Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221026Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 02Nov2022 - 08Nov2022				Week 3: 09Nov2022 - 15Nov2022				Week 4: 16Nov2022 - 22Nov2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.1	34.9			36.9	35.4			36.2	35.1
2	Niamey	38.2	36.5			38.0	36.6			37.4	36.3
3	Ouagadougou	38.0	36.2			38.0	36.1			38.1	36.0
4	Mopti	37.1	35.6			36.5	35.2			36.2	34.8
5	Bamako	36.6	35.1			36.6	34.7			36.4	34.7
6	Kayes	39.7	37.5			38.5	36.6			38.6	36.2
7	Tamba	40.7	37.8			40.2	37.2			39.9	37.0
8	Kedougou	38.7	35.0			38.9	35.3			39.5	35.5
9	Saraya	40.7	36.7			40.4	36.9			41.0	37.0
10	Dalafi	41.1	37.5			40.7	37.3			40.8	37.2
11	Goudiri	39.6	37.2			39.0	36.7			39.1	36.5
12	Naye	39.8	37.5			38.9	36.7			39.0	36.5
13	Bakel	39.4	37.4			38.5	36.2			38.4	36.0
14	Koupentoum	39.6	36.9			38.9	36.2			39.0	36.1
15	Mamari	39.7	37.3			38.6	36.1			38.4	35.9
16	Velingara	41.1	37.1			40.4	36.9			40.5	36.7
17	Matam	39.3	37.5			38.1	36.1			38.0	35.9
18	Haire_Lao	39.3	37.2			37.4	35.2			37.1	35.1
19	Podor	39.3	36.9			37.4	34.9			36.9	34.9
20	Richard_Toll	39.4	36.8			37.5	34.7			37.0	34.8
21	Linguere	39.2	37.0			37.9	35.4			37.6	35.3
22	Daraa	39.3	36.9			37.9	35.2			37.7	35.2
23	Louga	39.0	36.6			37.9	34.6			37.6	34.8
24	Touba	38.8	36.5			38.0	35.0			37.8	35.0
25	Diourbel	38.9	36.3			38.2	35.0			38.2	35.0
26	Bambey	38.6	36.2			38.0	34.8			38.0	34.9
27	Koungheul	39.4	36.7			38.7	35.9			38.8	35.8
28	Kaffrine	38.7	36.1			38.2	35.3			38.2	35.3
29	Kaolack	38.5	35.8			38.0	35.0			38.1	35.0
30	Fatick	38.6	36.2			38.0	34.8			38.0	34.9
31	Gossas	38.9	36.3			38.2	35.0			38.2	35.0
32	Freetown	33.0	31.6			33.0	31.6			33.0	31.7
33	Cairo	29.3	24.9			28.7	24.8			26.8	23.5
34	Alexandria	27.7	23.7			27.1	23.7			25.1	22.5
35	Giza	29.3	24.9			28.7	24.8			26.8	23.5
36	Luxor	32.4	27.3			32.3	28.0			29.4	26.9
37	Sirte	28.1	23.2			26.2	23.7			25.0	22.3
38	Tripoli	25.1	22.5			24.6	22.0			22.6	20.3
39	Benghazi	24.9	21.5			23.2	21.5			22.7	20.6
40	Mistratah	26.0	22.9			24.6	22.8			23.3	21.6
41	Tunis	24.1	23.9			23.8	21.7			22.4	20.0
42	Sfax	24.0	22.9			23.3	22.0			21.9	20.5
43	Sousse	25.0	24.0			24.2	22.2			22.5	20.6
44	Algiers	21.7	20.5			20.2	18.3			20.1	16.5
45	Oran	23.5	24.0			23.6	21.3			21.8	19.6
46	Constantine	20.3	21.8			21.2	18.6			20.0	16.9
47	Annaba	22.6	22.4			22.4	20.3			21.6	18.9
48	Casablanca	24.2	22.8			23.3	21.3			22.7	20.8
49	Rabat	21.9	20.5			21.4	19.2			20.6	18.7
50	Fes	22.8	23.9			22.2	21.3			22.2	20.1
51	Sale	19.5	20.5			18.5	17.7			18.0	16.2
52	Riyadh	31.4	31.7			30.0	29.5			28.2	27.4
53	Jeddah	30.7	28.8			30.3	28.4			29.6	27.0
54	Mecca	34.8	32.0			33.5	31.5			31.3	30.2
