Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221017Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 24Oct2022 - 30Oct2022				Week 3: 31Oct2022 - 06Nov2022				Week 4: 07Nov2022 - 13Nov2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.9	36.4			37.1	35.7			37.2	35.8
2	Niamey	38.9	37.8			38.4	37.1			38.1	37.0
3	Ouagadougou	38.4	36.9			38.1	36.5			38.1	36.3
4	Mopti	38.0	37.4			37.3	36.4			36.5	35.9
5	Bamako	36.8	35.5			36.4	35.3			36.5	35.1
6	Kayes	40.0	39.0			39.5	38.2			38.7	37.6
7	Tamba	41.5	38.9			40.8	38.8			40.2	38.1
8	Kedougou	38.1	34.8			38.4	35.3			38.7	35.7
9	Saraya	40.7	36.7			40.5	37.1			40.6	37.4
10	Dalafi	42.2	37.6			41.1	38.0			40.9	37.9
11	Goudiri	39.8	37.7			39.6	37.6			39.2	37.2
12	Naye	39.9	38.4			39.7	38.0			39.0	37.4
13	Bakel	39.8	38.8			39.4	38.1			38.6	37.2
14	Koupentoum	39.9	37.4			39.7	37.2			39.2	36.8
15	Mamari	40.0	38.9			39.6	38.2			38.8	37.1
16	Velingara	41.6	36.7			40.9	37.2			40.4	37.2
17	Matam	40.0	39.4			39.5	38.4			38.4	37.2
18	Haire_Lao	39.7	39.6			39.5	38.2			38.1	36.5
19	Podor	39.5	39.4			39.5	38.0			37.9	36.3
20	Richard_Toll	39.7	39.3			39.5	37.9			38.0	36.2
21	Linguere	39.9	38.9			39.3	37.9			38.4	36.5
22	Daraa	40.0	38.9			39.3	37.9			38.3	36.4
23	Louga	39.8	38.4			39.0	37.2			38.1	35.9
24	Touba	39.6	38.0			39.0	37.0			38.1	35.9
25	Diourbel	39.3	37.3			39.1	36.7			38.3	35.8
26	Bambey	39.2	37.3			38.9	36.6			37.8	35.7
27	Koungheul	39.6	37.0			39.6	36.9			38.9	36.5
28	Kaffrine	38.8	36.5			38.8	36.3			38.3	35.9
29	Kaolack	38.6	36.4			38.5	36.0			37.9	35.6
30	Fatick	39.2	37.3			38.9	36.6			37.8	35.7
31	Gossas	39.3	37.3			39.1	36.7			38.3	35.8
32	Freetown	32.2	31.1			32.7	31.4			32.9	31.5
33	Cairo	30.8	27.8			30.8	26.1			29.5	26.0
34	Alexandria	28.9	25.2			29.5	24.3			28.0	23.8
35	Giza	30.8	27.8			30.8	26.1			29.5	26.0
36	Luxor	33.6	30.3			33.4	29.5			32.4	29.1
37	Sirte	34.0	25.8			29.5	26.0			26.5	25.2
38	Tripoli	27.8	24.2			25.3	23.3			24.8	21.6
39	Benghazi	27.4	23.2			25.0	22.8			23.6	21.9
40	Mistratah	29.7	25.0			26.7	24.4			24.3	23.6
41	Tunis	26.8	26.3			24.3	23.5			24.3	21.8
42	Sfax	25.6	24.2			24.3	23.4			23.2	21.7
43	Sousse	26.8	26.2			25.5	24.1			23.9	22.3
44	Algiers	23.1	21.6			21.9	20.0			20.3	18.4
45	Oran	28.2	27.4			24.5	23.6			23.2	20.7
46	Constantine	24.6	25.2			21.8	21.1			20.1	19.1
47	Annaba	25.8	24.3			23.2	22.1			22.4	20.6
48	Casablanca	28.6	26.2			24.6	23.2			23.9	21.0
49	Rabat	25.4	23.0			22.4	20.9			21.8	19.5
50	Fes	28.4	27.7			24.3	23.6			22.8	20.3
51	Sale	23.9	24.2			20.6	20.0			19.3	16.9
52	Riyadh	33.3	32.7			32.2	31.1			30.4	29.3
53	Jeddah	31.4	29.5			30.8	28.7			30.3	27.8
54	Mecca	35.9	34.2			34.7	33.2			33.8	31.9
