Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220901Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Week 2: 08Sep2022 - 14Sep2022 Week 3: 15Sep2022 - 21Sep2022 Week 4: 22Sep2022 - 28Sep2022
NO Stations 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 38.0 34.9 38.4 35.5 39.2 36.0
2 Niamey 38.2 35.4 38.9 35.1 39.7 35.9
3 Ouagadougou 35.5 31.9 36.5 31.6 37.7 32.7
4 Mopti 38.0 36.1 38.4 35.5 38.9 36.3
5 Bamako 32.4 30.1 32.8 30.0 34.3 30.8
6 Kayes 37.1 33.8 38.4 33.9 39.6 35.2
7 Tamba 36.2 31.9 37.4 32.1 39.0 33.2
8 Kedougou 31.1 29.9 32.0 29.9 32.2 30.5
9 Saraya 32.3 30.2 33.2 30.2 34.0 30.9
10 Dalafi 34.3 30.8 35.7 30.8 37.2 31.7
11 Goudiri 34.4 31.1 35.5 31.4 37.5 32.5
12 Naye 36.0 32.6 37.1 32.8 38.6 34.1
13 Bakel 37.9 34.2 38.6 34.4 39.5 35.4
14 Koupentoum 34.4 31.3 35.2 31.7 37.1 32.8
15 Mamari 37.5 33.5 38.7 34.0 39.8 35.1
16 Velingara 32.8 31.7 34.0 31.7 35.5 32.4
17 Matam 38.8 35.6 39.4 36.0 40.3 36.7
18 Haire_Lao 39.9 38.4 40.4 38.6 41.3 38.9
19 Podor 39.8 38.2 40.4 38.3 41.1 38.7
20 Richard_Toll 39.8 37.4 40.1 37.7 41.2 38.1
21 Linguere 38.7 35.6 39.0 36.1 40.3 36.8
22 Daraa 38.4 35.3 39.3 35.8 40.5 36.5
23 Louga 37.4 34.3 38.6 34.9 39.6 35.6
24 Touba 36.7 33.8 37.6 34.3 38.9 35.1
25 Diourbel 35.7 33.1 36.5 33.5 37.7 34.2
26 Bambey 35.4 32.8 36.3 33.3 37.0 34.0
27 Koungheul 34.3 31.4 35.1 31.8 36.6 32.8
28 Kaffrine 34.1 31.7 34.9 32.1 35.9 32.8
29 Kaolack 34.2 31.7 35.0 32.1 35.7 32.8
30 Fatick 35.4 32.8 36.3 33.3 37.0 34.0
31 Gossas 35.7 33.1 36.5 33.5 37.7 34.2
32 Freetown 29.4 28.0 30.0 28.2 31.0 28.7
33 Cairo 37.4 38.2 36.5 36.1 36.7 34.1
34 Alexandria 32.9 32.0 32.0 31.0 33.3 29.2
35 Giza 37.4 38.2 36.5 36.1 36.7 34.1
36 Luxor 40.5 41.3 39.3 39.1 40.3 37.9
37 Sirte 34.8 35.3 34.6 33.3 34.3 31.9
38 Tripoli 29.0 30.1 29.1 28.4 28.0 26.9
39 Benghazi 29.2 29.2 28.4 28.2 27.9 27.0
40 Mistratah 30.5 31.9 30.4 30.0 28.9 28.7
41 Tunis 31.9 33.3 32.2 30.5 28.4 29.2
42 Sfax 27.9 29.5 28.0 27.7 26.8 26.4
43 Sousse 32.4 33.9 32.1 30.8 28.7 29.2
44 Algiers 26.4 25.9 25.3 24.7 24.5 23.7
45 Oran 31.6 32.1 30.8 30.9 29.0 30.1
46 Constantine 32.1 34.0 31.4 30.6 27.9 29.0
47 Annaba 28.9 29.4 28.7 27.6 26.6 26.6
48 Casablanca 28.0 27.5 28.1 27.6 27.5 27.0
49 Rabat 24.4 23.7 24.4 23.7 23.8 23.0
50 Fes 32.3 33.4 31.3 32.5 30.1 31.3
51 Sale 28.8 31.1 27.3 29.5 25.5 28.1
52 Riyadh 40.2 41.1 39.8 39.9 38.6 38.5
53 Jeddah 33.1 32.2 32.9 31.6 33.0 31.0
54 Mecca 41.9 40.6 42.0 40.2 41.1 39.9
