Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220906Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 13Sep2022 - 19Sep2022				Week 3: 20Sep2022 - 26Sep2022				Week 4: 27Sep2022 - 03Oct2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	38.4	35.7			39.3	36.0			39.6	36.6
2	Niamey	39.1	36.0			40.0	36.0			39.9	36.5
3	Ouagadougou	37.5	32.1			38.8	32.4			38.3	33.4
4	Mopti	38.5	36.4			39.2	36.3			39.2	36.5
5	Bamako	33.2	30.7			34.6	30.6			35.8	31.2
6	Kayes	38.7	34.8			40.2	35.3			40.5	35.9
7	Tamba	37.6	32.6			39.6	33.0			40.2	33.7
8	Kedougou	32.1	30.3			32.8	30.2			33.7	30.5
9	Saraya	33.5	30.6			34.4	30.7			35.9	31.1
10	Dalafi	35.6	31.4			38.3	31.5			38.8	32.0
11	Goudiri	35.9	31.9			38.2	32.3			38.7	32.9
12	Naye	37.6	33.3			39.2	33.9			39.8	34.6
13	Bakel	39.1	34.8			40.0	35.2			40.7	35.9
14	Koupentoum	35.9	31.9			37.8	32.2			39.1	33.0
15	Mamari	39.0	34.2			40.2	34.8			40.8	35.6
16	Velingara	34.0	32.2			35.7	31.8			37.0	32.4
17	Matam	39.8	36.2			40.7	36.5			41.3	37.2
18	Haire_Lao	40.6	38.8			41.5	38.9			41.7	39.0
19	Podor	40.6	38.7			41.4	38.7			41.7	38.8
20	Richard_Toll	40.1	38.0			41.4	37.9			41.5	38.4
21	Linguere	39.4	36.1			40.6	36.5			41.2	36.8
22	Daraa	39.8	35.8			40.5	36.0			41.3	36.6
23	Louga	38.6	35.0			39.7	35.1			40.9	35.8
24	Touba	38.2	34.6			38.7	34.7			40.1	35.3
25	Diourbel	36.9	33.7			37.8	33.8			38.7	34.3
26	Bambey	36.7	33.5			37.4	33.6			38.3	34.1
27	Koungheul	35.8	32.0			37.1	32.2			37.8	32.8
28	Kaffrine	35.1	32.3			36.2	32.4			37.1	32.9
29	Kaolack	35.3	32.3			35.9	32.4			37.0	32.9
30	Fatick	36.7	33.5			37.4	33.6			38.3	34.1
31	Gossas	36.9	33.7			37.8	33.8			38.7	34.3
32	Freetown	30.4	28.7			31.0	28.4			31.7	28.9
33	Cairo	37.0	35.5			36.8	35.0			35.8	34.0
34	Alexandria	33.1	30.8			33.2	30.2			32.4	29.3
35	Giza	37.0	35.5			36.8	35.0			35.8	34.0
36	Luxor	40.0	38.3			40.3	38.1			40.3	37.5
37	Sirte	36.2	34.4			34.8	33.1			33.9	31.2
38	Tripoli	29.4	29.2			29.3	28.1			28.7	26.8
39	Benghazi	29.1	28.4			29.4	27.5			27.6	26.8
40	Mistratah	31.6	30.7			30.5	29.5			30.1	28.1
41	Tunis	33.1	31.7			29.6	29.7			31.2	27.9
42	Sfax	28.4	28.1			27.6	27.0			27.6	26.0
43	Sousse	33.3	32.0			31.1	29.9			31.5	28.1
44	Algiers	26.5	25.1			25.2	23.7			25.3	22.7
45	Oran	31.6	30.2			30.6	29.4			30.7	27.9
46	Constantine	32.7	31.6			30.1	29.7			30.4	27.3
47	Annaba	29.5	28.3			27.5	27.0			28.5	25.4
48	Casablanca	28.4	26.3			28.2	26.5			29.4	26.2
49	Rabat	24.5	23.1			24.3	22.9			25.3	22.6
50	Fes	31.7	30.6			31.5	30.7			30.8	29.7
51	Sale	28.6	28.3			26.9	27.8			26.8	26.3
52	Riyadh	40.4	40.2			39.1	38.8			37.8	37.6
53	Jeddah	33.3	32.0			33.3	31.7			33.3	31.1
54	Mecca	42.2	40.2			41.7	40.5			40.6	39.5
55	Medina	41.4	40.5			40.5	39.9			39.0	39.2
