Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221012Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 19Oct2022 - 25Oct2022				Week 3: 26Oct2022 - 01Nov2022				Week 4: 02Nov2022 - 08Nov2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	38.5	37.1			37.8	36.9			37.1	36.6
2	Niamey	39.4	38.3			39.1	38.1			38.2	37.6
3	Ouagadougou	38.8	36.9			38.5	37.0			38.0	36.8
4	Mopti	38.6	37.4			37.9	37.3			37.1	36.7
5	Bamako	36.9	35.4			36.8	35.9			36.6	36.0
6	Kayes	40.6	38.5			39.8	38.4			39.7	38.3
7	Tamba	41.9	38.1			41.3	38.5			40.7	38.6
8	Kedougou	37.4	34.0			37.9	34.7			38.7	35.7
9	Saraya	40.6	35.5			40.5	36.3			40.7	37.4
10	Dalafi	41.9	36.8			41.8	37.5			41.1	38.1
11	Goudiri	40.2	37.2			39.6	37.6			39.6	37.8
12	Naye	40.3	37.9			39.6	38.1			39.8	38.1
13	Bakel	40.1	38.3			39.5	38.2			39.4	37.9
14	Koupentoum	40.2	36.7			39.9	37.0			39.6	37.3
15	Mamari	40.6	38.1			39.8	38.0			39.7	37.7
16	Velingara	40.9	36.5			41.7	36.9			41.1	37.7
17	Matam	40.2	38.8			39.6	38.6			39.3	38.1
18	Haire_Lao	40.4	39.0			39.7	38.4			39.3	37.7
19	Podor	40.3	38.9			39.7	38.2			39.3	37.4
20	Richard_Toll	40.3	38.8			39.7	38.1			39.4	37.3
21	Linguere	40.5	38.2			39.8	37.9			39.2	37.5
22	Daraa	40.6	38.1			40.0	37.8			39.3	37.4
23	Louga	40.4	37.4			39.9	37.1			39.0	36.8
24	Touba	40.3	37.0			39.7	36.7			38.8	36.7
25	Diourbel	39.9	36.3			39.3	36.3			38.9	36.4
26	Bambey	39.6	36.2			39.1	36.1			38.6	36.3
27	Koungheul	39.8	36.2			39.6	36.6			39.4	37.0
28	Kaffrine	38.9	35.5			38.7	35.9			38.7	36.3
29	Kaolack	38.8	35.3			38.5	35.6			38.5	36.0
30	Fatick	39.6	36.2			39.1	36.1			38.6	36.3
31	Gossas	39.9	36.3			39.3	36.3			38.9	36.4
32	Freetown	32.4	31.2			32.1	31.2			33.0	31.8
33	Cairo	32.1	27.8			31.2	27.9			29.3	27.1
34	Alexandria	29.6	25.6			29.8	25.4			27.7	25.0
35	Giza	32.1	27.8			31.2	27.9			29.3	27.1
36	Luxor	37.0	30.9			33.9	30.9			32.4	30.1
37	Sirte	30.9	26.3			33.1	26.8			28.1	24.9
38	Tripoli	27.5	24.3			27.3	24.1			25.1	22.0
39	Benghazi	26.0	23.3			27.6	23.1			24.9	22.2
40	Mistratah	28.8	25.4			28.4	25.1			26.0	23.3
41	Tunis	29.7	27.3			26.2	24.4			24.1	21.5
42	Sfax	26.3	24.6			25.0	23.8			24.0	21.8
43	Sousse	29.2	27.1			26.0	24.8			25.0	21.8
44	Algiers	25.1	22.7			22.2	20.5			21.7	18.8
45	Oran	30.1	28.5			27.4	24.6			23.5	22.0
46	Constantine	28.3	26.1			22.8	22.5			20.3	19.0
47	Annaba	28.2	25.4			23.9	23.0			22.6	20.7
48	Casablanca	26.8	26.5			28.4	23.7			24.2	22.4
49	Rabat	23.6	23.3			24.9	21.0			21.9	20.1
50	Fes	27.7	27.9			27.1	24.2			22.8	22.4
51	Sale	24.6	24.7			23.5	20.9			19.5	18.9
52	Riyadh	34.2	33.6			32.8	31.8			31.4	30.6
53	Jeddah	32.5	29.7			31.1	29.2			30.7	28.5
54	Mecca	37.1	35.2			35.2	33.6			34.8	32.8
