Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221026Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 02Nov2022 - 08Nov2022				Week 3: 09Nov2022 - 15Nov2022				Week 4: 16Nov2022 - 22Nov2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	36.8	34.9			35.9	35.4			35.9	35.1
2	Niamey	38.0	36.5			37.4	36.6			37.2	36.3
3	Ouagadougou	37.9	36.2			37.8	36.1			37.9	36.0
4	Mopti	36.7	35.6			36.2	35.2			36.0	34.8
5	Bamako	36.4	35.1			36.3	34.7			36.2	34.7
6	Kayes	39.2	37.5			38.3	36.6			38.4	36.2
7	Tamba	40.4	37.8			39.8	37.2			39.6	37.0
8	Kedougou	38.2	35.0			38.4	35.3			39.1	35.5
9	Saraya	40.2	36.7			40.2	36.9			40.7	37.0
10	Dalafi	40.8	37.5			40.3	37.3			40.4	37.2
11	Goudiri	39.4	37.2			38.8	36.7			38.9	36.5
12	Naye	39.4	37.5			38.6	36.7			38.7	36.5
13	Bakel	39.1	37.4			38.1	36.2			38.1	36.0
14	Koupentoum	39.4	36.9			38.7	36.2			38.7	36.1
15	Mamari	39.4	37.3			38.3	36.1			38.2	35.9
16	Velingara	40.6	37.1			40.2	36.9			40.2	36.7
17	Matam	39.0	37.5			37.8	36.1			37.8	35.9
18	Haire_Lao	38.6	37.2			37.1	35.2			36.7	35.1
19	Podor	38.5	36.9			37.0	34.9			36.7	34.9
20	Richard_Toll	38.5	36.8			36.9	34.7			36.6	34.8
21	Linguere	38.8	37.0			37.7	35.4			37.4	35.3
22	Daraa	38.8	36.9			37.6	35.2			37.3	35.2
23	Louga	38.6	36.6			37.4	34.6			37.1	34.8
24	Touba	38.7	36.5			37.6	35.0			37.5	35.0
25	Diourbel	38.7	36.3			37.9	35.0			37.9	35.0
26	Bambey	38.4	36.2			37.5	34.8			37.5	34.9
27	Koungheul	39.2	36.7			38.4	35.9			38.6	35.8
28	Kaffrine	38.4	36.1			37.8	35.3			38.0	35.3
29	Kaolack	38.2	35.8			37.6	35.0			37.8	35.0
30	Fatick	38.4	36.2			37.5	34.8			37.5	34.9
31	Gossas	38.7	36.3			37.9	35.0			37.9	35.0
32	Freetown	32.8	31.6			32.7	31.6			32.9	31.7
33	Cairo	28.8	24.9			27.4	24.8			25.6	23.5
34	Alexandria	27.2	23.7			25.9	23.7			24.8	22.5
35	Giza	28.8	24.9			27.4	24.8			25.6	23.5
36	Luxor	31.6	27.3			30.7	28.0			28.2	26.9
37	Sirte	26.9	23.2			25.4	23.7			24.6	22.3
38	Tripoli	24.0	22.5			23.6	22.0			22.2	20.3
39	Benghazi	24.0	21.5			22.7	21.5			22.2	20.6
40	Mistratah	25.4	22.9			24.1	22.8			23.0	21.6
41	Tunis	22.9	23.9			23.3	21.7			21.4	20.0
42	Sfax	23.1	22.9			22.9	22.0			21.4	20.5
43	Sousse	23.7	24.0			23.3	22.2			22.2	20.6
44	Algiers	20.4	20.5			19.9	18.3			19.7	16.5
45	Oran	22.3	24.0			22.1	21.3			21.3	19.6
46	Constantine	19.7	21.8			19.4	18.6			18.9	16.9
47	Annaba	21.7	22.4			21.7	20.3			20.7	18.9
48	Casablanca	23.3	22.8			22.0	21.3			21.5	20.8
49	Rabat	21.6	20.5			20.3	19.2			19.8	18.7
50	Fes	22.1	23.9			21.0	21.3			19.8	20.1
51	Sale	19.0	20.5			17.4	17.7			16.4	16.2
52	Riyadh	30.9	31.7			29.2	29.5			27.5	27.4
53	Jeddah	30.5	28.8			30.0	28.4			29.3	27.0
54	Mecca	34.3	32.0			33.1	31.5			30.9	30.2
