Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220918Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 25Sep2022 - 01Oct2022				Week 3: 02Oct2022 - 08Oct2022				Week 4: 09Oct2022 - 15Oct2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	39.4	36.8			39.0	36.7			38.8	37.4
2	Niamey	40.2	36.8			39.8	36.8			39.6	37.9
3	Ouagadougou	38.4	33.0			39.0	33.4			39.1	35.2
4	Mopti	39.1	36.8			39.3	36.9			39.0	37.4
5	Bamako	35.7	31.2			36.6	31.7			36.7	32.8
6	Kayes	40.6	35.9			40.7	36.1			40.4	37.2
7	Tamba	40.1	33.4			41.0	33.6			41.0	35.4
8	Kedougou	33.4	30.8			35.0	30.7			35.5	31.7
9	Saraya	35.3	31.2			37.6	31.2			38.5	32.6
10	Dalafi	38.5	32.0			40.0	32.1			40.6	33.8
11	Goudiri	38.8	32.8			39.3	33.0			39.5	34.7
12	Naye	39.9	34.4			40.0	34.8			40.1	36.2
13	Bakel	40.7	35.9			40.6	35.9			40.5	36.9
14	Koupentoum	38.8	32.8			39.9	32.9			39.7	34.5
15	Mamari	40.9	35.4			40.9	35.6			40.8	36.9
16	Velingara	36.7	32.4			38.7	32.1			38.9	33.4
17	Matam	41.2	37.2			41.3	37.1			40.9	37.9
18	Haire_Lao	41.8	39.3			41.6	38.9			41.2	38.9
19	Podor	41.7	39.2			41.5	38.7			41.1	38.8
20	Richard_Toll	41.7	38.8			41.6	38.3			41.0	38.4
21	Linguere	41.2	36.9			40.9	36.7			40.9	37.6
22	Daraa	41.3	36.7			41.1	36.5			41.0	37.3
23	Louga	40.9	35.9			40.5	35.8			40.6	36.7
24	Touba	40.0	35.3			40.0	35.1			40.1	36.2
25	Diourbel	38.6	34.3			39.4	34.2			39.2	35.4
26	Bambey	38.2	34.1			39.1	34.1			39.0	35.3
27	Koungheul	38.1	32.7			39.2	32.7			39.0	34.2
28	Kaffrine	36.8	32.8			37.8	32.7			38.0	34.0
29	Kaolack	36.6	32.8			37.9	32.7			38.0	34.0
30	Fatick	38.2	34.1			39.1	34.1			39.0	35.3
31	Gossas	38.6	34.3			39.4	34.2			39.2	35.4
32	Freetown	31.5	29.2			31.6	29.3			32.0	30.1
33	Cairo	37.7	35.3			34.5	33.7			34.5	31.6
34	Alexandria	33.4	30.6			31.2	29.3			31.4	27.8
35	Giza	37.7	35.3			34.5	33.7			34.5	31.6
36	Luxor	41.3	39.2			38.7	37.5			37.8	35.6
37	Sirte	34.3	33.3			33.6	32.0			34.9	30.1
38	Tripoli	29.0	28.5			28.5	28.1			28.4	26.3
39	Benghazi	28.2	27.6			28.3	26.9			28.3	25.8
40	Mistratah	30.5	29.5			30.2	29.2			31.1	27.3
41	Tunis	30.9	29.2			30.7	27.8			28.0	26.1
42	Sfax	28.0	27.5			27.1	26.8			26.5	25.7
43	Sousse	31.5	29.6			30.5	28.5			29.3	26.5
44	Algiers	25.5	24.2			25.5	22.9			24.6	22.3
45	Oran	30.7	27.7			31.5	26.9			28.4	26.0
46	Constantine	30.1	27.9			30.5	26.2			27.2	24.3
47	Annaba	28.1	27.0			27.8	25.6			26.6	24.2
48	Casablanca	28.4	25.0			28.8	25.1			28.2	24.9
49	Rabat	25.0	22.5			25.2	22.6			24.5	22.5
50	Fes	31.3	27.0			30.8	27.1			28.9	26.3
51	Sale	27.0	24.5			26.9	24.2			24.3	23.0
52	Riyadh	38.3	36.7			37.2	36.8			35.7	35.6
53	Jeddah	33.4	32.1			32.9	31.0			32.8	30.4
54	Mecca	40.9	39.7			39.7	39.1			38.9	37.7
55	Medina	39.3	38.8			38.5	38.6			37.4	37.1
