Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220926Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 03Oct2022 - 09Oct2022				Week 3: 10Oct2022 - 16Oct2022				Week 4: 17Oct2022 - 23Oct2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	38.8	36.8			38.5	37.7			38.5	37.5
2	Niamey	39.6	37.0			39.4	38.2			39.4	38.5
3	Ouagadougou	38.3	34.2			38.7	35.9			38.8	36.6
4	Mopti	38.9	37.0			38.7	37.8			38.6	37.5
5	Bamako	36.1	32.7			36.5	33.8			36.7	34.5
6	Kayes	39.8	37.1			39.9	37.8			40.4	38.2
7	Tamba	40.6	35.1			40.8	36.3			41.7	37.5
8	Kedougou	34.3	31.5			34.9	32.1			36.5	33.2
9	Saraya	37.2	32.2			38.0	33.0			39.4	34.4
10	Dalafi	39.3	33.3			39.8	34.3			41.2	35.8
11	Goudiri	38.8	34.3			39.1	35.5			39.8	36.4
12	Naye	39.5	35.7			39.7	36.8			40.3	37.5
13	Bakel	40.1	36.9			40.1	37.6			40.2	38.0
14	Koupentoum	39.2	34.3			39.2	35.1			40.0	36.2
15	Mamari	40.5	36.7			40.5	37.5			40.7	37.9
16	Velingara	37.9	33.5			38.6	34.2			40.2	35.4
17	Matam	40.5	37.9			40.4	38.5			40.4	38.6
18	Haire_Lao	41.0	39.3			40.5	39.4			40.3	39.3
19	Podor	40.9	39.2			40.3	39.2			40.2	39.1
20	Richard_Toll	40.8	39.0			40.3	38.8			40.3	38.9
21	Linguere	40.5	37.9			40.4	38.2			40.4	38.4
22	Daraa	40.5	37.6			40.6	37.9			40.4	38.2
23	Louga	40.0	36.9			40.0	36.9			40.1	37.4
24	Touba	39.7	36.3			39.6	36.5			40.0	37.0
25	Diourbel	38.8	35.4			39.0	35.8			39.7	36.4
26	Bambey	38.5	35.3			38.6	35.7			39.2	36.3
27	Koungheul	38.1	34.1			38.5	34.8			39.7	35.9
28	Kaffrine	37.5	34.0			37.7	34.6			38.8	35.4
29	Kaolack	37.3	34.0			37.7	34.5			38.6	35.3
30	Fatick	38.5	35.3			38.6	35.7			39.2	36.3
31	Gossas	38.8	35.4			39.0	35.8			39.7	36.4
32	Freetown	31.5	30.0			31.9	30.2			32.0	30.8
33	Cairo	33.5	31.9			33.7	30.6			32.3	30.2
34	Alexandria	30.5	27.9			30.7	27.0			30.0	26.9
35	Giza	33.5	31.9			33.7	30.6			32.3	30.2
36	Luxor	37.8	36.1			37.2	34.3			36.6	33.7
37	Sirte	31.8	29.1			33.3	29.7			30.2	28.5
38	Tripoli	27.6	26.1			28.1	25.7			27.0	25.0
39	Benghazi	27.3	25.2			27.8	25.2			25.4	24.6
40	Mistratah	29.3	26.9			30.5	27.0			28.1	26.3
41	Tunis	29.4	26.8			27.7	25.6			29.0	24.9
42	Sfax	26.5	25.6			26.1	25.0			26.2	24.4
43	Sousse	29.4	27.0			27.8	25.8			28.6	25.1
44	Algiers	24.9	22.9			24.1	22.1			23.8	21.1
45	Oran	29.8	27.8			27.3	26.0			28.9	25.2
46	Constantine	29.0	25.6			26.8	23.9			26.9	22.9
47	Annaba	27.3	24.9			26.1	24.2			27.0	23.3
48	Casablanca	28.0	27.1			25.9	25.9			25.7	24.4
49	Rabat	24.6	23.8			22.9	23.0			22.9	21.3
50	Fes	29.6	29.4			27.0	27.3			26.5	25.9
51	Sale	26.2	25.2			23.6	23.3			23.7	22.3
52	Riyadh	36.5	36.0			35.2	34.3			34.1	32.6
53	Jeddah	32.7	31.4			32.4	30.3			31.8	29.8
54	Mecca	39.4	39.2			38.0	37.1			37.0	35.9