55	Medina	35.6	35.2			34.6	33.3			33.4	32.5
56	Sanaa	23.7	22.6			23.3	21.8			22.8	21.2
57	Al_Hudaydah	34.3	32.6			33.3	31.7			32.7	30.4
58	Aden	35.0	33.0			35.3	32.3			33.2	31.1
59	London	16.7	14.6			15.9	13.0			13.6	11.8
60	Paris	19.1	16.4			16.7	13.8			14.1	12.3
61	Istanbul	20.2	17.6			20.3	15.3			20.3	12.8
62	Moscow	9.1	6.1			8.3	4.4			7.1	3.5
63	Madrid	19.2	19.4			20.5	16.6			15.3	14.7
64	Rome	24.6	22.3			21.5	19.5			19.8	17.1
65	Frankfurt	17.7	14.8			14.8	11.9			13.6	10.3
66	Kyiv	14.8	12.0			14.3	9.6			13.8	7.8
67	Berlin	17.3	13.4			13.8	10.9			12.8	9.5
68	Bucharest	20.7	19.2			21.2	15.9			19.7	12.6
69	Tokyo	22.5	20.6			21.9	19.5			21.0	18.1
70	Jakarta	27.9	27.3			27.9	27.4			28.3	27.5
71	Delhi	34.8	32.8			33.4	32.2			32.2	30.9
72	Manila	30.4	30.4			30.3	29.9			30.4	29.6
73	Seoul	20.2	17.7			18.1	16.0			17.1	13.0
74	Mumbai	20.7	19.1			17.7	16.6			15.0	13.1
75	Shanghai	24.4	21.9			22.8	20.5			23.2	18.9
76	Guangzhou	31.9	29.5			30.6	28.3			30.1	26.8
77	Beijing	20.7	19.1			17.7	16.6			15.0	13.1
78	Kolkata	32.8	29.7			31.4	30.5			32.4	29.5
79	Bangkok	32.1	30.2			31.8	30.5			32.2	29.9
80	Dhaka	32.7	30.5			31.9	31.0			32.5	29.6
81	Karachi	35.1	33.6			35.3	33.0			33.6	32.4
82	Mexico_City	22.3	21.3			21.1	19.9			20.9	19.9
83	New_York	19.8	16.8			17.7	15.6			16.1	14.1
84	Los_Angeles	30.5	23.5			25.6	25.1			26.8	23.0
85	Chicago	16.4	14.9			14.3	12.8			13.9	11.1
86	Dallas	26.0	24.8			24.7	24.0			22.5	22.6
87	Houston	28.5	27.3			26.4	26.5			24.8	25.6
88	Toronto	15.0	12.0			12.5	10.8			12.8	7.3
89	Washington_DC	21.5	18.7			20.1	17.7			17.2	16.6
90	Philadelphia	21.3	18.1			19.0	16.9			16.8	15.7
91	Miami	28.2	27.4			27.9	26.5			27.6	25.9
92	Leon	27.9	27.4			27.9	26.9			27.3	26.7
93	Santa_Ana	29.3	28.3			29.4	28.4			29.6	28.2
94	San_José	24.1	23.3			24.4	23.2			24.3	23.1
95	Panama_City	29.7	27.6			29.4	27.7			29.5	27.4
96	San_Pedro_Sula	31.1	29.6			30.7	28.1			30.3	28.2
97	San_Salvador	29.9	28.6			29.8	28.7			30.3	28.6
98	Guatemala_City	27.6	25.7			27.6	25.2			27.3	25.2
99	Managua	28.9	28.1			28.9	27.9			29.0	27.6
100	Tegucigalpa	26.4	25.9			26.6	25.4			26.4	25.4
101	Port-au-Prince	29.7	29.8			29.6	29.2			29.6	28.5
102	San-Juan	29.3	28.2			28.8	28.0			28.6	27.6
103	Havana	29.1	28.9			29.3	28.0			28.8	27.7
104	Kingston	29.1	28.6			28.9	28.4			28.6	28.0
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.8	28.2			28.7	27.9			28.5	27.5
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.8	27.9			28.6	27.5			28.1	27.1
107	Port_of_Spain	28.9	28.4			28.7	28.3			28.7	28.2

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Last Update: Thu Oct 13 06:30:34 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.