Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220918Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Sep-20-2022Sep-21-2022Sep-22-2022Sep-23-2022Sep-24-2022
NO Stations 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 38.8 37.3 37.0 36.3 37.2 37.4
2 Niamey 39.1 36.9 37.1 36.2 36.9 37.3
3 Ouagadougou 36.9 32.3 32.8 32.1 33.0 32.7
4 Mopti 38.6 35.3 36.9 36.3 36.4 35.5
5 Bamako 33.3 29.3 30.5 30.5 30.8 30.4
6 Kayes 39.2 31.9 33.5 35.0 35.4 34.1
7 Tamba 37.7 29.0 31.3 31.7 32.3 32.3
8 Kedougou 31.9 29.2 30.0 29.3 29.5 30.0
9 Saraya 33.6 29.6 30.2 30.3 30.2 30.0
10 Dalafi 36.4 28.7 30.7 30.9 30.9 30.5
11 Goudiri 36.3 29.0 30.8 31.5 31.7 31.2
12 Naye 38.0 30.3 32.2 33.2 33.5 32.8
13 Bakel 39.0 31.7 32.9 34.2 35.1 34.4
14 Koupentoum 36.1 29.1 30.1 31.2 31.6 31.7
15 Mamari 39.0 31.4 31.9 33.3 34.4 34.2
16 Velingara 34.4 27.9 31.0 31.0 31.3 31.7
17 Matam 39.8 33.8 33.4 35.0 36.2 35.8
18 Haire_Lao 40.9 38.0 34.2 35.7 37.4 37.6
19 Podor 40.8 38.0 34.2 35.6 36.9 37.3
20 Richard_Toll 40.8 37.3 34.0 35.1 36.0 36.6
21 Linguere 39.7 34.2 32.1 33.8 35.0 35.6
22 Daraa 39.7 34.2 32.0 33.1 34.5 35.1
23 Louga 38.8 33.3 31.6 32.2 33.6 34.2
24 Touba 37.9 33.0 31.0 31.8 33.3 33.8
25 Diourbel 36.8 31.5 30.2 31.2 32.5 33.2
26 Bambey 36.6 31.1 30.1 31.1 32.3 32.9
27 Koungheul 35.8 29.1 29.7 30.9 31.6 31.7
28 Kaffrine 35.3 29.3 29.7 30.7 31.6 31.9
29 Kaolack 35.4 29.2 29.3 30.3 31.3 31.9
30 Fatick 36.6 31.1 30.1 31.1 32.3 32.9
31 Gossas 36.8 31.5 30.2 31.2 32.5 33.2
32 Freetown 30.4 27.4 28.8 29.1 28.3 28.0
33 Cairo 36.2 34.1 33.7 33.8 34.4 34.5
34 Alexandria 32.5 29.5 28.5 29.3 30.0 30.3
35 Giza 36.2 34.1 33.7 33.8 34.4 34.5
36 Luxor 39.5 38.3 38.7 39.1 39.4 39.3
37 Sirte 33.8 32.6 34.2 32.2 31.5 33.7
38 Tripoli 28.7 27.6 27.4 26.6 27.3 28.6
39 Benghazi 27.9 27.0 28.4 29.0 28.1 27.5
40 Mistratah 29.7 28.0 27.6 27.6 27.6 29.6
41 Tunis 29.2 27.1 27.0 28.5 29.4 29.2
42 Sfax 27.2 26.6 26.1 26.0 26.8 27.6
43 Sousse 29.7 27.3 27.0 27.6 29.3 29.4
44 Algiers 24.9 24.5 24.2 25.3 24.9 24.5
45 Oran 30.2 27.6 29.5 29.4 27.0 27.2
46 Constantine 29.5 25.7 25.9 28.5 27.6 27.2
47 Annaba 27.2 25.6 25.7 28.1 27.9 27.1
48 Casablanca 27.7 25.5 25.4 25.0 23.8 24.3
49 Rabat 24.0 23.3 23.1 22.7 22.2 22.3
50 Fes 30.8 28.3 29.6 28.1 26.0 26.1
51 Sale 27.6 25.2 26.4 25.3 23.6 23.6
52 Riyadh 39.2 38.4 38.6 37.9 37.0 36.7
53 Jeddah 32.9 31.3 30.7 31.5 31.8 32.1
54 Mecca 41.8 37.5 38.5 39.4 38.9 39.6
55 Medina 40.6 36.3 37.8 39.3 39.3 39.2
