Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220820Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 27Aug2022 - 02Sep2022				Week 3: 03Sep2022 - 09Sep2022				Week 4: 10Sep2022 - 16Sep2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.6	33.6			37.8	34.5			38.3	35.5
2	Niamey	38.5	33.4			38.2	34.6			38.5	35.5
3	Ouagadougou	35.8	30.0			34.8	31.0			36.9	31.7
4	Mopti	38.1	33.5			38.2	35.3			38.4	35.5
5	Bamako	31.5	28.2			32.4	29.4			32.7	29.7
6	Kayes	38.7	31.6			37.8	33.0			38.4	33.6
7	Tamba	37.0	30.4			37.7	31.5			37.0	32.0
8	Kedougou	31.0	28.6			31.1	29.6			31.8	30.0
9	Saraya	32.9	28.9			32.6	29.8			32.9	30.2
10	Dalafi	35.6	29.4			35.3	30.4			35.7	30.7
11	Goudiri	36.1	29.8			35.6	30.7			35.6	31.2
12	Naye	37.6	30.8			37.1	31.9			37.2	32.5
13	Bakel	39.2	32.0			38.9	33.5			38.4	34.0
14	Koupentoum	35.3	30.2			35.7	31.2			35.3	31.5
15	Mamari	38.8	31.7			38.7	33.1			38.4	33.6
16	Velingara	33.2	30.1			33.6	31.3			33.7	31.8
17	Matam	39.7	33.2			39.5	34.9			39.4	35.5
18	Haire_Lao	40.2	35.6			40.5	37.5			40.3	38.3
19	Podor	40.0	35.4			40.4	37.2			40.2	38.1
20	Richard_Toll	39.3	34.8			39.9	36.4			40.0	37.4
21	Linguere	38.9	33.2			39.1	34.8			39.1	35.6
22	Daraa	38.5	32.9			39.2	34.4			39.3	35.2
23	Louga	36.9	32.2			38.0	33.4			38.4	34.4
24	Touba	36.5	32.0			37.3	33.2			37.6	34.0
25	Diourbel	35.7	31.3			36.4	32.6			36.6	33.2
26	Bambey	35.0	31.0			35.7	32.2			36.4	32.9
27	Koungheul	34.7	30.2			35.3	31.3			35.1	31.5
28	Kaffrine	34.3	30.4			34.7	31.5			34.8	31.8
29	Kaolack	33.9	30.3			34.7	31.5			35.2	31.9
30	Fatick	35.0	31.0			35.7	32.2			36.4	32.9
31	Gossas	35.7	31.3			36.4	32.6			36.6	33.2
32	Freetown	29.0	27.1			29.9	27.6			30.1	28.0
33	Cairo	38.7	40.1			38.1	37.8			37.5	35.7
34	Alexandria	33.2	32.2			32.9	31.2			33.1	30.3
35	Giza	38.7	40.1			38.1	37.8			37.5	35.7
36	Luxor	42.1	43.8			40.9	42.0			40.9	39.1
37	Sirte	38.1	33.0			36.5	34.2			35.9	34.2
38	Tripoli	30.9	29.0			30.6	28.7			29.8	28.2
39	Benghazi	29.8	28.7			29.4	28.2			29.4	28.3
40	Mistratah	33.6	30.3			31.9	30.6			31.2	29.8
41	Tunis	34.7	35.6			32.8	32.5			33.5	30.8
42	Sfax	29.0	29.1			29.3	28.5			28.2	27.6
43	Sousse	34.9	35.1			33.1	32.7			32.8	30.9
44	Algiers	26.8	27.3			27.1	25.9			26.7	24.5
45	Oran	35.1	35.5			33.6	33.8			32.6	31.2
46	Constantine	34.4	36.7			32.9	33.4			33.4	30.7
47	Annaba	31.0	31.1			29.7	29.0			29.6	27.7
48	Casablanca	31.0	28.8			29.9	28.5			28.7	27.1
49	Rabat	26.4	25.1			25.7	24.9			24.7	23.8
50	Fes	36.8	36.1			35.4	35.3			33.7	31.8
51	Sale	33.0	34.3			31.3	32.7			29.4	29.4
52	Riyadh	42.9	39.9			41.6	41.5			40.6	40.8
53	Jeddah	33.4	32.3			33.6	31.8			33.5	31.3
54	Mecca	42.1	39.5			42.3	40.2			42.2	40.1
55	Medina	43.9	42.5			42.2	42.8			41.7	41.8
