Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220906Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

			Sep-08-2022			Sep-09-2022			Sep-10-2022			Sep-11-2022			Sep-12-2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	38.2	35.7			35.4			34.7			35.3			36.3
2	Niamey	38.6	35.1			35.5			34.6			35.1			36.5
3	Ouagadougou	35.6	31.1			31.3			30.8			31.5			32.5
4	Mopti	37.9	34.6			35.5			35.5			35.2			36.3
5	Bamako	32.3	27.5			29.9			30.2			30.4			30.4
6	Kayes	37.4	31.4			32.3			33.3			34.0			33.9
7	Tamba	37.0	30.2			31.0			31.9			31.9			32.1
8	Kedougou	31.2	27.5			29.3			30.0			29.7			29.8
9	Saraya	32.4	27.5			29.5			30.2			30.1			30.0
10	Dalafi	35.3	28.7			30.2			30.8			30.8			30.6
11	Goudiri	34.8	29.5			30.2			30.9			31.2			31.2
12	Naye	36.4	30.6			31.2			32.2			32.3			32.5
13	Bakel	38.2	32.4			32.6			33.6			34.0			34.2
14	Koupentoum	35.0	30.1			30.3			31.1			31.2			31.3
15	Mamari	37.7	32.1			31.9			33.2			33.4			33.8
16	Velingara	33.2	30.0			30.4			31.6			31.4			31.6
17	Matam	39.3	34.0			33.8			34.7			35.6			35.7
18	Haire_Lao	40.4	36.6			35.9			37.0			37.7			38.2
19	Podor	40.3	36.0			35.7			36.7			37.4			37.9
20	Richard_Toll	39.8	34.6			34.8			36.0			36.5			37.0
21	Linguere	39.3	33.9			33.2			34.5			34.9			35.2
22	Daraa	39.2	33.4			33.0			34.2			34.6			34.7
23	Louga	37.8	32.3			32.5			33.6			33.8			33.8
24	Touba	36.9	32.4			32.5			33.1			33.6			33.4
25	Diourbel	36.3	32.0			31.9			32.4			32.7			33.0
26	Bambey	35.6	31.6			31.7			32.2			32.4			32.7
27	Koungheul	34.5	30.4			30.5			31.0			31.3			31.5
28	Kaffrine	34.5	30.7			30.9			31.2			31.5			31.8
29	Kaolack	34.4	30.7			31.0			31.4			31.6			31.8
30	Fatick	35.6	31.6			31.7			32.2			32.4			32.7
31	Gossas	36.3	32.0			31.9			32.4			32.7			33.0
32	Freetown	29.9	27.4			27.6			28.1			27.7			28.1
33	Cairo	38.0	36.6			37.3			36.4			35.5			34.8
34	Alexandria	33.7	30.5			31.3			31.0			30.4			29.8
35	Giza	38.0	36.6			37.3			36.4			35.5			34.8
36	Luxor	42.1	39.0			39.6			39.4			39.8			38.8
37	Sirte	35.2	35.5			35.4			33.8			32.8			32.3
38	Tripoli	29.5	31.7			29.3			28.9			29.0			29.5
39	Benghazi	29.6	28.2			28.6			28.0			27.7			27.7
40	Mistratah	30.9	33.8			31.5			30.4			29.8			30.1
41	Tunis	31.9	33.0			33.4			34.2			34.8			35.2
42	Sfax	28.0	28.9			28.2			28.3			28.5			28.7
43	Sousse	32.5	33.4			33.6			33.8			33.4			34.3
44	Algiers	26.6	26.2			27.1			28.0			28.2			27.1
45	Oran	32.4	35.2			36.8			37.0			34.7			32.2
46	Constantine	32.3	35.0			36.4			36.5			36.1			35.9
47	Annaba	29.5	28.8			29.4			30.7			31.4			31.6
48	Casablanca	29.7	30.6			31.5			30.3			28.9			28.2
49	Rabat	25.2	25.9			26.5			26.0			25.1			24.6
50	Fes	33.7	38.5			38.8			37.1			33.3			31.7
51	Sale	29.9	35.2			35.5			34.3			31.6			29.5
52	Riyadh	40.8	41.4			41.6			41.4			41.6			41.9
53	Jeddah	33.6	31.6			31.6			31.7			31.9			32.0
54	Mecca	42.4	40.3			40.5			39.8			39.9			40.7
55	Medina	42.0	43.0			43.4			42.8			42.4			42.4
