Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221022Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Oct-24-2022Oct-25-2022Oct-26-2022Oct-27-2022Oct-28-2022
NO Stations 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 38.1 36.2 35.3 35.3 35.4 35.4
2 Niamey 39.2 38.1 37.5 36.7 36.9 36.9
3 Ouagadougou 38.6 37.0 36.8 36.5 36.5 36.3
4 Mopti 38.2 37.9 37.6 36.6 36.3 36.1
5 Bamako 36.9 35.9 36.2 35.8 35.3 34.9
6 Kayes 40.5 38.7 39.3 38.8 38.0 37.3
7 Tamba 41.8 38.5 39.1 38.6 38.2 37.6
8 Kedougou 37.9 34.8 35.5 34.6 33.7 33.5
9 Saraya 41.1 36.1 36.8 36.0 35.2 35.2
10 Dalafi 42.0 37.6 38.4 37.3 36.6 36.6
11 Goudiri 40.2 38.1 38.2 37.5 36.9 36.6
12 Naye 40.1 38.7 38.9 38.5 37.8 37.3
13 Bakel 40.0 38.9 39.0 39.0 38.2 37.5
14 Koupentoum 40.0 37.9 38.1 37.4 37.0 36.3
15 Mamari 40.4 38.9 39.0 39.0 38.4 37.4
16 Velingara 41.8 36.7 37.4 36.8 36.4 36.2
17 Matam 40.0 39.2 39.4 39.5 38.8 37.9
18 Haire_Lao 39.9 39.4 39.7 40.0 39.6 38.6
19 Podor 39.7 38.9 39.5 39.6 39.2 38.3
20 Richard_Toll 39.8 38.9 39.6 39.7 39.1 37.8
21 Linguere 39.9 38.9 39.4 39.3 38.5 37.3
22 Daraa 39.9 38.8 39.5 39.3 38.4 37.2
23 Louga 39.7 38.3 39.2 38.9 37.8 36.3
24 Touba 39.6 38.2 39.0 38.5 37.6 36.3
25 Diourbel 39.4 37.5 38.3 37.5 36.7 35.7
26 Bambey 39.1 37.3 38.4 37.6 36.6 35.5
27 Koungheul 39.6 37.6 37.9 37.0 36.5 35.8
28 Kaffrine 38.7 36.9 37.4 36.5 36.0 35.2
29 Kaolack 38.6 36.5 37.2 36.5 35.9 35.1
30 Fatick 39.1 37.3 38.4 37.6 36.6 35.5
31 Gossas 39.4 37.5 38.3 37.5 36.7 35.7
32 Freetown 32.2 32.2 32.0 31.0 30.9 30.7
33 Cairo 31.2 28.9 28.8 28.1 27.4 27.0
34 Alexandria 28.9 26.7 26.2 25.8 25.4 25.5
35 Giza 31.2 28.9 28.8 28.1 27.4 27.0
36 Luxor 35.3 28.7 30.3 30.5 29.8 29.2
37 Sirte 32.8 26.0 25.3 24.9 24.6 23.7
38 Tripoli 27.0 25.7 24.9 24.2 23.8 23.4
39 Benghazi 26.4 23.9 23.6 23.8 23.2 22.2
40 Mistratah 29.3 25.9 25.1 24.5 24.1 23.7
41 Tunis 27.6 29.6 29.6 29.3 28.4 28.0
42 Sfax 25.3 26.6 25.7 24.7 24.2 23.7
43 Sousse 27.5 29.0 28.3 28.3 27.1 26.7
44 Algiers 24.4 25.5 25.7 25.4 24.6 23.8
45 Oran 29.1 32.2 32.6 32.0 30.8 28.9
46 Constantine 26.1 29.1 29.2 28.9 28.1 27.0
47 Annaba 26.8 27.4 27.8 27.5 26.6 26.2
48 Casablanca 28.3 31.3 30.1 28.3 26.8 25.0
49 Rabat 25.0 26.5 26.0 24.2 23.5 22.3
50 Fes 28.4 32.1 31.9 30.5 28.9 27.1
51 Sale 24.6 27.5 27.4 26.4 25.4 24.2
52 Riyadh 34.0 32.9 33.0 32.9 33.2 33.0
53 Jeddah 31.8 29.9 30.2 30.1 29.7 29.7
54 Mecca 36.2 33.0 34.0 33.3 33.0 33.7
