Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221010Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Oct-12-2022Oct-13-2022Oct-14-2022Oct-15-2022Oct-16-2022
NO Stations 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 38.5 38.4 37.5 37.6 37.7 37.5
2 Niamey 39.4 38.2 37.6 38.2 38.7 38.6
3 Ouagadougou 38.7 35.5 35.2 36.1 36.5 37.1
4 Mopti 38.7 38.4 36.8 37.1 37.2 37.9
5 Bamako 36.5 34.6 33.1 33.0 33.3 34.6
6 Kayes 39.9 37.0 37.1 36.5 37.0 38.0
7 Tamba 40.8 35.2 35.7 35.1 35.9 36.7
8 Kedougou 34.9 31.7 31.6 31.5 31.9 32.9
9 Saraya 38.0 32.7 32.8 32.5 32.5 33.6
10 Dalafi 39.8 33.9 34.2 33.9 34.0 34.7
11 Goudiri 39.1 35.0 35.1 34.7 35.0 35.8
12 Naye 39.7 36.3 36.3 36.0 36.2 37.4
13 Bakel 40.1 36.9 37.2 37.0 37.0 38.1
14 Koupentoum 39.2 34.7 34.9 34.3 35.1 36.1
15 Mamari 40.5 36.4 37.0 36.5 37.0 38.1
16 Velingara 38.6 34.0 33.9 33.9 34.3 34.5
17 Matam 40.4 37.5 37.9 37.8 38.0 39.2
18 Haire_Lao 40.5 38.6 38.2 37.7 38.4 40.1
19 Podor 40.3 38.7 38.0 37.5 38.1 39.9
20 Richard_Toll 40.3 38.5 37.8 37.0 37.9 39.8
21 Linguere 40.4 36.9 36.9 36.3 37.1 38.6
22 Daraa 40.6 37.1 37.0 36.4 37.2 38.7
23 Louga 40.0 36.5 36.3 35.8 36.7 38.1
24 Touba 39.6 36.1 36.1 35.7 36.3 37.5
25 Diourbel 39.0 35.4 35.5 35.1 35.3 36.5
26 Bambey 38.6 35.3 35.3 35.0 35.5 36.6
27 Koungheul 38.5 34.4 34.7 34.2 34.7 35.8
28 Kaffrine 37.7 34.2 34.2 33.8 34.0 35.2
29 Kaolack 37.7 34.1 34.1 33.6 33.9 35.1
30 Fatick 38.6 35.3 35.3 35.0 35.5 36.6
31 Gossas 39.0 35.4 35.5 35.1 35.3 36.5
32 Freetown 31.9 31.0 29.4 30.1 30.0 31.0
33 Cairo 33.7 28.8 29.0 27.8 28.2 29.1
34 Alexandria 30.7 26.0 26.2 25.7 26.3 26.6
35 Giza 33.7 28.8 29.0 27.8 28.2 29.1
36 Luxor 37.2 32.0 31.8 32.2 31.9 32.0
37 Sirte 33.3 32.2 26.9 26.5 26.4 25.9
38 Tripoli 28.1 27.7 24.7 24.8 25.2 25.0
39 Benghazi 27.8 25.5 24.5 23.8 23.8 23.7
40 Mistratah 30.5 29.0 25.6 25.5 25.4 25.1
41 Tunis 27.7 25.9 27.0 30.2 31.0 30.6
42 Sfax 26.1 26.2 24.7 24.9 25.1 25.0
43 Sousse 27.8 27.6 27.5 29.1 29.6 29.3
44 Algiers 24.1 22.1 23.9 26.1 25.9 25.3
45 Oran 27.3 28.7 32.4 32.2 31.9 31.1
46 Constantine 26.8 25.4 28.4 30.3 30.6 30.1
47 Annaba 26.1 24.0 25.3 28.2 28.9 28.3
48 Casablanca 25.9 27.6 28.7 26.9 27.5 28.6
49 Rabat 22.9 25.3 25.2 24.0 24.2 24.8
50 Fes 27.0 29.8 30.5 28.6 30.0 30.0
51 Sale 23.6 23.8 26.8 25.6 26.9 26.9
52 Riyadh 35.2 33.9 34.0 34.1 34.2 34.3
53 Jeddah 32.4 30.5 30.3 30.4 30.6 30.5
54 Mecca 38.0 35.6 35.5 36.2 36.4 35.7
