Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220814Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Aug-16-2022Aug-17-2022Aug-18-2022Aug-19-2022Aug-20-2022
NO Stations 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 35.4 33.7 33.2 32.1 33.0 33.5
2 Niamey 35.6 34.1 34.1 32.9 33.8 34.3
3 Ouagadougou 32.5 30.5 30.4 29.5 30.4 30.3
4 Mopti 36.1 32.3 34.2 33.9 33.7 34.1
5 Bamako 30.1 27.8 29.2 28.2 28.5 28.3
6 Kayes 35.9 31.1 32.3 33.2 32.7 32.3
7 Tamba 35.1 30.6 30.7 31.6 30.9 31.3
8 Kedougou 30.0 28.4 28.7 28.7 28.0 29.2
9 Saraya 30.6 28.8 28.7 29.1 28.7 29.3
10 Dalafi 33.0 29.3 29.8 29.9 29.4 30.0
11 Goudiri 33.4 29.7 30.2 30.5 30.1 30.5
12 Naye 34.3 30.3 30.9 31.5 31.0 31.3
13 Bakel 36.2 31.9 32.1 33.2 32.8 33.0
14 Koupentoum 33.4 30.7 30.3 31.1 31.1 31.0
15 Mamari 36.2 31.8 32.0 33.0 32.8 33.0
16 Velingara 31.9 29.7 29.8 30.8 30.5 30.6
17 Matam 36.9 32.8 32.8 34.2 34.2 34.3
18 Haire_Lao 38.7 35.8 34.0 35.6 36.5 36.9
19 Podor 38.8 35.4 33.6 35.4 36.1 36.3
20 Richard_Toll 38.4 34.4 33.0 34.9 35.2 35.2
21 Linguere 37.0 33.4 32.5 33.8 34.2 34.6
22 Daraa 36.9 33.3 32.4 33.8 33.8 34.1
23 Louga 35.7 32.5 32.2 33.3 32.9 33.1
24 Touba 35.6 32.6 32.1 33.1 33.1 33.2
25 Diourbel 34.6 31.8 31.4 32.0 32.4 32.2
26 Bambey 34.4 31.5 31.3 31.8 32.0 31.8
27 Koungheul 33.5 30.8 30.4 30.9 30.9 30.9
28 Kaffrine 33.4 30.8 30.4 30.8 31.0 30.9
29 Kaolack 33.3 30.7 30.4 30.8 30.8 30.7
30 Fatick 34.4 31.5 31.3 31.8 32.0 31.8
31 Gossas 34.6 31.8 31.4 32.0 32.4 32.2
32 Freetown 27.4 27.0 27.1 27.1 27.3 27.0
33 Cairo 39.7 39.5 39.3 40.1 40.1 39.9
34 Alexandria 33.7 32.5 33.1 33.8 33.7 33.2
35 Giza 39.7 39.5 39.3 40.1 40.1 39.9
36 Luxor 42.3 40.8 41.9 42.5 42.9 43.4
37 Sirte 36.3 37.7 37.2 34.1 31.9 32.1
38 Tripoli 29.7 34.8 33.3 29.5 28.1 28.3
39 Benghazi 29.5 29.9 30.4 29.8 28.6 28.4
40 Mistratah 31.1 36.4 34.8 31.7 29.5 29.6
41 Tunis 34.8 39.1 32.5 31.2 31.5 32.3
42 Sfax 28.8 34.6 32.5 29.5 29.1 29.1
43 Sousse 34.9 42.4 35.5 34.0 33.8 33.7
44 Algiers 26.9 26.1 25.8 25.7 25.8 25.9
45 Oran 35.6 32.4 33.2 34.3 35.5 36.1
46 Constantine 36.1 35.7 30.5 32.2 32.2 33.2
47 Annaba 31.2 31.4 28.9 28.5 28.8 29.2
48 Casablanca 30.4 27.7 30.8 32.5 32.4 31.0
49 Rabat 25.6 24.0 25.6 26.7 26.8 26.0
50 Fes 38.1 34.4 38.9 39.6 39.7 39.0
51 Sale 35.3 32.2 33.7 34.5 35.3 35.4
52 Riyadh 43.0 42.0 41.6 41.9 42.3 42.5
53 Jeddah 33.8 32.4 32.7 32.6 32.7 33.0
54 Mecca 42.5 37.0 35.6 35.9 37.4 38.6
55 Medina 43.5 42.9 42.1 41.7 42.0 42.2
