Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220916Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

			Sep-18-2022			Sep-19-2022			Sep-20-2022			Sep-21-2022			Sep-22-2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	38.7	35.0			35.9			37.0			36.7			36.1
2	Niamey	39.4	33.9			34.7			36.3			36.4			35.8
3	Ouagadougou	38.0	29.5			30.3			32.0			32.1			32.1
4	Mopti	38.9	35.9			35.2			35.6			36.3			36.2
5	Bamako	33.5	29.7			28.4			29.7			30.6			30.4
6	Kayes	39.4	34.1			34.4			33.8			34.1			34.5
7	Tamba	38.6	32.3			32.5			31.4			32.0			31.8
8	Kedougou	32.3	30.3			29.0			30.2			29.6			29.8
9	Saraya	33.7	30.3			29.3			30.3			30.0			30.3
10	Dalafi	36.8	30.8			30.5			30.5			30.7			30.6
11	Goudiri	36.8	31.4			31.2			30.9			31.1			31.3
12	Naye	38.1	32.9			32.9			32.6			32.9			33.2
13	Bakel	39.4	34.2			34.9			34.3			34.1			34.4
14	Koupentoum	36.6	31.2			32.1			31.0			31.0			31.4
15	Mamari	39.5	33.8			34.9			33.7			33.5			33.8
16	Velingara	34.8	31.8			32.0			29.9			30.8			31.2
17	Matam	40.3	35.4			36.8			36.0			35.2			35.5
18	Haire_Lao	40.8	37.1			39.6			39.3			37.0			37.0
19	Podor	40.8	36.9			39.5			38.9			36.8			36.9
20	Richard_Toll	40.5	36.9			39.2			38.2			36.6			36.3
21	Linguere	39.7	34.6			36.6			35.2			34.4			34.4
22	Daraa	39.8	34.7			36.6			35.1			34.3			34.1
23	Louga	39.2	34.4			35.7			34.8			33.9			33.3
24	Touba	38.3	33.8			35.3			34.0			33.4			33.1
25	Diourbel	37.2	32.8			34.3			32.8			32.3			32.5
26	Bambey	36.5	33.1			34.0			32.4			32.3			32.3
27	Koungheul	36.4	31.2			32.2			31.2			30.9			31.2
28	Kaffrine	35.6	31.3			32.5			31.2			30.8			31.2
29	Kaolack	35.6	31.5			32.6			31.0			30.8			31.2
30	Fatick	36.5	33.1			34.0			32.4			32.3			32.3
31	Gossas	37.2	32.8			34.3			32.8			32.3			32.5
32	Freetown	30.6	28.1			26.3			27.3			28.5			28.0
33	Cairo	36.7	33.9			33.5			34.4			35.1			36.5
34	Alexandria	32.3	29.5			29.4			29.8			30.5			32.1
35	Giza	36.7	33.9			33.5			34.4			35.1			36.5
36	Luxor	39.8	36.2			36.4			37.7			39.1			39.9
37	Sirte	36.5	40.8			36.4			36.2			34.4			32.2
38	Tripoli	29.8	30.9			29.2			28.9			28.2			27.5
39	Benghazi	29.2	28.5			29.6			29.1			29.3			28.0
40	Mistratah	31.5	33.4			30.4			30.0			28.5			27.7
41	Tunis	32.2	29.6			28.2			27.4			27.0			28.5
42	Sfax	28.4	28.8			27.8			27.3			26.7			26.7
43	Sousse	33.3	31.6			29.2			28.2			27.6			28.0
44	Algiers	26.0	24.7			24.6			24.3			24.1			24.9
45	Oran	31.3	27.8			27.5			27.8			28.8			29.7
46	Constantine	32.3	28.4			27.4			25.8			26.4			28.3
47	Annaba	29.2	26.8			26.4			25.9			26.3			27.7
48	Casablanca	28.7	25.4			25.2			25.5			25.4			25.7
49	Rabat	24.9	23.2			23.2			23.3			23.4			23.3
50	Fes	32.5	28.0			27.7			28.3			28.7			28.7
51	Sale	28.0	25.1			24.3			24.3			25.6			26.1
52	Riyadh	40.0	39.2			39.0			39.2			38.8			37.6
53	Jeddah	33.2	32.3			31.9			31.5			31.5			31.6
54	Mecca	42.4	40.3			39.4			38.9			39.9			40.3
55	Medina	41.2	38.9			38.6			38.0			38.3			38.8
