Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220821Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 28Aug2022 - 03Sep2022				Week 3: 04Sep2022 - 10Sep2022				Week 4: 11Sep2022 - 17Sep2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	38.3	34.4			38.0	35.3			38.5	35.5
2	Niamey	38.5	34.3			38.5	35.3			38.9	35.5
3	Ouagadougou	36.1	30.7			34.9	31.5			37.0	31.6
4	Mopti	38.2	34.4			38.2	35.7			38.6	36.1
5	Bamako	31.7	29.0			32.4	29.8			33.0	30.1
6	Kayes	38.7	32.8			37.9	34.0			38.1	34.4
7	Tamba	37.0	31.1			37.4	31.9			37.1	32.5
8	Kedougou	31.1	28.9			31.1	29.8			31.9	29.9
9	Saraya	32.7	29.3			32.3	30.1			32.9	30.2
10	Dalafi	35.3	29.8			35.3	30.6			35.4	31.1
11	Goudiri	35.7	30.4			35.4	31.1			35.7	31.6
12	Naye	37.4	31.6			37.0	32.5			37.2	33.0
13	Bakel	39.1	33.1			38.6	34.1			38.4	34.5
14	Koupentoum	35.6	30.7			35.5	31.3			35.4	31.6
15	Mamari	38.9	32.7			38.5	33.6			38.4	34.1
16	Velingara	33.2	30.5			33.5	31.5			33.8	31.9
17	Matam	39.8	34.3			39.5	35.7			39.2	36.0
18	Haire_Lao	40.2	36.6			40.7	38.4			40.3	38.8
19	Podor	39.9	36.3			40.4	38.2			40.0	38.7
20	Richard_Toll	39.5	35.5			40.2	37.4			39.9	38.0
21	Linguere	39.4	34.1			39.3	35.5			38.8	36.0
22	Daraa	38.8	33.7			39.3	35.2			39.1	35.7
23	Louga	37.4	33.0			37.9	34.3			38.1	34.9
24	Touba	36.8	32.9			37.3	33.9			37.5	34.4
25	Diourbel	36.0	32.1			36.3	33.0			36.5	33.4
26	Bambey	35.5	31.9			35.8	32.8			36.1	33.2
27	Koungheul	35.0	30.7			35.2	31.4			35.0	31.7
28	Kaffrine	34.7	31.0			34.7	31.7			34.8	31.9
29	Kaolack	34.6	31.0			34.6	31.6			34.8	32.1
30	Fatick	35.5	31.9			35.8	32.8			36.1	33.2
31	Gossas	36.0	32.1			36.3	33.0			36.5	33.4
32	Freetown	29.1	27.4			29.9	27.7			30.3	28.0
33	Cairo	38.6	39.4			38.0	38.2			37.7	37.1
34	Alexandria	32.9	32.0			33.1	31.4			33.2	31.1
35	Giza	38.6	39.4			38.0	38.2			37.7	37.1
36	Luxor	41.8	42.9			41.3	41.8			41.0	40.2
37	Sirte	37.8	32.8			36.4	34.2			36.3	33.9
38	Tripoli	30.8	28.8			30.6	29.7			30.0	28.9
39	Benghazi	29.9	28.4			29.4	28.3			29.3	28.2
40	Mistratah	33.0	30.2			31.7	31.1			31.5	30.2
41	Tunis	34.6	34.7			32.2	33.5			33.4	30.8
42	Sfax	29.5	29.0			29.2	29.0			28.5	28.1
43	Sousse	34.5	34.5			32.5	33.6			33.7	31.4
44	Algiers	26.7	27.1			26.9	25.8			26.7	24.5
45	Oran	35.0	36.3			33.1	32.9			32.4	31.1
46	Constantine	34.5	36.4			32.5	34.1			33.5	31.0
47	Annaba	31.2	30.6			29.6	29.4			30.2	27.4
48	Casablanca	30.8	29.5			29.9	27.2			28.4	27.4
49	Rabat	26.5	25.6			25.5	23.6			24.8	23.7
50	Fes	37.0	36.9			34.4	33.5			33.2	32.5
51	Sale	32.6	34.6			31.5	31.4			28.9	29.5
52	Riyadh	42.8	40.2			41.3	41.5			40.6	40.9
53	Jeddah	33.4	32.1			33.5	31.7			33.4	31.7
54	Mecca	42.1	40.0			42.5	40.0			41.9	40.2
55	Medina	43.6	42.5			42.1	42.6			41.6	41.6
