Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220926Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 03Oct2022 - 09Oct2022				Week 3: 10Oct2022 - 16Oct2022				Week 4: 17Oct2022 - 23Oct2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	39.0	36.8			38.8	37.7			38.7	37.5
2	Niamey	39.9	37.0			39.7	38.2			39.7	38.5
3	Ouagadougou	39.0	34.2			39.2	35.9			39.1	36.6
4	Mopti	39.2	37.0			39.0	37.8			38.8	37.5
5	Bamako	36.7	32.7			36.8	33.8			36.9	34.5
6	Kayes	40.9	37.1			40.6	37.8			40.6	38.2
7	Tamba	41.0	35.1			41.4	36.3			42.0	37.5
8	Kedougou	35.1	31.5			35.6	32.1			37.0	33.2
9	Saraya	37.8	32.2			38.8	33.0			40.3	34.4
10	Dalafi	40.1	33.3			40.8	34.3			41.8	35.8
11	Goudiri	39.3	34.3			39.6	35.5			40.4	36.4
12	Naye	40.1	35.7			40.2	36.8			40.4	37.5
13	Bakel	40.5	36.9			40.6	37.6			40.5	38.0
14	Koupentoum	39.7	34.3			39.7	35.1			40.7	36.2
15	Mamari	40.9	36.7			40.7	37.5			40.9	37.9
16	Velingara	38.7	33.5			39.1	34.2			40.9	35.4
17	Matam	41.1	37.9			40.8	38.5			40.7	38.6
18	Haire_Lao	41.7	39.3			41.1	39.4			40.6	39.3
19	Podor	41.6	39.2			40.9	39.2			40.5	39.1
20	Richard_Toll	41.7	39.0			40.9	38.8			40.5	38.9
21	Linguere	41.1	37.9			40.9	38.2			40.7	38.4
22	Daraa	41.0	37.6			41.0	37.9			40.9	38.2
23	Louga	40.5	36.9			40.5	36.9			40.6	37.4
24	Touba	40.0	36.3			40.1	36.5			40.6	37.0
25	Diourbel	39.3	35.4			39.3	35.8			40.1	36.4
26	Bambey	39.1	35.3			39.0	35.7			39.9	36.3
27	Koungheul	38.7	34.1			38.8	34.8			40.2	35.9
28	Kaffrine	37.8	34.0			38.1	34.6			39.0	35.4
29	Kaolack	37.7	34.0			37.9	34.5			38.9	35.3
30	Fatick	39.1	35.3			39.0	35.7			39.9	36.3
31	Gossas	39.3	35.4			39.3	35.8			40.1	36.4
32	Freetown	31.7	30.0			32.4	30.2			32.3	30.8
33	Cairo	34.1	31.9			34.4	30.6			33.0	30.2
34	Alexandria	30.8	27.9			31.5	27.0			30.4	26.9
35	Giza	34.1	31.9			34.4	30.6			33.0	30.2
36	Luxor	38.4	36.1			38.1	34.3			37.7	33.7
37	Sirte	33.1	29.1			35.0	29.7			31.8	28.5
38	Tripoli	28.6	26.1			28.4	25.7			27.4	25.0
39	Benghazi	28.2	25.2			28.2	25.2			26.3	24.6
40	Mistratah	30.0	26.9			30.8	27.0			28.9	26.3
41	Tunis	30.1	26.8			28.3	25.6			29.5	24.9
42	Sfax	26.9	25.6			26.8	25.0			26.8	24.4
43	Sousse	30.4	27.0			29.4	25.8			29.8	25.1
44	Algiers	25.2	22.9			24.3	22.1			25.0	21.1
45	Oran	30.5	27.8			28.5	26.0			29.4	25.2
46	Constantine	29.5	25.6			27.2	23.9			27.9	22.9
47	Annaba	28.1	24.9			26.7	24.2			27.6	23.3
48	Casablanca	28.7	27.1			28.0	25.9			26.1	24.4
49	Rabat	24.8	23.8			24.3	23.0			23.2	21.3
50	Fes	30.6	29.4			28.5	27.3			28.2	25.9
51	Sale	26.8	25.2			24.4	23.3			25.2	22.3
52	Riyadh	36.9	36.0			35.6	34.3			34.4	32.6
53	Jeddah	33.0	31.4			32.7	30.3			32.3	29.8
54	Mecca	39.6	39.2			38.8	37.1			37.2	35.9