56	Sanaa	26.1	23.5			25.8	23.9			25.7	24.7
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.6	35.5			36.4	35.4			36.7	35.5
58	Aden	40.1	37.0			39.9	37.5			39.4	37.8
59	London	22.6	23.4			23.4	23.5			22.6	21.9
60	Paris	24.7	27.1			25.1	25.5			24.3	24.1
61	Istanbul	29.1	26.9			27.2	23.8			26.4	22.4
62	Moscow	22.8	21.1			21.5	17.5			19.0	17.1
63	Madrid	31.6	30.9			30.1	29.8			28.6	26.9
64	Rome	33.2	32.9			32.0	30.1			30.4	27.8
65	Frankfurt	26.5	26.3			25.9	23.7			25.0	22.8
66	Kyiv	27.0	27.3			25.4	22.9			22.9	21.7
67	Berlin	25.5	24.5			24.9	22.1			23.3	21.4
68	Bucharest	31.8	33.0			30.1	28.4			30.4	27.1
69	Tokyo	33.2	29.3			32.4	28.4			32.0	28.6
70	Jakarta	27.0	26.9			26.7	26.9			27.1	27.6
71	Delhi	38.4	37.3			38.3	38.0			38.5	37.2
72	Manila	30.4	31.2			30.5	30.6			30.1	29.8
73	Seoul	31.2	28.7			30.1	28.7			29.1	27.8
74	Mumbai	31.9	29.4			30.3	29.2			30.1	28.4
75	Shanghai	31.9	30.0			30.1	29.3			30.2	28.7
76	Guangzhou	36.0	34.0			35.6	32.7			35.5	32.7
77	Beijing	31.9	29.4			30.3	29.2			30.1	28.4
78	Kolkata	34.4	33.5			34.4	34.2			34.5	33.8
79	Bangkok	33.1	34.2			32.8	32.6			32.8	30.8
80	Dhaka	34.0	33.3			33.6	33.5			34.2	33.9
81	Karachi	34.8	31.7			34.8	32.3			35.4	33.3
82	Mexico_City	22.1	21.0			22.0	21.1			22.1	21.0
83	New_York	29.7	27.8			27.7	27.3			26.4	25.1
84	Los_Angeles	34.6	33.4			31.6	33.2			32.9	30.9
85	Chicago	25.5	25.4			25.3	25.8			22.9	22.4
86	Dallas	35.3	33.1			33.3	32.8			32.8	32.5
87	Houston	34.5	34.0			32.6	33.4			32.4	33.5
88	Toronto	23.9	22.7			24.2	22.8			22.5	18.0
89	Washington_DC	33.2	31.9			31.9	31.2			28.9	29.1
90	Philadelphia	32.8	31.4			31.4	30.6			28.9	28.2
91	Miami	30.4	30.2			30.6	30.2			30.1	30.2
92	Leon	28.7	28.2			28.7	27.9			28.8	27.7
93	Santa_Ana	31.6	28.2			31.2	29.2			30.6	28.8
94	San_José	24.8	24.2			25.1	24.3			25.1	23.9
95	Panama_City	30.2	28.1			30.5	28.8			30.4	28.4
96	San_Pedro_Sula	33.7	32.4			34.0	32.8			33.7	32.5
97	San_Salvador	31.1	28.6			31.0	29.5			30.8	29.2
98	Guatemala_City	29.7	26.8			29.2	26.9			29.1	27.0
99	Managua	31.1	28.9			30.5	29.1			30.2	28.9
100	Tegucigalpa	28.8	27.3			28.4	27.0			28.8	27.0
101	Port-au-Prince	32.3	31.5			31.3	31.9			31.3	31.7
102	San-Juan	30.0	29.0			29.9	29.3			29.8	29.3
103	Havana	31.4	31.3			31.4	31.4			30.9	31.2
104	Kingston	29.4	29.1			29.5	29.1			29.5	29.0
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.3	28.7			29.3	28.6			29.3	28.5
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	29.3	28.4			29.1	28.5			29.2	28.6
107	Port_of_Spain	29.2	29.0			29.2	29.1			29.3	29.1

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Last Update: Sun Aug 21 06:31:16 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.