Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220830Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Sep-01-2022Sep-02-2022Sep-03-2022Sep-04-2022Sep-05-2022
NO Stations 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 38.1 34.4 35.2 35.2 34.9 35.0
2 Niamey 38.5 34.4 34.9 34.5 34.7 35.2
3 Ouagadougou 35.5 31.1 31.3 30.2 30.9 31.8
4 Mopti 38.2 33.7 35.3 35.5 35.1 35.2
5 Bamako 32.2 29.2 30.0 30.0 30.0 29.9
6 Kayes 38.7 32.1 33.5 34.7 34.3 33.0
7 Tamba 37.3 30.6 32.0 33.1 32.5 31.7
8 Kedougou 31.2 29.1 29.7 29.9 29.9 29.6
9 Saraya 32.8 29.6 30.0 30.5 30.2 29.7
10 Dalafi 35.1 29.3 30.3 31.1 30.5 30.2
11 Goudiri 35.4 29.5 30.7 31.9 31.2 30.5
12 Naye 37.0 30.7 31.8 33.3 32.7 31.6
13 Bakel 39.2 32.0 33.5 35.0 34.8 33.7
14 Koupentoum 35.6 29.8 31.2 32.1 32.0 31.4
15 Mamari 38.8 31.3 32.9 34.4 34.3 33.3
16 Velingara 33.4 30.7 31.9 32.7 32.2 31.2
17 Matam 39.7 32.7 34.0 36.1 36.2 35.3
18 Haire_Lao 40.5 34.8 35.9 38.1 39.2 39.0
19 Podor 40.3 34.8 35.9 37.9 39.0 38.9
20 Richard_Toll 40.0 34.3 35.4 37.2 38.4 37.8
21 Linguere 39.4 32.1 33.8 35.4 36.1 35.7
22 Daraa 39.1 31.9 33.4 34.8 35.6 35.3
23 Louga 37.7 31.5 33.2 33.9 34.6 34.0
24 Touba 37.4 31.1 32.8 33.8 34.5 34.0
25 Diourbel 36.5 30.3 32.1 33.3 33.5 33.2
26 Bambey 35.8 30.1 32.0 33.1 33.2 32.8
27 Koungheul 35.1 29.6 31.2 31.9 32.0 31.4
28 Kaffrine 35.0 29.4 31.2 32.1 32.1 31.7
29 Kaolack 35.0 29.5 31.2 32.0 32.1 31.8
30 Fatick 35.8 30.1 32.0 33.1 33.2 32.8
31 Gossas 36.5 30.3 32.1 33.3 33.5 33.2
32 Freetown 29.3 28.6 28.5 28.1 27.2 27.2
33 Cairo 38.8 38.0 37.9 37.7 37.8 38.3
34 Alexandria 33.1 31.5 31.1 30.8 31.3 32.0
35 Giza 38.8 38.0 37.9 37.7 37.8 38.3
36 Luxor 41.4 40.7 40.9 40.3 39.4 39.8
37 Sirte 37.1 35.5 35.3 35.1 35.7 36.0
38 Tripoli 30.8 31.7 32.9 32.7 32.2 31.2
39 Benghazi 29.5 28.8 28.9 28.9 29.2 29.3
40 Mistratah 32.5 32.4 33.0 33.2 33.7 32.7
41 Tunis 33.7 38.4 39.6 36.1 35.3 36.0
42 Sfax 29.2 30.1 31.0 31.5 31.0 30.3
43 Sousse 34.7 37.4 38.7 37.3 35.8 36.4
44 Algiers 26.6 27.4 26.1 25.5 25.5 26.2
45 Oran 34.5 30.8 29.7 29.8 29.9 31.1
46 Constantine 34.1 38.0 37.4 36.0 35.9 36.7
47 Annaba 30.8 32.6 32.9 30.1 29.8 31.5
48 Casablanca 30.6 24.6 24.3 24.3 24.4 24.5
49 Rabat 26.1 22.5 22.2 22.2 22.3 22.3
50 Fes 34.9 29.4 28.3 28.5 28.9 30.7
51 Sale 31.6 28.3 27.3 27.3 27.8 29.7
52 Riyadh 42.8 41.1 41.1 41.5 41.7 41.5
53 Jeddah 33.4 32.2 32.0 32.0 32.3 32.5
54 Mecca 42.2 40.7 40.0 39.5 39.3 41.1
55 Medina 43.1 42.5 42.8 43.2 42.9 42.9
