Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221022Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 29Oct2022 - 04Nov2022				Week 3: 05Nov2022 - 11Nov2022				Week 4: 12Nov2022 - 18Nov2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.3	34.9			37.2	35.5			36.4	35.7
2	Niamey	38.5	36.6			38.1	37.0			37.8	36.7
3	Ouagadougou	38.2	36.3			38.0	36.5			38.1	36.1
4	Mopti	37.4	35.8			36.5	35.9			36.5	35.1
5	Bamako	36.6	35.0			36.5	35.3			36.5	34.8
6	Kayes	39.8	37.5			39.2	37.6			38.7	36.5
7	Tamba	41.0	37.9			40.4	38.1			39.9	37.4
8	Kedougou	38.2	34.8			38.6	35.3			39.2	35.1
9	Saraya	40.6	36.4			40.5	37.0			40.7	36.7
10	Dalafi	41.5	37.4			41.1	37.8			40.7	37.3
11	Goudiri	39.7	37.1			39.4	37.4			39.1	36.8
12	Naye	39.8	37.5			39.4	37.7			38.9	36.8
13	Bakel	39.6	37.5			39.0	37.5			38.3	36.4
14	Koupentoum	39.7	36.7			39.4	37.1			38.7	36.4
15	Mamari	39.9	37.4			39.2	37.4			38.6	36.4
16	Velingara	41.1	36.6			40.6	37.2			40.6	36.7
17	Matam	39.7	37.7			38.9	37.6			38.2	36.4
18	Haire_Lao	39.8	37.6			38.5	37.2			37.5	35.8
19	Podor	39.7	37.2			38.4	36.8			37.2	35.5
20	Richard_Toll	39.7	37.1			38.3	36.7			37.2	35.5
21	Linguere	39.8	37.2			38.8	37.1			37.9	36.0
22	Daraa	39.8	37.0			38.6	36.9			37.9	35.9
23	Louga	39.6	36.5			38.4	36.4			37.6	35.4
24	Touba	39.6	36.4			38.3	36.4			37.9	35.5
25	Diourbel	39.2	35.9			38.5	36.1			38.3	35.4
26	Bambey	39.1	35.8			38.1	35.9			38.0	35.2
27	Koungheul	39.6	36.4			39.1	36.8			38.6	36.2
28	Kaffrine	38.7	35.7			38.4	36.2			38.1	35.6
29	Kaolack	38.5	35.4			38.2	35.8			37.9	35.3
30	Fatick	39.1	35.8			38.1	35.9			38.0	35.2
31	Gossas	39.2	35.9			38.5	36.1			38.3	35.4
32	Freetown	32.3	31.6			33.1	31.5			33.0	31.7
33	Cairo	31.9	25.5			29.2	25.1			27.3	24.8
34	Alexandria	30.4	23.8			27.9	23.5			25.7	23.3
35	Giza	31.9	25.5			29.2	25.1			27.3	24.8
36	Luxor	34.2	28.1			32.5	28.1			30.7	28.5
37	Sirte	28.8	23.9			27.3	24.5			26.0	22.8
38	Tripoli	25.6	23.1			25.0	22.5			23.2	20.8
39	Benghazi	26.0	21.8			24.2	21.9			22.8	21.0
40	Mistratah	26.7	23.6			25.4	23.4			24.0	21.8
41	Tunis	25.3	25.0			22.8	23.1			23.1	20.6
42	Sfax	24.7	23.4			22.8	22.8			22.3	21.1
43	Sousse	25.5	24.9			22.9	23.3			23.3	21.1
44	Algiers	22.0	21.0			20.5	19.9			20.3	18.5
45	Oran	25.0	25.0			22.6	23.2			22.1	21.0
46	Constantine	22.8	23.3			20.2	20.6			20.1	18.1
47	Annaba	24.0	23.3			21.8	22.0			21.9	20.2
48	Casablanca	26.2	24.0			23.5	22.9			22.8	21.5
49	Rabat	23.7	21.4			21.7	20.7			21.1	19.6
50	Fes	24.9	25.1			22.9	22.9			22.2	20.7
51	Sale	21.0	21.5			19.3	19.0			18.1	16.8
52	Riyadh	32.1	32.2			30.6	29.9			29.9	28.0
53	Jeddah	30.8	29.3			30.5	28.3			29.9	27.7
54	Mecca	35.0	33.2			34.3	31.9			32.8	31.1
