Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221010Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 17Oct2022 - 23Oct2022				Week 3: 24Oct2022 - 30Oct2022				Week 4: 31Oct2022 - 06Nov2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	38.5	37.4			37.6	37.2			36.9	36.7
2	Niamey	39.4	38.5			38.8	38.3			38.2	37.8
3	Ouagadougou	38.8	36.9			38.2	37.0			37.9	36.7
4	Mopti	38.6	37.6			37.8	37.4			37.0	36.8
5	Bamako	36.7	34.9			36.5	35.2			36.2	35.2
6	Kayes	40.4	38.2			39.8	38.2			39.3	37.8
7	Tamba	41.7	37.6			41.2	38.4			40.4	38.4
8	Kedougou	36.5	33.4			37.3	34.2			38.0	34.8
9	Saraya	39.4	34.6			40.2	35.7			40.3	36.5
10	Dalafi	41.2	36.0			41.5	37.2			40.8	37.6
11	Goudiri	39.8	36.7			39.6	37.3			39.4	37.4
12	Naye	40.3	37.7			39.7	38.0			39.5	37.7
13	Bakel	40.2	38.2			39.6	38.2			39.2	37.8
14	Koupentoum	40.0	36.4			39.6	36.9			39.4	37.0
15	Mamari	40.7	38.1			39.9	38.2			39.4	37.6
16	Velingara	40.2	35.6			41.0	36.5			40.6	37.0
17	Matam	40.4	38.8			39.7	38.7			39.1	37.9
18	Haire_Lao	40.3	39.2			39.4	38.6			39.0	37.4
19	Podor	40.2	38.9			39.2	38.3			38.8	37.0
20	Richard_Toll	40.3	38.7			39.2	38.1			38.8	36.9
21	Linguere	40.4	38.0			39.5	37.9			39.0	37.1
22	Daraa	40.4	38.0			39.6	37.8			39.0	37.1
23	Louga	40.1	37.3			39.3	37.3			38.8	36.6
24	Touba	40.0	37.0			39.3	37.1			38.7	36.6
25	Diourbel	39.7	36.3			39.1	36.5			38.6	36.2
26	Bambey	39.2	36.2			38.7	36.5			38.5	36.1
27	Koungheul	39.7	36.0			39.2	36.7			39.2	36.8
28	Kaffrine	38.8	35.3			38.4	35.9			38.5	36.1
29	Kaolack	38.6	35.1			38.3	35.7			38.2	35.7
30	Fatick	39.2	36.2			38.7	36.5			38.5	36.1
31	Gossas	39.7	36.3			39.1	36.5			38.6	36.2
32	Freetown	32.0	31.0			32.1	31.2			32.4	31.5
33	Cairo	32.3	28.8			29.7	28.7			29.5	27.7
34	Alexandria	30.0	26.2			27.7	26.3			27.5	25.5
35	Giza	32.3	28.8			29.7	28.7			29.5	27.7
36	Luxor	36.6	32.2			32.9	32.0			32.6	31.0
37	Sirte	30.2	26.9			30.6	26.9			27.3	26.6
38	Tripoli	27.0	24.5			26.6	24.0			24.4	23.7
39	Benghazi	25.4	23.8			25.8	23.8			24.7	23.1
40	Mistratah	28.1	25.6			27.9	25.2			26.2	24.7
41	Tunis	29.0	27.7			26.6	24.9			23.7	23.7
42	Sfax	26.2	24.6			24.8	23.7			23.3	23.3
43	Sousse	28.6	27.5			26.3	25.1			24.4	24.1
44	Algiers	23.8	22.8			22.4	20.5			21.3	20.0
45	Oran	28.9	27.4			27.7	24.7			24.0	23.0
46	Constantine	26.9	26.3			24.7	23.1			20.8	21.4
47	Annaba	27.0	25.7			23.9	23.2			22.3	22.5
48	Casablanca	25.7	25.2			27.8	23.7			23.8	22.6
49	Rabat	22.9	22.5			24.7	21.3			21.9	20.6
50	Fes	26.5	27.0			27.5	24.8			22.9	22.9
51	Sale	23.7	23.9			23.3	21.4			19.9	19.3
52	Riyadh	34.1	33.5			33.0	31.8			31.0	30.4
53	Jeddah	31.8	29.9			31.3	29.1			30.5	29.0
54	Mecca	37.0	35.6			35.7	34.1			34.6	33.0
