Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221022Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

			Oct-24-2022			Oct-25-2022			Oct-26-2022			Oct-27-2022			Oct-28-2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.6	36.2			35.3			35.3			35.4			35.4
2	Niamey	38.9	38.1			37.5			36.7			36.9			36.9
3	Ouagadougou	38.4	37.0			36.8			36.5			36.5			36.3
4	Mopti	38.0	37.9			37.6			36.6			36.3			36.1
5	Bamako	36.7	35.9			36.2			35.8			35.3			34.9
6	Kayes	39.9	38.7			39.3			38.8			38.0			37.3
7	Tamba	41.4	38.5			39.1			38.6			38.2			37.6
8	Kedougou	37.4	34.8			35.5			34.6			33.7			33.5
9	Saraya	40.2	36.1			36.8			36.0			35.2			35.2
10	Dalafi	41.6	37.6			38.4			37.3			36.6			36.6
11	Goudiri	39.7	38.1			38.2			37.5			36.9			36.6
12	Naye	39.7	38.7			38.9			38.5			37.8			37.3
13	Bakel	39.7	38.9			39.0			39.0			38.2			37.5
14	Koupentoum	39.7	37.9			38.1			37.4			37.0			36.3
15	Mamari	39.9	38.9			39.0			39.0			38.4			37.4
16	Velingara	40.9	36.7			37.4			36.8			36.4			36.2
17	Matam	39.8	39.2			39.4			39.5			38.8			37.9
18	Haire_Lao	39.5	39.4			39.7			40.0			39.6			38.6
19	Podor	39.4	38.9			39.5			39.6			39.2			38.3
20	Richard_Toll	39.4	38.9			39.6			39.7			39.1			37.8
21	Linguere	39.4	38.9			39.4			39.3			38.5			37.3
22	Daraa	39.6	38.8			39.5			39.3			38.4			37.2
23	Louga	39.3	38.3			39.2			38.9			37.8			36.3
24	Touba	39.2	38.2			39.0			38.5			37.6			36.3
25	Diourbel	39.1	37.5			38.3			37.5			36.7			35.7
26	Bambey	38.8	37.3			38.4			37.6			36.6			35.5
27	Koungheul	39.3	37.6			37.9			37.0			36.5			35.8
28	Kaffrine	38.4	36.9			37.4			36.5			36.0			35.2
29	Kaolack	38.2	36.5			37.2			36.5			35.9			35.1
30	Fatick	38.8	37.3			38.4			37.6			36.6			35.5
31	Gossas	39.1	37.5			38.3			37.5			36.7			35.7
32	Freetown	32.0	32.2			32.0			31.0			30.9			30.7
33	Cairo	30.2	28.9			28.8			28.1			27.4			27.0
34	Alexandria	28.2	26.7			26.2			25.8			25.4			25.5
35	Giza	30.2	28.9			28.8			28.1			27.4			27.0
36	Luxor	33.6	28.7			30.3			30.5			29.8			29.2
37	Sirte	29.7	26.0			25.3			24.9			24.6			23.7
38	Tripoli	26.5	25.7			24.9			24.2			23.8			23.4
39	Benghazi	25.3	23.9			23.6			23.8			23.2			22.2
40	Mistratah	27.7	25.9			25.1			24.5			24.1			23.7
41	Tunis	27.2	29.6			29.6			29.3			28.4			28.0
42	Sfax	24.8	26.6			25.7			24.7			24.2			23.7
43	Sousse	27.1	29.0			28.3			28.3			27.1			26.7
44	Algiers	23.3	25.5			25.7			25.4			24.6			23.8
45	Oran	28.2	32.2			32.6			32.0			30.8			28.9
46	Constantine	24.5	29.1			29.2			28.9			28.1			27.0
47	Annaba	25.5	27.4			27.8			27.5			26.6			26.2
48	Casablanca	27.6	31.3			30.1			28.3			26.8			25.0
49	Rabat	24.4	26.5			26.0			24.2			23.5			22.3
50	Fes	27.7	32.1			31.9			30.5			28.9			27.1
51	Sale	23.7	27.5			27.4			26.4			25.4			24.2
52	Riyadh	33.3	32.9			33.0			32.9			33.2			33.0
53	Jeddah	31.6	29.9			30.2			30.1			29.7			29.7
54	Mecca	35.9	33.0			34.0			33.3			33.0			33.7