55	Medina	32.8	32.5			31.6	30.9			29.0	29.0
56	Sanaa	22.4	22.5			22.1	21.3			21.8	20.9
57	Al_Hudaydah	32.6	30.9			31.9	30.4			31.1	29.7
58	Aden	33.0	31.5			32.0	30.9			31.4	30.5
59	London	12.7	13.4			12.8	11.5			11.1	9.8
60	Paris	13.7	14.2			12.8	11.7			12.3	9.6
61	Istanbul	18.8	15.7			17.3	14.3			16.8	11.6
62	Moscow	5.4	6.1			4.2	3.4			1.8	1.1
63	Madrid	14.7	15.6			14.2	13.9			13.9	12.4
64	Rome	19.5	19.8			18.2	17.1			17.0	15.2
65	Frankfurt	12.9	12.8			11.5	9.9			10.4	7.7
66	Kyiv	11.6	11.0			8.3	7.6			8.0	4.7
67	Berlin	12.1	12.6			10.8	8.9			9.5	7.1
68	Bucharest	16.7	16.6			14.2	13.0			14.6	9.5
69	Tokyo	20.6	18.3			18.2	16.5			17.0	14.7
70	Jakarta	28.1	27.4			27.9	27.5			27.9	27.3
71	Delhi	31.8	30.9			30.1	29.0			28.9	28.3
72	Manila	30.1	29.5			30.0	29.5			30.2	28.6
73	Seoul	16.0	14.6			12.9	12.3			11.2	8.6
74	Mumbai	14.5	14.2			11.6	10.9			9.9	8.2
75	Shanghai	22.1	20.8			18.5	18.3			17.7	15.6
76	Guangzhou	29.3	29.9			28.6	28.2			26.4	24.5
77	Beijing	14.5	14.2			11.6	10.9			9.9	8.2
78	Kolkata	31.8	31.2			31.3	30.6			30.3	29.4
79	Bangkok	31.3	30.7			32.0	30.6			31.8	29.4
80	Dhaka	31.7	30.6			30.5	30.4			29.9	29.2
81	Karachi	33.4	32.5			32.3	31.5			31.6	30.9
82	Mexico_City	20.4	20.8			19.8	19.8			20.2	19.4
83	New_York	14.6	15.7			14.1	13.4			12.8	11.0
84	Los_Angeles	24.6	20.8			24.4	21.2			24.5	21.0
85	Chicago	12.2	12.7			11.5	10.8			10.0	7.9
86	Dallas	21.8	21.8			20.4	21.9			18.6	19.4
87	Houston	24.0	24.9			23.6	25.1			22.0	22.9
88	Toronto	11.8	11.2			10.1	8.6			9.1	6.1
89	Washington_DC	16.4	17.7			15.4	15.6			13.5	12.9
90	Philadelphia	15.5	17.1			14.8	14.6			13.3	11.9
91	Miami	27.1	25.9			26.0	25.5			26.1	25.4
92	Leon	27.2	27.0			27.0	26.7			26.6	26.6
93	Santa_Ana	29.2	28.5			29.4	28.5			30.1	29.1
94	San_José	24.0	23.1			23.3	22.8			23.4	22.9
95	Panama_City	29.3	26.6			28.8	27.3			29.2	28.0
96	San_Pedro_Sula	29.4	27.0			27.6	26.9			28.1	27.5
97	San_Salvador	30.1	29.0			30.4	28.8			30.4	29.3
98	Guatemala_City	26.9	25.1			26.7	24.9			26.7	25.5
99	Managua	28.8	27.9			28.8	27.6			28.5	28.0
100	Tegucigalpa	25.8	25.2			25.6	25.1			25.5	25.4
101	Port-au-Prince	28.2	28.4			28.2	28.2			27.8	28.1
102	San-Juan	28.5	27.8			28.1	27.5			27.7	27.2
103	Havana	28.2	27.6			27.6	27.3			27.4	27.5
104	Kingston	28.5	28.2			28.4	27.9			28.2	27.8
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.3	27.8			28.3	27.4			28.0	27.3
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.0	27.5			27.8	27.2			27.6	26.8
107	Port_of_Spain	28.6	28.2			28.3	28.2			28.3	28.1

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Last Update: Thu Oct 27 06:30:46 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.