Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220906Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 13Sep2022 - 19Sep2022				Week 3: 20Sep2022 - 26Sep2022				Week 4: 27Sep2022 - 03Oct2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	38.2	35.7			39.1	36.0			39.7	36.6
2	Niamey	38.5	36.0			39.5	36.0			40.2	36.5
3	Ouagadougou	36.2	32.1			37.5	32.4			38.0	33.4
4	Mopti	38.1	36.4			38.8	36.3			39.4	36.5
5	Bamako	32.2	30.7			33.8	30.6			35.6	31.2
6	Kayes	38.0	34.8			39.5	35.3			40.5	35.9
7	Tamba	36.8	32.6			38.2	33.0			40.4	33.7
8	Kedougou	31.6	30.3			32.3	30.2			33.0	30.5
9	Saraya	32.7	30.6			33.9	30.7			35.2	31.1
10	Dalafi	35.0	31.4			36.8	31.5			38.0	32.0
11	Goudiri	35.0	31.9			36.8	32.3			38.6	32.9
12	Naye	36.9	33.3			38.3	33.9			39.8	34.6
13	Bakel	38.3	34.8			39.4	35.2			40.6	35.9
14	Koupentoum	35.3	31.9			36.5	32.2			38.9	33.0
15	Mamari	38.1	34.2			39.5	34.8			40.9	35.6
16	Velingara	33.6	32.2			34.8	31.8			36.6	32.4
17	Matam	39.1	36.2			40.2	36.5			41.4	37.2
18	Haire_Lao	39.9	38.8			41.0	38.9			42.4	39.0
19	Podor	39.9	38.7			40.9	38.7			42.2	38.8
20	Richard_Toll	39.7	38.0			40.7	37.9			42.3	38.4
21	Linguere	38.9	36.1			39.9	36.5			41.5	36.8
22	Daraa	38.8	35.8			39.9	36.0			41.6	36.6
23	Louga	38.1	35.0			39.1	35.1			41.2	35.8
24	Touba	37.4	34.6			38.1	34.7			40.2	35.3
25	Diourbel	36.3	33.7			37.0	33.8			38.7	34.3
26	Bambey	36.0	33.5			36.5	33.6			38.2	34.1
27	Koungheul	35.1	32.0			36.0	32.2			37.7	32.8
28	Kaffrine	34.8	32.3			35.4	32.4			37.1	32.9
29	Kaolack	34.7	32.3			35.5	32.4			36.9	32.9
30	Fatick	36.0	33.5			36.5	33.6			38.2	34.1
31	Gossas	36.3	33.7			37.0	33.8			38.7	34.3
32	Freetown	30.0	28.7			30.7	28.4			31.9	28.9
33	Cairo	36.6	35.5			36.3	35.0			37.8	34.0
34	Alexandria	32.8	30.8			32.5	30.2			33.8	29.3
35	Giza	36.6	35.5			36.3	35.0			37.8	34.0
36	Luxor	39.5	38.3			40.0	38.1			41.2	37.5
37	Sirte	35.2	34.4			33.7	33.1			35.5	31.2
38	Tripoli	29.0	29.2			28.1	28.1			29.7	26.8
39	Benghazi	28.7	28.4			28.1	27.5			28.2	26.8
40	Mistratah	30.8	30.7			29.0	29.5			30.7	28.1
41	Tunis	32.7	31.7			29.0	29.7			29.5	27.9
42	Sfax	27.8	28.1			26.7	27.0			26.6	26.0
43	Sousse	32.2	32.0			29.4	29.9			30.3	28.1
44	Algiers	25.7	25.1			24.6	23.7			24.8	22.7
45	Oran	30.9	30.2			29.6	29.4			29.2	27.9
46	Constantine	30.9	31.6			29.0	29.7			29.6	27.3
47	Annaba	28.9	28.3			27.0	27.0			27.0	25.4
48	Casablanca	28.0	26.3			27.3	26.5			28.3	26.2
49	Rabat	24.2	23.1			23.8	22.9			24.7	22.6
50	Fes	31.0	30.6			30.2	30.7			30.6	29.7
51	Sale	27.5	28.3			26.4	27.8			26.2	26.3
52	Riyadh	40.1	40.2			38.8	38.8			38.4	37.6
53	Jeddah	32.9	32.0			33.1	31.7			33.2	31.1
54	Mecca	41.8	40.2			41.5	40.5			41.0	39.5
55	Medina	41.1	40.5			40.3	39.9			39.6	39.2
