Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221029Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 05Nov2022 - 11Nov2022				Week 3: 12Nov2022 - 18Nov2022				Week 4: 19Nov2022 - 25Nov2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.2	33.7			36.4	34.5			36.0	35.0
2	Niamey	38.1	35.5			37.8	36.1			37.2	36.5
3	Ouagadougou	38.0	35.5			38.1	36.0			37.8	36.5
4	Mopti	36.5	34.8			36.5	34.9			36.0	35.5
5	Bamako	36.5	34.9			36.5	35.2			36.4	35.6
6	Kayes	39.2	37.5			38.7	37.3			38.5	37.3
7	Tamba	40.4	37.9			39.9	37.9			39.6	37.7
8	Kedougou	38.6	35.6			39.2	36.2			39.6	36.5
9	Saraya	40.5	37.0			40.7	37.7			41.1	37.9
10	Dalafi	41.1	37.7			40.7	37.9			40.5	37.9
11	Goudiri	39.4	37.2			39.1	37.3			39.1	37.3
12	Naye	39.4	37.4			38.9	37.3			38.8	37.3
13	Bakel	39.0	37.3			38.3	36.8			38.1	36.8
14	Koupentoum	39.4	37.0			38.7	36.8			38.9	36.7
15	Mamari	39.2	37.3			38.6	36.8			38.3	36.5
16	Velingara	40.6	37.2			40.6	37.5			40.2	37.5
17	Matam	38.9	37.4			38.2	36.7			37.9	36.5
18	Haire_Lao	38.5	37.2			37.5	35.8			37.0	35.4
19	Podor	38.4	37.0			37.2	35.5			36.8	35.2
20	Richard_Toll	38.3	37.0			37.2	35.4			36.8	35.0
21	Linguere	38.8	37.1			37.9	36.0			37.7	35.7
22	Daraa	38.6	37.0			37.9	35.8			37.5	35.6
23	Louga	38.4	36.7			37.6	35.4			37.3	35.1
24	Touba	38.3	36.4			37.9	35.4			37.6	35.2
25	Diourbel	38.5	36.2			38.3	35.5			38.0	35.3
26	Bambey	38.1	36.1			38.0	35.3			37.8	35.1
27	Koungheul	39.1	36.7			38.6	36.4			38.9	36.4
28	Kaffrine	38.4	36.2			38.1	35.8			38.3	35.8
29	Kaolack	38.2	35.9			37.9	35.5			38.1	35.4
30	Fatick	38.1	36.1			38.0	35.3			37.8	35.1
31	Gossas	38.5	36.2			38.3	35.5			38.0	35.3
32	Freetown	33.1	31.7			33.0	32.0			33.3	32.2
33	Cairo	29.2	24.8			27.3	23.8			26.1	23.7
34	Alexandria	27.9	23.4			25.7	22.7			25.0	22.4
35	Giza	29.2	24.8			27.3	23.8			26.1	23.7
36	Luxor	32.5	27.1			30.7	26.6			29.7	27.0
37	Sirte	27.3	23.2			26.0	23.2			25.3	22.2
38	Tripoli	25.0	22.1			23.2	21.5			22.9	20.5
39	Benghazi	24.2	21.4			22.8	21.1			22.3	20.6
40	Mistratah	25.4	22.8			24.0	22.5			23.9	21.5
41	Tunis	22.8	23.3			23.1	21.4			21.6	19.5
42	Sfax	22.8	22.7			22.3	21.7			21.6	20.4
43	Sousse	22.9	23.7			23.3	21.7			22.4	20.0
44	Algiers	20.5	20.1			20.3	18.9			19.9	17.3
45	Oran	22.6	23.8			22.1	21.1			21.8	19.1
46	Constantine	20.2	21.1			20.1	18.3			19.3	16.3
47	Annaba	21.8	21.9			21.9	20.4			21.2	18.7
48	Casablanca	23.5	23.7			22.8	21.7			21.4	20.6
49	Rabat	21.7	21.1			21.1	19.7			20.1	18.8
50	Fes	22.9	24.5			22.2	21.3			19.7	19.7
51	Sale	19.3	20.9			18.1	17.5			16.8	15.8
52	Riyadh	30.6	30.0			29.9	28.5			26.8	26.4
53	Jeddah	30.5	28.9			29.9	28.1			29.4	27.3
54	Mecca	34.3	32.0			32.8	30.8			31.5	30.3
