Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220918Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Sep-20-2022Sep-21-2022Sep-22-2022Sep-23-2022Sep-24-2022
NO Stations 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 38.9 37.3 37.0 36.3 37.2 37.4
2 Niamey 39.5 36.9 37.1 36.2 36.9 37.3
3 Ouagadougou 38.2 32.3 32.8 32.1 33.0 32.7
4 Mopti 39.0 35.3 36.9 36.3 36.4 35.5
5 Bamako 33.6 29.3 30.5 30.5 30.8 30.4
6 Kayes 39.8 31.9 33.5 35.0 35.4 34.1
7 Tamba 38.6 29.0 31.3 31.7 32.3 32.3
8 Kedougou 32.4 29.2 30.0 29.3 29.5 30.0
9 Saraya 33.9 29.6 30.2 30.3 30.2 30.0
10 Dalafi 37.4 28.7 30.7 30.9 30.9 30.5
11 Goudiri 37.1 29.0 30.8 31.5 31.7 31.2
12 Naye 38.4 30.3 32.2 33.2 33.5 32.8
13 Bakel 39.5 31.7 32.9 34.2 35.1 34.4
14 Koupentoum 36.9 29.1 30.1 31.2 31.6 31.7
15 Mamari 39.7 31.4 31.9 33.3 34.4 34.2
16 Velingara 34.8 27.9 31.0 31.0 31.3 31.7
17 Matam 40.6 33.8 33.4 35.0 36.2 35.8
18 Haire_Lao 41.5 38.0 34.2 35.7 37.4 37.6
19 Podor 41.4 38.0 34.2 35.6 36.9 37.3
20 Richard_Toll 41.3 37.3 34.0 35.1 36.0 36.6
21 Linguere 40.4 34.2 32.1 33.8 35.0 35.6
22 Daraa 40.5 34.2 32.0 33.1 34.5 35.1
23 Louga 39.7 33.3 31.6 32.2 33.6 34.2
24 Touba 38.8 33.0 31.0 31.8 33.3 33.8
25 Diourbel 37.6 31.5 30.2 31.2 32.5 33.2
26 Bambey 36.8 31.1 30.1 31.1 32.3 32.9
27 Koungheul 36.6 29.1 29.7 30.9 31.6 31.7
28 Kaffrine 36.0 29.3 29.7 30.7 31.6 31.9
29 Kaolack 36.0 29.2 29.3 30.3 31.3 31.9
30 Fatick 36.8 31.1 30.1 31.1 32.3 32.9
31 Gossas 37.6 31.5 30.2 31.2 32.5 33.2
32 Freetown 30.9 27.4 28.8 29.1 28.3 28.0
33 Cairo 37.0 34.1 33.7 33.8 34.4 34.5
34 Alexandria 33.0 29.5 28.5 29.3 30.0 30.3
35 Giza 37.0 34.1 33.7 33.8 34.4 34.5
36 Luxor 39.7 38.3 38.7 39.1 39.4 39.3
37 Sirte 35.7 32.6 34.2 32.2 31.5 33.7
38 Tripoli 29.2 27.6 27.4 26.6 27.3 28.6
39 Benghazi 29.6 27.0 28.4 29.0 28.1 27.5
40 Mistratah 30.9 28.0 27.6 27.6 27.6 29.6
41 Tunis 30.8 27.1 27.0 28.5 29.4 29.2
42 Sfax 28.2 26.6 26.1 26.0 26.8 27.6
43 Sousse 32.6 27.3 27.0 27.6 29.3 29.4
44 Algiers 25.7 24.5 24.2 25.3 24.9 24.5
45 Oran 30.9 27.6 29.5 29.4 27.0 27.2
46 Constantine 30.1 25.7 25.9 28.5 27.6 27.2
47 Annaba 28.6 25.6 25.7 28.1 27.9 27.1
48 Casablanca 28.8 25.5 25.4 25.0 23.8 24.3
49 Rabat 25.0 23.3 23.1 22.7 22.2 22.3
50 Fes 31.6 28.3 29.6 28.1 26.0 26.1
51 Sale 28.0 25.2 26.4 25.3 23.6 23.6
52 Riyadh 39.3 38.4 38.6 37.9 37.0 36.7
53 Jeddah 33.3 31.3 30.7 31.5 31.8 32.1
54 Mecca 42.3 37.5 38.5 39.4 38.9 39.6
55 Medina 40.9 36.3 37.8 39.3 39.3 39.2
