Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221028Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 04Nov2022 - 10Nov2022				Week 3: 11Nov2022 - 17Nov2022				Week 4: 18Nov2022 - 24Nov2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	36.6	34.2			36.2	34.6			35.5	35.2
2	Niamey	37.7	35.9			37.6	35.8			36.9	36.3
3	Ouagadougou	37.7	35.8			37.7	35.6			37.7	36.0
4	Mopti	36.5	35.5			36.1	34.3			35.9	34.5
5	Bamako	36.4	35.4			36.2	34.7			36.2	35.0
6	Kayes	39.1	37.7			38.5	35.8			38.3	36.3
7	Tamba	40.2	38.0			39.6	36.1			39.5	36.6
8	Kedougou	38.4	35.1			38.6	34.5			39.3	35.4
9	Saraya	40.3	36.8			40.2	35.9			40.6	36.8
10	Dalafi	40.8	37.5			40.2	36.2			40.3	37.0
11	Goudiri	39.4	37.2			38.8	35.8			38.9	36.3
12	Naye	39.3	37.5			38.7	35.9			38.7	36.3
13	Bakel	38.9	37.3			38.1	35.3			38.0	35.7
14	Koupentoum	39.2	36.7			38.6	35.3			38.7	35.7
15	Mamari	39.1	37.1			38.3	35.1			38.1	35.5
16	Velingara	40.3	37.1			40.1	35.8			40.1	36.4
17	Matam	38.8	37.4			37.8	35.2			37.6	35.6
18	Haire_Lao	38.2	37.3			37.2	34.5			36.4	34.6
19	Podor	38.1	37.1			37.0	34.2			36.4	34.4
20	Richard_Toll	38.2	37.1			36.9	34.1			36.3	34.3
21	Linguere	38.5	37.1			37.6	34.6			37.1	34.8
22	Daraa	38.5	37.0			37.5	34.4			37.1	34.6
23	Louga	38.4	36.5			37.3	33.9			37.0	34.1
24	Touba	38.3	36.3			37.6	34.0			37.3	34.3
25	Diourbel	38.4	36.0			38.0	34.0			37.8	34.5
26	Bambey	38.1	36.0			37.6	33.8			37.5	34.3
27	Koungheul	38.9	36.4			38.5	34.9			38.6	35.3
28	Kaffrine	38.2	35.9			37.9	34.3			38.0	34.8
29	Kaolack	38.0	35.6			37.8	34.0			37.9	34.5
30	Fatick	38.1	36.0			37.6	33.8			37.5	34.3
31	Gossas	38.4	36.0			38.0	34.0			37.8	34.5
32	Freetown	32.8	31.4			32.8	31.5			32.9	32.2
33	Cairo	28.6	25.1			26.5	24.1			25.7	22.6
34	Alexandria	27.0	23.9			25.8	23.0			24.7	21.7
35	Giza	28.6	25.1			26.5	24.1			25.7	22.6
36	Luxor	32.1	28.0			29.5	27.3			28.5	26.6
37	Sirte	27.0	24.5			25.0	23.9			24.2	22.3
38	Tripoli	23.9	22.5			23.2	21.7			22.5	20.3
39	Benghazi	24.2	21.9			22.6	21.3			22.0	20.3
40	Mistratah	25.3	23.7			23.4	22.7			23.0	21.4
41	Tunis	22.5	23.0			22.5	21.2			21.4	19.5
42	Sfax	22.9	22.7			22.3	21.6			21.4	20.4
43	Sousse	23.0	23.3			22.8	21.6			22.2	20.2
44	Algiers	20.0	19.9			19.8	18.5			19.6	17.2
45	Oran	22.0	22.5			21.1	20.0			20.9	19.0
46	Constantine	19.2	20.2			19.3	17.9			18.8	16.2
47	Annaba	21.5	21.7			21.4	20.3			20.8	18.8
48	Casablanca	22.5	22.3			21.7	21.2			21.1	20.5
49	Rabat	20.7	20.3			20.1	19.6			19.9	18.7
50	Fes	21.8	22.7			21.1	20.4			19.4	19.3
51	Sale	18.4	19.3			17.3	16.7			16.5	15.5
52	Riyadh	30.4	30.8			28.8	28.9			26.6	27.0
53	Jeddah	30.4	29.0			29.7	28.3			29.2	27.2
54	Mecca	34.1	32.2			32.6	31.0			31.0	30.1