56	Sanaa	25.7	24.8			25.2	24.5			24.4	23.8
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.6	35.3			36.6	34.9			36.1	34.2
58	Aden	39.2	38.3			38.2	37.4			36.9	36.6
59	London	22.4	20.3			20.5	19.1			19.1	18.1
60	Paris	24.3	21.9			22.1	20.8			21.0	19.7
61	Istanbul	26.4	23.9			26.1	21.0			24.0	19.0
62	Moscow	19.4	15.5			17.9	13.8			16.2	12.7
63	Madrid	27.4	25.8			26.6	24.8			25.7	23.5
64	Rome	29.0	28.4			27.4	26.4			26.6	24.7
65	Frankfurt	24.1	21.0			22.5	19.5			20.1	18.3
66	Kyiv	22.7	21.0			20.5	17.9			20.4	17.6
67	Berlin	24.2	20.0			20.8	18.2			20.2	17.0
68	Bucharest	28.5	26.3			25.4	23.0			25.9	22.1
69	Tokyo	30.9	30.4			28.2	27.8			27.9	25.7
70	Jakarta	27.4	27.3			27.1	27.4			27.3	27.7
71	Delhi	38.4	34.7			37.9	34.8			37.8	35.2
72	Manila	30.3	29.6			30.0	29.8			30.3	29.9
73	Seoul	29.2	27.4			27.1	25.9			25.7	23.6
74	Mumbai	29.8	28.6			28.3	26.5			26.0	24.4
75	Shanghai	30.4	28.7			27.8	27.0			27.9	25.9
76	Guangzhou	35.3	33.7			34.6	32.6			34.4	31.6
77	Beijing	29.8	28.6			28.3	26.5			26.0	24.4
78	Kolkata	34.0	31.8			34.0	31.7			34.4	31.4
79	Bangkok	32.2	31.2			32.4	31.5			32.2	31.7
80	Dhaka	34.4	32.3			33.9	32.1			34.6	31.7
81	Karachi	36.6	33.2			36.5	33.4			37.0	33.7
82	Mexico_City	22.0	20.2			21.5	20.3			22.2	20.2
83	New_York	25.9	27.0			26.6	23.9			24.3	22.1
84	Los_Angeles	30.7	27.5			31.8	29.4			29.2	29.0
85	Chicago	23.9	25.6			22.6	21.5			22.1	20.4
86	Dallas	32.8	31.1			31.6	29.8			30.2	28.3
87	Houston	32.2	31.3			31.9	30.9			30.4	30.2
88	Toronto	22.8	20.9			21.1	18.2			19.7	16.2
89	Washington_DC	29.1	30.4			29.8	26.8			27.5	24.8
90	Philadelphia	28.5	29.7			29.1	26.3			26.8	24.4
91	Miami	30.1	30.0			29.8	29.9			30.1	29.4
92	Leon	28.6	28.1			28.8	27.6			28.6	27.7
93	Santa_Ana	30.0	28.2			29.2	28.0			30.0	28.0
94	San_José	25.3	24.2			25.1	23.9			24.5	23.7
95	Panama_City	30.0	28.5			30.3	28.4			30.4	28.3
96	San_Pedro_Sula	33.3	33.2			33.3	32.0			32.6	31.1
97	San_Salvador	30.3	28.6			30.2	28.5			30.6	28.6
98	Guatemala_City	28.7	26.7			27.9	26.4			28.1	26.0
99	Managua	29.8	28.8			29.7	28.3			29.7	28.2
100	Tegucigalpa	28.2	26.9			27.3	26.3			27.6	26.2
101	Port-au-Prince	30.9	31.2			31.5	30.7			30.1	30.6
102	San-Juan	29.9	29.0			30.2	29.0			29.9	29.2
103	Havana	30.9	31.6			30.7	31.3			30.1	30.8
104	Kingston	29.5	29.0			29.5	29.0			29.4	28.9
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.3	28.6			29.2	28.5			29.1	28.4
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	29.1	28.4			29.4	28.4			29.1	28.4
107	Port_of_Spain	29.5	29.0			29.2	29.0			29.2	28.9

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Last Update: Wed Sep 7 06:31:34 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.