55	Medina	32.9	31.8			32.0	30.1			29.1	29.2
56	Sanaa	22.6	22.0			22.3	21.5			21.7	21.0
57	Al_Hudaydah	32.4	31.1			31.8	30.1			31.1	29.3
58	Aden	33.1	31.6			31.9	31.0			31.6	30.4
59	London	13.5	13.3			13.0	11.2			12.1	9.8
60	Paris	13.6	13.9			13.6	11.3			12.9	9.5
61	Istanbul	19.9	14.9			17.8	12.4			16.7	11.8
62	Moscow	6.0	5.4			4.7	1.9			3.1	0.4
63	Madrid	16.6	16.6			15.7	13.6			13.9	11.6
64	Rome	19.1	19.2			18.9	16.6			17.9	15.1
65	Frankfurt	12.4	12.1			12.2	9.2			11.1	7.3
66	Kyiv	11.4	9.5			10.4	5.9			8.1	4.6
67	Berlin	12.5	11.5			12.1	8.3			11.1	7.1
68	Bucharest	18.1	15.0			16.8	11.1			13.4	9.6
69	Tokyo	20.1	17.7			18.9	15.3			16.2	13.8
70	Jakarta	28.3	27.5			28.0	27.7			28.3	27.6
71	Delhi	31.4	28.6			29.8	27.7			28.5	26.9
72	Manila	30.5	29.8			30.5	29.2			30.5	28.6
73	Seoul	14.7	14.6			12.2	10.0			11.0	8.1
74	Mumbai	13.8	12.9			12.0	9.4			9.5	7.7
75	Shanghai	21.2	20.1			19.5	16.5			17.6	15.3
76	Guangzhou	29.9	29.3			28.8	25.9			26.3	24.2
77	Beijing	13.8	12.9			12.0	9.4			9.5	7.7
78	Kolkata	32.3	31.0			31.4	29.6			30.4	29.4
79	Bangkok	32.4	31.5			33.0	30.7			32.7	29.4
80	Dhaka	31.9	30.4			30.7	29.2			29.7	29.0
81	Karachi	32.8	31.0			32.3	30.6			31.3	29.8
82	Mexico_City	20.7	20.4			20.4	19.2			21.1	19.4
83	New_York	15.6	16.6			14.6	12.7			12.7	10.2
84	Los_Angeles	25.5	21.0			26.2	22.0			22.8	20.1
85	Chicago	13.2	13.1			11.6	10.1			10.4	7.9
86	Dallas	22.0	21.4			20.3	20.1			19.0	18.6
87	Houston	24.6	24.7			23.2	23.4			22.3	22.7
88	Toronto	11.7	11.2			10.3	8.7			8.5	6.0
89	Washington_DC	16.6	19.0			15.5	14.4			14.4	12.0
90	Philadelphia	16.2	18.2			15.5	13.7			13.6	11.1
91	Miami	27.2	26.6			26.2	25.4			25.8	25.0
92	Leon	27.3	27.3			27.0	26.7			26.8	26.4
93	Santa_Ana	30.0	28.7			29.7	28.7			30.8	28.9
94	San_José	24.2	23.1			23.1	23.0			24.1	22.5
95	Panama_City	29.4	26.6			29.7	27.5			29.7	27.7
96	San_Pedro_Sula	30.1	27.8			28.4	26.5			29.4	26.5
97	San_Salvador	30.5	29.0			30.5	29.2			30.9	29.3
98	Guatemala_City	27.2	25.5			26.7	24.9			28.1	25.0
99	Managua	29.0	28.1			28.9	28.1			29.1	27.9
100	Tegucigalpa	26.6	25.6			25.5	24.8			26.1	24.9
101	Port-au-Prince	29.5	28.1			28.5	27.9			28.6	27.8
102	San-Juan	28.5	27.4			28.1	27.3			28.0	27.1
103	Havana	28.6	28.2			27.8	27.5			27.9	27.1
104	Kingston	28.6	28.1			28.3	27.9			28.3	27.6
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.4	27.5			28.3	27.4			28.0	27.2
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.2	27.2			27.9	26.9			28.0	26.6
107	Port_of_Spain	28.7	28.1			28.5	28.2			28.4	28.1

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Last Update: Sun Oct 30 06:30:37 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.