Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221022Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 29Oct2022 - 04Nov2022				Week 3: 05Nov2022 - 11Nov2022				Week 4: 12Nov2022 - 18Nov2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.5	34.9			36.5	35.5			36.1	35.7
2	Niamey	38.5	36.6			37.7	37.0			37.6	36.7
3	Ouagadougou	38.2	36.3			37.8	36.5			37.8	36.1
4	Mopti	37.6	35.8			36.3	35.9			36.1	35.1
5	Bamako	37.2	35.0			36.2	35.3			36.2	34.8
6	Kayes	39.9	37.5			38.8	37.6			38.3	36.5
7	Tamba	41.5	37.9			40.2	38.1			39.6	37.4
8	Kedougou	38.1	34.8			38.4	35.3			38.6	35.1
9	Saraya	40.7	36.4			40.2	37.0			40.4	36.7
10	Dalafi	42.1	37.4			40.7	37.8			40.2	37.3
11	Goudiri	40.1	37.1			39.3	37.4			38.7	36.8
12	Naye	39.9	37.5			39.1	37.7			38.6	36.8
13	Bakel	39.6	37.5			38.7	37.5			38.1	36.4
14	Koupentoum	40.0	36.7			39.1	37.1			38.6	36.4
15	Mamari	39.8	37.4			38.8	37.4			38.2	36.4
16	Velingara	42.1	36.6			40.4	37.2			40.1	36.7
17	Matam	39.5	37.7			38.5	37.6			37.8	36.4
18	Haire_Lao	39.6	37.6			37.9	37.2			37.1	35.8
19	Podor	39.4	37.2			37.8	36.8			36.8	35.5
20	Richard_Toll	39.4	37.1			37.8	36.7			36.9	35.5
21	Linguere	39.8	37.2			38.3	37.1			37.5	36.0
22	Daraa	39.8	37.0			38.2	36.9			37.4	35.9
23	Louga	39.5	36.5			38.0	36.4			37.2	35.4
24	Touba	39.5	36.4			38.1	36.4			37.6	35.5
25	Diourbel	39.6	35.9			38.2	36.1			37.9	35.4
26	Bambey	39.3	35.8			37.9	35.9			37.6	35.2
27	Koungheul	39.9	36.4			38.9	36.8			38.4	36.2
28	Kaffrine	38.8	35.7			38.1	36.2			37.8	35.6
29	Kaolack	38.8	35.4			37.8	35.8			37.6	35.3
30	Fatick	39.3	35.8			37.9	35.9			37.6	35.2
31	Gossas	39.6	35.9			38.2	36.1			37.9	35.4
32	Freetown	32.8	31.6			32.9	31.5			32.7	31.7
33	Cairo	30.6	25.5			28.6	25.1			26.2	24.8
34	Alexandria	29.3	23.8			26.9	23.5			25.5	23.3
35	Giza	30.6	25.5			28.6	25.1			26.2	24.8
36	Luxor	33.3	28.1			32.0	28.1			29.5	28.5
37	Sirte	31.0	23.9			26.3	24.5			24.9	22.8
38	Tripoli	25.9	23.1			23.4	22.5			23.0	20.8
39	Benghazi	27.2	21.8			23.9	21.9			22.7	21.0
40	Mistratah	27.0	23.6			24.7	23.4			23.4	21.8
41	Tunis	26.3	25.0			21.8	23.1			22.5	20.6
42	Sfax	24.8	23.4			22.5	22.8			22.1	21.1
43	Sousse	26.7	24.9			22.6	23.3			22.7	21.1
44	Algiers	22.1	21.0			20.1	19.9			19.8	18.5
45	Oran	24.9	25.0			22.0	23.2			21.2	21.0
46	Constantine	23.9	23.3			19.3	20.6			19.2	18.1
47	Annaba	24.8	23.3			21.4	22.0			21.6	20.2
48	Casablanca	27.9	24.0			22.6	22.9			22.0	21.5
49	Rabat	24.2	21.4			20.6	20.7			20.2	19.6
50	Fes	26.6	25.1			21.6	22.9			21.5	20.7
51	Sale	21.6	21.5			18.3	19.0			17.7	16.8
52	Riyadh	32.9	32.2			30.3	29.9			28.1	28.0
53	Jeddah	31.0	29.3			30.3	28.3			29.6	27.7
54	Mecca	35.5	33.2			34.0	31.9			32.2	31.1