56	Sanaa	24.6	23.3			24.3	23.5			23.9	22.9
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.3	35.2			36.0	34.0			35.6	33.2
58	Aden	37.3	37.1			36.3	35.0			36.2	34.6
59	London	19.5	17.8			17.9	16.9			18.3	15.5
60	Paris	21.5	20.0			20.1	18.7			21.3	16.7
61	Istanbul	24.9	21.7			23.0	20.2			21.7	17.4
62	Moscow	16.2	12.1			13.2	9.9			11.3	8.5
63	Madrid	25.2	21.0			24.7	20.3			21.9	19.1
64	Rome	27.0	24.8			26.0	23.2			25.5	21.9
65	Frankfurt	21.0	17.7			19.6	16.6			19.9	15.2
66	Kyiv	21.2	16.7			17.5	14.8			18.2	13.0
67	Berlin	20.8	16.6			18.3	15.4			19.0	13.9
68	Bucharest	26.7	22.9			22.8	20.7			21.6	18.5
69	Tokyo	27.5	25.8			26.7	24.6			25.8	23.9
70	Jakarta	27.1	27.2			27.1	27.6			27.1	27.9
71	Delhi	38.0	37.3			37.8	37.0			36.5	36.2
72	Manila	30.3	29.7			30.5	30.1			30.5	29.7
73	Seoul	26.2	25.2			24.5	23.5			22.1	22.2
74	Mumbai	26.5	25.1			25.5	23.6			23.7	22.5
75	Shanghai	27.9	26.0			25.4	24.7			24.9	23.9
76	Guangzhou	35.1	33.3			33.5	31.7			32.4	31.1
77	Beijing	26.5	25.1			25.5	23.6			23.7	22.5
78	Kolkata	34.4	32.8			34.0	32.6			33.2	32.2
79	Bangkok	32.3	30.7			32.2	31.2			32.0	30.7
80	Dhaka	34.2	33.3			33.8	32.9			34.0	32.4
81	Karachi	36.4	32.0			37.4	33.8			36.2	33.8
82	Mexico_City	21.6	19.9			21.8	20.3			22.0	20.3
83	New_York	24.3	22.8			24.9	22.0			20.6	20.2
84	Los_Angeles	31.5	30.6			28.5	27.7			28.8	28.1
85	Chicago	21.9	21.1			21.2	20.7			17.6	17.1
86	Dallas	30.3	30.6			28.7	30.0			27.7	28.1
87	Houston	30.6	32.2			29.3	31.5			29.1	30.4
88	Toronto	19.3	18.1			19.6	16.1			17.1	14.4
89	Washington_DC	27.2	25.2			28.2	24.9			22.4	22.8
90	Philadelphia	26.7	24.5			26.8	24.2			21.9	22.1
91	Miami	30.0	29.1			29.5	28.6			28.8	28.4
92	Leon	28.7	28.2			28.1	27.8			28.0	27.2
93	Santa_Ana	30.2	27.7			29.8	28.2			29.9	28.6
94	San_José	25.0	24.0			24.7	24.1			24.4	23.4
95	Panama_City	30.5	28.4			30.2	28.6			29.6	28.1
96	San_Pedro_Sula	32.9	31.4			32.7	30.7			31.4	29.8
97	San_Salvador	30.8	28.2			30.7	28.6			30.3	29.0
98	Guatemala_City	27.9	26.0			28.2	26.1			28.0	25.9
99	Managua	29.8	28.4			29.3	28.3			29.2	28.0
100	Tegucigalpa	27.2	26.2			27.1	26.1			27.1	25.7
101	Port-au-Prince	30.5	29.5			31.0	29.7			29.9	29.3
102	San-Juan	30.0	28.9			29.8	28.8			29.6	28.5
103	Havana	30.3	30.6			29.9	30.0			30.2	29.6
104	Kingston	29.5	28.9			29.3	28.8			29.3	28.6
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.2	28.4			29.1	28.3			29.1	28.0
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	29.2	28.5			28.9	28.3			29.0	27.9
107	Port_of_Spain	29.1	29.3			29.3	29.0			29.0	28.8

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Last Update: Mon Sep 19 06:30:52 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.