Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221017Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 24Oct2022 - 30Oct2022				Week 3: 31Oct2022 - 06Nov2022				Week 4: 07Nov2022 - 13Nov2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.6	36.4			36.9	35.7			36.2	35.8
2	Niamey	38.8	37.8			38.2	37.1			37.4	37.0
3	Ouagadougou	38.2	36.9			37.9	36.5			37.8	36.3
4	Mopti	37.8	37.4			37.0	36.4			36.1	35.9
5	Bamako	36.5	35.5			36.2	35.3			36.2	35.1
6	Kayes	39.8	39.0			39.3	38.2			38.2	37.6
7	Tamba	41.2	38.9			40.4	38.8			39.9	38.1
8	Kedougou	37.3	34.8			38.0	35.3			38.2	35.7
9	Saraya	40.2	36.7			40.3	37.1			40.1	37.4
10	Dalafi	41.5	37.6			40.8	38.0			40.4	37.9
11	Goudiri	39.6	37.7			39.4	37.6			39.0	37.2
12	Naye	39.7	38.4			39.5	38.0			38.7	37.4
13	Bakel	39.6	38.8			39.2	38.1			38.4	37.2
14	Koupentoum	39.6	37.4			39.4	37.2			39.0	36.8
15	Mamari	39.9	38.9			39.4	38.2			38.6	37.1
16	Velingara	41.0	36.7			40.6	37.2			40.1	37.2
17	Matam	39.7	39.4			39.1	38.4			38.1	37.2
18	Haire_Lao	39.4	39.6			39.0	38.2			37.4	36.5
19	Podor	39.2	39.4			38.8	38.0			37.4	36.3
20	Richard_Toll	39.2	39.3			38.8	37.9			37.3	36.2
21	Linguere	39.5	38.9			39.0	37.9			38.0	36.5
22	Daraa	39.6	38.9			39.0	37.9			37.9	36.4
23	Louga	39.3	38.4			38.8	37.2			37.7	35.9
24	Touba	39.3	38.0			38.7	37.0			37.9	35.9
25	Diourbel	39.1	37.3			38.6	36.7			38.0	35.8
26	Bambey	38.7	37.3			38.5	36.6			37.6	35.7
27	Koungheul	39.2	37.0			39.2	36.9			38.7	36.5
28	Kaffrine	38.4	36.5			38.5	36.3			38.0	35.9
29	Kaolack	38.3	36.4			38.2	36.0			37.7	35.6
30	Fatick	38.7	37.3			38.5	36.6			37.6	35.7
31	Gossas	39.1	37.3			38.6	36.7			38.0	35.8
32	Freetown	32.1	31.1			32.4	31.4			32.8	31.5
33	Cairo	29.7	27.8			29.5	26.1			28.2	26.0
34	Alexandria	27.7	25.2			27.5	24.3			26.5	23.8
35	Giza	29.7	27.8			29.5	26.1			28.2	26.0
36	Luxor	32.9	30.3			32.6	29.5			31.5	29.1
37	Sirte	30.6	25.8			27.3	26.0			25.5	25.2
38	Tripoli	26.6	24.2			24.4	23.3			23.4	21.6
39	Benghazi	25.8	23.2			24.7	22.8			23.1	21.9
40	Mistratah	27.9	25.0			26.2	24.4			23.9	23.6
41	Tunis	26.6	26.3			23.7	23.5			22.8	21.8
42	Sfax	24.8	24.2			23.3	23.4			22.8	21.7
43	Sousse	26.3	26.2			24.4	24.1			23.5	22.3
44	Algiers	22.4	21.6			21.3	20.0			20.1	18.4
45	Oran	27.7	27.4			24.0	23.6			22.9	20.7
46	Constantine	24.7	25.2			20.8	21.1			19.5	19.1
47	Annaba	23.9	24.3			22.3	22.1			22.0	20.6
48	Casablanca	27.8	26.2			23.8	23.2			22.5	21.0
49	Rabat	24.7	23.0			21.9	20.9			20.6	19.5
50	Fes	27.5	27.7			22.9	23.6			22.0	20.3
51	Sale	23.3	24.2			19.9	20.0			18.5	16.9
52	Riyadh	33.0	32.7			31.0	31.1			29.7	29.3
53	Jeddah	31.3	29.5			30.5	28.7			30.0	27.8
54	Mecca	35.7	34.2			34.6	33.2			33.5	31.9
