Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220918Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 25Sep2022 - 01Oct2022				Week 3: 02Oct2022 - 08Oct2022				Week 4: 09Oct2022 - 15Oct2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	39.2	36.8			38.8	36.7			38.6	37.4
2	Niamey	39.8	36.8			39.5	36.8			39.4	37.9
3	Ouagadougou	37.8	33.0			38.4	33.4			38.8	35.2
4	Mopti	39.0	36.8			39.1	36.9			38.7	37.4
5	Bamako	35.3	31.2			36.0	31.7			36.5	32.8
6	Kayes	40.3	35.9			39.9	36.1			39.8	37.2
7	Tamba	39.6	33.4			40.5	33.6			40.6	35.4
8	Kedougou	32.8	30.8			34.4	30.7			34.9	31.7
9	Saraya	34.6	31.2			37.0	31.2			37.8	32.6
10	Dalafi	37.6	32.0			39.0	32.1			39.8	33.8
11	Goudiri	38.2	32.8			38.8	33.0			38.9	34.7
12	Naye	39.5	34.4			39.6	34.8			39.5	36.2
13	Bakel	40.2	35.9			40.4	35.9			39.9	36.9
14	Koupentoum	37.7	32.8			39.2	32.9			39.0	34.5
15	Mamari	40.5	35.4			40.6	35.6			40.4	36.9
16	Velingara	35.9	32.4			37.8	32.1			38.4	33.4
17	Matam	41.2	37.2			40.8	37.1			40.4	37.9
18	Haire_Lao	42.0	39.3			41.2	38.9			40.8	38.9
19	Podor	41.9	39.2			41.1	38.7			40.8	38.8
20	Richard_Toll	41.9	38.8			41.1	38.3			40.6	38.4
21	Linguere	40.9	36.9			40.6	36.7			40.4	37.6
22	Daraa	41.3	36.7			40.8	36.5			40.5	37.3
23	Louga	40.6	35.9			40.2	35.8			39.7	36.7
24	Touba	39.7	35.3			39.6	35.1			39.4	36.2
25	Diourbel	38.3	34.3			39.0	34.2			38.8	35.4
26	Bambey	37.7	34.1			38.7	34.1			38.6	35.3
27	Koungheul	37.1	32.7			38.2	32.7			38.4	34.2
28	Kaffrine	36.6	32.8			37.5	32.7			37.5	34.0
29	Kaolack	36.3	32.8			37.5	32.7			37.6	34.0
30	Fatick	37.7	34.1			38.7	34.1			38.6	35.3
31	Gossas	38.3	34.3			39.0	34.2			38.8	35.4
32	Freetown	31.2	29.2			31.5	29.3			31.8	30.1
33	Cairo	37.2	35.3			33.8	33.7			33.6	31.6
34	Alexandria	34.4	30.6			30.5	29.3			30.9	27.8
35	Giza	37.2	35.3			33.8	33.7			33.6	31.6
36	Luxor	40.8	39.2			38.1	37.5			37.2	35.6
37	Sirte	35.2	33.3			32.0	32.0			34.1	30.1
38	Tripoli	28.6	28.5			28.0	28.1			27.9	26.3
39	Benghazi	27.8	27.6			27.5	26.9			27.7	25.8
40	Mistratah	29.3	29.5			29.9	29.2			30.4	27.3
41	Tunis	28.6	29.2			29.4	27.8			27.6	26.1
42	Sfax	26.5	27.5			26.6	26.8			26.1	25.7
43	Sousse	28.8	29.6			29.4	28.5			28.0	26.5
44	Algiers	24.6	24.2			24.8	22.9			23.9	22.3
45	Oran	28.8	27.7			29.9	26.9			27.9	26.0
46	Constantine	28.8	27.9			29.1	26.2			26.4	24.3
47	Annaba	26.7	27.0			27.5	25.6			25.9	24.2
48	Casablanca	28.1	25.0			28.2	25.1			25.8	24.9
49	Rabat	24.5	22.5			24.5	22.6			23.0	22.5
50	Fes	29.9	27.0			30.1	27.1			27.3	26.3
51	Sale	25.3	24.5			26.5	24.2			24.0	23.0
52	Riyadh	38.4	36.7			36.5	36.8			35.4	35.6
53	Jeddah	33.1	32.1			32.7	31.0			32.6	30.4
54	Mecca	41.0	39.7			39.5	39.1			38.2	37.7
55	Medina	39.7	38.8			38.3	38.6			37.1	37.1