55	Medina	33.4	32.5			32.5	30.9			29.8	29.0
56	Sanaa	22.8	22.5			22.6	21.3			22.1	20.9
57	Al_Hudaydah	32.7	30.9			32.0	30.4			31.3	29.7
58	Aden	33.2	31.5			32.3	30.9			31.9	30.5
59	London	13.6	13.4			13.4	11.5			11.4	9.8
60	Paris	14.1	14.2			14.0	11.7			13.4	9.6
61	Istanbul	20.3	15.7			18.6	14.3			17.9	11.6
62	Moscow	7.1	6.1			5.4	3.4			2.8	1.1
63	Madrid	15.3	15.6			15.8	13.9			15.8	12.4
64	Rome	19.8	19.8			18.6	17.1			19.1	15.2
65	Frankfurt	13.6	12.8			12.1	9.9			11.1	7.7
66	Kyiv	13.8	11.0			10.0	7.6			9.6	4.7
67	Berlin	12.8	12.6			12.1	8.9			11.2	7.1
68	Bucharest	19.7	16.6			17.4	13.0			14.8	9.5
69	Tokyo	21.0	18.3			18.4	16.5			17.7	14.7
70	Jakarta	28.3	27.4			28.1	27.5			28.3	27.3
71	Delhi	32.2	30.9			30.4	29.0			29.5	28.3
72	Manila	30.4	29.5			30.4	29.5			30.4	28.6
73	Seoul	17.1	14.6			13.5	12.3			11.6	8.6
74	Mumbai	15.0	14.2			12.1	10.9			11.1	8.2
75	Shanghai	23.2	20.8			19.2	18.3			18.4	15.6
76	Guangzhou	30.1	29.9			28.8	28.2			27.2	24.5
77	Beijing	15.0	14.2			12.1	10.9			11.1	8.2
78	Kolkata	32.4	31.2			31.6	30.6			30.7	29.4
79	Bangkok	32.2	30.7			32.2	30.6			32.5	29.4
80	Dhaka	32.5	30.6			30.8	30.4			30.0	29.2
81	Karachi	33.6	32.5			32.6	31.5			32.2	30.9
82	Mexico_City	20.9	20.8			20.4	19.8			20.9	19.4
83	New_York	16.1	15.7			15.0	13.4			13.1	11.0
84	Los_Angeles	26.8	20.8			24.9	21.2			24.8	21.0
85	Chicago	13.9	12.7			12.3	10.8			10.7	7.9
86	Dallas	22.5	21.8			21.4	21.9			19.4	19.4
87	Houston	24.8	24.9			24.1	25.1			23.1	22.9
88	Toronto	12.8	11.2			10.9	8.6			9.7	6.1
89	Washington_DC	17.2	17.7			15.8	15.6			14.7	12.9
90	Philadelphia	16.8	17.1			15.6	14.6			14.1	11.9
91	Miami	27.6	25.9			26.7	25.5			26.2	25.4
92	Leon	27.3	27.0			27.2	26.7			26.7	26.6
93	Santa_Ana	29.6	28.5			29.9	28.5			30.4	29.1
94	San_José	24.3	23.1			23.6	22.8			23.8	22.9
95	Panama_City	29.5	26.6			29.5	27.3			29.6	28.0
96	San_Pedro_Sula	30.3	27.0			28.2	26.9			28.5	27.5
97	San_Salvador	30.3	29.0			30.5	28.8			30.8	29.3
98	Guatemala_City	27.3	25.1			27.0	24.9			26.9	25.5
99	Managua	29.0	27.9			28.9	27.6			28.7	28.0
100	Tegucigalpa	26.4	25.2			26.0	25.1			25.8	25.4
101	Port-au-Prince	29.6	28.4			28.8	28.2			28.6	28.1
102	San-Juan	28.6	27.8			28.3	27.5			27.9	27.2
103	Havana	28.8	27.6			28.0	27.3			27.9	27.5
104	Kingston	28.6	28.2			28.5	27.9			28.2	27.8
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.5	27.8			28.4	27.4			28.1	27.3
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.1	27.5			28.0	27.2			28.0	26.8
107	Port_of_Spain	28.7	28.2			28.5	28.2			28.4	28.1

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Last Update: Thu Oct 27 06:30:48 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.