55	Medina	38.1	37.9			36.9	36.3			35.7	35.1
56	Sanaa	23.9	23.4			23.6	22.9			23.2	22.1
57	Al_Hudaydah	35.6	34.9			35.1	33.7			34.2	32.9
58	Aden	35.9	36.1			35.1	34.9			34.5	33.8
59	London	18.0	17.3			17.3	15.8			16.0	14.5
60	Paris	19.6	18.4			19.0	16.7			17.8	15.5
61	Istanbul	22.3	19.0			20.9	17.4			20.4	16.4
62	Moscow	12.0	10.3			10.3	7.9			8.0	5.9
63	Madrid	23.8	23.2			20.3	20.0			18.6	18.4
64	Rome	25.2	23.1			24.7	21.1			23.2	20.2
65	Frankfurt	18.4	16.5			18.9	14.7			16.7	13.5
66	Kyiv	16.3	14.6			15.5	13.0			12.7	11.4
67	Berlin	17.5	15.4			17.8	13.8			16.4	12.5
68	Bucharest	21.0	20.4			21.4	18.5			19.7	17.5
69	Tokyo	25.6	22.7			24.4	21.8			22.4	21.4
70	Jakarta	26.9	27.3			26.8	27.9			27.6	27.9
71	Delhi	37.2	34.3			36.0	34.8			35.0	34.0
72	Manila	30.2	30.5			29.9	30.2			30.2	30.0
73	Seoul	23.8	20.6			21.9	20.3			20.5	18.7
74	Mumbai	24.3	19.3			21.8	20.2			19.7	18.2
75	Shanghai	25.1	23.2			24.5	22.8			24.6	22.1
76	Guangzhou	32.5	32.7			31.7	30.2			31.6	28.6
77	Beijing	24.3	19.3			21.8	20.2			19.7	18.2
78	Kolkata	33.4	31.4			32.9	31.3			32.9	30.8
79	Bangkok	31.8	30.9			31.8	30.2			31.9	30.0
80	Dhaka	33.2	31.9			33.4	31.4			32.7	31.3
81	Karachi	36.4	34.8			35.6	33.9			35.1	33.1
82	Mexico_City	21.4	21.4			21.8	20.7			21.6	21.1
83	New_York	22.2	20.8			20.2	20.2			19.1	17.9
84	Los_Angeles	27.8	26.8			28.2	27.6			28.9	26.8
85	Chicago	19.8	20.1			17.2	18.8			16.3	15.8
86	Dallas	27.9	30.6			26.4	28.9			25.7	26.7
87	Houston	28.7	32.2			28.1	30.8			27.1	29.1
88	Toronto	17.6	16.5			15.5	15.4			14.1	12.7
89	Washington_DC	23.9	23.4			22.5	22.6			21.2	19.9
90	Philadelphia	24.0	22.7			21.5	22.1			20.6	19.5
91	Miami	28.9	28.9			28.3	28.2			28.1	27.1
92	Leon	27.9	27.7			27.7	27.3			27.7	27.4
93	Santa_Ana	29.2	29.3			29.2	28.3			28.7	28.6
94	San_José	24.4	23.7			24.1	23.4			23.9	23.2
95	Panama_City	29.5	28.3			29.3	27.6			29.5	27.8
96	San_Pedro_Sula	31.5	30.1			30.8	29.4			30.8	29.0
97	San_Salvador	30.2	29.6			30.0	28.7			29.6	28.9
98	Guatemala_City	27.7	26.3			27.2	25.7			27.0	25.8
99	Managua	29.1	28.6			29.1	27.8			28.7	27.8
100	Tegucigalpa	26.7	26.2			26.3	25.4			26.0	25.9
101	Port-au-Prince	29.3	30.1			29.2	30.0			28.8	29.9
102	San-Juan	29.6	28.7			29.4	28.9			29.2	28.8
103	Havana	29.8	30.0			29.4	29.4			28.7	28.2
104	Kingston	29.2	28.9			29.1	28.8			28.9	28.7
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	28.9	28.4			28.8	28.2			28.7	28.1
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.9	28.2			28.9	28.1			28.8	27.9
107	Port_of_Spain	29.1	28.9			28.9	28.9			28.9	28.9

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Last Update: Tue Sep 27 06:30:49 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.