Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220814Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 21Aug2022 - 27Aug2022				Week 3: 28Aug2022 - 03Sep2022				Week 4: 04Sep2022 - 10Sep2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	36.8	33.0			38.3	33.9			38.0	34.7
2	Niamey	36.9	33.5			38.5	34.1			38.5	34.9
3	Ouagadougou	33.4	30.0			36.1	30.3			34.9	30.8
4	Mopti	37.3	33.6			38.2	34.1			38.2	34.6
5	Bamako	31.3	28.3			31.7	28.8			32.4	29.1
6	Kayes	36.7	32.4			38.7	32.8			37.9	33.0
7	Tamba	36.8	31.2			37.0	31.6			37.4	31.5
8	Kedougou	30.9	28.8			31.1	29.3			31.1	29.2
9	Saraya	32.2	29.0			32.7	29.7			32.3	29.5
10	Dalafi	34.8	29.9			35.3	30.2			35.3	30.1
11	Goudiri	35.2	30.4			35.7	30.7			35.4	30.6
12	Naye	36.2	31.3			37.4	31.7			37.0	31.8
13	Bakel	37.6	33.1			39.1	33.7			38.6	33.6
14	Koupentoum	34.7	31.1			35.6	31.2			35.5	31.0
15	Mamari	37.5	32.9			38.9	33.4			38.5	33.2
16	Velingara	32.7	30.4			33.2	30.9			33.5	30.9
17	Matam	39.0	34.3			39.8	35.0			39.5	35.0
18	Haire_Lao	39.9	36.3			40.2	37.3			40.7	37.5
19	Podor	39.5	35.9			39.9	37.0			40.4	37.1
20	Richard_Toll	39.1	34.8			39.5	36.1			40.2	36.2
21	Linguere	38.1	34.1			39.4	34.9			39.3	34.8
22	Daraa	37.9	33.7			38.8	34.4			39.3	34.4
23	Louga	36.5	32.9			37.4	33.6			37.9	33.5
24	Touba	36.0	32.8			36.8	33.4			37.3	33.1
25	Diourbel	34.9	32.1			36.0	32.5			36.3	32.4
26	Bambey	34.3	31.7			35.5	32.2			35.8	32.2
27	Koungheul	34.0	31.0			35.0	31.2			35.2	31.0
28	Kaffrine	33.6	31.1			34.7	31.3			34.7	31.2
29	Kaolack	33.3	31.0			34.6	31.3			34.6	31.2
30	Fatick	34.3	31.7			35.5	32.2			35.8	32.2
31	Gossas	34.9	32.1			36.0	32.5			36.3	32.4
32	Freetown	28.3	26.8			29.1	27.2			29.9	27.4
33	Cairo	39.8	39.7			38.6	38.5			38.0	37.2
34	Alexandria	33.9	32.6			32.9	31.6			33.1	31.0
35	Giza	39.8	39.7			38.6	38.5			38.0	37.2
36	Luxor	42.2	42.8			41.8	42.1			41.3	40.2
37	Sirte	36.2	33.7			37.8	34.2			36.4	33.5
38	Tripoli	30.7	29.2			30.8	29.4			30.6	28.9
39	Benghazi	29.7	29.0			29.9	28.7			29.4	28.1
40	Mistratah	31.8	30.3			33.0	31.0			31.7	30.4
41	Tunis	36.4	33.6			34.6	34.1			32.2	33.0
42	Sfax	30.1	29.0			29.5	29.3			29.2	28.6
43	Sousse	36.3	33.4			34.5	34.4			32.5	33.1
44	Algiers	28.2	26.3			26.7	26.5			26.9	25.2
45	Oran	36.8	35.2			35.0	34.6			33.1	32.5
46	Constantine	37.2	34.2			34.5	35.3			32.5	33.7
47	Annaba	32.8	29.9			31.2	30.2			29.6	28.9
48	Casablanca	32.4	30.0			30.8	28.7			29.9	27.7
49	Rabat	27.3	25.4			26.5	25.0			25.5	24.1
50	Fes	38.4	37.5			37.0	35.4			34.4	33.7
51	Sale	34.7	34.1			32.6	33.0			31.5	31.4
52	Riyadh	43.5	41.4			42.8	41.6			41.3	41.6
53	Jeddah	33.8	32.6			33.4	32.4			33.5	32.0
54	Mecca	42.9	39.0			42.1	39.9			42.5	39.8
55	Medina	43.9	42.8			43.6	43.0			42.1	42.5