55	Medina	34.8	33.8			34.0			35.2			34.7			34.7
56	Sanaa	23.1	22.9			22.8			22.6			22.4			22.0
57	Al_Hudaydah	33.7	32.0			31.4			31.4			32.2			32.4
58	Aden	34.0	31.9			31.7			31.7			32.4			31.9
59	London	15.9	18.5			18.5			18.9			17.6			16.3
60	Paris	16.6	21.4			22.3			22.8			20.8			18.6
61	Istanbul	18.6	20.2			19.2			18.1			16.7			16.2
62	Moscow	7.7	5.9			7.9			8.1			8.8			9.3
63	Madrid	21.2	23.6			24.4			23.1			21.8			20.1
64	Rome	22.6	25.6			26.0			25.3			25.0			24.0
65	Frankfurt	15.2	19.5			20.2			20.3			19.1			18.2
66	Kyiv	12.6	15.2			14.9			13.7			13.9			14.3
67	Berlin	14.4	17.9			18.6			20.1			19.2			17.9
68	Bucharest	18.9	22.1			22.3			20.6			19.7			18.8
69	Tokyo	21.7	17.6			18.3			19.4			19.4			19.6
70	Jakarta	27.7	26.9			26.6			26.6			26.6			26.9
71	Delhi	33.4	33.5			33.2			32.8			32.9			32.9
72	Manila	30.1	29.0			29.8			29.5			29.6			29.9
73	Seoul	18.5	16.8			18.1			18.5			18.8			18.3
74	Mumbai	18.4	20.1			18.3			16.0			16.1			17.8
75	Shanghai	22.5	20.7			20.5			20.2			20.2			20.6
76	Guangzhou	31.2	29.3			30.7			31.1			30.4			29.9
77	Beijing	18.4	20.1			18.3			16.0			16.1			17.8
78	Kolkata	31.7	31.0			31.3			31.2			31.4			31.8
79	Bangkok	31.6	31.6			30.7			30.6			30.3			29.8
80	Dhaka	32.0	30.0			30.5			31.2			32.2			32.6
81	Karachi	35.0	33.0			33.1			32.2			32.4			33.6
82	Mexico_City	21.2	23.7			22.6			23.1			24.0			22.9
83	New_York	17.7	20.3			19.8			19.2			16.5			16.3
84	Los_Angeles	27.4	22.8			21.6			21.3			21.5			21.4
85	Chicago	14.1	15.3			13.1			14.1			15.0			13.6
86	Dallas	24.0	19.9			21.5			23.7			24.1			22.6
87	Houston	26.4	24.7			25.3			26.9			27.5			26.1
88	Toronto	13.2	15.8			14.0			11.6			12.1			12.6
89	Washington_DC	18.4	23.0			22.8			20.4			18.5			18.6
90	Philadelphia	18.3	22.9			22.3			20.4			18.1			18.0
91	Miami	27.7	27.0			26.9			27.0			27.0			26.8
92	Leon	27.6	28.0			28.0			27.6			27.3			27.3
93	Santa_Ana	29.0	28.7			29.0			28.8			29.1			29.0
94	San_José	23.9	24.8			25.1			25.2			24.6			24.3
95	Panama_City	29.0	27.5			28.1			28.3			28.0			27.8
96	San_Pedro_Sula	30.4	32.4			31.1			30.5			29.9			29.2
97	San_Salvador	29.7	28.5			28.9			28.9			28.9			29.1
98	Guatemala_City	27.2	27.4			27.4			27.1			26.9			26.1
99	Managua	28.8	28.6			28.9			28.7			28.5			28.6
100	Tegucigalpa	26.1	27.9			27.8			27.2			27.2			26.5
101	Port-au-Prince	28.8	27.7			28.6			28.8			29.0			29.1
102	San-Juan	29.0	27.2			27.7			27.9			27.8			27.6
103	Havana	29.0	28.5			28.2			28.2			28.4			28.1
104	Kingston	28.9	27.9			28.1			28.2			28.3			28.3
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.6	27.4			27.7			28.0			28.2			28.2
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.5	26.3			26.9			27.5			27.7			27.8
107	Port_of_Spain	28.8	29.0			28.9			28.9			29.0			28.9

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Last Update: Sun Oct 23 06:30:24 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.