56	Sanaa	25.6	23.8			23.4			23.6			23.9			23.8
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.6	36.0			36.0			35.4			35.1			34.9
58	Aden	39.0	38.5			38.0			37.4			37.2			38.0
59	London	21.0	18.2			19.7			19.9			20.2			19.6
60	Paris	23.2	17.9			19.3			21.0			21.8			22.0
61	Istanbul	25.9	21.8			20.2			19.5			19.4			19.0
62	Moscow	18.7	12.6			13.7			12.0			10.4			10.4
63	Madrid	27.3	25.9			25.2			25.0			23.8			22.8
64	Rome	28.0	25.6			25.0			24.2			24.3			24.2
65	Frankfurt	23.4	16.0			16.5			18.0			18.5			19.5
66	Kyiv	22.4	15.8			15.9			15.3			13.7			13.2
67	Berlin	22.6	15.6			16.0			15.9			16.3			17.3
68	Bucharest	27.1	20.0			19.3			19.1			19.0			18.7
69	Tokyo	29.8	29.7			26.8			25.4			28.1			29.0
70	Jakarta	27.4	26.9			26.9			27.0			27.1			27.3
71	Delhi	38.5	38.7			38.8			38.9			38.9			37.8
72	Manila	30.2	28.4			29.3			29.8			29.4			28.9
73	Seoul	28.3	22.5			23.5			24.9			23.9			22.7
74	Mumbai	28.9	24.1			26.6			26.2			23.3			25.3
75	Shanghai	29.4	25.3			25.1			26.0			26.8			24.1
76	Guangzhou	35.1	35.2			33.6			33.3			33.7			32.9
77	Beijing	28.9	24.1			26.6			26.2			23.3			25.3
78	Kolkata	33.5	33.2			31.9			30.7			31.0			31.2
79	Bangkok	32.3	30.1			30.5			31.4			31.1			30.8
80	Dhaka	33.6	33.8			32.2			31.0			31.0			31.5
81	Karachi	37.1	30.1			29.9			30.2			30.6			30.5
82	Mexico_City	21.9	20.4			20.5			20.8			20.3			20.3
83	New_York	26.6	28.8			27.9			27.5			28.4			25.9
84	Los_Angeles	32.0	23.9			24.5			27.5			30.4			31.9
85	Chicago	24.1	26.0			28.5			29.2			25.4			21.6
86	Dallas	32.3	33.1			33.7			33.8			33.9			33.0
87	Houston	31.4	32.4			32.8			33.2			33.7			33.0
88	Toronto	22.4	22.4			21.3			23.2			22.3			18.5
89	Washington_DC	29.4	31.9			31.4			32.0			32.6			29.7
90	Philadelphia	28.8	31.1			30.5			30.8			31.4			28.8
91	Miami	29.9	29.8			29.6			29.6			29.6			29.6
92	Leon	28.9	28.2			28.2			28.1			27.7			28.2
93	Santa_Ana	29.4	28.5			27.6			27.6			27.0			26.9
94	San_José	25.1	22.9			22.7			22.9			23.3			24.2
95	Panama_City	30.3	26.4			26.4			26.9			28.2			28.7
96	San_Pedro_Sula	33.1	31.7			31.3			31.3			31.2			32.2
97	San_Salvador	30.1	28.8			28.0			27.8			27.2			27.6
98	Guatemala_City	28.4	27.0			26.5			26.3			26.0			26.0
99	Managua	29.8	28.4			28.1			27.7			27.6			27.9
100	Tegucigalpa	27.7	27.4			26.6			26.3			25.9			25.9
101	Port-au-Prince	31.1	27.7			27.8			28.1			28.7			29.0
102	San-Juan	30.0	28.9			29.1			29.3			29.2			28.9
103	Havana	31.0	31.0			30.9			30.8			30.9			30.9
104	Kingston	29.4	29.1			29.0			29.0			29.1			29.0
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.2	28.8			28.6			28.5			28.6			28.6
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	29.1	28.3			28.7			28.9			28.9			28.6
107	Port_of_Spain	29.3	29.4			29.4			29.2			29.3			29.4

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Last Update: Sat Sep 17 06:31:08 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.