56	Sanaa	25.9	23.2			26.1	23.8			25.8	24.1
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.8	35.0			36.5	35.4			36.5	35.2
58	Aden	39.5	37.8			40.0	37.7			39.6	37.9
59	London	25.5	25.8			23.1	24.7			23.2	22.7
60	Paris	28.5	29.3			24.8	27.8			25.2	25.2
61	Istanbul	29.3	27.4			29.2	25.5			27.2	24.0
62	Moscow	22.5	24.0			22.4	18.9			20.8	19.2
63	Madrid	32.2	33.5			31.4	31.1			30.1	29.5
64	Rome	36.3	33.5			32.7	32.4			32.3	30.6
65	Frankfurt	29.2	28.2			25.5	25.9			25.7	24.1
66	Kyiv	26.9	28.6			26.7	24.2			25.5	23.9
67	Berlin	28.7	26.4			24.5	23.6			24.9	22.9
68	Bucharest	33.3	34.1			31.3	31.0			30.3	29.4
69	Tokyo	34.2	31.4			32.9	30.2			32.2	30.4
70	Jakarta	27.1	27.3			27.0	27.4			26.8	28.0
71	Delhi	39.0	36.8			38.5	37.2			38.3	36.5
72	Manila	29.9	30.3			30.4	30.2			30.4	30.2
73	Seoul	31.8	30.7			31.2	29.6			29.8	30.0
74	Mumbai	32.5	30.8			31.7	30.9			30.1	30.1
75	Shanghai	33.1	31.8			31.7	30.4			29.9	30.8
76	Guangzhou	36.2	34.1			35.8	34.0			35.4	33.8
77	Beijing	32.5	30.8			31.7	30.9			30.1	30.1
78	Kolkata	34.3	34.1			34.4	34.3			34.3	33.6
79	Bangkok	34.2	32.6			33.1	32.0			32.9	31.3
80	Dhaka	33.8	34.3			34.0	34.1			33.5	33.8
81	Karachi	34.4	31.7			35.1	32.1			35.6	32.8
82	Mexico_City	22.0	21.2			22.1	20.8			22.0	21.2
83	New_York	29.1	28.6			29.2	28.7			27.2	27.1
84	Los_Angeles	33.4	31.6			34.2	32.8			32.0	31.9
85	Chicago	25.5	26.2			25.6	26.1			25.0	25.6
86	Dallas	36.9	34.3			34.8	34.1			32.7	33.2
87	Houston	34.5	33.9			33.8	34.1			32.2	33.8
88	Toronto	24.3	23.2			24.1	22.9			23.8	22.5
89	Washington_DC	32.9	32.2			32.7	32.2			30.8	30.2
90	Philadelphia	32.2	31.8			32.2	32.0			30.6	29.8
91	Miami	30.8	29.9			30.5	30.0			30.5	30.0
92	Leon	28.8	27.2			28.4	28.2			28.8	28.0
93	Santa_Ana	32.4	28.8			31.6	28.3			30.8	28.9
94	San_José	24.7	23.7			24.8	24.5			25.1	24.2
95	Panama_City	29.9	28.2			30.4	28.6			30.4	28.4
96	San_Pedro_Sula	33.8	31.8			33.7	32.3			33.9	32.8
97	San_Salvador	31.4	29.0			31.1	28.6			31.2	29.1
98	Guatemala_City	29.3	26.7			29.7	26.7			29.1	27.2
99	Managua	30.8	28.8			31.1	28.9			30.6	28.8
100	Tegucigalpa	28.5	27.1			28.6	27.1			28.5	27.1
101	Port-au-Prince	32.4	32.4			32.3	31.9			31.2	31.9
102	San-Juan	29.7	28.7			30.1	28.9			29.8	29.1
103	Havana	31.6	31.5			31.4	31.5			31.4	31.4
104	Kingston	29.2	28.7			29.3	28.9			29.5	28.9
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.0	28.3			29.2	28.4			29.3	28.4
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.9	28.0			29.4	28.2			29.1	28.3
107	Port_of_Spain	29.1	28.8			29.3	29.2			29.3	29.3

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Last Update: Mon Aug 15 14:34:27 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.