55 Medina 41.6 42.4 41.0 40.9 39.9 40.2
56 Sanaa 25.5 24.5 25.2 24.4 24.7 24.1
57 Al_Hudaydah 36.5 35.8 36.4 35.3 36.3 34.7
58 Aden 38.8 37.2 38.9 37.8 37.2 36.6
59 London 21.4 20.9 19.9 20.6 19.6 19.3
60 Paris 23.5 22.9 22.7 22.5 21.3 21.2
61 Istanbul 26.2 25.2 25.2 22.5 24.7 20.0
62 Moscow 19.1 14.7 17.2 15.0 15.5 13.6
63 Madrid 27.6 28.4 26.6 27.6 24.9 25.9
64 Rome 29.2 29.6 28.1 27.8 26.4 25.8
65 Frankfurt 23.7 21.4 21.7 21.2 21.0 19.7
66 Kyiv 23.6 20.6 21.5 20.0 20.1 18.5
67 Berlin 21.8 19.9 21.0 20.0 19.6 18.3
68 Bucharest 28.0 27.3 26.1 25.3 24.2 22.9
69 Tokyo 31.2 29.6 29.8 29.0 27.2 27.6
70 Jakarta 26.5 26.8 26.5 27.3 26.6 27.6
71 Delhi 37.6 35.8 37.9 35.6 37.4 35.1
72 Manila 29.7 30.4 30.0 30.2 29.9 30.0
73 Seoul 28.8 29.3 27.0 27.4 26.6 26.3
74 Mumbai 29.8 30.3 28.4 28.4 26.3 26.4
75 Shanghai 29.3 29.1 28.4 27.7 27.3 27.5
76 Guangzhou 35.1 33.3 34.8 31.6 34.0 31.7
77 Beijing 29.8 30.3 28.4 28.4 26.3 26.4
78 Kolkata 33.8 32.9 33.4 32.3 33.9 32.6
79 Bangkok 32.0 30.7 31.7 31.8 32.3 31.9
80 Dhaka 33.7 33.1 33.4 32.1 33.7 32.6
81 Karachi 33.4 33.5 35.1 32.6 35.4 32.2
82 Mexico_City 21.3 20.7 21.6 20.6 21.0 20.1
83 New_York 26.2 27.8 25.1 26.1 24.9 23.1
84 Los_Angeles 30.5 30.7 30.6 29.2 32.0 29.5
85 Chicago 22.5 25.9 23.2 24.9 20.9 21.0
86 Dallas 32.5 30.5 32.0 30.1 29.7 28.9
87 Houston 31.7 31.4 31.1 31.3 29.9 31.1
88 Toronto 21.6 21.4 21.6 20.7 19.7 17.5
89 Washington_DC 28.3 31.2 28.6 29.6 27.1 26.7
90 Philadelphia 28.1 30.6 27.7 29.1 27.2 26.0
91 Miami 29.9 30.5 29.6 30.2 29.5 30.0
92 Leon 28.6 28.2 28.4 27.7 28.5 27.6
93 Santa_Ana 29.7 27.8 29.1 26.9 28.9 27.0
94 San_José 24.6 24.3 24.8 23.8 24.9 23.7
95 Panama_City 30.1 28.7 30.1 28.0 29.9 27.8
96 San_Pedro_Sula 33.4 34.1 32.8 32.9 32.3 32.1
97 San_Salvador 30.3 28.3 29.7 27.6 29.7 27.6
98 Guatemala_City 28.9 26.8 28.1 25.9 27.6 25.8
99 Managua 29.9 28.8 29.5 28.0 29.4 27.7
100 Tegucigalpa 28.0 26.9 27.4 25.7 27.1 25.7
101 Port-au-Prince 31.1 31.4 30.5 30.5 30.4 30.1
102 San-Juan 29.7 29.3 29.7 29.1 30.0 29.2
103 Havana 30.8 31.9 30.6 31.3 30.4 31.0
104 Kingston 29.4 29.0 29.3 28.9 29.4 28.9
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 29.2 28.5 29.0 28.4 29.2 28.3
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.9 28.6 29.0 28.5 29.2 28.5
107 Port_of_Spain 29.1 29.0 29.1 29.0 29.1 29.0



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Last Update: Fri Sep 2 06:33:06 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.