56	Sanaa	24.6	23.3			24.0	23.5			23.6	22.9
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.2	35.2			35.6	34.0			35.3	33.2
58	Aden	37.5	37.1			36.0	35.0			35.4	34.6
59	London	19.7	17.8			17.8	16.9			18.0	15.5
60	Paris	21.8	20.0			19.3	18.7			19.4	16.7
61	Istanbul	24.8	21.7			22.9	20.2			20.9	17.4
62	Moscow	15.2	12.1			12.7	9.9			10.7	8.5
63	Madrid	25.7	21.0			24.2	20.3			20.7	19.1
64	Rome	26.8	24.8			25.3	23.2			24.3	21.9
65	Frankfurt	21.7	17.7			18.4	16.6			18.8	15.2
66	Kyiv	19.3	16.7			16.7	14.8			15.0	13.0
67	Berlin	20.8	16.6			17.3	15.4			17.7	13.9
68	Bucharest	24.0	22.9			22.3	20.7			21.3	18.5
69	Tokyo	27.1	25.8			26.4	24.6			24.7	23.9
70	Jakarta	26.7	27.2			26.9	27.6			26.8	27.9
71	Delhi	37.5	37.3			37.5	37.0			36.1	36.2
72	Manila	30.1	29.7			30.1	30.1			29.8	29.7
73	Seoul	26.3	25.2			24.0	23.5			21.7	22.2
74	Mumbai	25.3	25.1			24.6	23.6			22.7	22.5
75	Shanghai	27.8	26.0			25.2	24.7			24.4	23.9
76	Guangzhou	34.5	33.3			32.6	31.7			31.7	31.1
77	Beijing	25.3	25.1			24.6	23.6			22.7	22.5
78	Kolkata	34.1	32.8			33.5	32.6			32.9	32.2
79	Bangkok	32.4	30.7			31.9	31.2			31.7	30.7
80	Dhaka	34.1	33.3			33.3	32.9			33.6	32.4
81	Karachi	35.0	32.0			36.0	33.8			35.6	33.8
82	Mexico_City	21.3	19.9			21.2	20.3			21.8	20.3
83	New_York	24.1	22.8			22.3	22.0			20.3	20.2
84	Los_Angeles	31.3	30.6			28.0	27.7			28.3	28.1
85	Chicago	20.3	21.1			20.2	20.7			17.2	17.1
86	Dallas	29.8	30.6			28.0	30.0			26.5	28.1
87	Houston	29.9	32.2			29.0	31.5			28.3	30.4
88	Toronto	19.1	18.1			17.8	16.1			16.1	14.4
89	Washington_DC	26.7	25.2			24.1	24.9			22.0	22.8
90	Philadelphia	26.4	24.5			24.4	24.2			21.7	22.1
91	Miami	29.6	29.1			29.0	28.6			28.4	28.4
92	Leon	28.6	28.2			27.8	27.8			27.9	27.2
93	Santa_Ana	29.4	27.7			29.3	28.2			29.3	28.6
94	San_José	25.0	24.0			24.3	24.1			24.1	23.4
95	Panama_City	30.2	28.4			29.8	28.6			29.3	28.1
96	San_Pedro_Sula	32.6	31.4			31.3	30.7			31.2	29.8
97	San_Salvador	30.1	28.2			30.1	28.6			30.1	29.0
98	Guatemala_City	27.7	26.0			27.6	26.1			27.4	25.9
99	Managua	29.6	28.4			29.1	28.3			29.1	28.0
100	Tegucigalpa	27.3	26.2			26.7	26.1			26.5	25.7
101	Port-au-Prince	30.6	29.5			29.5	29.7			29.2	29.3
102	San-Juan	29.9	28.9			29.6	28.8			29.4	28.5
103	Havana	30.4	30.6			29.7	30.0			29.6	29.6
104	Kingston	29.4	28.9			29.2	28.8			29.1	28.6
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.2	28.4			28.9	28.3			28.8	28.0
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	29.3	28.5			28.8	28.3			28.9	27.9
107	Port_of_Spain	29.0	29.3			29.1	29.0			28.9	28.8

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Last Update: Mon Sep 19 06:30:50 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.