Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220906Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

			Sep-08-2022			Sep-09-2022			Sep-10-2022			Sep-11-2022			Sep-12-2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.9	35.7			35.4			34.7			35.3			36.3
2	Niamey	38.2	35.1			35.5			34.6			35.1			36.5
3	Ouagadougou	35.0	31.1			31.3			30.8			31.5			32.5
4	Mopti	37.7	34.6			35.5			35.5			35.2			36.3
5	Bamako	32.0	27.5			29.9			30.2			30.4			30.4
6	Kayes	37.1	31.4			32.3			33.3			34.0			33.9
7	Tamba	35.9	30.2			31.0			31.9			31.9			32.1
8	Kedougou	31.0	27.5			29.3			30.0			29.7			29.8
9	Saraya	31.9	27.5			29.5			30.2			30.1			30.0
10	Dalafi	34.3	28.7			30.2			30.8			30.8			30.6
11	Goudiri	34.2	29.5			30.2			30.9			31.2			31.2
12	Naye	35.8	30.6			31.2			32.2			32.3			32.5
13	Bakel	37.5	32.4			32.6			33.6			34.0			34.2
14	Koupentoum	34.2	30.1			30.3			31.1			31.2			31.3
15	Mamari	37.4	32.1			31.9			33.2			33.4			33.8
16	Velingara	32.7	30.0			30.4			31.6			31.4			31.6
17	Matam	38.7	34.0			33.8			34.7			35.6			35.7
18	Haire_Lao	39.9	36.6			35.9			37.0			37.7			38.2
19	Podor	39.7	36.0			35.7			36.7			37.4			37.9
20	Richard_Toll	39.3	34.6			34.8			36.0			36.5			37.0
21	Linguere	38.4	33.9			33.2			34.5			34.9			35.2
22	Daraa	38.0	33.4			33.0			34.2			34.6			34.7
23	Louga	36.9	32.3			32.5			33.6			33.8			33.8
24	Touba	36.3	32.4			32.5			33.1			33.6			33.4
25	Diourbel	35.3	32.0			31.9			32.4			32.7			33.0
26	Bambey	34.9	31.6			31.7			32.2			32.4			32.7
27	Koungheul	34.0	30.4			30.5			31.0			31.3			31.5
28	Kaffrine	33.8	30.7			30.9			31.2			31.5			31.8
29	Kaolack	33.7	30.7			31.0			31.4			31.6			31.8
30	Fatick	34.9	31.6			31.7			32.2			32.4			32.7
31	Gossas	35.3	32.0			31.9			32.4			32.7			33.0
32	Freetown	29.4	27.4			27.6			28.1			27.7			28.1
33	Cairo	37.5	36.6			37.3			36.4			35.5			34.8
34	Alexandria	32.7	30.5			31.3			31.0			30.4			29.8
35	Giza	37.5	36.6			37.3			36.4			35.5			34.8
36	Luxor	41.0	39.0			39.6			39.4			39.8			38.8
37	Sirte	34.8	35.5			35.4			33.8			32.8			32.3
38	Tripoli	28.8	31.7			29.3			28.9			29.0			29.5
39	Benghazi	29.2	28.2			28.6			28.0			27.7			27.7
40	Mistratah	30.1	33.8			31.5			30.4			29.8			30.1
41	Tunis	31.3	33.0			33.4			34.2			34.8			35.2
42	Sfax	27.8	28.9			28.2			28.3			28.5			28.7
43	Sousse	31.4	33.4			33.6			33.8			33.4			34.3
44	Algiers	26.3	26.2			27.1			28.0			28.2			27.1
45	Oran	32.1	35.2			36.8			37.0			34.7			32.2
46	Constantine	31.7	35.0			36.4			36.5			36.1			35.9
47	Annaba	29.0	28.8			29.4			30.7			31.4			31.6
48	Casablanca	28.8	30.6			31.5			30.3			28.9			28.2
49	Rabat	25.0	25.9			26.5			26.0			25.1			24.6
50	Fes	33.2	38.5			38.8			37.1			33.3			31.7
51	Sale	29.0	35.2			35.5			34.3			31.6			29.5
52	Riyadh	40.4	41.4			41.6			41.4			41.6			41.9
53	Jeddah	33.1	31.6			31.6			31.7			31.9			32.0
54	Mecca	41.9	40.3			40.5			39.8			39.9			40.7
55	Medina	41.7	43.0			43.4			42.8			42.4			42.4