56	Sanaa	26.1	24.6			24.8			24.7			25.2			25.5
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.5	34.8			35.1			35.8			35.8			35.7
58	Aden	39.6	37.7			38.0			37.4			38.0			38.8
59	London	23.0	22.1			22.1			22.0			22.2			21.7
60	Paris	24.7	22.1			24.1			24.9			24.4			24.7
61	Istanbul	26.3	26.3			25.8			24.2			23.5			23.8
62	Moscow	20.4	15.3			14.8			14.2			14.7			15.5
63	Madrid	28.2	30.8			31.9			30.4			27.9			26.3
64	Rome	31.2	30.1			29.8			29.8			30.0			30.3
65	Frankfurt	24.8	19.6			21.4			22.7			23.2			23.4
66	Kyiv	25.4	18.8			19.9			18.6			18.6			20.2
67	Berlin	24.1	20.4			19.6			20.7			20.9			21.2
68	Bucharest	30.4	28.7			27.4			25.4			25.0			27.1
69	Tokyo	32.6	31.0			29.5			30.0			31.8			31.7
70	Jakarta	27.1	26.8			26.7			26.6			26.9			27.1
71	Delhi	38.5	38.3			37.7			37.2			35.9			34.7
72	Manila	30.3	30.7			30.5			30.4			30.3			30.2
73	Seoul	29.4	29.2			29.1			28.0			28.5			27.7
74	Mumbai	30.2	32.3			31.5			31.9			32.2			32.1
75	Shanghai	29.9	28.9			28.8			28.9			28.5			28.7
76	Guangzhou	35.4	33.6			33.0			31.9			33.1			33.5
77	Beijing	30.2	32.3			31.5			31.9			32.2			32.1
78	Kolkata	34.3	32.5			31.5			30.6			30.1			29.8
79	Bangkok	33.0	29.9			30.1			31.3			31.4			31.3
80	Dhaka	33.6	33.3			31.1			29.7			29.9			30.3
81	Karachi	34.7	37.8			37.4			34.9			35.0			34.7
82	Mexico_City	22.1	21.6			21.8			20.5			19.5			19.8
83	New_York	27.3	26.5			26.9			26.8			26.9			26.3
84	Los_Angeles	31.7	36.8			32.6			30.0			30.1			28.0
85	Chicago	24.1	27.1			25.9			21.2			20.5			22.4
86	Dallas	33.6	29.8			30.1			30.2			28.8			29.4
87	Houston	32.4	31.3			31.7			32.1			31.7			30.9
88	Toronto	22.9	23.2			23.5			22.0			20.2			19.4
89	Washington_DC	30.6	29.5			29.8			29.3			28.4			28.4
90	Philadelphia	30.8	29.4			29.8			29.2			28.8			28.2
91	Miami	30.1	30.6			30.5			30.3			30.2			30.3
92	Leon	28.8	28.9			28.6			28.6			28.6			28.7
93	Santa_Ana	30.8	28.2			28.3			28.8			28.7			28.3
94	San_José	25.1	23.6			24.0			24.7			25.0			24.8
95	Panama_City	30.2	28.0			28.5			28.8			28.5			28.2
96	San_Pedro_Sula	34.7	34.6			34.5			33.8			32.9			33.3
97	San_Salvador	31.1	28.7			28.7			29.0			29.1			28.9
98	Guatemala_City	29.1	27.3			27.3			27.5			27.2			27.0
99	Managua	30.6	28.9			28.9			29.3			29.4			29.2
100	Tegucigalpa	28.7	27.3			27.7			27.6			27.7			27.5
101	Port-au-Prince	31.3	31.0			31.5			31.3			30.2			30.5
102	San-Juan	29.8	29.4			29.0			28.9			28.9			28.9
103	Havana	31.2	32.3			32.5			32.2			31.8			32.0
104	Kingston	29.4	29.2			29.4			29.3			29.1			29.1
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.3	29.1			29.2			28.8			28.5			28.6
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	29.1	28.9			28.7			28.5			28.3			28.3
107	Port_of_Spain	29.2	28.9			28.8			28.8			28.9			28.9

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Last Update: Wed Sep 7 06:31:28 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.