Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220916Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 23Sep2022 - 29Sep2022				Week 3: 30Sep2022 - 06Oct2022				Week 4: 07Oct2022 - 13Oct2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	39.2	36.7			39.2	37.1			38.6	37.6
2	Niamey	39.7	36.4			39.7	37.0			39.4	37.9
3	Ouagadougou	38.0	32.5			38.3	33.7			38.8	35.4
4	Mopti	39.1	36.7			39.3	37.3			38.8	37.7
5	Bamako	34.5	30.7			35.9	31.6			36.5	33.0
6	Kayes	39.6	35.4			39.9	36.7			39.9	37.7
7	Tamba	39.0	33.2			39.9	34.6			40.7	36.3
8	Kedougou	32.6	30.4			33.5	31.0			34.5	32.1
9	Saraya	34.3	30.8			35.9	31.7			37.5	33.1
10	Dalafi	37.5	31.5			38.6	32.5			39.5	34.0
11	Goudiri	37.9	32.5			38.2	33.7			38.9	35.2
12	Naye	38.7	34.3			39.2	35.6			39.5	36.9
13	Bakel	39.7	35.6			40.1	36.6			39.9	37.7
14	Koupentoum	37.5	32.7			38.8	33.8			39.0	35.2
15	Mamari	39.9	35.3			40.3	36.4			40.5	37.6
16	Velingara	35.8	32.3			37.1	33.1			37.8	34.3
17	Matam	40.5	36.9			40.7	37.6			40.7	38.6
18	Haire_Lao	41.5	38.6			41.3	39.0			41.0	39.6
19	Podor	41.4	38.3			41.2	38.7			40.8	39.3
20	Richard_Toll	41.3	38.0			41.2	38.3			40.6	38.9
21	Linguere	40.5	36.2			40.6	37.1			40.6	38.0
22	Daraa	40.8	36.0			40.8	36.9			40.7	37.8
23	Louga	39.9	35.4			40.2	36.2			40.0	37.0
24	Touba	38.9	34.9			39.5	35.7			39.7	36.7
25	Diourbel	37.9	34.1			38.6	34.9			38.9	35.9
26	Bambey	37.1	34.0			38.3	34.7			38.7	35.8
27	Koungheul	36.7	32.6			37.7	33.6			38.2	35.0
28	Kaffrine	36.1	32.6			36.9	33.5			37.6	34.6
29	Kaolack	35.8	32.6			36.9	33.4			37.6	34.5
30	Fatick	37.1	34.0			38.3	34.7			38.7	35.8
31	Gossas	37.9	34.1			38.6	34.9			38.9	35.9
32	Freetown	31.1	28.8			31.5	29.6			31.6	30.1
33	Cairo	36.7	34.1			33.9	33.1			33.1	31.6
34	Alexandria	33.3	29.6			30.4	28.8			30.4	27.9
35	Giza	36.7	34.1			33.9	33.1			33.1	31.6
36	Luxor	40.6	37.9			37.7	36.5			37.2	35.3
37	Sirte	35.0	32.8			31.9	32.3			33.6	29.3
38	Tripoli	27.8	28.2			27.9	27.6			28.2	25.3
39	Benghazi	28.0	27.8			27.6	26.9			27.8	25.4
40	Mistratah	28.6	29.1			28.8	28.8			30.3	26.6
41	Tunis	28.0	29.1			29.4	28.1			27.7	26.3
42	Sfax	26.7	27.3			26.6	26.8			26.6	25.3
43	Sousse	28.3	29.1			29.6	28.3			28.7	26.3
44	Algiers	24.5	24.6			25.4	23.3			24.1	22.4
45	Oran	28.9	28.2			31.1	27.2			27.6	27.1
46	Constantine	27.6	28.1			29.2	26.5			26.3	25.4
47	Annaba	26.5	27.3			27.5	26.1			25.7	24.9
48	Casablanca	27.7	25.2			28.6	25.5			26.6	25.8
49	Rabat	24.0	22.8			24.6	22.7			23.7	22.7
50	Fes	29.9	27.5			30.2	27.4			28.5	28.1
51	Sale	25.3	25.0			26.5	24.1			24.0	24.6
52	Riyadh	38.6	36.7			36.9	36.4			35.6	35.8
53	Jeddah	33.0	31.8			32.9	31.2			32.6	30.5
54	Mecca	41.0	39.7			39.8	39.1			38.6	37.8
55	Medina	39.9	38.6			38.4	38.2			37.4	37.5
