Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221012Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Oct-14-2022Oct-15-2022Oct-16-2022Oct-17-2022Oct-18-2022
NO Stations 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 38.8 37.1 37.7 37.6 37.0 36.4
2 Niamey 39.7 37.6 38.3 39.1 38.3 37.5
3 Ouagadougou 39.1 35.6 36.1 37.5 36.9 36.2
4 Mopti 38.9 37.5 37.0 38.0 38.1 37.5
5 Bamako 36.9 33.9 33.9 35.2 35.3 35.1
6 Kayes 40.6 38.2 38.0 38.3 38.2 38.2
7 Tamba 42.0 36.7 36.3 37.3 37.3 37.5
8 Kedougou 36.3 32.5 33.0 34.0 33.3 33.2
9 Saraya 39.4 33.2 33.8 34.8 34.5 34.2
10 Dalafi 41.1 34.4 34.9 36.0 35.3 35.6
11 Goudiri 40.1 35.5 35.6 36.4 36.3 36.6
12 Naye 40.3 36.9 36.9 37.4 37.4 37.4
13 Bakel 40.5 37.8 37.9 38.1 38.0 37.9
14 Koupentoum 40.3 35.8 35.0 35.9 35.9 36.2
15 Mamari 41.0 37.8 37.5 37.9 37.8 37.9
16 Velingara 39.7 34.9 35.2 35.9 35.8 35.9
17 Matam 40.9 38.8 38.9 39.0 38.8 38.6
18 Haire_Lao 40.9 38.3 39.6 40.8 40.4 39.6
19 Podor 40.7 38.1 39.6 40.9 40.5 39.7
20 Richard_Toll 40.8 37.9 39.7 41.0 40.5 39.5
21 Linguere 40.9 37.6 38.3 39.2 38.6 38.5
22 Daraa 41.1 37.3 38.4 39.3 38.7 38.3
23 Louga 40.8 36.5 37.9 38.9 38.1 37.3
24 Touba 40.5 36.0 36.8 37.6 37.2 36.8
25 Diourbel 39.5 35.4 35.7 36.4 36.2 35.9
26 Bambey 39.5 35.3 35.7 36.5 36.0 35.7
27 Koungheul 39.3 35.3 34.7 35.5 35.4 35.6
28 Kaffrine 38.3 34.4 34.2 35.0 34.9 34.9
29 Kaolack 38.4 34.2 34.1 35.0 34.8 34.7
30 Fatick 39.5 35.3 35.7 36.5 36.0 35.7
31 Gossas 39.5 35.4 35.7 36.4 36.2 35.9
32 Freetown 32.5 30.1 30.5 30.9 30.6 30.7
33 Cairo 34.7 30.4 29.0 28.5 28.4 27.8
34 Alexandria 32.1 27.7 26.6 26.3 26.0 25.4
35 Giza 34.7 30.4 29.0 28.5 28.4 27.8
36 Luxor 38.2 33.7 33.7 32.8 32.5 32.1
37 Sirte 34.9 25.6 25.0 24.4 23.8 24.1
38 Tripoli 28.1 24.3 24.7 24.1 23.5 23.5
39 Benghazi 28.5 23.3 23.2 22.9 22.8 22.8
40 Mistratah 30.2 24.5 24.5 24.0 23.8 24.0
41 Tunis 28.5 27.9 28.3 28.2 27.9 27.9
42 Sfax 26.9 24.2 24.3 24.1 23.7 23.9
43 Sousse 29.0 26.7 26.7 26.4 26.6 27.2
44 Algiers 24.2 24.6 26.2 25.7 25.0 24.4
45 Oran 28.3 32.8 34.2 33.7 31.8 30.4
46 Constantine 27.7 28.7 29.5 29.9 29.4 28.6
47 Annaba 27.2 27.3 28.1 27.6 27.1 26.9
48 Casablanca 27.6 28.0 26.8 26.9 26.7 26.6
49 Rabat 24.0 25.2 23.7 23.4 23.2 23.4
50 Fes 27.6 30.4 30.1 30.5 29.7 29.2
51 Sale 24.6 27.5 28.3 28.8 27.8 26.5
52 Riyadh 35.3 33.8 34.0 34.4 34.4 34.3
53 Jeddah 32.9 30.3 30.4 30.3 30.2 30.3
54 Mecca 38.2 36.3 36.3 35.6 35.4 36.0
55 Medina 36.8 36.0 36.2 36.5 36.3 36.3