55	Medina	34.2	33.5			32.5	31.6			30.5	30.2
56	Sanaa	23.1	22.4			22.5	21.6			21.8	20.7
57	Al_Hudaydah	33.2	31.6			32.3	30.4			31.5	29.9
58	Aden	34.4	32.1			32.6	31.1			31.8	30.6
59	London	15.9	14.2			12.8	12.1			12.3	10.6
60	Paris	17.0	15.3			13.0	12.9			11.8	11.2
61	Istanbul	19.6	14.9			19.5	13.5			17.0	11.8
62	Moscow	7.1	6.1			4.2	3.3			4.0	1.3
63	Madrid	20.5	17.5			14.6	14.9			13.6	13.5
64	Rome	21.2	21.1			18.8	18.1			17.8	16.3
65	Frankfurt	15.3	14.3			11.4	10.9			10.2	8.9
66	Kyiv	14.2	10.5			10.1	7.7			8.0	4.9
67	Berlin	14.1	13.5			11.3	9.9			9.5	7.8
68	Bucharest	19.5	16.2			16.1	13.3			15.9	10.4
69	Tokyo	21.5	19.4			19.8	17.8			17.8	15.9
70	Jakarta	28.0	27.4			28.0	27.7			27.8	27.7
71	Delhi	33.2	32.3			31.1	30.3			29.6	29.0
72	Manila	30.4	29.9			29.9	29.7			30.2	29.1
73	Seoul	19.4	17.2			14.4	13.4			11.9	10.4
74	Mumbai	18.9	16.5			13.3	12.5			10.7	9.5
75	Shanghai	22.2	21.1			20.9	18.8			18.1	16.8
76	Guangzhou	31.5	29.1			28.8	27.9			28.0	25.9
77	Beijing	18.9	16.5			13.3	12.5			10.7	9.5
78	Kolkata	31.4	31.2			31.5	31.1			30.7	30.5
79	Bangkok	31.5	30.4			31.9	30.8			32.2	29.9
80	Dhaka	32.0	31.1			31.4	30.8			30.4	30.2
81	Karachi	34.5	33.4			32.6	31.9			32.0	30.9
82	Mexico_City	21.5	21.7			20.6	19.6			20.1	19.2
83	New_York	19.5	16.7			15.0	14.1			14.3	12.3
84	Los_Angeles	26.4	23.5			23.9	21.9			24.5	21.1
85	Chicago	15.7	14.0			12.2	12.1			11.0	8.7
86	Dallas	24.8	23.6			21.1	22.1			19.5	20.5
87	Houston	27.4	26.3			22.9	24.9			22.7	24.1
88	Toronto	14.1	11.4			11.2	9.8			9.9	5.9
89	Washington_DC	21.4	18.8			15.8	16.0			14.6	14.4
90	Philadelphia	20.8	18.2			15.4	15.2			14.9	13.4
91	Miami	27.7	26.4			26.9	25.5			25.9	25.0
92	Leon	27.6	27.2			27.1	26.9			26.8	26.6
93	Santa_Ana	29.6	28.9			29.4	28.6			29.5	28.9
94	San_José	24.5	23.5			23.9	22.7			22.7	22.5
95	Panama_City	29.6	27.4			29.1	27.0			29.2	27.8
96	San_Pedro_Sula	30.5	28.2			28.7	26.7			27.5	26.5
97	San_Salvador	29.9	29.2			30.4	28.9			30.4	29.0
98	Guatemala_City	27.1	25.7			26.9	24.9			26.3	25.0
99	Managua	28.8	28.3			28.9	27.9			28.6	27.7
100	Tegucigalpa	26.3	25.9			25.7	25.1			25.4	25.3
101	Port-au-Prince	29.1	28.9			28.3	28.0			27.9	28.2
102	San-Juan	28.8	27.7			28.4	27.5			27.9	27.3
103	Havana	29.2	28.0			28.1	27.0			27.6	26.9
104	Kingston	28.7	28.3			28.5	27.9			28.3	28.0
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.7	28.1			28.2	27.6			28.1	27.6
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.4	27.6			28.0	27.1			27.7	27.0
107	Port_of_Spain	28.7	28.9			28.5	28.8			28.3	28.7

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Last Update: Sun Oct 23 06:30:26 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.