Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220820Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 27Aug2022 - 02Sep2022				Week 3: 03Sep2022 - 09Sep2022				Week 4: 10Sep2022 - 16Sep2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.0	33.6			37.4	34.5			37.9	35.5
2	Niamey	37.1	33.4			37.8	34.6			38.2	35.5
3	Ouagadougou	33.9	30.0			34.3	31.0			35.7	31.7
4	Mopti	37.1	33.5			37.8	35.3			37.9	35.5
5	Bamako	31.5	28.2			31.8	29.4			32.2	29.7
6	Kayes	37.8	31.6			37.0	33.0			37.5	33.6
7	Tamba	35.5	30.4			36.2	31.5			36.2	32.0
8	Kedougou	30.6	28.6			30.8	29.6			31.4	30.0
9	Saraya	31.8	28.9			32.0	29.8			32.4	30.2
10	Dalafi	33.8	29.4			34.2	30.4			34.6	30.7
11	Goudiri	34.0	29.8			34.3	30.7			34.4	31.2
12	Naye	36.3	30.8			35.7	31.9			35.8	32.5
13	Bakel	38.4	32.0			38.0	33.5			37.7	34.0
14	Koupentoum	33.5	30.2			34.8	31.2			34.3	31.5
15	Mamari	37.4	31.7			37.6	33.1			37.5	33.6
16	Velingara	32.2	30.1			32.6	31.3			33.0	31.8
17	Matam	39.1	33.2			39.2	34.9			38.6	35.5
18	Haire_Lao	39.4	35.6			39.9	37.5			39.8	38.3
19	Podor	39.1	35.4			39.7	37.2			39.7	38.1
20	Richard_Toll	38.6	34.8			39.2	36.4			39.6	37.4
21	Linguere	38.0	33.2			38.7	34.8			38.3	35.6
22	Daraa	37.5	32.9			38.3	34.4			38.5	35.2
23	Louga	36.1	32.2			37.2	33.4			37.4	34.4
24	Touba	35.8	32.0			36.5	33.2			36.9	34.0
25	Diourbel	35.1	31.3			35.8	32.6			35.9	33.2
26	Bambey	34.4	31.0			35.3	32.2			35.2	32.9
27	Koungheul	33.6	30.2			34.4	31.3			34.5	31.5
28	Kaffrine	33.6	30.4			34.3	31.5			34.1	31.8
29	Kaolack	33.4	30.3			34.2	31.5			34.2	31.9
30	Fatick	34.4	31.0			35.3	32.2			35.2	32.9
31	Gossas	35.1	31.3			35.8	32.6			35.9	33.2
32	Freetown	28.3	27.1			29.3	27.6			29.8	28.0
33	Cairo	38.4	40.1			37.4	37.8			37.3	35.7
34	Alexandria	32.5	32.2			32.3	31.2			32.5	30.3
35	Giza	38.4	40.1			37.4	37.8			37.3	35.7
36	Luxor	41.6	43.8			40.5	42.0			40.2	39.1
37	Sirte	36.4	33.0			35.8	34.2			35.5	34.2
38	Tripoli	30.0	29.0			29.5	28.7			29.3	28.2
39	Benghazi	29.3	28.7			29.2	28.2			28.8	28.3
40	Mistratah	31.2	30.3			31.3	30.6			30.7	29.8
41	Tunis	34.8	35.6			31.8	32.5			32.0	30.8
42	Sfax	29.1	29.1			28.0	28.5			27.7	27.6
43	Sousse	34.8	35.1			32.2	32.7			32.1	30.9
44	Algiers	27.0	27.3			26.2	25.9			25.8	24.5
45	Oran	35.0	35.5			32.2	33.8			31.4	31.2
46	Constantine	34.4	36.7			32.3	33.4			32.9	30.7
47	Annaba	31.8	31.1			28.7	29.0			29.4	27.7
48	Casablanca	30.6	28.8			28.9	28.5			28.3	27.1
49	Rabat	26.5	25.1			25.4	24.9			24.3	23.8
50	Fes	37.3	36.1			33.5	35.3			32.1	31.8
51	Sale	33.1	34.3			30.1	32.7			28.1	29.4
52	Riyadh	42.9	39.9			41.3	41.5			40.3	40.8
53	Jeddah	33.1	32.3			33.0	31.8			32.9	31.3
54	Mecca	42.5	39.5			41.9	40.2			41.8	40.1
55	Medina	43.9	42.5			42.0	42.8			41.4	41.8