55	Medina	34.6	34.4			33.2	33.0			32.3	31.1
56	Sanaa	23.0	22.2			22.8	21.5			22.4	20.6
57	Al_Hudaydah	33.5	32.3			32.7	31.3			32.1	30.2
58	Aden	33.8	33.1			33.3	32.1			32.5	30.9
59	London	16.1	15.8			13.1	12.8			12.8	10.5
60	Paris	16.8	17.0			13.8	13.4			13.2	10.5
61	Istanbul	18.9	16.4			18.7	14.2			17.9	12.3
62	Moscow	6.1	4.4			5.8	3.2			4.1	1.9
63	Madrid	21.8	19.4			15.2	16.1			14.2	12.2
64	Rome	22.2	21.9			20.0	18.8			18.8	16.5
65	Frankfurt	14.9	15.2			13.3	11.8			11.8	8.8
66	Kyiv	13.1	9.6			11.6	7.9			9.3	6.1
67	Berlin	14.2	13.8			12.9	10.8			11.2	7.8
68	Bucharest	17.7	16.8			18.1	13.5			14.9	11.7
69	Tokyo	21.9	20.1			21.0	18.7			19.3	17.4
70	Jakarta	27.7	27.5			28.0	27.8			27.9	27.8
71	Delhi	33.3	32.5			32.1	31.8			30.7	30.3
72	Manila	30.2	30.0			30.2	29.6			29.8	29.1
73	Seoul	17.9	17.5			16.1	15.9			13.4	12.5
74	Mumbai	18.2	16.8			15.8	15.0			12.6	11.4
75	Shanghai	22.0	21.1			22.3	20.5			19.2	18.2
76	Guangzhou	30.8	29.9			29.4	28.4			28.9	26.9
77	Beijing	18.2	16.8			15.8	15.0			12.6	11.4
78	Kolkata	31.4	30.3			31.5	30.2			31.3	29.6
79	Bangkok	31.5	30.4			31.3	30.1			32.0	29.9
80	Dhaka	31.7	31.0			31.7	30.4			30.8	30.3
81	Karachi	35.1	34.3			33.6	32.9			32.4	31.7
82	Mexico_City	21.1	20.7			20.6	19.5			19.9	19.7
83	New_York	16.9	18.4			16.6	14.0			15.3	12.7
84	Los_Angeles	25.6	24.1			25.7	23.5			23.9	22.3
85	Chicago	13.6	14.2			13.8	10.7			11.9	9.3
86	Dallas	23.3	23.4			22.0	22.2			20.9	21.1
87	Houston	26.0	26.4			25.7	25.0			23.1	24.3
88	Toronto	13.0	13.3			12.0	8.1			10.9	7.1
89	Washington_DC	18.6	20.4			18.5	15.9			15.6	14.8
90	Philadelphia	17.5	20.2			17.4	15.1			15.9	14.0
91	Miami	27.7	27.5			27.0	26.0			26.5	25.5
92	Leon	27.4	27.5			27.2	26.7			27.1	26.6
93	Santa_Ana	29.2	28.3			29.3	27.9			29.5	28.2
94	San_José	23.9	23.1			24.1	22.5			23.6	22.5
95	Panama_City	28.7	26.5			29.1	26.9			29.0	27.1
96	San_Pedro_Sula	29.8	29.2			28.9	27.4			28.8	27.2
97	San_Salvador	29.6	28.7			29.9	28.5			30.4	28.6
98	Guatemala_City	27.1	25.9			26.8	24.7			27.2	24.9
99	Managua	28.7	28.0			28.7	27.7			28.8	27.6
100	Tegucigalpa	26.0	26.0			25.8	24.8			25.9	24.7
101	Port-au-Prince	29.0	28.8			28.3	28.7			28.0	28.0
102	San-Juan	28.8	28.0			28.3	27.8			28.1	27.3
103	Havana	29.2	29.1			28.4	27.7			27.8	27.6
104	Kingston	28.8	28.3			28.5	28.1			28.4	27.9
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.6	27.8			28.4	27.7			28.3	27.3
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.4	27.7			28.0	27.4			28.0	26.8
107	Port_of_Spain	28.7	28.5			28.6	28.4			28.4	28.0

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Last Update: Tue Oct 18 06:30:51 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.