Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221012Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 19Oct2022 - 25Oct2022				Week 3: 26Oct2022 - 01Nov2022				Week 4: 02Nov2022 - 08Nov2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	38.0	37.1			37.7	36.9			36.8	36.6
2	Niamey	39.1	38.3			38.8	38.1			38.0	37.6
3	Ouagadougou	38.6	36.9			38.2	37.0			37.9	36.8
4	Mopti	38.3	37.4			37.9	37.3			36.7	36.7
5	Bamako	36.6	35.4			36.6	35.9			36.4	36.0
6	Kayes	40.0	38.5			39.6	38.4			39.2	38.3
7	Tamba	41.4	38.1			41.5	38.5			40.4	38.6
8	Kedougou	36.8	34.0			37.5	34.7			38.2	35.7
9	Saraya	39.9	35.5			40.3	36.3			40.2	37.4
10	Dalafi	41.3	36.8			41.6	37.5			40.8	38.1
11	Goudiri	39.7	37.2			39.6	37.6			39.4	37.8
12	Naye	39.9	37.9			39.5	38.1			39.4	38.1
13	Bakel	39.8	38.3			39.4	38.2			39.1	37.9
14	Koupentoum	39.9	36.7			39.7	37.0			39.4	37.3
15	Mamari	40.3	38.1			39.8	38.0			39.4	37.7
16	Velingara	40.3	36.5			41.3	36.9			40.6	37.7
17	Matam	40.0	38.8			39.6	38.6			39.0	38.1
18	Haire_Lao	40.2	39.0			39.7	38.4			38.6	37.7
19	Podor	40.1	38.9			39.5	38.2			38.5	37.4
20	Richard_Toll	40.2	38.8			39.7	38.1			38.5	37.3
21	Linguere	40.2	38.2			39.8	37.9			38.8	37.5
22	Daraa	40.3	38.1			39.8	37.8			38.8	37.4
23	Louga	40.1	37.4			39.8	37.1			38.6	36.8
24	Touba	39.8	37.0			39.6	36.7			38.7	36.7
25	Diourbel	39.6	36.3			39.2	36.3			38.7	36.4
26	Bambey	39.2	36.2			38.8	36.1			38.4	36.3
27	Koungheul	39.5	36.2			39.4	36.6			39.2	37.0
28	Kaffrine	38.6	35.5			38.6	35.9			38.4	36.3
29	Kaolack	38.6	35.3			38.6	35.6			38.2	36.0
30	Fatick	39.2	36.2			38.8	36.1			38.4	36.3
31	Gossas	39.6	36.3			39.2	36.3			38.7	36.4
32	Freetown	32.1	31.2			32.1	31.2			32.8	31.8
33	Cairo	31.4	27.8			29.4	27.9			28.8	27.1
34	Alexandria	28.9	25.6			28.0	25.4			27.2	25.0
35	Giza	31.4	27.8			29.4	27.9			28.8	27.1
36	Luxor	35.7	30.9			32.7	30.9			31.6	30.1
37	Sirte	29.7	26.3			30.9	26.8			26.9	24.9
38	Tripoli	26.7	24.3			26.4	24.1			24.0	22.0
39	Benghazi	25.2	23.3			26.9	23.1			24.0	22.2
40	Mistratah	27.5	25.4			27.2	25.1			25.4	23.3
41	Tunis	28.0	27.3			25.7	24.4			22.9	21.5
42	Sfax	26.1	24.6			24.5	23.8			23.1	21.8
43	Sousse	27.5	27.1			26.8	24.8			23.7	21.8
44	Algiers	23.1	22.7			21.8	20.5			20.4	18.8
45	Oran	27.5	28.5			27.4	24.6			22.3	22.0
46	Constantine	26.7	26.1			23.8	22.5			19.7	19.0
47	Annaba	25.8	25.4			23.9	23.0			21.7	20.7
48	Casablanca	26.5	26.5			27.5	23.7			23.3	22.4
49	Rabat	23.3	23.3			24.3	21.0			21.6	20.1
50	Fes	27.1	27.9			27.5	24.2			22.1	22.4
51	Sale	24.3	24.7			22.8	20.9			19.0	18.9
52	Riyadh	33.8	33.6			33.1	31.8			30.9	30.6
53	Jeddah	31.6	29.7			31.2	29.2			30.5	28.5
54	Mecca	36.7	35.2			35.2	33.6			34.3	32.8