55	Medina	35.7	35.5			34.6	33.9			33.2	32.4
56	Sanaa	23.2	22.3			23.0	21.5			22.8	21.2
57	Al_Hudaydah	34.2	33.0			33.5	31.9			32.7	30.6
58	Aden	34.5	33.6			33.8	32.5			33.3	31.4
59	London	16.0	14.9			16.1	13.7			13.1	12.0
60	Paris	17.8	16.4			16.8	14.6			13.8	12.9
61	Istanbul	20.4	18.7			18.9	16.7			18.7	14.6
62	Moscow	8.0	8.2			6.1	7.7			5.8	5.2
63	Madrid	18.6	19.3			21.8	17.3			15.2	15.3
64	Rome	23.2	22.9			22.2	20.4			20.0	18.8
65	Frankfurt	16.7	15.0			14.9	12.9			13.3	11.0
66	Kyiv	12.7	14.3			13.1	12.5			11.6	9.5
67	Berlin	16.4	14.4			14.2	12.5			12.9	10.2
68	Bucharest	19.7	21.1			17.7	17.7			18.1	14.8
69	Tokyo	22.4	20.8			21.9	20.1			21.0	18.8
70	Jakarta	27.6	27.5			27.7	27.4			28.0	27.4
71	Delhi	35.0	33.0			33.3	32.5			32.1	31.8
72	Manila	30.2	29.9			30.2	29.4			30.2	29.2
73	Seoul	20.5	18.1			17.9	16.7			16.1	14.1
74	Mumbai	19.7	19.7			18.2	16.6			15.8	14.4
75	Shanghai	24.6	21.8			22.0	21.0			22.3	19.5
76	Guangzhou	31.6	29.3			30.8	29.8			29.4	27.5
77	Beijing	19.7	19.7			18.2	16.6			15.8	14.4
78	Kolkata	32.9	30.2			31.4	31.0			31.5	30.3
79	Bangkok	31.9	29.8			31.5	30.1			31.3	30.2
80	Dhaka	32.7	31.0			31.7	31.6			31.7	30.5
81	Karachi	35.1	33.4			35.1	33.6			33.6	32.5
82	Mexico_City	21.6	20.7			21.1	20.3			20.6	19.5
83	New_York	19.1	16.3			16.9	16.1			16.6	14.7
84	Los_Angeles	28.9	24.7			25.6	23.9			25.7	24.1
85	Chicago	16.3	14.6			13.6	15.1			13.8	11.9
86	Dallas	25.7	25.3			23.3	24.8			22.0	24.4
87	Houston	27.1	27.9			26.0	27.1			25.7	26.5
88	Toronto	14.1	11.2			13.0	12.0			12.0	8.8
89	Washington_DC	21.2	18.1			18.6	18.3			18.5	17.1
90	Philadelphia	20.6	17.4			17.5	17.7			17.4	16.1
91	Miami	28.1	27.0			27.7	26.4			27.0	25.9
92	Leon	27.7	27.6			27.4	27.1			27.2	26.9
93	Santa_Ana	28.7	28.1			29.2	28.6			29.3	28.4
94	San_José	23.9	23.6			23.9	22.8			24.1	22.6
95	Panama_City	29.5	27.8			28.7	27.5			29.1	27.0
96	San_Pedro_Sula	30.8	30.1			29.8	28.2			28.9	27.6
97	San_Salvador	29.6	28.4			29.6	28.9			29.9	28.9
98	Guatemala_City	27.0	25.8			27.1	25.1			26.8	25.1
99	Managua	28.7	28.1			28.7	27.8			28.7	27.6
100	Tegucigalpa	26.0	26.0			26.0	25.4			25.8	25.2
101	Port-au-Prince	28.8	29.3			29.0	28.9			28.3	28.3
102	San-Juan	29.2	28.4			28.8	28.1			28.3	27.7
103	Havana	28.7	28.6			29.2	28.0			28.4	27.5
104	Kingston	28.9	28.5			28.8	28.4			28.5	28.3
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.7	28.0			28.6	27.9			28.4	27.8
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.8	28.0			28.4	27.5			28.0	27.4
107	Port_of_Spain	28.9	28.4			28.7	28.5			28.6	28.6

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Last Update: Tue Oct 11 06:31:16 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.