Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20221007Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Oct-09-2022Oct-10-2022Oct-11-2022Oct-12-2022Oct-13-2022
NO Stations 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 38.8 37.7 37.9 38.2 38.4 37.6
2 Niamey 39.7 37.3 37.7 38.2 38.4 38.1
3 Ouagadougou 39.1 35.3 35.4 35.2 35.9 35.9
4 Mopti 39.2 37.6 36.5 36.9 37.9 37.2
5 Bamako 36.9 33.2 32.8 33.2 33.7 32.4
6 Kayes 40.4 37.3 36.8 36.0 37.0 36.5
7 Tamba 41.3 35.1 35.1 35.4 36.1 35.6
8 Kedougou 35.3 31.8 32.7 32.4 31.8 30.7
9 Saraya 38.1 32.7 33.2 33.4 33.2 31.9
10 Dalafi 40.3 33.6 33.6 34.1 34.2 33.4
11 Goudiri 39.4 34.9 34.7 34.5 35.2 34.6
12 Naye 40.0 36.6 36.2 35.7 36.4 36.2
13 Bakel 40.7 37.6 37.1 36.4 36.9 37.0
14 Koupentoum 39.9 34.8 34.4 34.6 35.2 35.1
15 Mamari 41.1 37.3 37.0 36.5 37.0 37.0
16 Velingara 38.7 34.1 34.0 34.2 34.5 33.6
17 Matam 41.0 38.7 38.4 37.5 37.9 38.0
18 Haire_Lao 41.4 39.7 40.3 39.6 38.9 39.0
19 Podor 41.2 39.4 40.1 39.5 38.8 38.7
20 Richard_Toll 41.1 39.0 39.7 39.2 38.5 38.2
21 Linguere 41.2 38.4 38.9 38.1 37.9 37.8
22 Daraa 41.2 37.9 38.7 37.8 37.7 37.4
23 Louga 40.4 36.7 37.7 36.9 36.9 36.5
24 Touba 40.1 36.1 36.7 36.3 36.4 36.2
25 Diourbel 39.4 35.3 35.6 35.6 35.6 35.5
26 Bambey 39.3 35.2 35.6 35.6 35.7 35.4
27 Koungheul 39.3 34.4 34.2 34.5 34.8 34.9
28 Kaffrine 38.3 34.1 34.0 34.3 34.3 34.3
29 Kaolack 38.4 34.0 34.1 34.2 34.3 34.1
30 Fatick 39.3 35.2 35.6 35.6 35.7 35.4
31 Gossas 39.4 35.3 35.6 35.6 35.6 35.5
32 Freetown 31.8 30.4 30.7 30.5 29.7 29.2
33 Cairo 34.5 30.2 30.3 30.1 29.8 30.8
34 Alexandria 31.5 27.0 26.7 26.5 26.7 27.9
35 Giza 34.5 30.2 30.3 30.1 29.8 30.8
36 Luxor 37.6 32.2 32.6 33.1 32.5 33.2
37 Sirte 34.1 30.9 32.1 31.7 31.3 29.8
38 Tripoli 28.8 28.2 28.4 28.4 27.9 26.4
39 Benghazi 28.3 24.6 25.1 25.3 25.4 25.6
40 Mistratah 30.8 29.7 29.7 29.7 29.5 27.5
41 Tunis 28.7 29.3 31.0 29.6 26.3 26.3
42 Sfax 27.3 27.4 27.3 27.5 27.0 25.3
43 Sousse 29.9 29.4 30.8 30.4 28.4 27.0
44 Algiers 24.6 22.9 23.1 22.6 22.2 22.6
45 Oran 29.0 26.6 25.4 26.3 27.3 28.5
46 Constantine 27.3 28.0 28.8 26.8 24.7 25.7
47 Annaba 26.7 26.8 27.7 26.6 24.3 24.8
48 Casablanca 28.4 23.5 23.3 25.5 27.3 26.0
49 Rabat 24.6 21.7 21.8 23.4 24.5 23.5
50 Fes 29.6 25.6 25.0 27.5 29.4 28.3
51 Sale 25.1 23.0 21.1 22.4 24.5 25.2
52 Riyadh 36.0 34.9 34.8 34.8 34.4 34.2
53 Jeddah 32.8 30.2 30.3 30.4 30.3 30.3
54 Mecca 38.8 36.9 37.0 37.2 36.8 37.0