55	Medina	35.2	35.2			34.6	33.3			32.8	32.5
56	Sanaa	23.1	22.6			23.1	21.8			22.4	21.2
57	Al_Hudaydah	34.1	32.6			33.3	31.7			32.6	30.4
58	Aden	34.6	33.0			33.8	32.3			33.0	31.1
59	London	15.7	14.6			16.3	13.0			12.7	11.8
60	Paris	16.7	16.4			17.0	13.8			13.7	12.3
61	Istanbul	19.9	17.6			19.3	15.3			18.8	12.8
62	Moscow	8.2	6.1			6.1	4.4			5.4	3.5
63	Madrid	18.1	19.4			22.2	16.6			14.7	14.7
64	Rome	23.8	22.3			21.7	19.5			19.5	17.1
65	Frankfurt	16.6	14.8			14.5	11.9			12.9	10.3
66	Kyiv	13.3	12.0			12.9	9.6			11.6	7.8
67	Berlin	16.0	13.4			14.2	10.9			12.1	9.5
68	Bucharest	19.9	19.2			17.7	15.9			16.7	12.6
69	Tokyo	22.3	20.6			21.9	19.5			20.6	18.1
70	Jakarta	27.6	27.3			27.7	27.4			28.1	27.5
71	Delhi	34.1	32.8			33.1	32.2			31.8	30.9
72	Manila	30.2	30.4			30.1	29.9			30.1	29.6
73	Seoul	19.9	17.7			18.4	16.0			16.0	13.0
74	Mumbai	19.3	19.1			17.8	16.6			14.5	13.1
75	Shanghai	23.9	21.9			22.3	20.5			22.1	18.9
76	Guangzhou	31.7	29.5			30.6	28.3			29.3	26.8
77	Beijing	19.3	19.1			17.8	16.6			14.5	13.1
78	Kolkata	32.5	29.7			31.3	30.5			31.8	29.5
79	Bangkok	31.6	30.2			31.5	30.5			31.3	29.9
80	Dhaka	32.5	30.5			31.9	31.0			31.7	29.6
81	Karachi	34.9	33.6			35.2	33.0			33.4	32.4
82	Mexico_City	21.6	21.3			21.2	19.9			20.4	19.9
83	New_York	18.7	16.8			16.7	15.6			14.6	14.1
84	Los_Angeles	28.8	23.5			25.7	25.1			24.6	23.0
85	Chicago	15.9	14.9			13.9	12.8			12.2	11.1
86	Dallas	25.6	24.8			24.7	24.0			21.8	22.6
87	Houston	26.4	27.3			26.3	26.5			24.0	25.6
88	Toronto	13.7	12.0			12.7	10.8			11.8	7.3
89	Washington_DC	21.1	18.7			18.8	17.7			16.4	16.6
90	Philadelphia	20.5	18.1			17.8	16.9			15.5	15.7
91	Miami	27.8	27.4			27.7	26.5			27.1	25.9
92	Leon	27.7	27.4			27.3	26.9			27.2	26.7
93	Santa_Ana	29.0	28.3			29.4	28.4			29.2	28.2
94	San_José	23.8	23.3			24.3	23.2			24.0	23.1
95	Panama_City	29.2	27.6			28.8	27.7			29.3	27.4
96	San_Pedro_Sula	30.4	29.6			30.0	28.1			29.4	28.2
97	San_Salvador	29.8	28.6			29.8	28.7			30.1	28.6
98	Guatemala_City	27.1	25.7			26.6	25.2			26.9	25.2
99	Managua	28.7	28.1			28.8	27.9			28.8	27.6
100	Tegucigalpa	26.0	25.9			26.1	25.4			25.8	25.4
101	Port-au-Prince	28.9	29.8			29.1	29.2			28.2	28.5
102	San-Juan	29.2	28.2			28.9	28.0			28.5	27.6
103	Havana	28.8	28.9			29.1	28.0			28.2	27.7
104	Kingston	28.9	28.6			28.8	28.4			28.5	28.0
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.7	28.2			28.6	27.9			28.3	27.5
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.7	27.9			28.5	27.5			28.0	27.1
107	Port_of_Spain	28.8	28.4			28.7	28.3			28.6	28.2

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Last Update: Thu Oct 13 06:30:33 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.