55 Medina 36.9 35.7 35.5 35.5 35.9 36.2
56 Sanaa 23.6 22.0 22.4 22.7 22.5 22.7
57 Al_Hudaydah 35.1 33.5 33.4 33.3 32.8 33.1
58 Aden 35.1 33.4 32.9 32.6 33.0 33.8
59 London 17.3 16.2 14.9 14.5 15.9 15.9
60 Paris 19.0 17.8 16.6 17.0 19.6 19.6
61 Istanbul 20.9 18.3 17.7 18.2 19.1 19.5
62 Moscow 10.3 9.0 9.7 10.3 10.6 9.3
63 Madrid 20.3 23.7 24.5 24.0 22.8 22.4
64 Rome 24.7 23.1 23.4 23.7 24.5 25.2
65 Frankfurt 18.9 16.7 15.5 16.1 17.9 18.4
66 Kyiv 15.5 13.3 14.3 15.4 16.6 16.6
67 Berlin 17.8 16.3 15.2 15.0 16.1 16.5
68 Bucharest 21.4 19.2 19.7 21.3 23.2 23.9
69 Tokyo 24.4 24.3 24.5 24.0 25.6 21.1
70 Jakarta 26.8 26.7 26.6 27.0 27.3 27.4
71 Delhi 36.0 33.8 33.9 33.9 33.9 34.1
72 Manila 29.9 30.3 29.8 29.6 29.5 30.0
73 Seoul 21.9 23.3 23.7 23.2 19.2 15.6
74 Mumbai 21.8 23.3 24.6 21.3 17.7 17.3
75 Shanghai 24.5 22.4 22.4 22.8 21.7 19.2
76 Guangzhou 31.7 30.7 30.9 30.8 29.9 28.5
77 Beijing 21.8 23.3 24.6 21.3 17.7 17.3
78 Kolkata 32.9 32.0 32.0 31.9 31.3 30.7
79 Bangkok 31.8 29.9 28.4 27.8 29.6 30.0
80 Dhaka 33.4 32.0 32.2 32.2 32.0 31.0
81 Karachi 35.6 33.8 34.2 34.9 34.8 33.9
82 Mexico_City 21.8 20.0 20.7 21.7 22.1 21.6
83 New_York 20.2 20.5 19.9 19.6 18.7 16.5
84 Los_Angeles 28.2 28.1 26.8 22.8 23.2 24.1
85 Chicago 17.2 12.8 13.9 14.2 11.6 9.9
86 Dallas 26.4 28.8 30.0 30.1 27.9 25.3
87 Houston 28.1 32.4 30.8 30.9 30.0 28.4
88 Toronto 15.5 14.5 13.9 14.0 12.5 10.2
89 Washington_DC 22.5 21.3 20.5 21.2 19.9 15.9
90 Philadelphia 21.5 21.4 20.5 20.8 19.7 16.6
91 Miami 28.3 28.8 28.3 27.7 27.5 27.5
92 Leon 27.7 27.8 27.8 27.5 27.5 27.6
93 Santa_Ana 29.2 28.0 28.2 28.4 27.4 26.8
94 San_José 24.1 23.3 23.1 22.8 22.7 23.1
95 Panama_City 29.3 27.6 27.2 27.0 26.5 26.7
96 San_Pedro_Sula 30.8 30.7 30.3 30.3 30.2 30.2
97 San_Salvador 30.0 28.9 28.9 29.0 27.9 27.3
98 Guatemala_City 27.2 26.9 26.6 26.3 25.7 25.0
99 Managua 29.1 28.6 28.3 28.2 27.8 27.8
100 Tegucigalpa 26.3 26.8 26.2 25.9 25.6 25.5
101 Port-au-Prince 29.2 29.4 29.8 30.1 29.8 29.3
102 San-Juan 29.4 28.3 28.3 28.3 28.2 28.2
103 Havana 29.4 30.5 29.7 29.3 29.0 28.9
104 Kingston 29.1 28.8 28.7 28.6 28.5 28.5
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.8 28.3 28.3 28.1 28.0 27.9
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.9 27.9 28.0 28.0 27.9 27.9
107 Port_of_Spain 28.9 28.1 28.4 28.5 28.4 28.4



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Last Update: Tue Oct 11 06:31:11 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.