Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221017Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Oct-19-2022Oct-20-2022Oct-21-2022Oct-22-2022Oct-23-2022
NO Stations 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 38.7 36.2 35.5 35.6 36.4 37.3
2 Niamey 39.7 37.6 37.2 37.2 37.5 38.3
3 Ouagadougou 39.1 36.2 36.1 36.0 36.6 37.2
4 Mopti 38.8 37.1 36.8 36.6 36.4 37.1
5 Bamako 36.9 34.8 34.6 34.5 34.6 35.0
6 Kayes 40.6 38.4 38.1 38.0 37.9 38.1
7 Tamba 42.0 37.5 37.7 37.5 37.8 37.8
8 Kedougou 37.0 33.1 33.8 33.4 33.3 33.8
9 Saraya 40.3 35.0 35.4 35.2 35.2 35.3
10 Dalafi 41.8 35.7 36.1 36.0 36.0 36.6
11 Goudiri 40.4 36.6 36.6 36.4 36.6 36.8
12 Naye 40.4 37.7 37.7 37.5 37.6 37.6
13 Bakel 40.5 38.2 38.3 38.1 38.2 37.9
14 Koupentoum 40.7 35.4 35.6 35.4 35.9 36.2
15 Mamari 40.9 37.8 38.2 37.7 38.2 37.9
16 Velingara 40.9 35.0 35.4 35.2 35.4 35.7
17 Matam 40.7 38.7 39.1 38.8 38.7 38.4
18 Haire_Lao 40.6 39.2 39.5 39.4 39.0 38.8
19 Podor 40.5 39.2 39.4 39.2 38.8 38.7
20 Richard_Toll 40.5 38.8 39.2 39.1 38.6 38.4
21 Linguere 40.7 37.7 38.3 37.9 37.9 37.9
22 Daraa 40.9 37.5 38.2 37.8 37.7 37.9
23 Louga 40.6 36.2 37.3 36.8 37.0 37.1
24 Touba 40.6 36.2 36.9 36.6 36.7 36.9
25 Diourbel 40.1 35.6 36.0 35.9 36.2 36.3
26 Bambey 39.9 35.2 36.0 35.8 36.1 36.2
27 Koungheul 40.2 34.8 35.0 35.1 35.6 35.8
28 Kaffrine 39.0 34.5 34.8 34.8 35.2 35.4
29 Kaolack 38.9 34.4 34.8 34.9 35.3 35.2
30 Fatick 39.9 35.2 36.0 35.8 36.1 36.2
31 Gossas 40.1 35.6 36.0 35.9 36.2 36.3
32 Freetown 32.3 30.8 30.9 31.4 30.5 30.7
33 Cairo 33.0 27.6 27.1 26.8 26.6 27.5
34 Alexandria 30.4 25.5 24.6 24.6 24.9 25.2
35 Giza 33.0 27.6 27.1 26.8 26.6 27.5
36 Luxor 37.7 31.4 30.6 30.1 29.0 29.1
37 Sirte 31.8 25.0 24.9 25.8 26.6 26.6
38 Tripoli 27.4 23.9 24.3 25.0 25.3 25.3
39 Benghazi 26.3 23.6 23.2 23.2 23.7 23.9
40 Mistratah 28.9 24.3 24.7 25.6 26.4 26.3
41 Tunis 29.5 30.0 31.5 32.3 31.0 29.6
42 Sfax 26.8 24.2 24.8 25.8 26.1 25.6
43 Sousse 29.8 28.2 29.8 31.1 30.4 29.4
44 Algiers 25.0 25.0 25.9 26.2 25.0 23.8
45 Oran 29.4 32.3 33.8 31.9 29.4 29.4
46 Constantine 27.9 30.4 30.8 30.1 28.3 27.9
47 Annaba 27.6 28.5 29.1 29.9 28.2 26.7
48 Casablanca 26.1 29.1 30.2 28.2 25.9 26.4
49 Rabat 23.2 24.3 25.5 24.6 23.1 23.1
50 Fes 28.2 31.3 31.7 29.7 27.7 28.3
51 Sale 25.2 27.7 27.6 26.1 24.8 25.2
52 Riyadh 34.4 34.1 34.1 33.9 33.8 33.4
53 Jeddah 32.3 30.4 30.3 30.1 29.8 29.7
54 Mecca 37.2 35.8 35.8 35.3 34.2 33.8