55	Medina	38.3	37.9			37.1	36.3			35.9	35.1
56	Sanaa	24.4	23.4			23.8	22.9			23.4	22.1
57	Al_Hudaydah	35.9	34.9			35.4	33.7			34.5	32.9
58	Aden	36.1	36.1			35.9	34.9			34.9	33.8
59	London	18.1	17.3			18.0	15.8			16.3	14.5
60	Paris	20.4	18.4			21.3	16.7			18.7	15.5
61	Istanbul	22.5	19.0			21.6	17.4			21.4	16.4
62	Moscow	12.8	10.3			10.8	7.9			9.0	5.9
63	Madrid	24.6	23.2			21.1	20.0			19.9	18.4
64	Rome	25.9	23.1			25.1	21.1			24.6	20.2
65	Frankfurt	19.3	16.5			20.3	14.7			17.5	13.5
66	Kyiv	16.6	14.6			17.1	13.0			13.9	11.4
67	Berlin	18.2	15.4			19.3	13.8			17.1	12.5
68	Bucharest	22.3	20.4			21.7	18.5			20.1	17.5
69	Tokyo	27.0	22.7			25.1	21.8			23.0	21.4
70	Jakarta	27.2	27.3			27.2	27.9			27.8	27.9
71	Delhi	37.6	34.3			36.4	34.8			35.5	34.0
72	Manila	30.4	30.5			30.3	30.2			30.3	30.0
73	Seoul	24.6	20.6			23.0	20.3			22.0	18.7
74	Mumbai	24.6	19.3			23.5	20.2			20.3	18.2
75	Shanghai	25.7	23.2			25.4	22.8			25.0	22.1
76	Guangzhou	33.5	32.7			32.2	30.2			31.9	28.6
77	Beijing	24.6	19.3			23.5	20.2			20.3	18.2
78	Kolkata	33.9	31.4			33.2	31.3			33.2	30.8
79	Bangkok	32.1	30.9			32.0	30.2			32.3	30.0
80	Dhaka	33.9	31.9			33.8	31.4			33.0	31.3
81	Karachi	36.8	34.8			36.6	33.9			35.7	33.1
82	Mexico_City	22.0	21.4			22.1	20.7			22.3	21.1
83	New_York	24.8	20.8			20.7	20.2			21.0	17.9
84	Los_Angeles	28.7	26.8			29.2	27.6			29.9	26.8
85	Chicago	20.4	20.1			17.4	18.8			16.7	15.8
86	Dallas	28.3	30.6			27.5	28.9			27.2	26.7
87	Houston	29.2	32.2			28.8	30.8			28.7	29.1
88	Toronto	19.4	16.5			17.0	15.4			15.0	12.7
89	Washington_DC	27.9	23.4			22.7	22.6			23.0	19.9
90	Philadelphia	26.7	22.7			22.3	22.1			22.7	19.5
91	Miami	29.3	28.9			28.5	28.2			28.4	27.1
92	Leon	27.9	27.7			28.2	27.3			28.0	27.4
93	Santa_Ana	30.0	29.3			29.9	28.3			29.0	28.6
94	San_José	24.6	23.7			24.5	23.4			24.5	23.2
95	Panama_City	29.9	28.3			29.7	27.6			29.6	27.8
96	San_Pedro_Sula	32.5	30.1			31.5	29.4			31.0	29.0
97	San_Salvador	30.4	29.6			30.3	28.7			30.1	28.9
98	Guatemala_City	28.2	26.3			27.8	25.7			27.3	25.8
99	Managua	29.3	28.6			29.2	27.8			29.1	27.8
100	Tegucigalpa	27.2	26.2			27.2	25.4			26.4	25.9
101	Port-au-Prince	30.6	30.1			29.8	30.0			29.4	29.9
102	San-Juan	29.7	28.7			29.5	28.9			29.5	28.8
103	Havana	30.0	30.0			29.8	29.4			29.3	28.2
104	Kingston	29.3	28.9			29.4	28.8			29.2	28.7
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.0	28.4			29.2	28.2			28.8	28.1
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.9	28.2			29.0	28.1			28.9	27.9
107	Port_of_Spain	29.3	28.9			29.1	28.9			29.0	28.9

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Last Update: Tue Sep 27 06:30:51 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.