Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220916Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 23Sep2022 - 29Sep2022				Week 3: 30Sep2022 - 06Oct2022				Week 4: 07Oct2022 - 13Oct2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	39.4	36.7			39.5	37.1			38.8	37.6
2	Niamey	40.1	36.4			39.8	37.0			39.7	37.9
3	Ouagadougou	38.7	32.5			38.9	33.7			39.1	35.4
4	Mopti	39.3	36.7			39.6	37.3			39.2	37.7
5	Bamako	35.5	30.7			36.5	31.6			36.9	33.0
6	Kayes	40.6	35.4			40.5	36.7			40.4	37.7
7	Tamba	39.7	33.2			40.4	34.6			41.3	36.3
8	Kedougou	33.2	30.4			34.2	31.0			35.3	32.1
9	Saraya	34.8	30.8			37.0	31.7			38.1	33.1
10	Dalafi	38.1	31.5			39.5	32.5			40.3	34.0
11	Goudiri	38.6	32.5			38.9	33.7			39.4	35.2
12	Naye	39.4	34.3			39.7	35.6			40.0	36.9
13	Bakel	40.4	35.6			40.5	36.6			40.7	37.7
14	Koupentoum	38.4	32.7			39.2	33.8			39.9	35.2
15	Mamari	40.5	35.3			40.6	36.4			41.1	37.6
16	Velingara	36.3	32.3			37.8	33.1			38.7	34.3
17	Matam	40.9	36.9			41.0	37.6			41.0	38.6
18	Haire_Lao	41.8	38.6			41.5	39.0			41.4	39.6
19	Podor	41.7	38.3			41.4	38.7			41.2	39.3
20	Richard_Toll	41.7	38.0			41.4	38.3			41.1	38.9
21	Linguere	41.0	36.2			41.0	37.1			41.2	38.0
22	Daraa	41.0	36.0			41.0	36.9			41.2	37.8
23	Louga	40.3	35.4			40.5	36.2			40.4	37.0
24	Touba	39.5	34.9			40.0	35.7			40.1	36.7
25	Diourbel	38.3	34.1			38.9	34.9			39.4	35.9
26	Bambey	37.7	34.0			38.7	34.7			39.3	35.8
27	Koungheul	37.9	32.6			38.2	33.6			39.3	35.0
28	Kaffrine	36.6	32.6			37.3	33.5			38.3	34.6
29	Kaolack	36.3	32.6			37.4	33.4			38.4	34.5
30	Fatick	37.7	34.0			38.7	34.7			39.3	35.8
31	Gossas	38.3	34.1			38.9	34.9			39.4	35.9
32	Freetown	31.3	28.8			31.7	29.6			31.8	30.1
33	Cairo	38.2	34.1			34.4	33.1			34.5	31.6
34	Alexandria	35.1	29.6			30.9	28.8			31.5	27.9
35	Giza	38.2	34.1			34.4	33.1			34.5	31.6
36	Luxor	41.1	37.9			38.9	36.5			37.6	35.3
37	Sirte	35.0	32.8			32.7	32.3			34.1	29.3
38	Tripoli	28.7	28.2			28.3	27.6			28.8	25.3
39	Benghazi	28.2	27.8			28.0	26.9			28.3	25.4
40	Mistratah	30.6	29.1			29.7	28.8			30.8	26.6
41	Tunis	29.6	29.1			30.5	28.1			28.7	26.3
42	Sfax	27.5	27.3			26.8	26.8			27.3	25.3
43	Sousse	30.9	29.1			30.3	28.3			29.9	26.3
44	Algiers	25.1	24.6			25.7	23.3			24.6	22.4
45	Oran	30.8	28.2			31.7	27.2			29.0	27.1
46	Constantine	29.7	28.1			30.5	26.5			27.3	25.4
47	Annaba	27.9	27.3			28.5	26.1			26.7	24.9
48	Casablanca	28.1	25.2			29.6	25.5			28.4	25.8
49	Rabat	24.6	22.8			25.8	22.7			24.6	22.7
50	Fes	30.3	27.5			31.4	27.4			29.6	28.1
51	Sale	26.4	25.0			26.9	24.1			25.1	24.6
52	Riyadh	38.7	36.7			37.2	36.4			36.0	35.8
53	Jeddah	33.4	31.8			33.1	31.2			32.8	30.5
54	Mecca	41.1	39.7			40.1	39.1			38.8	37.8
55	Medina	39.8	38.6			38.7	38.2			37.6	37.5