55	Medina	35.0	34.4			33.5	33.0			32.7	31.1
56	Sanaa	23.3	22.2			23.0	21.5			22.7	20.6
57	Al_Hudaydah	33.5	32.3			32.9	31.3			32.2	30.2
58	Aden	35.5	33.1			34.0	32.1			33.0	30.9
59	London	16.5	15.8			14.3	12.8			13.5	10.5
60	Paris	17.6	17.0			15.0	13.4			13.6	10.5
61	Istanbul	20.1	16.4			19.6	14.2			20.7	12.3
62	Moscow	8.4	4.4			6.5	3.2			5.8	1.9
63	Madrid	22.1	19.4			16.1	16.1			15.9	12.2
64	Rome	22.7	21.9			20.8	18.8			19.0	16.5
65	Frankfurt	16.0	15.2			13.8	11.8			12.7	8.8
66	Kyiv	14.3	9.6			12.9	7.9			10.2	6.1
67	Berlin	14.7	13.8			13.2	10.8			12.2	7.8
68	Bucharest	20.7	16.8			18.7	13.5			17.6	11.7
69	Tokyo	22.2	20.1			21.9	18.7			19.7	17.4
70	Jakarta	27.8	27.5			28.1	27.8			28.4	27.8
71	Delhi	33.3	32.5			32.4	31.8			31.0	30.3
72	Manila	30.3	30.0			30.5	29.6			30.4	29.1
73	Seoul	19.1	17.5			16.7	15.9			13.8	12.5
74	Mumbai	18.6	16.8			16.2	15.0			12.9	11.4
75	Shanghai	23.4	21.1			23.2	20.5			19.8	18.2
76	Guangzhou	31.5	29.9			30.2	28.4			29.9	26.9
77	Beijing	18.6	16.8			16.2	15.0			12.9	11.4
78	Kolkata	31.5	30.3			32.1	30.2			32.1	29.6
79	Bangkok	31.8	30.4			31.8	30.1			32.4	29.9
80	Dhaka	32.1	31.0			32.0	30.4			31.2	30.3
81	Karachi	35.4	34.3			33.9	32.9			32.7	31.7
82	Mexico_City	21.4	20.7			21.2	19.5			20.2	19.7
83	New_York	17.2	18.4			18.2	14.0			15.7	12.7
84	Los_Angeles	27.2	24.1			26.3	23.5			24.8	22.3
85	Chicago	14.2	14.2			15.5	10.7			12.7	9.3
86	Dallas	26.0	23.4			22.7	22.2			22.1	21.1
87	Houston	27.2	26.4			26.0	25.0			24.8	24.3
88	Toronto	12.9	13.3			13.3	8.1			11.4	7.1
89	Washington_DC	18.9	20.4			19.8	15.9			17.1	14.8
90	Philadelphia	18.0	20.2			19.5	15.1			16.4	14.0
91	Miami	28.0	27.5			27.7	26.0			26.9	25.5
92	Leon	27.8	27.5			27.4	26.7			27.2	26.6
93	Santa_Ana	29.3	28.3			29.5	27.9			29.8	28.2
94	San_José	24.0	23.1			24.4	22.5			23.8	22.5
95	Panama_City	29.1	26.5			29.5	26.9			29.3	27.1
96	San_Pedro_Sula	31.2	29.2			30.2	27.4			29.4	27.2
97	San_Salvador	29.8	28.7			30.1	28.5			30.5	28.6
98	Guatemala_City	27.8	25.9			27.3	24.7			27.7	24.9
99	Managua	28.8	28.0			29.0	27.7			29.0	27.6
100	Tegucigalpa	26.2	26.0			26.6	24.8			26.1	24.7
101	Port-au-Prince	29.5	28.8			29.7	28.7			29.1	28.0
102	San-Juan	29.2	28.0			28.5	27.8			28.5	27.3
103	Havana	29.3	29.1			28.8	27.7			28.6	27.6
104	Kingston	28.9	28.3			28.7	28.1			28.5	27.9
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.8	27.8			28.5	27.7			28.4	27.3
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.6	27.7			28.4	27.4			28.1	26.8
107	Port_of_Spain	28.7	28.5			28.7	28.4			28.7	28.0

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Last Update: Tue Oct 18 06:30:53 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.