli 24.7 23.0 23.6 23.4 22.6 22.7
39 Benghazi 25.1 22.6 22.5 22.5 22.2 21.6
40 Mistratah 26.1 23.6 24.3 23.9 23.3 23.2
41 Tunis 24.0 26.6 24.8 22.8 23.6 24.5
42 Sfax 23.7 23.8 24.4 24.0 23.0 23.2
43 Sousse 24.7 26.4 26.4 23.9 24.0 24.9
44 Algiers 21.4 22.2 21.4 20.7 20.9 20.7
45 Oran 24.1 26.2 24.2 25.7 25.7 24.7
46 Constantine 20.9 26.4 21.7 21.9 22.7 22.4
47 Annaba 22.6 24.4 22.8 21.8 22.3 22.4
48 Casablanca 24.2 23.0 23.1 23.7 24.4 24.3
49 Rabat 22.1 21.0 21.2 21.4 21.7 21.7
50 Fes 23.6 24.4 24.4 25.7 26.1 25.4
51 Sale 20.1 22.7 21.5 22.5 22.9 21.9
52 Riyadh 31.3 32.3 29.8 29.6 30.9 31.7
53 Jeddah 30.6 28.6 28.8 29.0 29.1 28.9
54 Mecca 34.6 30.4 31.0 31.5 31.7 31.2
55 Medina 33.2 30.0 30.8 31.7 32.1 31.6
56 Sanaa 22.9 22.6 22.9 23.0 22.9 22.7
57 Al_Hudaydah 32.8 30.4 30.6 30.7 30.6 30.9
58 Aden 33.6 30.3 30.2 30.5 30.7 30.7
59 London 13.5 14.2 12.9 15.2 13.6 14.1
60 Paris 14.4 14.7 13.5 15.4 14.7 14.3
61 Istanbul 18.7 18.8 18.5 18.8 16.8 16.0
62 Moscow 5.9 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.4 4.4
63 Madrid 15.7 16.8 16.9 17.4 18.3 17.3
64 Rome 20.4 21.4 20.3 19.0 19.5 19.5
65 Frankfurt 13.2 13.8 11.9 11.8 13.3 12.8
66 Kyiv 11.8 11.0 10.1 9.7 9.9 10.1
67 Berlin 12.9 13.3 11.9 11.1 12.8 12.4
68 Bucharest 17.7 19.2 18.4 17.5 15.9 15.9
69 Tokyo 21.2 21.8 19.1 16.0 16.3 17.0
70 Jakarta 27.9 27.7 27.8 27.6 27.9 27.7
71 Delhi 32.1 33.6 33.1 32.2 32.4 31.2
72 Manila 30.2 30.0 30.1 30.0 29.6 29.6
73 Seoul 17.0 13.5 10.1 10.7 12.8 14.3
74 Mumbai 16.1 11.6 12.4 14.0 14.6 15.6
75 Shanghai 22.4 20.5 18.9 17.6 17.8 18.6
76 Guangzhou 29.7 24.4 25.5 24.8 25.6 27.4
77 Beijing 16.1 11.6 12.4 14.0 14.6 15.6
78 Kolkata 31.5 30.4 31.4 31.6 31.4 31.2
79 Bangkok 31.3 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 31.4
80 Dhaka 31.6 29.6 31.0 31.2 31.0 30.5
81 Karachi 34.0 33.8 32.2 31.4 31.2 31.2
82 Mexico_City 20.5 22.1 22.5 23.1 22.6 22.5
83 New_York 17.4 19.4 18.1 20.0 20.6 20.4
84 Los_Angeles 25.2 17.2 17.6 20.2 21.9 21.7
85 Chicago 14.4 17.6 18.4 18.0 16.2 16.5
86 Dallas 22.7 25.1 26.4 24.7 21.6 22.1
87 Houston 25.8 27.4 27.8 27.4 24.5 25.6
88 Toronto 11.8 12.5 14.5 15.8 15.2 14.3
89 Washington_DC 18.9 21.2 20.6 21.9 23.6 23.1
90 Philadelphia 18.4 21.2 20.3 22.5 23.4 23.1
91 Miami 27.1 27.5 26.8 26.5 26.8 27.1
92 Leon 27.2 28.2 27.9 27.4 27.0 27.3
93 Santa_Ana 29.2 29.9 28.9 28.1 27.9 28.3
94 San_José 24.1 24.8 23.4 21.9 21.0 21.8
95 Panama_City 29.2 29.0 27.0 25.7 25.7 26.0
96 San_Pedro_Sula 29.4 29.1 28.8 30.5 30.5 29.1
97 San_Salvador 29.8 29.8 29.5 28.8 28.5 28.8
98 Guatemala_City 27.0 26.4 26.4 26.8 26.8 26.5
99 Managua 28.7 28.9 28.7 27.7 27.3 27.5
100 Tegucigalpa 25.9 27.0 26.7 26.5 26.3 25.9
101 Port-au-Prince 28.4 30.0 29.6 28.5 27.7 27.6
102 San-Juan 28.3 27.9 28.0 27.7 27.4 27.6
103 Havana 28.5 29.6 28.6 28.1 28.4 28.4
104 Kingston 28.6 28.8 28.5 28.3 28.1 28.2
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.5 28.3 27.9 27.8 27.8 27.7
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.1 27.6 27.4 27.5 27.3 27.4
107 Port_of_Spain 28.6 28.0 27.8 27.8 28.0 28.1



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Last Update: Mon Oct 31 06:30:30 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.