55	Medina	32.7	32.3			30.8	30.2			28.6	28.9
56	Sanaa	22.4	22.0			21.9	21.3			21.5	21.2
57	Al_Hudaydah	32.3	31.0			31.5	30.5			31.0	29.6
58	Aden	32.9	31.6			31.8	31.2			31.3	30.5
59	London	12.9	12.2			12.4	11.0			10.9	9.6
60	Paris	13.2	12.8			11.7	11.0			12.5	9.2
61	Istanbul	19.5	15.8			17.0	12.3			16.2	11.0
62	Moscow	4.8	4.8			4.1	1.4			1.5	-1.2
63	Madrid	14.8	14.6			14.0	12.5			13.2	11.6
64	Rome	19.0	18.4			18.1	17.0			17.3	14.9
65	Frankfurt	11.9	11.2			10.7	9.1			10.4	7.0
66	Kyiv	10.2	9.9			8.3	5.7			8.1	2.9
67	Berlin	11.4	11.1			10.0	8.2			8.5	5.7
68	Bucharest	16.7	15.7			15.8	11.2			13.3	8.7
69	Tokyo	20.1	17.7			17.9	15.7			16.3	13.8
70	Jakarta	28.0	27.6			27.8	27.6			27.9	27.7
71	Delhi	31.4	29.9			29.8	28.2			28.5	27.4
72	Manila	30.1	29.8			30.1	29.4			30.1	28.8
73	Seoul	15.2	13.9			12.1	10.6			10.5	8.0
74	Mumbai	13.9	13.7			11.1	10.1			9.7	7.5
75	Shanghai	21.1	20.0			18.4	17.0			17.7	15.4
76	Guangzhou	29.5	28.8			28.2	27.0			26.3	24.8
77	Beijing	13.9	13.7			11.1	10.1			9.7	7.5
78	Kolkata	31.7	31.1			31.0	30.2			30.3	29.7
79	Bangkok	31.8	31.8			32.1	31.4			31.4	29.7
80	Dhaka	31.5	30.2			30.5	29.8			29.6	29.3
81	Karachi	32.8	32.2			32.1	30.8			31.1	30.4
82	Mexico_City	20.6	20.2			19.6	18.9			20.8	19.1
83	New_York	15.0	15.7			14.2	13.0			12.6	11.0
84	Los_Angeles	24.1	21.5			25.1	21.3			22.5	21.2
85	Chicago	12.7	13.3			11.0	10.7			9.7	8.2
86	Dallas	21.3	21.6			19.7	20.0			18.8	18.1
87	Houston	23.5	24.9			23.2	23.9			21.7	22.4
88	Toronto	11.2	11.5			10.1	9.6			8.1	7.2
89	Washington_DC	15.8	17.8			15.0	15.0			14.0	12.4
90	Philadelphia	15.7	16.9			15.0	14.0			13.1	11.7
91	Miami	27.2	26.1			26.0	25.8			25.9	25.2
92	Leon	27.1	26.7			26.8	26.6			26.7	26.6
93	Santa_Ana	29.3	28.3			29.5	28.4			30.5	29.1
94	San_José	23.9	22.6			22.8	22.5			23.6	22.6
95	Panama_City	29.1	26.5			29.0	27.4			29.2	28.0
96	San_Pedro_Sula	29.5	27.0			27.6	26.5			28.3	26.7
97	San_Salvador	30.3	28.6			30.3	28.8			30.6	29.3
98	Guatemala_City	26.9	24.9			26.4	24.6			27.1	25.3
99	Managua	28.9	27.7			28.6	27.7			28.7	28.0
100	Tegucigalpa	25.9	24.9			25.5	24.6			25.7	25.2
101	Port-au-Prince	28.3	28.1			28.0	28.0			27.7	27.8
102	San-Juan	28.4	27.5			28.0	27.5			27.8	27.1
103	Havana	28.3	27.5			27.5	27.3			27.7	27.1
104	Kingston	28.5	28.0			28.3	27.9			28.1	27.5
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.3	27.6			28.2	27.5			27.9	27.1
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.0	27.3			27.8	27.1			27.6	26.6
107	Port_of_Spain	28.5	28.1			28.3	28.2			28.3	28.1

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Last Update: Sat Oct 29 06:30:45 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.