Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220814Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Aug-16-2022Aug-17-2022Aug-18-2022Aug-19-2022Aug-20-2022
NO Stations 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 36.2 33.7 33.2 32.1 33.0 33.5
2 Niamey 36.3 34.1 34.1 32.9 33.8 34.3
3 Ouagadougou 33.4 30.5 30.4 29.5 30.4 30.3
4 Mopti 36.8 32.3 34.2 33.9 33.7 34.1
5 Bamako 30.9 27.8 29.2 28.2 28.5 28.3
6 Kayes 36.9 31.1 32.3 33.2 32.7 32.3
7 Tamba 36.4 30.6 30.7 31.6 30.9 31.3
8 Kedougou 30.5 28.4 28.7 28.7 28.0 29.2
9 Saraya 31.4 28.8 28.7 29.1 28.7 29.3
10 Dalafi 34.0 29.3 29.8 29.9 29.4 30.0
11 Goudiri 34.4 29.7 30.2 30.5 30.1 30.5
12 Naye 35.8 30.3 30.9 31.5 31.0 31.3
13 Bakel 37.4 31.9 32.1 33.2 32.8 33.0
14 Koupentoum 35.1 30.7 30.3 31.1 31.1 31.0
15 Mamari 37.2 31.8 32.0 33.0 32.8 33.0
16 Velingara 33.4 29.7 29.8 30.8 30.5 30.6
17 Matam 38.3 32.8 32.8 34.2 34.2 34.3
18 Haire_Lao 39.1 35.8 34.0 35.6 36.5 36.9
19 Podor 39.2 35.4 33.6 35.4 36.1 36.3
20 Richard_Toll 38.8 34.4 33.0 34.9 35.2 35.2
21 Linguere 37.9 33.4 32.5 33.8 34.2 34.6
22 Daraa 37.7 33.3 32.4 33.8 33.8 34.1
23 Louga 36.4 32.5 32.2 33.3 32.9 33.1
24 Touba 36.2 32.6 32.1 33.1 33.1 33.2
25 Diourbel 35.2 31.8 31.4 32.0 32.4 32.2
26 Bambey 34.9 31.5 31.3 31.8 32.0 31.8
27 Koungheul 34.1 30.8 30.4 30.9 30.9 30.9
28 Kaffrine 33.9 30.8 30.4 30.8 31.0 30.9
29 Kaolack 34.1 30.7 30.4 30.8 30.8 30.7
30 Fatick 34.9 31.5 31.3 31.8 32.0 31.8
31 Gossas 35.2 31.8 31.4 32.0 32.4 32.2
32 Freetown 27.7 27.0 27.1 27.1 27.3 27.0
33 Cairo 41.1 39.5 39.3 40.1 40.1 39.9
34 Alexandria 34.1 32.5 33.1 33.8 33.7 33.2
35 Giza 41.1 39.5 39.3 40.1 40.1 39.9
36 Luxor 43.5 40.8 41.9 42.5 42.9 43.4
37 Sirte 36.7 37.7 37.2 34.1 31.9 32.1
38 Tripoli 30.4 34.8 33.3 29.5 28.1 28.3
39 Benghazi 30.2 29.9 30.4 29.8 28.6 28.4
40 Mistratah 32.1 36.4 34.8 31.7 29.5 29.6
41 Tunis 35.4 39.1 32.5 31.2 31.5 32.3
42 Sfax 29.1 34.6 32.5 29.5 29.1 29.1
43 Sousse 35.3 42.4 35.5 34.0 33.8 33.7
44 Algiers 28.4 26.1 25.8 25.7 25.8 25.9
45 Oran 37.2 32.4 33.2 34.3 35.5 36.1
46 Constantine 37.5 35.7 30.5 32.2 32.2 33.2
47 Annaba 31.7 31.4 28.9 28.5 28.8 29.2
48 Casablanca 31.2 27.7 30.8 32.5 32.4 31.0
49 Rabat 26.3 24.0 25.6 26.7 26.8 26.0
50 Fes 39.4 34.4 38.9 39.6 39.7 39.0
51 Sale 35.5 32.2 33.7 34.5 35.3 35.4
52 Riyadh 43.3 42.0 41.6 41.9 42.3 42.5
53 Jeddah 34.0 32.4 32.7 32.6 32.7 33.0
54 Mecca 42.9 37.0 35.6 35.9 37.4 38.6
55 Medina 44.1 42.9 42.1 41.7 42.0 42.2