56	Sanaa	24.6	23.4			24.0	23.4			23.7	22.9
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.3	35.2			35.9	34.3			35.4	33.4
58	Aden	37.4	37.6			36.1	35.8			35.6	34.7
59	London	19.5	19.5			17.6	18.0			18.1	17.1
60	Paris	21.5	21.2			20.0	19.5			19.9	18.7
61	Istanbul	25.0	20.2			23.3	19.5			21.2	17.4
62	Moscow	14.9	11.4			14.0	12.0			10.2	10.0
63	Madrid	24.7	22.3			24.2	21.2			21.4	20.8
64	Rome	26.3	24.6			26.0	24.2			24.4	23.2
65	Frankfurt	21.1	19.2			19.3	18.0			19.2	17.1
66	Kyiv	20.0	15.5			18.6	16.2			16.0	14.7
67	Berlin	19.8	18.0			18.1	17.1			17.9	16.2
68	Bucharest	24.1	21.0			23.8	21.8			20.8	20.2
69	Tokyo	27.2	26.8			26.4	25.2			24.7	23.3
70	Jakarta	26.7	27.4			26.8	27.6			26.8	27.8
71	Delhi	37.6	36.9			37.5	37.1			36.5	36.8
72	Manila	30.0	29.9			30.1	30.2			29.8	30.0
73	Seoul	26.3	25.5			24.3	25.1			21.6	22.2
74	Mumbai	26.1	27.1			24.4	24.5			22.3	22.2
75	Shanghai	27.4	25.5			26.2	25.4			24.8	23.7
76	Guangzhou	34.2	32.4			32.9	31.8			31.9	31.5
77	Beijing	26.1	27.1			24.4	24.5			22.3	22.2
78	Kolkata	34.0	32.4			33.8	32.5			33.2	32.5
79	Bangkok	32.4	31.6			31.8	31.0			31.9	30.8
80	Dhaka	33.8	32.6			33.8	32.6			33.3	32.7
81	Karachi	35.4	31.3			36.7	33.5			35.6	34.3
82	Mexico_City	20.8	19.9			21.7	20.6			21.9	20.2
83	New_York	24.4	23.6			23.6	22.3			21.1	21.5
84	Los_Angeles	31.8	32.1			27.1	28.6			27.6	28.5
85	Chicago	21.1	20.1			20.9	20.5			18.6	20.7
86	Dallas	29.8	30.4			28.4	30.3			26.6	29.2
87	Houston	29.9	32.1			29.3	31.6			28.4	30.8
88	Toronto	19.7	17.3			19.2	16.6			16.9	16.5
89	Washington_DC	26.2	26.3			26.2	25.6			22.6	24.8
90	Philadelphia	26.6	25.7			25.9	25.0			22.7	24.3
91	Miami	29.6	29.7			29.0	29.2			28.9	28.6
92	Leon	28.6	28.1			27.8	27.8			27.8	27.5
93	Santa_Ana	28.9	27.3			29.4	27.9			29.1	27.8
94	San_José	24.8	24.0			24.3	23.7			24.5	23.4
95	Panama_City	30.0	28.3			29.9	28.2			29.5	28.1
96	San_Pedro_Sula	32.3	31.7			31.9	30.9			31.7	30.3
97	San_Salvador	29.7	27.9			30.4	28.3			30.1	28.3
98	Guatemala_City	27.6	26.1			27.6	26.2			27.5	25.8
99	Managua	29.5	28.2			29.2	28.0			29.1	27.8
100	Tegucigalpa	27.1	26.0			26.7	26.0			26.6	25.5
101	Port-au-Prince	30.5	28.9			29.5	28.8			29.5	28.5
102	San-Juan	29.9	28.9			29.5	28.9			29.4	28.9
103	Havana	30.2	30.9			29.7	30.4			30.1	29.9
104	Kingston	29.4	29.0			29.2	29.0			29.1	29.0
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.3	28.5			28.9	28.4			28.9	28.3
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	29.2	28.5			28.8	28.4			28.9	28.2
107	Port_of_Spain	29.0	29.4			29.1	29.2			29.0	29.0

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Last Update: Sat Sep 17 06:31:10 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.