Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221015Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Oct-17-2022Oct-18-2022Oct-19-2022Oct-20-2022Oct-21-2022
NO Stations 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 38.6 36.6 36.5 36.8 36.6 36.3
2 Niamey 39.5 37.9 37.5 38.0 37.9 37.7
3 Ouagadougou 38.8 36.8 36.2 36.4 36.4 36.8
4 Mopti 38.4 37.9 37.2 36.7 36.8 37.2
5 Bamako 36.4 35.3 34.5 34.1 34.2 35.3
6 Kayes 40.3 39.0 37.9 37.2 37.4 38.1
7 Tamba 41.4 37.6 36.3 36.2 36.8 37.3
8 Kedougou 36.3 32.1 32.3 32.9 32.8 32.9
9 Saraya 38.9 33.6 33.3 33.9 34.4 34.8
10 Dalafi 40.6 35.8 34.7 35.3 35.7 36.2
11 Goudiri 39.7 37.1 36.0 35.6 35.8 36.7
12 Naye 40.1 38.6 37.6 36.8 36.9 37.7
13 Bakel 40.3 39.1 38.0 37.2 37.3 38.1
14 Koupentoum 39.9 36.6 35.7 35.0 35.0 36.1
15 Mamari 40.7 38.6 37.8 36.8 37.0 37.6
16 Velingara 39.7 35.9 34.8 35.0 35.6 35.6
17 Matam 40.4 39.6 38.6 37.7 37.8 38.3
18 Haire_Lao 40.6 40.2 39.9 39.1 38.5 38.6
19 Podor 40.4 39.9 39.6 38.8 38.1 38.3
20 Richard_Toll 40.3 39.9 39.5 38.6 38.1 38.2
21 Linguere 40.5 39.2 38.9 37.7 37.4 38.0
22 Daraa 40.7 38.7 38.5 37.0 37.0 37.5
23 Louga 40.4 37.3 37.0 35.8 35.9 36.4
24 Touba 40.2 37.3 36.9 35.6 35.6 36.3
25 Diourbel 39.7 36.6 36.0 35.0 35.0 35.7
26 Bambey 39.5 36.2 35.6 34.6 34.9 35.5
27 Koungheul 39.5 35.9 35.1 34.4 34.6 35.6
28 Kaffrine 38.6 35.5 34.9 34.1 34.1 34.9
29 Kaolack 38.6 35.4 34.7 34.0 34.1 34.8
30 Fatick 39.5 36.2 35.6 34.6 34.9 35.5
31 Gossas 39.7 36.6 36.0 35.0 35.0 35.7
32 Freetown 32.0 29.9 30.2 31.1 31.3 30.7
33 Cairo 33.4 28.5 28.3 27.8 26.6 26.5
34 Alexandria 31.1 26.2 25.9 25.6 24.6 24.6
35 Giza 33.4 28.5 28.3 27.8 26.6 26.5
36 Luxor 36.3 32.1 32.5 31.8 30.5 29.2
37 Sirte 30.7 24.0 24.6 24.8 25.1 26.3
38 Tripoli 27.1 23.8 23.8 24.1 24.3 24.9
39 Benghazi 26.4 22.7 22.9 23.1 23.2 23.2
40 Mistratah 28.1 23.8 24.2 24.3 24.7 25.6
41 Tunis 28.4 28.1 28.0 29.7 30.8 30.6
42 Sfax 25.9 24.1 24.4 24.5 25.2 25.8
43 Sousse 28.6 27.3 27.1 27.5 29.3 30.0
44 Algiers 24.3 26.1 25.7 25.8 25.1 24.4
45 Oran 27.6 34.2 33.6 33.0 32.3 31.1
46 Constantine 27.2 30.5 30.3 30.0 29.7 28.8
47 Annaba 27.1 27.1 27.5 28.6 28.4 27.8
48 Casablanca 25.9 26.4 27.5 29.0 29.7 29.3
49 Rabat 22.9 22.9 23.3 24.4 25.4 25.4
50 Fes 26.6 30.0 30.2 30.7 31.3 30.3
51 Sale 23.7 28.3 27.5 27.2 27.5 26.4
52 Riyadh 34.6 34.0 34.1 33.9 33.8 33.7
53 Jeddah 31.7 29.9 30.0 30.2 30.2 30.0
54 Mecca 37.4 34.6 36.0 36.1 35.6 34.7