55	Medina	33.8	33.5			32.9	31.6			32.0	30.2
56	Sanaa	23.3	22.4			22.6	21.6			22.3	20.7
57	Al_Hudaydah	33.0	31.6			32.4	30.4			31.8	29.9
58	Aden	34.9	32.1			33.1	31.1			31.9	30.6
59	London	14.9	14.2			13.5	12.1			13.0	10.6
60	Paris	16.0	15.3			13.6	12.9			13.6	11.2
61	Istanbul	19.4	14.9			19.9	13.5			17.8	11.8
62	Moscow	6.4	6.1			6.0	3.3			4.7	1.3
63	Madrid	16.1	17.5			16.6	14.9			15.7	13.5
64	Rome	20.7	21.1			19.1	18.1			18.9	16.3
65	Frankfurt	14.3	14.3			12.4	10.9			12.2	8.9
66	Kyiv	12.8	10.5			11.4	7.7			10.4	4.9
67	Berlin	13.3	13.5			12.5	9.9			12.1	7.8
68	Bucharest	19.3	16.2			18.1	13.3			16.8	10.4
69	Tokyo	22.3	19.4			20.1	17.8			18.9	15.9
70	Jakarta	28.1	27.4			28.3	27.7			28.0	27.7
71	Delhi	32.8	32.3			31.4	30.3			29.8	29.0
72	Manila	30.3	29.9			30.5	29.7			30.5	29.1
73	Seoul	18.2	17.2			14.7	13.4			12.2	10.4
74	Mumbai	17.6	16.5			13.8	12.5			12.0	9.5
75	Shanghai	23.0	21.1			21.2	18.8			19.5	16.8
76	Guangzhou	30.4	29.1			29.9	27.9			28.8	25.9
77	Beijing	17.6	16.5			13.8	12.5			12.0	9.5
78	Kolkata	32.0	31.2			32.3	31.1			31.4	30.5
79	Bangkok	32.1	30.4			32.4	30.8			33.0	29.9
80	Dhaka	31.8	31.1			31.9	30.8			30.7	30.2
81	Karachi	34.9	33.4			32.8	31.9			32.3	30.9
82	Mexico_City	20.6	21.7			20.7	19.6			20.4	19.2
83	New_York	18.4	16.7			15.6	14.1			14.6	12.3
84	Los_Angeles	25.4	23.5			25.5	21.9			26.2	21.1
85	Chicago	15.5	14.0			13.2	12.1			11.6	8.7
86	Dallas	23.8	23.6			22.0	22.1			20.3	20.5
87	Houston	26.8	26.3			24.6	24.9			23.2	24.1
88	Toronto	13.2	11.4			11.7	9.8			10.3	5.9
89	Washington_DC	20.0	18.8			16.6	16.0			15.5	14.4
90	Philadelphia	19.7	18.2			16.2	15.2			15.5	13.4
91	Miami	27.6	26.4			27.2	25.5			26.2	25.0
92	Leon	27.5	27.2			27.3	26.9			27.0	26.6
93	Santa_Ana	29.4	28.9			30.0	28.6			29.7	28.9
94	San_José	24.4	23.5			24.2	22.7			23.1	22.5
95	Panama_City	29.5	27.4			29.4	27.0			29.7	27.8
96	San_Pedro_Sula	31.0	28.2			30.1	26.7			28.4	26.5
97	San_Salvador	29.9	29.2			30.5	28.9			30.5	29.0
98	Guatemala_City	27.5	25.7			27.2	24.9			26.7	25.0
99	Managua	28.9	28.3			29.0	27.9			28.9	27.7
100	Tegucigalpa	26.8	25.9			26.6	25.1			25.5	25.3
101	Port-au-Prince	29.7	28.9			29.5	28.0			28.5	28.2
102	San-Juan	28.5	27.7			28.5	27.5			28.1	27.3
103	Havana	29.0	28.0			28.6	27.0			27.8	26.9
104	Kingston	28.7	28.3			28.6	27.9			28.3	28.0
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.6	28.1			28.4	27.6			28.3	27.6
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.4	27.6			28.2	27.1			27.9	27.0
107	Port_of_Spain	28.7	28.9			28.7	28.8			28.5	28.7

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Last Update: Sun Oct 23 06:30:28 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.