56 Sanaa 25.5 20.8 20.8 21.5 21.9 22.0
57 Al_Hudaydah 36.6 33.9 33.4 33.7 34.4 34.8
58 Aden 39.3 37.0 37.4 37.7 38.8 38.1
59 London 23.1 24.5 25.8 25.2 25.2 25.8
60 Paris 26.5 26.1 26.3 27.0 27.0 28.1
61 Istanbul 29.9 31.2 30.7 30.4 28.1 27.6
62 Moscow 24.5 26.9 27.0 27.3 28.0 27.5
63 Madrid 33.3 27.5 30.2 32.8 34.0 33.7
64 Rome 37.3 34.5 31.5 33.0 33.5 32.9
65 Frankfurt 27.9 27.5 25.1 26.0 26.0 26.9
66 Kyiv 29.1 29.6 31.7 31.9 30.1 28.3
67 Berlin 26.1 28.5 26.1 25.3 24.6 24.9
68 Bucharest 33.6 36.7 38.6 36.2 32.9 32.0
69 Tokyo 33.7 29.0 29.2 28.6 29.1 31.6
70 Jakarta 26.5 26.8 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.2
71 Delhi 37.4 36.1 35.5 34.1 34.2 35.7
72 Manila 29.9 28.4 29.6 30.7 30.2 29.9
73 Seoul 33.2 32.6 29.6 30.3 33.1 32.4
74 Mumbai 33.0 25.6 30.8 32.5 30.5 30.3
75 Shanghai 32.9 34.9 36.1 37.9 35.6 34.2
76 Guangzhou 36.4 35.4 35.2 34.1 35.0 36.0
77 Beijing 33.0 25.6 30.8 32.5 30.5 30.3
78 Kolkata 33.8 34.7 34.4 34.1 34.5 35.0
79 Bangkok 33.6 33.1 33.6 33.1 33.2 33.0
80 Dhaka 33.6 34.7 34.8 34.4 34.6 35.1
81 Karachi 32.4 31.1 31.1 31.3 31.4 31.8
82 Mexico_City 21.9 21.8 22.6 22.3 20.9 21.4
83 New_York 30.0 26.1 27.3 27.7 27.8 27.7
84 Los_Angeles 30.8 34.3 34.1 33.1 31.2 30.3
85 Chicago 24.6 24.1 24.0 25.1 25.5 25.4
86 Dallas 35.9 38.1 33.2 34.2 34.8 34.4
87 Houston 34.0 35.7 35.6 34.1 33.7 33.4
88 Toronto 24.4 21.7 21.3 22.3 23.3 23.4
89 Washington_DC 33.2 28.3 29.7 30.1 31.1 31.7
90 Philadelphia 32.7 28.7 30.1 31.3 31.7 31.1
91 Miami 30.3 30.9 30.7 30.2 30.0 30.0
92 Leon 27.9 27.8 27.8 27.7 27.5 27.2
93 Santa_Ana 32.4 29.2 29.6 30.4 30.7 30.6
94 San_José 24.5 24.7 24.5 24.3 24.3 23.8
95 Panama_City 29.8 29.7 29.5 28.9 28.4 28.4
96 San_Pedro_Sula 32.9 32.0 32.0 32.4 32.0 31.7
97 San_Salvador 31.4 29.4 29.8 30.4 30.3 30.2
98 Guatemala_City 28.5 27.3 27.2 27.4 27.2 27.2
99 Managua 30.0 29.6 29.6 29.9 30.0 29.8
100 Tegucigalpa 28.0 27.9 27.3 27.7 28.3 28.2
101 Port-au-Prince 32.2 34.6 33.9 32.8 33.3 33.6
102 San-Juan 29.3 28.8 28.6 28.6 28.7 28.7
103 Havana 31.5 32.2 31.9 31.7 31.6 31.4
104 Kingston 29.2 28.9 28.8 28.9 28.8 28.8
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 29.0 28.7 28.5 28.5 28.6 28.5
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.7 28.3 28.2 28.1 28.1 28.0
107 Port_of_Spain 28.8 28.9 29.1 29.2 29.1 28.9



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Last Update: Mon Aug 15 14:34:24 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.