56 Sanaa 26.3 23.9 24.7 24.6 25.2 25.5
57 Al_Hudaydah 36.4 35.1 35.2 35.7 36.2 36.1
58 Aden 40.5 36.0 36.3 38.6 38.1 37.6
59 London 23.7 23.1 21.5 21.1 21.4 21.4
60 Paris 25.5 25.5 25.1 24.2 23.6 23.5
61 Istanbul 27.8 25.5 25.4 25.3 25.0 25.3
62 Moscow 21.9 13.0 13.2 12.8 15.6 16.2
63 Madrid 31.0 26.5 26.0 25.9 26.8 28.4
64 Rome 32.6 30.3 31.1 32.1 31.5 31.1
65 Frankfurt 26.1 23.9 25.5 25.3 24.2 24.0
66 Kyiv 26.0 20.2 21.2 21.0 22.2 23.9
67 Berlin 24.1 21.3 22.8 23.3 23.5 22.7
68 Bucharest 31.0 23.0 26.0 26.7 27.9 28.8
69 Tokyo 32.5 29.9 29.7 30.5 32.2 32.4
70 Jakarta 26.8 26.5 26.5 26.5 26.5 26.6
71 Delhi 38.6 38.8 38.5 38.2 38.9 38.7
72 Manila 30.4 29.8 29.7 30.1 30.7 30.6
73 Seoul 30.6 27.5 26.0 26.4 26.9 28.1
74 Mumbai 31.3 29.1 31.1 30.2 30.3 31.0
75 Shanghai 30.9 29.5 29.6 28.4 28.6 29.1
76 Guangzhou 35.6 33.0 32.9 33.7 34.4 34.1
77 Beijing 31.3 29.1 31.1 30.2 30.3 31.0
78 Kolkata 34.9 33.9 34.3 34.2 34.4 34.2
79 Bangkok 33.1 34.7 34.5 33.3 31.9 30.5
80 Dhaka 34.2 34.4 33.5 34.2 34.2 34.2
81 Karachi 35.3 31.1 30.3 30.6 31.0 31.9
82 Mexico_City 22.0 22.1 20.7 19.8 20.0 20.8
83 New_York 28.7 25.5 28.4 28.9 26.9 27.2
84 Los_Angeles 33.0 35.7 38.8 39.6 38.2 36.6
85 Chicago 25.2 28.3 25.5 25.4 26.1 26.5
86 Dallas 35.1 30.1 30.2 30.0 30.3 30.3
87 Houston 33.6 31.3 29.5 29.8 30.7 31.1
88 Toronto 24.2 23.9 25.0 21.3 21.6 22.0
89 Washington_DC 32.4 30.7 32.4 33.0 31.3 31.5
90 Philadelphia 32.3 30.4 31.9 32.3 30.1 30.6
91 Miami 30.5 29.8 29.7 29.9 30.1 30.3
92 Leon 28.4 28.2 28.3 28.2 28.2 28.4
93 Santa_Ana 31.4 27.4 27.6 28.6 28.7 29.0
94 San_José 24.8 24.3 24.3 24.1 24.6 25.4
95 Panama_City 30.4 28.0 28.7 29.1 29.3 29.1
96 San_Pedro_Sula 33.8 31.7 32.2 32.5 32.4 32.7
97 San_Salvador 31.0 28.0 28.1 28.6 29.0 29.3
98 Guatemala_City 29.7 26.1 25.9 26.6 27.0 27.2
99 Managua 30.9 29.1 29.3 29.4 29.4 29.5
100 Tegucigalpa 28.7 25.9 26.6 26.9 27.7 27.8
101 Port-au-Prince 32.1 32.5 32.6 32.2 32.4 32.4
102 San-Juan 29.8 29.1 29.6 29.6 29.4 29.2
103 Havana 31.4 31.4 31.3 31.8 32.1 32.1
104 Kingston 29.4 28.7 28.9 29.1 29.1 29.2
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 29.2 28.2 28.4 28.7 28.8 28.9
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 29.4 28.3 28.3 28.6 28.8 28.6
107 Port_of_Spain 29.2 29.3 29.2 29.1 29.1 29.1



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Last Update: Wed Aug 31 06:31:22 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.