56 Sanaa 25.5 23.3 23.8 23.2 22.8 22.9
57 Al_Hudaydah 36.7 35.2 34.7 34.5 34.9 35.3
58 Aden 38.4 37.2 36.5 36.7 37.9 39.1
59 London 20.3 20.6 19.8 18.2 17.4 17.9
60 Paris 22.4 21.0 21.4 20.0 18.3 18.7
61 Istanbul 25.7 19.0 19.0 19.7 20.5 21.3
62 Moscow 16.6 13.2 12.7 12.0 11.6 12.0
63 Madrid 27.2 25.4 24.2 21.8 20.9 21.3
64 Rome 27.2 23.5 23.8 24.1 23.7 24.3
65 Frankfurt 22.5 17.9 18.2 18.6 17.0 16.5
66 Kyiv 21.3 14.3 14.5 14.4 15.5 16.6
67 Berlin 21.3 16.4 16.5 16.8 16.0 15.9
68 Bucharest 25.6 18.9 18.7 20.2 22.1 23.0
69 Tokyo 29.2 23.3 27.6 29.2 27.5 26.3
70 Jakarta 27.3 27.0 27.2 27.2 27.3 27.3
71 Delhi 38.1 38.1 37.5 36.4 35.9 36.3
72 Manila 30.1 29.5 29.7 29.6 29.8 29.8
73 Seoul 27.6 24.6 23.5 23.7 25.5 25.8
74 Mumbai 29.0 25.3 24.8 26.1 26.6 27.2
75 Shanghai 27.9 25.9 26.9 24.4 25.0 26.1
76 Guangzhou 34.8 32.6 33.3 32.6 32.7 33.8
77 Beijing 29.0 25.3 24.8 26.1 26.6 27.2
78 Kolkata 33.7 31.1 31.1 31.4 31.9 32.5
79 Bangkok 32.6 30.8 31.3 31.1 30.5 30.8
80 Dhaka 33.7 31.5 31.4 31.6 32.2 32.7
81 Karachi 36.6 31.3 30.7 30.3 30.8 31.0
82 Mexico_City 22.0 21.4 21.0 20.8 20.2 20.3
83 New_York 26.6 26.7 24.1 19.8 22.2 23.4
84 Los_Angeles 32.4 26.4 29.4 30.6 30.6 31.1
85 Chicago 23.8 22.7 17.3 19.0 21.0 21.5
86 Dallas 31.5 34.0 33.7 33.5 33.2 32.8
87 Houston 31.9 34.1 34.5 33.8 33.4 33.2
88 Toronto 21.7 22.4 15.3 15.9 17.3 18.5
89 Washington_DC 29.9 31.5 26.2 21.7 25.3 26.2
90 Philadelphia 28.9 29.5 25.1 20.9 23.9 24.8
91 Miami 29.8 29.5 29.4 29.4 29.0 28.8
92 Leon 28.8 28.1 27.8 27.7 27.9 27.7
93 Santa_Ana 29.0 26.5 26.9 27.4 28.4 28.0
94 San_José 24.9 22.9 23.0 23.4 23.9 24.0
95 Panama_City 30.4 26.6 27.4 28.2 28.6 28.3
96 San_Pedro_Sula 33.0 30.7 31.0 31.1 31.3 31.5
97 San_Salvador 30.0 26.7 27.0 27.8 28.5 28.1
98 Guatemala_City 28.2 25.5 25.3 25.9 26.2 26.0
99 Managua 29.6 28.1 27.7 27.9 28.3 28.3
100 Tegucigalpa 27.2 25.9 25.7 26.0 26.7 26.3
101 Port-au-Prince 31.3 29.2 29.2 29.5 29.8 29.6
102 San-Juan 30.0 29.0 29.0 28.7 28.5 28.7
103 Havana 30.9 31.1 31.1 31.3 31.1 31.1
104 Kingston 29.5 29.0 29.1 29.1 29.0 28.8
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 29.2 28.6 28.7 28.6 28.5 28.4
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 29.2 29.4 29.0 28.8 28.4 28.3
107 Port_of_Spain 29.2 29.0 29.3 29.4 29.4 29.4



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Last Update: Mon Sep 19 06:30:48 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.