56	Sanaa	26.1	23.7			25.8	23.7			25.8	24.8
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.5	35.5			36.5	35.2			36.7	35.2
58	Aden	40.0	37.2			39.6	37.3			39.1	37.5
59	London	23.1	23.8			23.2	21.9			22.6	21.4
60	Paris	24.8	26.8			25.2	24.0			23.9	23.5
61	Istanbul	29.2	26.4			27.2	24.5			26.6	22.7
62	Moscow	22.4	19.3			20.8	18.9			18.8	19.0
63	Madrid	31.4	31.3			30.1	28.5			27.8	27.6
64	Rome	32.7	32.5			32.3	30.0			30.3	28.2
65	Frankfurt	25.5	25.9			25.7	22.9			24.6	22.2
66	Kyiv	26.7	25.7			25.5	24.6			22.5	23.0
67	Berlin	24.5	24.1			24.9	22.1			23.7	21.1
68	Bucharest	31.3	31.1			30.3	30.3			29.6	27.7
69	Tokyo	32.9	27.9			32.2	28.3			31.7	28.3
70	Jakarta	27.0	26.9			26.8	27.2			27.0	27.9
71	Delhi	38.5	37.1			38.3	37.9			38.5	37.5
72	Manila	30.4	31.8			30.4	30.8			30.2	29.9
73	Seoul	31.2	28.7			29.8	29.0			29.4	28.2
74	Mumbai	31.7	28.8			30.1	28.8			30.0	29.0
75	Shanghai	31.7	29.3			29.9	29.1			30.3	29.1
76	Guangzhou	35.8	33.3			35.4	33.2			35.5	33.0
77	Beijing	31.7	28.8			30.1	28.8			30.0	29.0
78	Kolkata	34.4	34.0			34.3	34.3			34.2	33.2
79	Bangkok	33.1	34.2			32.9	32.3			32.6	31.7
80	Dhaka	34.0	33.6			33.5	34.1			34.1	33.5
81	Karachi	35.1	31.9			35.6	33.1			35.8	33.6
82	Mexico_City	22.1	20.9			22.0	21.3			22.1	20.6
83	New_York	29.2	28.6			27.2	27.4			26.3	25.8
84	Los_Angeles	34.2	33.8			32.0	32.8			33.1	30.3
85	Chicago	25.6	25.7			25.0	26.0			23.0	24.8
86	Dallas	34.8	32.5			32.7	32.0			32.8	32.5
87	Houston	33.8	33.3			32.2	33.0			32.3	33.2
88	Toronto	24.1	23.7			23.8	23.1			22.6	21.0
89	Washington_DC	32.7	32.0			30.8	30.5			28.8	29.9
90	Philadelphia	32.2	31.7			30.6	30.4			28.5	29.3
91	Miami	30.5	30.2			30.5	30.2			30.1	29.9
92	Leon	28.4	28.3			28.8	28.1			28.7	27.8
93	Santa_Ana	31.6	28.3			30.8	28.8			30.3	28.0
94	San_José	24.8	24.6			25.1	24.4			25.2	23.9
95	Panama_City	30.4	28.4			30.4	28.9			30.2	28.1
96	San_Pedro_Sula	33.7	32.8			33.9	33.0			33.6	32.7
97	San_Salvador	31.1	28.7			31.2	29.2			30.5	28.5
98	Guatemala_City	29.7	27.0			29.1	27.2			28.9	26.5
99	Managua	31.1	29.0			30.6	29.2			30.2	28.5
100	Tegucigalpa	28.6	27.6			28.5	27.1			28.6	26.4
101	Port-au-Prince	32.3	31.5			31.2	31.8			31.3	31.5
102	San-Juan	30.1	29.3			29.8	29.4			29.8	29.3
103	Havana	31.4	31.4			31.4	31.5			31.0	31.2
104	Kingston	29.3	29.1			29.5	29.0			29.5	28.9
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.2	28.7			29.3	28.6			29.3	28.4
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	29.4	28.6			29.1	28.5			29.1	28.4
107	Port_of_Spain	29.3	29.1			29.3	29.0			29.4	29.0

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Last Update: Mon Aug 22 06:31:08 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.