Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220821Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Aug-23-2022Aug-24-2022Aug-25-2022Aug-26-2022Aug-27-2022
NO Stations 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 35.9 33.7 33.5 31.5 30.7 33.5
2 Niamey 36.3 34.0 34.1 31.7 30.9 32.6
3 Ouagadougou 32.8 30.9 30.3 28.7 27.9 29.5
4 Mopti 36.5 34.1 34.5 33.5 31.9 31.3
5 Bamako 30.7 29.2 28.8 27.4 27.1 27.6
6 Kayes 35.8 32.7 32.0 32.2 32.1 31.4
7 Tamba 35.1 30.8 31.2 30.8 31.1 30.1
8 Kedougou 30.5 29.2 29.0 27.8 28.1 28.1
9 Saraya 31.2 29.7 29.2 28.3 28.4 28.6
10 Dalafi 33.4 29.8 29.8 29.5 29.4 29.0
11 Goudiri 33.6 30.3 30.2 30.1 30.1 29.4
12 Naye 34.8 31.2 31.0 31.0 31.1 30.1
13 Bakel 36.8 32.6 32.0 32.5 32.8 31.7
14 Koupentoum 33.3 30.2 30.7 30.8 30.7 29.4
15 Mamari 37.0 32.1 32.0 32.6 32.7 31.3
16 Velingara 32.0 29.5 30.6 30.1 30.2 28.7
17 Matam 37.8 34.0 33.0 33.9 34.2 32.9
18 Haire_Lao 39.2 36.9 35.7 36.3 37.0 36.3
19 Podor 39.1 36.8 35.5 36.0 36.9 36.4
20 Richard_Toll 38.7 35.9 35.0 34.7 36.3 35.8
21 Linguere 37.6 34.3 33.4 34.0 34.9 33.7
22 Daraa 37.2 34.2 33.3 33.2 34.5 33.4
23 Louga 36.1 33.4 32.8 32.0 33.7 32.2
24 Touba 35.6 33.2 32.7 32.2 33.6 32.3
25 Diourbel 34.7 32.0 31.9 31.9 33.0 31.6
26 Bambey 34.1 31.4 31.4 31.6 32.9 31.1
27 Koungheul 33.0 30.3 30.7 30.7 30.8 29.7
28 Kaffrine 33.2 30.6 30.9 30.9 31.4 30.1
29 Kaolack 33.1 30.4 30.7 30.9 31.6 30.1
30 Fatick 34.1 31.4 31.4 31.6 32.9 31.1
31 Gossas 34.7 32.0 31.9 31.9 33.0 31.6
32 Freetown 27.8 27.1 27.7 26.3 25.2 26.2
33 Cairo 39.5 38.8 38.0 38.4 39.5 40.0
34 Alexandria 33.7 32.9 32.0 32.0 32.3 32.4
35 Giza 39.5 38.8 38.0 38.4 39.5 40.0
36 Luxor 41.9 42.1 41.5 41.9 43.0 43.6
37 Sirte 35.8 31.1 31.2 31.5 31.8 31.6
38 Tripoli 29.9 27.9 27.8 27.9 28.3 28.5
39 Benghazi 29.5 28.0 27.9 28.1 28.5 28.4
40 Mistratah 31.5 29.0 28.8 28.9 29.1 29.2
41 Tunis 34.8 31.8 32.3 32.9 34.5 34.9
42 Sfax 29.4 28.0 28.1 28.0 28.1 28.3
43 Sousse 35.2 31.9 32.0 32.0 32.8 33.1
44 Algiers 27.9 26.4 26.7 26.8 27.9 28.4
45 Oran 35.8 36.1 34.5 33.8 36.1 38.0
46 Constantine 35.8 33.9 35.2 36.1 37.2 38.1
47 Annaba 31.7 28.7 29.3 30.3 31.5 31.9
48 Casablanca 30.7 27.4 26.4 25.2 25.6 29.0
49 Rabat 26.3 23.7 23.3 22.7 23.0 25.0
50 Fes 37.0 35.8 34.3 32.0 34.4 38.4
51 Sale 34.0 34.9 34.0 32.8 35.0 36.1
52 Riyadh 43.1 40.6 40.1 39.6 39.9 40.2
53 Jeddah 33.7 32.3 32.7 33.0 32.5 32.3
54 Mecca 42.6 38.9 39.4 40.5 40.5 41.3
55 Medina 43.5 41.7 40.9 41.0 41.8 42.5