56	Sanaa	25.6	24.6			24.8			24.7			25.2			25.5
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.3	34.8			35.1			35.8			35.8			35.7
58	Aden	39.1	37.7			38.0			37.4			38.0			38.8
59	London	21.9	22.1			22.1			22.0			22.2			21.7
60	Paris	23.6	22.1			24.1			24.9			24.4			24.7
61	Istanbul	26.2	26.3			25.8			24.2			23.5			23.8
62	Moscow	19.5	15.3			14.8			14.2			14.7			15.5
63	Madrid	27.6	30.8			31.9			30.4			27.9			26.3
64	Rome	30.4	30.1			29.8			29.8			30.0			30.3
65	Frankfurt	24.0	19.6			21.4			22.7			23.2			23.4
66	Kyiv	24.6	18.8			19.9			18.6			18.6			20.2
67	Berlin	23.1	20.4			19.6			20.7			20.9			21.2
68	Bucharest	28.8	28.7			27.4			25.4			25.0			27.1
69	Tokyo	32.0	31.0			29.5			30.0			31.8			31.7
70	Jakarta	26.4	26.8			26.7			26.6			26.9			27.1
71	Delhi	37.7	38.3			37.7			37.2			35.9			34.7
72	Manila	29.8	30.7			30.5			30.4			30.3			30.2
73	Seoul	28.7	29.2			29.1			28.0			28.5			27.7
74	Mumbai	29.5	32.3			31.5			31.9			32.2			32.1
75	Shanghai	29.7	28.9			28.8			28.9			28.5			28.7
76	Guangzhou	35.1	33.6			33.0			31.9			33.1			33.5
77	Beijing	29.5	32.3			31.5			31.9			32.2			32.1
78	Kolkata	33.7	32.5			31.5			30.6			30.1			29.8
79	Bangkok	32.2	29.9			30.1			31.3			31.4			31.3
80	Dhaka	33.4	33.3			31.1			29.7			29.9			30.3
81	Karachi	33.6	37.8			37.4			34.9			35.0			34.7
82	Mexico_City	21.8	21.6			21.8			20.5			19.5			19.8
83	New_York	26.9	26.5			26.9			26.8			26.9			26.3
84	Los_Angeles	31.0	36.8			32.6			30.0			30.1			28.0
85	Chicago	23.3	27.1			25.9			21.2			20.5			22.4
86	Dallas	32.9	29.8			30.1			30.2			28.8			29.4
87	Houston	31.6	31.3			31.7			32.1			31.7			30.9
88	Toronto	22.1	23.2			23.5			22.0			20.2			19.4
89	Washington_DC	29.6	29.5			29.8			29.3			28.4			28.4
90	Philadelphia	29.5	29.4			29.8			29.2			28.8			28.2
91	Miami	30.0	30.6			30.5			30.3			30.2			30.3
92	Leon	28.6	28.9			28.6			28.6			28.6			28.7
93	Santa_Ana	29.7	28.2			28.3			28.8			28.7			28.3
94	San_José	24.9	23.6			24.0			24.7			25.0			24.8
95	Panama_City	30.0	28.0			28.5			28.8			28.5			28.2
96	San_Pedro_Sula	33.2	34.6			34.5			33.8			32.9			33.3
97	San_Salvador	30.2	28.7			28.7			29.0			29.1			28.9
98	Guatemala_City	28.8	27.3			27.3			27.5			27.2			27.0
99	Managua	29.8	28.9			28.9			29.3			29.4			29.2
100	Tegucigalpa	28.2	27.3			27.7			27.6			27.7			27.5
101	Port-au-Prince	31.0	31.0			31.5			31.3			30.2			30.5
102	San-Juan	29.7	29.4			29.0			28.9			28.9			28.9
103	Havana	30.9	32.3			32.5			32.2			31.8			32.0
104	Kingston	29.3	29.2			29.4			29.3			29.1			29.1
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.1	29.1			29.2			28.8			28.5			28.6
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.9	28.9			28.7			28.5			28.3			28.3
107	Port_of_Spain	29.1	28.9			28.8			28.8			28.9			28.9

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Last Update: Wed Sep 7 06:31:23 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.