55 Medina 35.1 33.8 34.0 35.2 34.7 34.7
56 Sanaa 23.4 22.9 22.8 22.6 22.4 22.0
57 Al_Hudaydah 34.0 32.0 31.4 31.4 32.2 32.4
58 Aden 35.1 31.9 31.7 31.7 32.4 31.9
59 London 16.5 18.5 18.5 18.9 17.6 16.3
60 Paris 17.5 21.4 22.3 22.8 20.8 18.6
61 Istanbul 19.6 20.2 19.2 18.1 16.7 16.2
62 Moscow 8.3 5.9 7.9 8.1 8.8 9.3
63 Madrid 21.8 23.6 24.4 23.1 21.8 20.1
64 Rome 23.3 25.6 26.0 25.3 25.0 24.0
65 Frankfurt 16.8 19.5 20.2 20.3 19.1 18.2
66 Kyiv 14.2 15.2 14.9 13.7 13.9 14.3
67 Berlin 16.0 17.9 18.6 20.1 19.2 17.9
68 Bucharest 20.2 22.1 22.3 20.6 19.7 18.8
69 Tokyo 22.2 17.6 18.3 19.4 19.4 19.6
70 Jakarta 28.0 26.9 26.6 26.6 26.6 26.9
71 Delhi 34.0 33.5 33.2 32.8 32.9 32.9
72 Manila 30.4 29.0 29.8 29.5 29.6 29.9
73 Seoul 19.4 16.8 18.1 18.5 18.8 18.3
74 Mumbai 18.6 20.1 18.3 16.0 16.1 17.8
75 Shanghai 22.9 20.7 20.5 20.2 20.2 20.6
76 Guangzhou 31.5 29.3 30.7 31.1 30.4 29.9
77 Beijing 18.6 20.1 18.3 16.0 16.1 17.8
78 Kolkata 32.0 31.0 31.3 31.2 31.4 31.8
79 Bangkok 31.8 31.6 30.7 30.6 30.3 29.8
80 Dhaka 32.2 30.0 30.5 31.2 32.2 32.6
81 Karachi 35.5 33.0 33.1 32.2 32.4 33.6
82 Mexico_City 21.6 23.7 22.6 23.1 24.0 22.9
83 New_York 18.4 20.3 19.8 19.2 16.5 16.3
84 Los_Angeles 28.4 22.8 21.6 21.3 21.5 21.4
85 Chicago 15.8 15.3 13.1 14.1 15.0 13.6
86 Dallas 26.2 19.9 21.5 23.7 24.1 22.6
87 Houston 27.5 24.7 25.3 26.9 27.5 26.1
88 Toronto 13.6 15.8 14.0 11.6 12.1 12.6
89 Washington_DC 19.6 23.0 22.8 20.4 18.5 18.6
90 Philadelphia 19.2 22.9 22.3 20.4 18.1 18.0
91 Miami 28.2 27.0 26.9 27.0 27.0 26.8
92 Leon 27.7 28.0 28.0 27.6 27.3 27.3
93 Santa_Ana 29.3 28.7 29.0 28.8 29.1 29.0
94 San_José 24.2 24.8 25.1 25.2 24.6 24.3
95 Panama_City 29.3 27.5 28.1 28.3 28.0 27.8
96 San_Pedro_Sula 31.8 32.4 31.1 30.5 29.9 29.2
97 San_Salvador 30.0 28.5 28.9 28.9 28.9 29.1
98 Guatemala_City 28.0 27.4 27.4 27.1 26.9 26.1
99 Managua 29.0 28.6 28.9 28.7 28.5 28.6
100 Tegucigalpa 26.3 27.9 27.8 27.2 27.2 26.5
101 Port-au-Prince 29.6 27.7 28.6 28.8 29.0 29.1
102 San-Juan 29.3 27.2 27.7 27.9 27.8 27.6
103 Havana 29.3 28.5 28.2 28.2 28.4 28.1
104 Kingston 29.0 27.9 28.1 28.2 28.3 28.3
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.8 27.4 27.7 28.0 28.2 28.2
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.6 26.3 26.9 27.5 27.7 27.8
107 Port_of_Spain 28.9 29.0 28.9 28.9 29.0 28.9



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Last Update: Sun Oct 23 06:30:25 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.