56 Sanaa 25.4 23.1 23.2 23.4 23.5 24.1
57 Al_Hudaydah 36.6 35.0 35.3 35.3 35.5 35.8
58 Aden 39.2 36.9 37.0 36.9 38.0 37.8
59 London 24.0 26.5 25.0 23.8 23.2 24.1
60 Paris 25.9 32.9 31.0 30.2 30.1 29.0
61 Istanbul 29.0 27.0 27.4 28.2 29.1 28.9
62 Moscow 21.7 30.5 29.2 28.6 27.6 26.6
63 Madrid 31.3 33.7 33.1 31.9 31.4 32.5
64 Rome 35.6 32.8 33.3 33.4 34.0 34.6
65 Frankfurt 27.0 31.1 31.6 30.4 29.4 29.7
66 Kyiv 26.0 33.4 33.2 32.3 32.4 31.4
67 Berlin 25.8 28.8 30.0 29.6 28.1 27.5
68 Bucharest 32.8 33.8 34.0 33.9 34.8 35.7
69 Tokyo 33.3 30.0 31.2 31.9 29.4 28.1
70 Jakarta 26.5 26.7 26.9 26.8 26.7 26.7
71 Delhi 38.0 36.2 36.6 37.1 37.2 37.0
72 Manila 29.4 31.1 31.3 31.2 31.2 31.4
73 Seoul 31.3 27.2 28.0 29.3 29.3 27.7
74 Mumbai 31.8 30.6 29.4 28.6 27.2 26.1
75 Shanghai 32.3 32.2 32.4 29.4 30.1 30.0
76 Guangzhou 35.9 34.6 32.0 32.6 34.2 34.2
77 Beijing 31.8 30.6 29.4 28.6 27.2 26.1
78 Kolkata 34.1 33.1 33.8 34.0 33.7 33.2
79 Bangkok 33.3 34.7 34.3 33.5 34.2 34.6
80 Dhaka 33.6 34.1 34.2 33.9 33.4 33.5
81 Karachi 33.7 29.9 30.5 30.9 30.5 30.8
82 Mexico_City 21.5 22.9 22.1 21.8 21.6 21.5
83 New_York 28.5 30.9 30.4 29.0 28.1 28.2
84 Los_Angeles 32.3 32.5 32.7 32.1 30.0 29.4
85 Chicago 25.1 25.6 26.4 26.9 28.1 29.1
86 Dallas 35.2 29.7 31.2 32.2 32.6 33.0
87 Houston 33.9 30.8 32.3 32.6 32.8 33.1
88 Toronto 22.9 24.3 24.0 23.9 24.4 25.6
89 Washington_DC 32.5 34.4 34.1 32.5 32.3 32.3
90 Philadelphia 31.3 34.4 34.3 33.2 32.2 32.1
91 Miami 30.3 30.5 30.6 30.3 30.2 30.3
92 Leon 28.5 28.8 28.7 28.8 28.6 28.3
93 Santa_Ana 31.4 28.0 28.4 28.5 28.2 27.8
94 San_José 24.5 24.5 24.9 24.6 23.7 23.5
95 Panama_City 29.6 28.3 28.3 28.1 27.4 27.2
96 San_Pedro_Sula 33.0 33.6 33.1 33.1 33.6 33.9
97 San_Salvador 31.0 28.4 28.7 29.1 28.9 28.5
98 Guatemala_City 28.5 27.5 27.6 27.5 27.3 27.1
99 Managua 30.2 29.1 29.4 29.7 29.5 29.1
100 Tegucigalpa 28.2 27.8 28.1 28.3 27.8 27.9
101 Port-au-Prince 32.2 31.9 32.5 32.6 32.7 32.6
102 San-Juan 29.4 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.9 29.1
103 Havana 31.4 32.2 32.1 31.6 31.6 31.6
104 Kingston 29.1 29.2 29.0 28.9 29.0 29.1
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.9 28.8 28.6 28.5 28.5 28.6
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.8 28.5 28.4 28.4 28.4 28.5
107 Port_of_Spain 28.9 28.6 28.7 28.7 28.8 28.8



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Last Update: Mon Aug 22 06:31:02 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.