56	Sanaa	25.7	23.5			25.5	23.9			25.5	24.7
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.7	35.5			36.2	35.4			36.3	35.5
58	Aden	39.4	37.0			39.1	37.5			39.0	37.8
59	London	22.6	23.4			22.6	23.5			21.0	21.9
60	Paris	25.5	27.1			24.5	25.5			23.8	24.1
61	Istanbul	28.2	26.9			26.5	23.8			26.1	22.4
62	Moscow	23.1	21.1			20.0	17.5			18.4	17.1
63	Madrid	31.3	30.9			29.2	29.8			26.7	26.9
64	Rome	33.4	32.9			31.0	30.1			29.4	27.8
65	Frankfurt	27.1	26.3			25.4	23.7			22.6	22.8
66	Kyiv	26.7	27.3			24.0	22.9			22.3	21.7
67	Berlin	26.8	24.5			23.4	22.1			22.6	21.4
68	Bucharest	31.6	33.0			28.8	28.4			28.5	27.1
69	Tokyo	33.3	29.3			31.7	28.4			31.4	28.6
70	Jakarta	26.5	26.9			26.3	26.9			26.6	27.6
71	Delhi	38.2	37.3			37.7	38.0			37.9	37.2
72	Manila	29.9	31.2			30.2	30.6			29.6	29.8
73	Seoul	31.4	28.7			29.3	28.7			28.5	27.8
74	Mumbai	32.1	29.4			29.8	29.2			29.4	28.4
75	Shanghai	31.1	30.0			29.4	29.3			29.9	28.7
76	Guangzhou	36.5	34.0			35.1	32.7			35.1	32.7
77	Beijing	32.1	29.4			29.8	29.2			29.4	28.4
78	Kolkata	34.2	33.5			33.9	34.2			33.8	33.8
79	Bangkok	33.1	34.2			32.5	32.6			32.2	30.8
80	Dhaka	34.0	33.3			33.3	33.5			33.9	33.9
81	Karachi	33.8	31.7			33.7	32.3			34.4	33.3
82	Mexico_City	22.0	21.0			21.7	21.1			21.7	21.0
83	New_York	29.7	27.8			27.1	27.3			25.8	25.1
84	Los_Angeles	33.3	33.4			30.7	33.2			30.1	30.9
85	Chicago	25.2	25.4			24.4	25.8			22.8	22.4
86	Dallas	33.8	33.1			32.7	32.8			32.4	32.5
87	Houston	34.0	34.0			32.1	33.4			32.0	33.5
88	Toronto	23.8	22.7			22.6	22.8			21.6	18.0
89	Washington_DC	32.6	31.9			29.9	31.2			28.2	29.1
90	Philadelphia	32.0	31.4			29.9	30.6			28.1	28.2
91	Miami	30.3	30.2			30.2	30.2			29.9	30.2
92	Leon	28.7	28.2			28.5	27.9			28.5	27.7
93	Santa_Ana	31.3	28.2			30.2	29.2			29.5	28.8
94	San_José	24.8	24.2			24.8	24.3			24.7	23.9
95	Panama_City	30.3	28.1			30.1	28.8			30.0	28.4
96	San_Pedro_Sula	33.2	32.4			33.2	32.8			33.3	32.5
97	San_Salvador	30.7	28.6			30.5	29.5			30.3	29.2
98	Guatemala_City	29.1	26.8			29.0	26.9			28.8	27.0
99	Managua	30.0	28.9			30.1	29.1			29.8	28.9
100	Tegucigalpa	28.0	27.3			28.1	27.0			28.0	27.0
101	Port-au-Prince	32.2	31.5			31.1	31.9			30.7	31.7
102	San-Juan	29.9	29.0			29.7	29.3			29.7	29.3
103	Havana	31.2	31.3			31.0	31.4			30.7	31.2
104	Kingston	29.3	29.1			29.3	29.1			29.3	29.0
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.1	28.7			29.1	28.6			29.1	28.5
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	29.1	28.4			28.9	28.5			28.9	28.6
107	Port_of_Spain	29.0	29.0			29.1	29.1			29.0	29.1

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Last Update: Sun Aug 21 06:31:13 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.