56 Sanaa 23.7 22.7 22.4 22.3 22.3 22.6
57 Al_Hudaydah 35.1 33.3 33.2 33.3 33.4 33.2
58 Aden 35.0 32.4 32.6 33.5 33.2 33.6
59 London 17.4 16.1 17.0 16.5 16.8 16.3
60 Paris 19.9 18.2 20.1 20.2 20.4 19.5
61 Istanbul 21.5 17.7 17.7 17.4 17.4 17.8
62 Moscow 11.5 10.6 11.3 11.2 8.9 5.6
63 Madrid 20.5 23.9 23.5 24.1 22.9 21.6
64 Rome 25.0 23.4 24.2 24.9 24.7 23.9
65 Frankfurt 20.0 17.9 20.0 19.4 18.2 17.6
66 Kyiv 16.1 14.8 16.5 18.1 16.0 12.3
67 Berlin 18.3 17.9 20.2 18.4 16.2 15.5
68 Bucharest 22.2 18.5 19.3 20.6 21.5 19.7
69 Tokyo 24.4 24.5 25.1 20.8 18.7 19.5
70 Jakarta 27.3 27.1 27.2 27.1 27.1 27.4
71 Delhi 36.2 33.1 33.3 33.4 33.0 32.7
72 Manila 30.2 29.6 29.9 30.1 30.2 29.8
73 Seoul 24.3 22.3 15.7 14.5 16.1 17.9
74 Mumbai 22.4 18.8 17.2 18.1 19.4 20.0
75 Shanghai 25.2 22.8 20.2 18.2 19.3 20.7
76 Guangzhou 32.2 31.2 29.9 27.4 26.1 28.3
77 Beijing 22.4 18.8 17.2 18.1 19.4 20.0
78 Kolkata 33.1 32.2 31.9 30.5 29.2 30.0
79 Bangkok 32.0 25.3 28.0 29.4 28.7 28.7
80 Dhaka 33.7 33.6 32.9 31.3 29.6 30.1
81 Karachi 36.4 34.9 34.9 34.1 33.1 33.0
82 Mexico_City 22.2 22.3 22.4 22.3 21.8 20.8
83 New_York 21.4 20.8 20.1 17.3 12.6 14.2
84 Los_Angeles 28.9 20.7 23.1 24.3 25.4 25.5
85 Chicago 17.8 12.9 12.3 6.9 10.0 12.6
86 Dallas 26.3 32.4 26.4 20.5 18.0 21.0
87 Houston 28.8 32.2 31.4 26.7 20.9 24.0
88 Toronto 16.5 14.1 12.7 8.9 8.7 10.2
89 Washington_DC 23.1 23.2 21.8 17.1 13.1 15.5
90 Philadelphia 22.3 22.2 21.3 17.2 12.8 14.9
91 Miami 28.6 28.0 27.8 28.0 28.0 27.3
92 Leon 28.1 27.4 26.8 27.0 27.6 27.8
93 Santa_Ana 29.5 29.1 28.7 27.0 26.8 27.7
94 San_José 24.4 22.5 21.6 22.5 23.6 23.9
95 Panama_City 29.8 26.9 26.5 26.4 27.3 27.7
96 San_Pedro_Sula 32.3 30.2 30.0 30.2 30.9 30.8
97 San_Salvador 30.1 29.3 29.2 27.9 27.4 28.1
98 Guatemala_City 27.5 26.3 26.3 26.0 24.7 25.4
99 Managua 29.1 28.7 27.9 27.4 27.8 28.1
100 Tegucigalpa 26.8 26.5 26.0 24.9 25.6 25.8
101 Port-au-Prince 29.5 30.4 30.1 29.2 29.3 29.7
102 San-Juan 29.5 28.3 28.3 28.4 28.4 28.4
103 Havana 29.6 29.5 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.4
104 Kingston 29.3 28.8 28.7 28.7 28.7 28.6
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 29.0 28.4 28.2 28.1 28.1 28.1
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 29.0 28.0 28.1 28.0 28.0 27.9
107 Port_of_Spain 29.0 28.3 28.2 28.3 28.3 28.2



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Last Update: Thu Oct 13 06:30:32 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.