56	Sanaa	24.8	23.4			24.3	23.4			23.9	22.9
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.3	35.2			36.2	34.3			35.7	33.4
58	Aden	37.6	37.6			36.4	35.8			36.3	34.7
59	London	20.3	19.5			18.1	18.0			18.6	17.1
60	Paris	21.7	21.2			20.3	19.5			20.8	18.7
61	Istanbul	24.9	20.2			23.6	19.5			22.0	17.4
62	Moscow	16.7	11.4			14.2	12.0			12.4	10.0
63	Madrid	25.2	22.3			25.2	21.2			22.7	20.8
64	Rome	27.7	24.6			26.4	24.2			25.7	23.2
65	Frankfurt	21.6	19.2			19.6	18.0			19.9	17.1
66	Kyiv	20.6	15.5			19.1	16.2			16.7	14.7
67	Berlin	21.4	18.0			18.4	17.1			18.7	16.2
68	Bucharest	25.5	21.0			25.0	21.8			21.5	20.2
69	Tokyo	27.6	26.8			27.9	25.2			25.2	23.3
70	Jakarta	27.0	27.4			27.2	27.6			27.3	27.8
71	Delhi	37.8	36.9			37.9	37.1			37.0	36.8
72	Manila	30.1	29.9			30.4	30.2			30.4	30.0
73	Seoul	26.6	25.5			24.5	25.1			22.7	22.2
74	Mumbai	26.5	27.1			25.3	24.5			23.0	22.2
75	Shanghai	28.0	25.5			26.5	25.4			25.4	23.7
76	Guangzhou	34.8	32.4			33.8	31.8			32.2	31.5
77	Beijing	26.5	27.1			25.3	24.5			23.0	22.2
78	Kolkata	34.4	32.4			33.9	32.5			33.5	32.5
79	Bangkok	32.6	31.6			32.1	31.0			32.1	30.8
80	Dhaka	34.2	32.6			34.1	32.6			33.6	32.7
81	Karachi	36.0	31.3			37.2	33.5			37.2	34.3
82	Mexico_City	21.4	19.9			22.0	20.6			22.2	20.2
83	New_York	24.8	23.6			24.5	22.3			22.1	21.5
84	Los_Angeles	32.4	32.1			27.6	28.6			29.0	28.5
85	Chicago	21.7	20.1			21.2	20.5			18.9	20.7
86	Dallas	30.7	30.4			29.6	30.3			27.4	29.2
87	Houston	30.6	32.1			29.7	31.6			28.7	30.8
88	Toronto	20.0	17.3			19.6	16.6			17.3	16.5
89	Washington_DC	26.4	26.3			28.0	25.6			23.8	24.8
90	Philadelphia	26.8	25.7			27.2	25.0			23.8	24.3
91	Miami	29.9	29.7			29.5	29.2			29.1	28.6
92	Leon	28.8	28.1			28.3	27.8			28.1	27.5
93	Santa_Ana	29.9	27.3			29.7	27.9			29.7	27.8
94	San_José	25.2	24.0			24.6	23.7			24.8	23.4
95	Panama_City	30.4	28.3			30.2	28.2			29.8	28.1
96	San_Pedro_Sula	33.0	31.7			32.7	30.9			32.0	30.3
97	San_Salvador	30.4	27.9			30.7	28.3			30.5	28.3
98	Guatemala_City	28.0	26.1			28.3	26.2			28.2	25.8
99	Managua	29.7	28.2			29.5	28.0			29.4	27.8
100	Tegucigalpa	27.2	26.0			27.2	26.0			26.9	25.5
101	Port-au-Prince	31.6	28.9			30.6	28.8			30.1	28.5
102	San-Juan	30.1	28.9			29.8	28.9			29.7	28.9
103	Havana	30.6	30.9			30.0	30.4			30.2	29.9
104	Kingston	29.6	29.0			29.3	29.0			29.3	29.0
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.3	28.5			29.0	28.4			29.0	28.3
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	29.4	28.5			29.0	28.4			29.0	28.2
107	Port_of_Spain	29.2	29.4			29.3	29.2			29.1	29.0

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Last Update: Sat Sep 17 06:31:12 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.