55 Medina 35.9 36.3 35.7 35.5 34.9 34.6
56 Sanaa 23.4 22.7 22.7 22.5 22.6 22.8
57 Al_Hudaydah 34.5 33.3 33.0 32.3 31.8 32.2
58 Aden 34.9 32.6 32.3 32.0 32.2 32.9
59 London 16.3 17.7 17.3 16.1 15.2 15.4
60 Paris 18.7 20.0 18.6 18.2 17.5 18.2
61 Istanbul 21.4 15.6 16.3 17.4 19.3 19.7
62 Moscow 9.0 5.1 6.4 6.8 7.6 6.2
63 Madrid 19.9 18.3 21.0 21.0 18.8 18.7
64 Rome 24.6 22.9 23.2 24.7 24.2 23.9
65 Frankfurt 17.5 18.0 17.5 16.6 16.0 15.3
66 Kyiv 13.9 8.8 11.0 12.7 13.7 12.0
67 Berlin 17.1 13.7 16.5 15.5 13.4 13.4
68 Bucharest 20.1 14.5 16.2 20.5 22.6 21.7
69 Tokyo 23.0 21.6 22.7 23.1 20.0 19.3
70 Jakarta 27.8 26.9 26.9 27.6 27.4 27.5
71 Delhi 35.5 32.9 32.4 32.3 32.3 32.4
72 Manila 30.3 29.3 30.2 30.5 30.3 30.3
73 Seoul 22.0 19.0 19.9 17.9 17.7 19.0
74 Mumbai 20.3 22.0 20.9 20.5 20.5 21.3
75 Shanghai 25.0 23.7 24.7 22.4 21.0 21.8
76 Guangzhou 31.9 30.9 32.3 31.6 30.5 30.2
77 Beijing 20.3 22.0 20.9 20.5 20.5 21.3
78 Kolkata 33.2 31.6 31.9 30.7 29.7 30.1
79 Bangkok 32.3 30.4 30.9 31.0 30.4 30.5
80 Dhaka 33.0 33.3 33.8 32.5 30.6 30.5
81 Karachi 35.7 35.0 35.4 35.0 34.6 34.5
82 Mexico_City 22.3 19.6 20.5 20.9 21.9 22.6
83 New_York 21.0 15.7 18.5 19.8 20.3 20.3
84 Los_Angeles 29.9 29.3 24.9 20.7 21.7 23.4
85 Chicago 16.7 14.3 18.1 20.8 21.8 20.5
86 Dallas 27.2 26.1 28.0 27.9 27.0 27.5
87 Houston 28.7 26.7 28.0 27.9 28.7 29.2
88 Toronto 15.0 10.6 13.8 14.9 16.1 17.5
89 Washington_DC 23.0 16.7 19.8 22.4 22.9 23.0
90 Philadelphia 22.7 16.0 19.2 21.9 22.7 22.9
91 Miami 28.4 24.9 26.2 27.2 27.7 27.9
92 Leon 28.0 27.9 27.6 27.5 27.5 27.7
93 Santa_Ana 29.0 29.7 28.9 28.9 28.6 28.2
94 San_José 24.5 24.3 23.8 24.0 23.6 23.1
95 Panama_City 29.6 27.5 27.1 26.6 26.6 26.3
96 San_Pedro_Sula 31.0 26.4 26.0 29.1 30.8 31.1
97 San_Salvador 30.1 29.5 29.1 29.2 29.1 28.8
98 Guatemala_City 27.3 25.9 24.7 25.7 26.7 27.0
99 Managua 29.1 29.1 29.0 28.8 28.8 28.7
100 Tegucigalpa 26.4 26.1 25.7 26.0 27.0 27.4
101 Port-au-Prince 29.4 30.3 30.3 30.3 30.2 30.0
102 San-Juan 29.5 28.2 28.2 28.2 28.2 28.0
103 Havana 29.3 25.8 27.9 29.0 29.7 29.9
104 Kingston 29.2 28.4 28.5 28.4 28.4 28.4
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.8 28.0 28.1 28.0 28.0 28.0
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.9 28.0 27.9 27.9 28.0 27.8
107 Port_of_Spain 29.0 28.4 28.4 28.5 28.5 28.5



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Last Update: Tue Oct 18 06:30:48 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.