56 Sanaa 25.3 23.3 23.8 23.2 22.8 22.9
57 Al_Hudaydah 36.5 35.2 34.7 34.5 34.9 35.3
58 Aden 38.0 37.2 36.5 36.7 37.9 39.1
59 London 20.1 20.6 19.8 18.2 17.4 17.9
60 Paris 21.8 21.0 21.4 20.0 18.3 18.7
61 Istanbul 25.1 19.0 19.0 19.7 20.5 21.3
62 Moscow 16.0 13.2 12.7 12.0 11.6 12.0
63 Madrid 25.7 25.4 24.2 21.8 20.9 21.3
64 Rome 27.1 23.5 23.8 24.1 23.7 24.3
65 Frankfurt 21.8 17.9 18.2 18.6 17.0 16.5
66 Kyiv 20.2 14.3 14.5 14.4 15.5 16.6
67 Berlin 20.3 16.4 16.5 16.8 16.0 15.9
68 Bucharest 25.0 18.9 18.7 20.2 22.1 23.0
69 Tokyo 28.6 23.3 27.6 29.2 27.5 26.3
70 Jakarta 26.5 27.0 27.2 27.2 27.3 27.3
71 Delhi 37.6 38.1 37.5 36.4 35.9 36.3
72 Manila 30.0 29.5 29.7 29.6 29.8 29.8
73 Seoul 27.1 24.6 23.5 23.7 25.5 25.8
74 Mumbai 28.2 25.3 24.8 26.1 26.6 27.2
75 Shanghai 27.5 25.9 26.9 24.4 25.0 26.1
76 Guangzhou 34.1 32.6 33.3 32.6 32.7 33.8
77 Beijing 28.2 25.3 24.8 26.1 26.6 27.2
78 Kolkata 33.2 31.1 31.1 31.4 31.9 32.5
79 Bangkok 32.0 30.8 31.3 31.1 30.5 30.8
80 Dhaka 33.3 31.5 31.4 31.6 32.2 32.7
81 Karachi 35.6 31.3 30.7 30.3 30.8 31.0
82 Mexico_City 21.7 21.4 21.0 20.8 20.2 20.3
83 New_York 25.9 26.7 24.1 19.8 22.2 23.4
84 Los_Angeles 30.7 26.4 29.4 30.6 30.6 31.1
85 Chicago 22.8 22.7 17.3 19.0 21.0 21.5
86 Dallas 30.7 34.0 33.7 33.5 33.2 32.8
87 Houston 30.8 34.1 34.5 33.8 33.4 33.2
88 Toronto 21.5 22.4 15.3 15.9 17.3 18.5
89 Washington_DC 28.3 31.5 26.2 21.7 25.3 26.2
90 Philadelphia 28.0 29.5 25.1 20.9 23.9 24.8
91 Miami 29.6 29.5 29.4 29.4 29.0 28.8
92 Leon 28.4 28.1 27.8 27.7 27.9 27.7
93 Santa_Ana 28.5 26.5 26.9 27.4 28.4 28.0
94 San_José 24.7 22.9 23.0 23.4 23.9 24.0
95 Panama_City 30.0 26.6 27.4 28.2 28.6 28.3
96 San_Pedro_Sula 32.5 30.7 31.0 31.1 31.3 31.5
97 San_Salvador 29.5 26.7 27.0 27.8 28.5 28.1
98 Guatemala_City 27.9 25.5 25.3 25.9 26.2 26.0
99 Managua 29.4 28.1 27.7 27.9 28.3 28.3
100 Tegucigalpa 26.9 25.9 25.7 26.0 26.7 26.3
101 Port-au-Prince 30.8 29.2 29.2 29.5 29.8 29.6
102 San-Juan 29.9 29.0 29.0 28.7 28.5 28.7
103 Havana 30.6 31.1 31.1 31.3 31.1 31.1
104 Kingston 29.3 29.0 29.1 29.1 29.0 28.8
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 29.1 28.6 28.7 28.6 28.5 28.4
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 29.1 29.4 29.0 28.8 28.4 28.3
107 Port_of_Spain 29.1 29.0 29.3 29.4 29.4 29.4



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Last Update: Mon Sep 19 06:30:46 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.