56 Sanaa 25.8 20.8 20.8 21.5 21.9 22.0
57 Al_Hudaydah 36.9 33.9 33.4 33.7 34.4 34.8
58 Aden 39.5 37.0 37.4 37.7 38.8 38.1
59 London 24.2 24.5 25.8 25.2 25.2 25.8
60 Paris 27.5 26.1 26.3 27.0 27.0 28.1
61 Istanbul 30.2 31.2 30.7 30.4 28.1 27.6
62 Moscow 26.3 26.9 27.0 27.3 28.0 27.5
63 Madrid 33.8 27.5 30.2 32.8 34.0 33.7
64 Rome 37.7 34.5 31.5 33.0 33.5 32.9
65 Frankfurt 29.0 27.5 25.1 26.0 26.0 26.9
66 Kyiv 29.8 29.6 31.7 31.9 30.1 28.3
67 Berlin 27.6 28.5 26.1 25.3 24.6 24.9
68 Bucharest 34.7 36.7 38.6 36.2 32.9 32.0
69 Tokyo 35.2 29.0 29.2 28.6 29.1 31.6
70 Jakarta 26.7 26.8 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.2
71 Delhi 38.5 36.1 35.5 34.1 34.2 35.7
72 Manila 30.1 28.4 29.6 30.7 30.2 29.9
73 Seoul 33.8 32.6 29.6 30.3 33.1 32.4
74 Mumbai 33.7 25.6 30.8 32.5 30.5 30.3
75 Shanghai 33.1 34.9 36.1 37.9 35.6 34.2
76 Guangzhou 36.5 35.4 35.2 34.1 35.0 36.0
77 Beijing 33.7 25.6 30.8 32.5 30.5 30.3
78 Kolkata 34.1 34.7 34.4 34.1 34.5 35.0
79 Bangkok 34.3 33.1 33.6 33.1 33.2 33.0
80 Dhaka 34.0 34.7 34.8 34.4 34.6 35.1
81 Karachi 32.6 31.1 31.1 31.3 31.4 31.8
82 Mexico_City 22.4 21.8 22.6 22.3 20.9 21.4
83 New_York 30.6 26.1 27.3 27.7 27.8 27.7
84 Los_Angeles 31.2 34.3 34.1 33.1 31.2 30.3
85 Chicago 24.8 24.1 24.0 25.1 25.5 25.4
86 Dallas 37.3 38.1 33.2 34.2 34.8 34.4
87 Houston 36.2 35.7 35.6 34.1 33.7 33.4
88 Toronto 25.0 21.7 21.3 22.3 23.3 23.4
89 Washington_DC 33.8 28.3 29.7 30.1 31.1 31.7
90 Philadelphia 33.7 28.7 30.1 31.3 31.7 31.1
91 Miami 30.5 30.9 30.7 30.2 30.0 30.0
92 Leon 28.1 27.8 27.8 27.7 27.5 27.2
93 Santa_Ana 32.8 29.2 29.6 30.4 30.7 30.6
94 San_José 24.6 24.7 24.5 24.3 24.3 23.8
95 Panama_City 30.1 29.7 29.5 28.9 28.4 28.4
96 San_Pedro_Sula 33.3 32.0 32.0 32.4 32.0 31.7
97 San_Salvador 31.8 29.4 29.8 30.4 30.3 30.2
98 Guatemala_City 28.9 27.3 27.2 27.4 27.2 27.2
99 Managua 30.9 29.6 29.6 29.9 30.0 29.8
100 Tegucigalpa 28.2 27.9 27.3 27.7 28.3 28.2
101 Port-au-Prince 32.7 34.6 33.9 32.8 33.3 33.6
102 San-Juan 29.6 28.8 28.6 28.6 28.7 28.7
103 Havana 31.9 32.2 31.9 31.7 31.6 31.4
104 Kingston 29.3 28.9 28.8 28.9 28.8 28.8
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 29.2 28.7 28.5 28.5 28.6 28.5
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.8 28.3 28.2 28.1 28.1 28.0
107 Port_of_Spain 29.0 28.9 29.1 29.2 29.1 28.9



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Last Update: Mon Aug 15 14:34:25 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.