56	Sanaa	25.4	24.8			25.1	24.5			24.5	23.8
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.4	35.3			36.4	34.9			36.2	34.2
58	Aden	38.9	38.3			37.8	37.4			37.0	36.6
59	London	21.0	20.3			19.8	19.1			19.5	18.1
60	Paris	23.1	21.9			21.8	20.8			21.6	19.7
61	Istanbul	25.9	23.9			24.8	21.0			24.5	19.0
62	Moscow	17.5	15.5			14.9	13.8			15.3	12.7
63	Madrid	26.0	25.8			25.7	24.8			25.7	23.5
64	Rome	28.5	28.4			27.1	26.4			26.6	24.7
65	Frankfurt	22.4	21.0			21.6	19.5			21.8	18.3
66	Kyiv	21.0	21.0			19.6	17.9			20.3	17.6
67	Berlin	22.3	20.0			20.1	18.2			21.7	17.0
68	Bucharest	27.2	26.3			24.5	23.0			25.3	22.1
69	Tokyo	30.4	30.4			27.8	27.8			28.3	25.7
70	Jakarta	26.6	27.3			26.6	27.4			26.8	27.7
71	Delhi	38.1	34.7			37.4	34.8			37.6	35.2
72	Manila	30.1	29.6			29.8	29.8			30.3	29.9
73	Seoul	27.5	27.4			26.7	25.9			26.0	23.6
74	Mumbai	28.9	28.6			27.7	26.5			26.4	24.4
75	Shanghai	29.6	28.7			27.3	27.0			27.5	25.9
76	Guangzhou	35.1	33.7			34.0	32.6			34.9	31.6
77	Beijing	28.9	28.6			27.7	26.5			26.4	24.4
78	Kolkata	33.7	31.8			33.8	31.7			34.0	31.4
79	Bangkok	31.9	31.2			32.1	31.5			32.5	31.7
80	Dhaka	33.9	32.3			33.5	32.1			34.1	31.7
81	Karachi	35.1	33.2			35.5	33.4			35.0	33.7
82	Mexico_City	21.6	20.2			21.3	20.3			21.6	20.2
83	New_York	25.5	27.0			25.2	23.9			23.9	22.1
84	Los_Angeles	29.8	27.5			31.5	29.4			31.0	29.0
85	Chicago	22.8	25.6			22.0	21.5			20.0	20.4
86	Dallas	31.7	31.1			30.8	29.8			29.6	28.3
87	Houston	31.3	31.3			30.2	30.9			29.8	30.2
88	Toronto	21.8	20.9			20.8	18.2			18.6	16.2
89	Washington_DC	28.4	30.4			27.9	26.8			25.5	24.8
90	Philadelphia	27.8	29.7			27.9	26.3			26.0	24.4
91	Miami	29.7	30.0			29.7	29.9			29.8	29.4
92	Leon	28.4	28.1			28.5	27.6			28.8	27.7
93	Santa_Ana	29.4	28.2			28.7	28.0			29.8	28.0
94	San_José	24.9	24.2			24.8	23.9			24.9	23.7
95	Panama_City	29.8	28.5			29.9	28.4			30.2	28.3
96	San_Pedro_Sula	33.0	33.2			32.3	32.0			32.3	31.1
97	San_Salvador	30.0	28.6			29.7	28.5			30.2	28.6
98	Guatemala_City	28.5	26.7			27.7	26.4			27.9	26.0
99	Managua	29.6	28.8			29.3	28.3			29.9	28.2
100	Tegucigalpa	27.7	26.9			27.0	26.3			27.6	26.2
101	Port-au-Prince	30.5	31.2			30.8	30.7			30.4	30.6
102	San-Juan	29.7	29.0			30.0	29.0			30.1	29.2
103	Havana	30.5	31.6			30.5	31.3			30.4	30.8
104	Kingston	29.3	29.0			29.3	29.0			29.4	28.9
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.1	28.6			29.1	28.5			29.2	28.4
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.9	28.4			29.1	28.4			29.4	28.4
107	Port_of_Spain	29.1	29.0			29.1	29.0			29.1	28.9

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Last Update: Wed Sep 7 06:31:31 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.