55 Medina 36.1 35.5 35.7 36.0 35.4 34.2
56 Sanaa 23.3 21.8 22.4 22.8 23.0 22.8
57 Al_Hudaydah 34.4 33.3 33.5 33.4 33.2 32.3
58 Aden 34.6 34.1 34.3 34.2 32.9 32.5
59 London 16.1 15.1 16.4 17.4 17.1 14.4
60 Paris 17.9 20.8 20.2 19.8 19.2 16.9
61 Istanbul 21.0 17.7 18.3 16.5 15.9 17.0
62 Moscow 9.2 10.4 5.7 4.2 4.9 5.3
63 Madrid 19.3 24.4 21.8 21.2 21.7 21.0
64 Rome 23.4 24.5 24.6 24.0 23.8 23.8
65 Frankfurt 17.2 17.2 16.5 17.1 17.6 15.9
66 Kyiv 13.2 16.0 11.5 7.9 8.9 10.5
67 Berlin 16.4 13.5 11.8 14.0 16.2 15.4
68 Bucharest 19.9 20.6 18.4 14.6 15.7 17.3
69 Tokyo 23.3 18.0 19.8 21.4 22.1 21.4
70 Jakarta 27.3 27.2 27.1 27.2 27.4 27.7
71 Delhi 35.1 33.6 32.6 32.3 32.1 32.0
72 Manila 30.1 31.0 30.3 30.2 30.0 30.2
73 Seoul 21.3 15.9 18.6 19.0 19.9 18.5
74 Mumbai 20.5 20.1 18.7 21.2 21.9 19.9
75 Shanghai 24.5 19.4 20.9 23.2 23.6 23.1
76 Guangzhou 31.3 23.3 26.7 30.0 32.0 31.4
77 Beijing 20.5 20.1 18.7 21.2 21.9 19.9
78 Kolkata 32.8 31.5 31.3 31.2 30.6 30.1
79 Bangkok 31.9 29.0 29.6 30.3 30.4 30.0
80 Dhaka 32.9 32.5 32.3 32.6 32.5 31.3
81 Karachi 35.8 33.7 33.5 34.7 35.4 35.3
82 Mexico_City 21.8 20.6 17.6 19.8 20.7 21.1
83 New_York 18.3 12.7 13.4 16.1 17.5 18.4
84 Los_Angeles 27.7 29.3 30.0 26.8 24.5 23.5
85 Chicago 15.9 7.4 10.2 12.1 15.2 17.5
86 Dallas 25.4 16.7 22.4 25.3 26.5 27.2
87 Houston 27.5 20.8 23.8 26.9 28.2 28.2
88 Toronto 13.6 8.5 8.9 10.9 12.0 13.3
89 Washington_DC 20.5 12.2 14.0 17.0 18.8 20.0
90 Philadelphia 19.6 12.5 13.4 16.5 18.5 19.9
91 Miami 28.2 28.6 24.9 25.3 26.1 26.8
92 Leon 27.8 27.9 27.6 27.6 27.4 27.2
93 Santa_Ana 29.0 28.6 29.1 29.2 29.1 29.0
94 San_José 24.0 24.5 24.6 23.9 23.3 23.3
95 Panama_City 29.5 27.4 27.4 27.0 27.2 27.8
96 San_Pedro_Sula 31.4 32.0 30.1 27.7 28.4 30.1
97 San_Salvador 29.7 28.5 29.0 29.2 29.0 29.1
98 Guatemala_City 27.1 26.6 26.1 25.6 25.5 26.1
99 Managua 28.7 28.5 28.8 28.8 28.6 28.5
100 Tegucigalpa 26.2 27.3 27.0 26.3 26.1 26.3
101 Port-au-Prince 28.7 29.5 30.1 30.2 30.3 30.6
102 San-Juan 29.2 28.5 28.4 28.3 28.3 28.2
103 Havana 29.1 29.3 27.3 26.7 27.7 28.7
104 Kingston 28.9 28.4 28.3 28.4 28.4 28.5
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.7 27.9 28.0 27.9 28.1 28.1
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.7 27.9 28.0 27.9 27.9 27.9
107 Port_of_Spain 28.8 28.5 28.4 28.4 28.5 28.4



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Last Update: Sun Oct 16 06:30:24 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.