55 Medina 37.6 37.2 36.7 36.6 36.5 36.6
56 Sanaa 23.9 22.5 22.7 22.7 22.7 22.7
57 Al_Hudaydah 35.7 34.1 34.1 33.8 33.8 33.7
58 Aden 36.3 34.1 35.2 35.4 34.6 33.4
59 London 18.6 15.1 15.7 16.4 16.6 15.0
60 Paris 20.8 17.5 18.6 18.3 18.1 16.7
61 Istanbul 22.0 19.2 19.1 19.1 18.8 18.2
62 Moscow 12.4 11.1 10.1 8.7 8.4 8.2
63 Madrid 22.7 20.6 20.6 22.1 23.1 21.5
64 Rome 25.7 24.2 23.7 22.9 23.5 23.3
65 Frankfurt 19.9 16.4 16.8 17.2 17.1 15.5
66 Kyiv 16.7 15.4 14.5 13.2 13.0 13.9
67 Berlin 18.7 14.4 14.5 15.9 16.4 15.7
68 Bucharest 21.5 21.4 21.2 20.7 19.3 19.1
69 Tokyo 25.2 26.2 22.7 21.9 22.2 23.5
70 Jakarta 27.3 27.3 27.2 27.0 27.0 27.1
71 Delhi 37.0 30.9 31.3 32.6 33.6 34.1
72 Manila 30.4 30.9 30.3 29.7 30.4 30.5
73 Seoul 22.7 16.5 19.5 20.5 21.1 21.3
74 Mumbai 23.0 19.9 20.3 20.5 22.6 21.0
75 Shanghai 25.4 20.0 20.8 22.8 22.7 22.3
76 Guangzhou 32.2 27.2 28.5 29.0 29.6 29.8
77 Beijing 23.0 19.9 20.3 20.5 22.6 21.0
78 Kolkata 33.5 31.9 31.7 31.9 32.1 31.8
79 Bangkok 32.1 29.7 30.2 30.9 30.3 30.0
80 Dhaka 33.6 32.5 31.7 31.9 32.2 31.9
81 Karachi 37.2 36.9 36.2 35.4 34.7 34.6
82 Mexico_City 22.2 18.6 19.7 19.7 20.0 19.1
83 New_York 22.1 19.9 20.5 21.2 20.7 17.8
84 Los_Angeles 29.0 27.4 25.5 26.9 29.1 28.9
85 Chicago 18.9 21.1 23.0 21.3 14.6 13.9
86 Dallas 27.4 29.8 29.9 31.0 28.9 26.4
87 Houston 28.7 30.0 30.8 31.9 32.0 29.9
88 Toronto 17.3 14.5 17.4 18.6 15.9 12.1
89 Washington_DC 23.8 22.5 23.4 24.4 24.3 19.2
90 Philadelphia 23.8 21.4 22.3 23.0 22.6 18.8
91 Miami 29.1 28.7 28.6 28.4 28.2 28.2
92 Leon 28.1 26.8 27.6 27.7 27.4 27.4
93 Santa_Ana 29.7 23.8 27.0 27.5 27.5 27.8
94 San_José 24.8 23.4 23.1 23.6 23.5 24.0
95 Panama_City 29.8 27.2 28.5 28.5 28.1 28.2
96 San_Pedro_Sula 32.0 29.1 31.1 31.9 31.4 31.1
97 San_Salvador 30.5 25.7 27.3 28.1 28.2 28.2
98 Guatemala_City 28.2 22.5 25.6 26.3 26.3 26.2
99 Managua 29.4 27.0 28.0 28.4 28.3 28.2
100 Tegucigalpa 26.9 22.9 25.2 25.7 25.8 25.7
101 Port-au-Prince 30.1 29.9 30.6 30.7 30.3 30.0
102 San-Juan 29.7 28.6 28.5 28.5 28.4 28.5
103 Havana 30.2 30.3 30.6 30.5 30.2 29.8
104 Kingston 29.3 29.1 29.0 28.8 28.7 28.7
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 29.0 28.7 28.7 28.3 28.2 28.2
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 29.0 28.1 28.1 28.0 27.9 28.0
107 Port_of_Spain 29.1 28.8 28.7 28.7 28.5 28.7



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Last Update: Sat Oct 8 06:31:21 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.